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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Was over your way couple days ago and thought about giving you a yell.
  2. Wow. That's really strange. Hard to figure out.
  3. Yeah, pretty good boomers with that line that moved through around 9:30 here. Wind damage as well with Trees downed.
  4. Yeah, honestly think models are having a very hard time deciphering all the variables. SSW affects will most definitely alter the extended one way or the other.
  5. Yeah, the MJO is the problem; where it's going to be. Other than that I'd be pretty gung ho. If the MJO is low amp during warm phases we should still be alright if that Blocking and EPO Ridge sets up imo.
  6. Yeah, hopefully we trend back stronger with the block. Just looking at 12z GFS and extrapolating if the Model is under estimating the block on how we could be in the game as early as the 15 th. At least a couple inches. Strong enough forcing southward and that massive PA Dumping would be over us. That's not going to be the case this go around though. But, could be enough to get in on some of that southern extent.
  7. Yeah, very good description. Actually started to mention yesterday that the blocking should provide enough buckle to be sufficient to support at least ine event this month.
  8. Started to put a laugh emoji due to the elk epo thing but, figured wasn't appropriate for the balance of the post. Lol
  9. Very true. The last upgrade apparently implemented too much warmth adjusting.
  10. Exactly. Need at least a brief interlude of -EPO to inject enough cold with right timing of a Storm System as is with upstream blocking in place. May be enough cold for the higher eles to score regardless with proper Track but, would be tough for lower eles.
  11. Not looking great really. The Pacific has really hurt us once again. The Block may still allow for at least one more shot this month.
  12. Yeah, Radiance did good overall with his outlook. A bit warm in our area with his January call.
  13. Suppression is more the worry for us in the upper South. However, if a similar setup occurs like strong blocking year's, ala., 1960 the entire area should do well by the time all is said and done. Of course, there was 1973. Deep SE Monster while our area received 1-3" deals.
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