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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
That's more like it.- 1,263 replies
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Yeah, a bit more moisture than usual got entrained in the flow.
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I agree. Yeah, many are gloom and doom for next Winter but if La nina is weak after Nino, should be good.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm in hopes that thwarts the MJO mess up. If it can bring back strong blocking that should do the trick.- 1,263 replies
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Had a squall go through about 45 minutes ago that dropped an inch . Total for the day of 3" now.
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Same here. Another half inch to an inch of fluff on top of the overnight inch so far today.
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An inch of new snow here. May be a little more as it's blowing around. Parts of County a couple inches.
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Yeah, Hrrr got it partially right. Basically a blend of RGEM and it tonight. Hrrr had all freezing rain for here this evening. The RGEM all snow. We've had both.
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It's that warm mid level layer. Heavier rates got through it and cooled that column. Apparently the waa stopped so, that midlayer is cooling with the mixing.
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Steady lt to moderate snow here now. Had a pretty good period of freezing rain that iced everything over. Now have a coating of snow on that. Changed back over to snow about 45 minutes ago.
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Good news. Hopefully enough cold above 850 and in lower levels that the middle lower mixes and cools enough to turn us all over to snow before long.
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The absolute worst scenario for us. Extremely treacherous in every aspect.
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Freezing rain sleet here now. Freaking HRRR may score one this time unfortunately.
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A dusting from that small band. Quit for now.
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I assume the further ENE one travels from there the slower snow to sleet changeover or mixing . I expect mainly Snow and sleet here, all Snow Wise on NE.
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
The odd thing that time was the NAO was positive. There was a huge PNA Ridge, -EPO.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
That would be akin to what happened in Feb. 2015.- 1,263 replies
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Yeah, HRRR has had a warm bias for this area as long as I can remember. You'd think that would be corrected by now. Alot has to do with what Stations data has been used and ingested in the Model's. If they're not calibrated well or are from a warmer location then it causes issues.
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
If correct, big dog opportunitIES !- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, I wonder what a ph 7 during Nino would look like.?.. Apparently, the enhanced STJ somehow throws the typical MJO alignment off kilter.- 1,263 replies
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Yeah, could be what the more snow output Model's are picking up in. Low Dews.. evaporative cooling. RGEM has this area with 2-4" 10:1 Snow Totals.
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