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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is a much worse situation than the Commie and Soros controlled Media have been reporting. Folks need to open their Eyes to what's going on. Our Government is hijacked. As far as the main thing this post represents however, is the times we're living in and the need for People to turn to The Lord in repentance and become part of The Body of Christ. Thanks for posting Mathew- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Another healthy rain here overnight . 0.71".- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Alot of wind damage here. Numerous tree's down, electrical outages. Large trees were uprooted on and around my Property. Next door neighbor had a large 3 ft dia tree fall onto their house. It came through the ceiling into their Kitchen. Thankfully they were in another room. A Storage building was crushed at my neighbor's on the other side of my home. Large limbs and a medium sized Walnut Tree was downed in my back Lawn. Flooding occured as well although, fortunately not severe as much of the intense Rain bands missed the County. A general 5 day Total of 6-9 inches County avg..- 689 replies
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In many cases the Models have underestimated intensity upon landfall. That's when we'll have a better idea of whether the track will be further east or not. As you alluded to, the stronger, the more it'll resist the pull .
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some locations near Coeburn VA have recorded over 6 inches of rain since Midnight.- 689 replies
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Good valid points. I agree with Snowgoose in that the stronger Helene is the more East She will trek as the ULL will have a tougher time pulling her around it.
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2024-2025 Winter Ideas and Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yep. JB was the one. There is some statistics showing a greater likelihood. DT also used the Soil Saturation as a Tool in respect to influence in Patterns. -
That is through Monday.?. That is too low on Totals across Central/ ETN/SWVA . That looks more like a Total's Map through Friday for these area's.
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
You can extrapolate to how much more is probable from Helene's remnants. Also, IF some guidance is correct in Helene reaching middle Tn then turning back ENE you can bet some eye popping Totals will be the case once all is said and done. Some serious flooding even in the Great Valley is looking more and more likely.- 689 replies
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Excellent point ! Makes sense.
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, sure looks that way. If it takes a more Eastward track as it moves North it could dump enough to cause some issues in the Great Valley. Also, a remote possibility it doesn't keep moving NW as it gets to our Latitude but kind of stalls and washes out . That could result in flooding for the Valley.- 689 replies
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2024 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
We can sure use it over this way. -
2024 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah, sure looks that way as of now. Tc's continue to be advertised in the Atlantic Basin. Hopefully, we get lucky with one of those or another unforeseen development occurs in the Gulf at the right time and changes the almost inevitable Drought. -
Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, it's as if CPC is running behind. I think Models had veen showing a wetter Pattern several days ago. Hopefully, that's not the case and they're onto something. If not, we're hurting around here. Drought, forest fires and damaged foliage.- 689 replies
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2024 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Definitely need something to change for this area. Quickly going into Drought conditions. Wound up with just .20 night before last. 0.73" for the Month. -
Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
.20 total here last night. Western and Northern portions of County got up to a half inch .- 689 replies
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2024 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Apparently, the HPC and NWS ain't buying it for whatever reason. Would be great if panned out. -
Oh yeah, clearly.
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Yeah, unless something strange happens it's sure lined up that way.
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What about the warm SST'S off Newfoundland Chuck ? As we've seen in recent Winter's a 50-50 just can't get established there. I know this is not the main or sole driver of the -NAO but, does assist.
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
43 here this AM. 42 just west of Town. General lower 40's. Hopefully that gulf tc will throw a monkey wrench in the dry pattern. If not, forest fires could become a problem as well as a crappy leaf peaking Season.- 689 replies
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2024-2025 Winter Ideas and Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Good work Carvers ! Looks along my line of thinking as well. Hopefully we luck into a major late November or December Snowstorm. Along with all you detailed I will add the North Atlantic SST problem. We definitely need some major coolling of those SST'S off Newfoundland. Let's hope for some late season strong storms or TCs cross that area to help decrease those therefore enhancing the probability of 50-50 Lp setups in Winter. -
Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, the cooler air had trouble infiltrating the great valley . Hit 79 here. Got short changed with Rainfall this last System, only .53 Total.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
As we all know, 09-10 was a great Winter , cold and snow wise. However, it was a Nino as we know as well. The 05-06 Winter wasn't great overall in the upper east Tn and SW Va Valley areas as John touched on. Early to mid February did feature a couple decent 2-4 inch Snow events in the lower eles with more of course higher. Neither stayed on very long. Hopefully, the Nina continues to be a slow strengthening one. If it does I'd be confident of at least a decent Winter. However, as we have seen recently, the PDO and WPO have been playing havoc. Hopefully, changes within those areas will evolve to our benefit. Also, the SST'S off Newfoundland are boiling now. We need those to cool substantially.- 689 replies
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
Daniel Boone replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah, hopefully EC is wrong. It does have a warm bias so, may not be quite as hot as depicted if that Pattern is realized. The worry is that Ridge locking in for an extended period if it gets in that position. The extended hot/dry period in June and early July may be the similar outcome.