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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, apparently the strong -PDO , or at least the big warm SST pool out there is what's doing it. Sadly, it's downstream effect has been affecting us as well with the 500 MB Pattern as we know so well from last Winter. I don't really know what it's going to take to finally shift or dissipate that area of warm SST'S. Pacific State is really hurting us.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Same here. From what I gather, some area's to our East are just at Peak now for whatever reason. Peak was about a Week (5-7 days)behind what the average Normal time is here.- 689 replies
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
Daniel Boone replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Probably right. With so many Climate Driver's lined up for warmth in the Eastern US , it has a shot of being one of if not The warmest Winter on Record particularly in the MA and SE.. maybe driest, God forbid -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
Daniel Boone replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
I Remember those late 70's Winter's well. Rivers were frozen and snow covered. Deep Ponds were frozen so thick you could walk across them . For a teenaged snow lover those were like a child living in Toyland. -
Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, terrible.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not much here but more than what it originally looked like. 0.14"- 689 replies
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You mean it needs to warm some
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Good points Chuck. If we go back to Feb 2015 we find a +NAO and a Eastern US Trough. +TNH Pattern. If I remember correctly, the QBO was Positive as well. Fly in ointment is definitely the -PDO.
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
If some things connect at the right time, a possibility actually. Timing per usual.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Noticed Models are hinting at another possible Hurricane hitting Florida somewhere. Some guidance has a similar path as Helene bringing us bountiful Rainfall. Other's going under Ridge and moving East across tip Fla . Apparently contingent on timing and where the HP is. Could have a lot to do with dry or wet next couple weeks. As it stands, westward traversing Convection and developing TC in the Caribbean and along ITCZ in Vicinity seems to be a mechanism helping keep us in locked in HP and Dry. Of course MJO Status is also influencing things.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah it was dry deep then but, the foliage and exposed woodlands are dry enough to support wildfires. The Water levels are not the concern they were then due to what you mentioned.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Agree on the needed dryout time and workable weather. Wagner hit on something that id put some thought to as well but, not to the extent as him. Allergies is what I knew it would lend to being more prominent. I was driving down the Road yesterday and someone apparently pulled out of a dusty driveway well ahead of me as I ran through a large cloud of Dust. Had Window down as was so nice out. I began sneezing with a runny nose not long afterward that continued to plague me all night. Even after taking allergy medicine.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This Fall is getting the 2016 vibe. I pray no severe Forest Fires break out.- 689 replies
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Adjusting to the probable likely outcome.
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Conspiracy Theory Larry ??
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Yeah, would of loved to experienced that ! My Relatives told me about it. Cousins were visiting from Dayton Ohio and were going back home after Thanksgiving and said their Car was completely covered and " looked like a Hump" in Lee County VA. He said the Snow was deep all the way back to Dayton.
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2 feet from that one here in far southwest Virginia. 57" recorded in Southern West Virginia.
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Yeah, Roundy did well .
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
They always put an advisory out for first frost or freeze. That's right thing to do , or in our of season cases.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
What's their reasoning?. Doesn't make much sense to me.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, was thinking about 1995 earlier. Late October saw graupel and snow mixed.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Earliest measurable Snowfall as far as Valleys below 2000 ft In Lee and Wise County I can remember was October 13, 1977. Off and on Rain and snow showers occurred through late Afternoon. In Pennington gap they would begin as a mix and quickly turn to all Snow. Dustings would occur. In Big Stone Gap the Snow would mount up to about a half inch on the Grass, melt and repeat. 1-3" was observed above 2500 ft.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Currently 41 here. So far just off and on very light rain here as heavier showers are weakening fast just after crossing the Ky/VA line into Lee County. Went to Walmart just north of Jonesville near Stone mountain earlier and there were puddles in on the roads and lot. I'd venture to say Wise is getting in on some frozen up there with Temp in 30's. Snow showers definitely going to make it lower than forecast. Probably some accs up to an inch or two on more susceptible surfaces on big black MTN and High Knob by Dawn.- 689 replies
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Winter 2024-2025 Forecast
Daniel Boone replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Looks a lot like 1949-50. -
Winter 2024-2025 Forecast
Daniel Boone replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Looks about like what Radiancewx is thinking.