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cardinalland

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Everything posted by cardinalland

  1. the ridge over the midwest and the raging PAC jet don't help either
  2. it’s currently snowing in new haven, but not enough to coat anything
  3. decided to travel about 5 miles west to derby (45 min ago ish) to see some real snow. really happy i did. rates picked up right after i arrived. snow parachutes. there was no snow cover when i got there but it quickly covered the grass and then began covering pavement.
  4. snow mixing in here in new haven. i don't expect any accumulation but hey it's nice to see.
  5. GFS with a white rain crusha. snow map is too ridiculous to post
  6. i would expect a lot of white rain with this setup in more marginal areas (most of SNE that isn't mountains tbh). I think I see white rain down here in new haven but no accumulation. might travel a little north to try to see a flake on the ground
  7. i'm thinking your area gets snow from this one... in CT I feel like it's a question of if the wind is coming off the sound for you or not. 84 and N should get something at least
  8. snow on a southwest wind... winters of yore... it will be 70 by christmas eve
  9. i've had plenty of beer too but i can still recognize a -EPO -AO setup when i see one
  10. I don't think I've seen the HREF plumes yet. looking good for NNE mountains
  11. the MJO’s also just so far from here compared to other influences like EPO, NAO, pacific, atlantic, even el niño …
  12. True but I think we will struggle without at least some Eastern Canadian snow cover
  13. i would also like to see this big patch of bare ground fill in before we really start talking snow to the coast. it's kinda ridiculous for late Nov
  14. the storm of interest around Tday has no antecedent cold airmass, so I don't see a pathway to big snow accums south of 90/495. It's an NNE event. But it looks like depending on how it evolves, it could push plenty of cold air into the area for the week after
  15. hmm my experience has been a little different... i feel like wrap around precipitation like this one has often panned out, but yep filling in on the back end (especially behind a frontal passage) is much rarer than models indicate
  16. just walked on the porch with a cold beer and said “we needed this”
  17. Does anyone know of a source of data for EPO forecasts that's updated daily? I can't believe it but I can't find anything for it on the web!
  18. i will definitely be standing on the porch watching the rain fall and saying "we needed this"
  19. Decided to have some fun with data and correlated NYC snowfalls in December with temperatures around the world for the last 44 years. The first map only has statistically significant correlations and the second shows all. I guess a cold Plains and Midwest corresponds with higher snowfall around here. I probably didn't need to run the numbers to figure that out but here it is anyway. I was surprised by the western Canada correlation...
  20. Decided to have some fun with data and correlated CT snowfalls in December with temperatures around the world for the last 44 years. It's CT but that maps well to SNE at least. The first map only has statistically significant correlations and the second shows all. I guess a cold Plains, Midwest, or northern US corresponds with higher snowfall around here. I probably didn't need to run the numbers to figure that out but here it is anyway.
  21. nice anticyclone and there’s some developing convection on satellite. i imagine after a TD forms in a day or 2, it’s off to the races unless it moves over land
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