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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Ground becoming white in Jonesville.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Rain began mixing in Jonesville, Lee County, Va at 4 and then sleetetd for about 15 mins. Now all Snow.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Sure hope things work out 4 you all back that way with the backing synoptic. Even without that you'll still do decent with the banding, I believe.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Big ole 11 inch lollipop for Wise. High Knob and Black Mountain over a foot !
  5. Daniel Boone
    Kmrx going with latest sref. Saw a conversation with Ricky Mathews (wcyb Met,),on Twitter. Ricky brought up the earlier 5.3" plume for Knox. They rebuttled with latest run downtrend I guess why they're going as low on totals.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, used to happen regularly back in the day.
  7. Daniel Boone
    At some point they should start going with the short range, at least to some degree alongside the Euro. Surprising they've not already started going with the Nam somewhat. Could be, the pretty sizable outcome difference and the Forecasters belief in the Euro/UK solution.
  8. Daniel Boone
    How strong are the winds progged to be with this ?
  9. Daniel Boone
    This still may intensify n2 a blizzard of sorts west side of Apps /eastern Ohio Valley. Doesn't have to be enormous snow amounts to meet criteria. Today's standards dont even dictate Temps below 20 of which this will even have in much of it IF Storm comes to fruition.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Let's hope we don't wind up with an 2004 scenario and the stronger, west trend continues and the areas west get pummeled while we end with a dusting.
  11. Daniel Boone
    We wanted that L.P. to develop and trend stronger and further south but, not overly so as far a strength. One bit of concern for portions of the area is the actual possibility of Blizzard criteria being reached ! Amazing after things looking rather benign. Powerful sharp arctic blasts have been known to spawn one .
  12. Daniel Boone
    Exactly! Big trend West.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Good stuff right there !
  14. Daniel Boone
    Need that South end for optimal production.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Wasn't the November 12th one last year an anafrontal wave that dumped several inches throughout the area ? I remember models had this area as the rather low end forecasted amounts and Claiborne and Lee recorded the most. 4 to 7". Although, that one didn't have any substantial Downsloping winds though so, probably why.
  16. Daniel Boone
    I remember that one well. Several inches throughout Lee County.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Like your old school comment buddy. Winters of Yore ! When you're an Antique like me and have been in the weather business as long as I have, you definitely know about "old School".
  18. Daniel Boone
    That's what the UK snow map reflection appeared to be indicating ; further north development . Let's just hope doesn't trend even further for us upper forum folks. Hopefully, will revert back as we get closer.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Basically showing some reflection of a wave. Moisture starved and maybe getting going further north. Hopefully wrong but, the way things are for us theses days, probably right.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, 2nights operational looks terrible. Pops a SE Ridge by New Years ! Don't buy that, particularly with strong blocking setting up. I think it screws up with the L.P. drifting out in the Atlantic east of NC instead of moving NE toward NF . Also, west coast trough pendulum effect.
  21. Daniel Boone
    CMC and GFS Operationals went in the crapper tonight. GFS manages to somehow pop a SE Ridge by New Years. Don't know how it came to that equation.?!?!
  22. Daniel Boone
    With pretty much all Data showing the bitter cold blast, weather media outlets are buying into a just cold shot. Saw one such one, TV Met, go for a high of 36 Christmas . This person generally uses a Euro/GFS blend but, more times than not, the warmest solution. Carvers probably knows who but, I won't call any names as am not trying to defame them. At this juncture, I'll only go as far as to say, it looks a pretty much sure bet of one colder than the run of the mill cold shots like yesterday's. Basically the type some weather outlets are showing. I know many of them adjust to Climatology and also trend downward as the blast continues being progged as we get closer in time.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Scattered lt. Sn showers here today. Went to Middlesboro earlier and noticed areas on Stone Mountain in western Lee County had measurable snow in streaks. Alway down to about 1400 ft. In some places. More as u go up of course. Apparently some heavy snow showers or training streaks went over these areas.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Just place that solution 100 miles further East and we'd all still be fine.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Where I've not been in the game like I used to be due to health reasons, I lost touch somewhat on Model "upgrades". From what I've seen so far at this juncture of the cold season, the latest GFS upgrade was way overdone in the modification of its flaws. As someone else noted, it is now the Dr. No.. Even with cold air advection and 528 to 534 DM line over our area with -8 850s , 2m T of 1C. it'll somehow manage to paint rain .?.. I, of course know that the great Valley does cause us to get the short end of the stick often but, not to the degree of the example here. Maybe it sees the Valley as all Chatt..j/k With the latest "upgrade"" I'm really curious to what was programmed into it and where that info/data came from . Mainly pertaining to our area.
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