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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Temperature dropped 15 degrees in about 45 minutes here this Afternoon. We are now at 45.7 . 20 degrees below the High.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Couple of those were good down here. The big great app Storm November 1950, couple 4-8 inch snow/ice events in January as well . 54-55 slightly below on snowfall . 11-12 terrible. 2013 decent. 21 and 22 good with avg to above Snowfall. 23 below avg snow but, not by alot. As far as this area, only one discusting one.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. The rapid cooling of SST'S south of Newfoundland and around Nova Scotia a case in point.
  4. Daniel Boone
    I'm with you on your thinking now. I am much cooler on my thoughts than previously however. SST changes in the Pacific and Atlantic key Domains along with what looks like the tendency for Alaskan Ridging and some Greenland blocking. The west pac hot blob has cooled considerably lately. The GOA is still cool but, so is the SST around the Aleutians. That can alter a constant GOA LP setup. Nina is basically non existent with a semblance more east based if recognized at all. The Atlantic cooled rapidly just south of the desired 50-50 area. That favors LP stalling more often around there. That would pump ridging toward Greenland as we have saw recently. There may be times we get that modern -NAO/SER Linkage. Hopefully, that won't be the case. From what I remember that happened when there was no 50-50 and the SST'S there were unfavorable. As far as those analogues Carvers, most were decent, average to good in Snowfall. A Couple of the less favorable. 2000-01 was about avg Temperature but below avg snow. 89-90, great record cold December with above avg Snow here but don't think at KTRI. Did a 360 last couple days of Dec and was very mild then on with way below avg. Snow. 2008-9 , near avg. Temp, slightly below Snow. The other's near avg to cold with avg to above Snow.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, as you said, that's not NWF Snow. Really doesn't look like much if any LE will get involved.
  6. Daniel Boone
    May be thinking warm ground and subtracting. Some Models indicating more. If we could get that Lake Michigan band feed on down Totals will be much more.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I was sold on a very mild Winter. Not so much now. Western Pac continues to cool rather fast and the SST'S in the N.ATL have rapidly took on a much better look , particularly close to the 50-50 Domain (a bit south) . More likelihood of LP settling there more often and pumping up a ridge into Greenland/NE Provinces. Of course, these days it appears there's a real Possibility of the -NAO SER Linkage. Hopefully the cold SST area being further S will help keep them spaced apart.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Started to mention that, lol. Then I thought, maybe those ssts being where they are may help create a Tendency for LP to keep seperation. However,it may actually cause it to link further west and still do the damage.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, made mention over there about that stretched PV yesterday i believe and how if we bridge over that and it gets forced on down we'd be in business. That depiction from 18z sure looks to be accomplishing that. CPF coming on down until it bridges on over .
  10. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, i'm with you on the bit south as well but, maybe help support a bit further South -NAO. Of course that could allow for further South tracking disturbances . So, depending on one's location to whether it may be beneficial I suppose.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Note the big change in the Atlantic over tha last 2 months. The colder SST Anomalies a bit south of desirable I suppose but, looks much more conducive for sustainable 50-50(more like 45-45) than previously . That may assist with upstream blocking.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Thanks Larry. Great explanation per usual from you. Interesting.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, they have the System draining most of it's moisture in the Plains and Midwest before turning SE and weakening. I suspect they'll increase it again as we get closer if it continues tracking far enough South . Lift should help.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that looks like a SE stretching Vortex moving toward Hudson's. That can funnel some cpf. If that came to fruition and we bridge over the Top we could be in business for sure .
  15. Daniel Boone
    Control is a convoluted mess . Parks a monster HP over the Aleutians. Definitely don't want that ! ( want that over Alska and bridge over ) Has a weird west to east PV across North Central Canada that looks to have a 1000 mph Jet south of it, lol . A big Southern Rockies Storm that looks pretty cutoff.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Seems they waffle with Model runs like most other's that depend on the possible weather outcome. No, bad pun toward your Post Larry. Hope you didn't think that. Thanks for the explanation though. Consistency in output's is what anyone or any organization should adhere to instead of jumping the gun one way or another as I'm sure you agree. I apparently misunderstood as the Markets were never my cup of Tea . I'd check into more of what you described regarding the energy Markets. I was never involved in them.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Tbh, it's kinda comical.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Not surprised. It'll Probably throw out every possible option for several days.
  19. Daniel Boone
    That's a nice setup. Pig SER squashed and maybe a semblence of a STJ . SE moving Disturbances ( could we say Clippers as well) along the Polar Jet with possible phasing with what disturbances may ride the low road with blocking mitigating cutting.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Most Models almost completely show it's moisture drained in the Plains and Midwest as it hits the block and then slides SE. I've saw that played out before and almost always there's more QPF in the Apps than what's advertised.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Low of 29.7 with heavy Frost and freezing fog.
  22. Daniel Boone
    That's what I heard too.
  23. Daniel Boone
    That Se traversing Jet flow with embedded Disturbances and short waves looks good. If we can get alot of that through the Winter we'll be in business.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Yeah true. Usually the case. 2010-11 featured alot of 2 to 5 inch deals. 13-14 basically the same other than the big Valentines day Storm. Weak Nina 95-96 as we all know was big Dog Storms. Unusual deep diving Polar Jet then. Not wanting some thinking I'm saying this one will be like those but, there is a possibility of a similar setup with consistent polar Jet riding Systems particularly 2011 or 2014 like. Clippers would be back.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Hopefully, they're correct.
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