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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Started to mention that, lol. Then I thought, maybe those ssts being where they are may help create a Tendency for LP to keep seperation. However,it may actually cause it to link further west and still do the damage.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, made mention over there about that stretched PV yesterday i believe and how if we bridge over that and it gets forced on down we'd be in business. That depiction from 18z sure looks to be accomplishing that. CPF coming on down until it bridges on over .
  3. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, i'm with you on the bit south as well but, maybe help support a bit further South -NAO. Of course that could allow for further South tracking disturbances . So, depending on one's location to whether it may be beneficial I suppose.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Note the big change in the Atlantic over tha last 2 months. The colder SST Anomalies a bit south of desirable I suppose but, looks much more conducive for sustainable 50-50(more like 45-45) than previously . That may assist with upstream blocking.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Thanks Larry. Great explanation per usual from you. Interesting.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, they have the System draining most of it's moisture in the Plains and Midwest before turning SE and weakening. I suspect they'll increase it again as we get closer if it continues tracking far enough South . Lift should help.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that looks like a SE stretching Vortex moving toward Hudson's. That can funnel some cpf. If that came to fruition and we bridge over the Top we could be in business for sure .
  8. Daniel Boone
    Control is a convoluted mess . Parks a monster HP over the Aleutians. Definitely don't want that ! ( want that over Alska and bridge over ) Has a weird west to east PV across North Central Canada that looks to have a 1000 mph Jet south of it, lol . A big Southern Rockies Storm that looks pretty cutoff.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Seems they waffle with Model runs like most other's that depend on the possible weather outcome. No, bad pun toward your Post Larry. Hope you didn't think that. Thanks for the explanation though. Consistency in output's is what anyone or any organization should adhere to instead of jumping the gun one way or another as I'm sure you agree. I apparently misunderstood as the Markets were never my cup of Tea . I'd check into more of what you described regarding the energy Markets. I was never involved in them.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Tbh, it's kinda comical.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Not surprised. It'll Probably throw out every possible option for several days.
  12. Daniel Boone
    That's a nice setup. Pig SER squashed and maybe a semblence of a STJ . SE moving Disturbances ( could we say Clippers as well) along the Polar Jet with possible phasing with what disturbances may ride the low road with blocking mitigating cutting.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Most Models almost completely show it's moisture drained in the Plains and Midwest as it hits the block and then slides SE. I've saw that played out before and almost always there's more QPF in the Apps than what's advertised.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Low of 29.7 with heavy Frost and freezing fog.
  15. Daniel Boone
    That's what I heard too.
  16. Daniel Boone
    That Se traversing Jet flow with embedded Disturbances and short waves looks good. If we can get alot of that through the Winter we'll be in business.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Yeah true. Usually the case. 2010-11 featured alot of 2 to 5 inch deals. 13-14 basically the same other than the big Valentines day Storm. Weak Nina 95-96 as we all know was big Dog Storms. Unusual deep diving Polar Jet then. Not wanting some thinking I'm saying this one will be like those but, there is a possibility of a similar setup with consistent polar Jet riding Systems particularly 2011 or 2014 like. Clippers would be back.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Hopefully, they're correct.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Heck yeah !!!
  20. Daniel Boone
    Dang ! 3 feet at Snowshoe. I'll take our 5-6 " and be satisfied.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Enso right now is very weak at best as far as a Driver . The -PDO has been the big thorn , particularly the extreme warm west Pac SST'S. That area has cooled considerably recently. The Nina is finally barely a Nina and is strengthening some now but, shouldn't make it past weak. Also, a bit east based as well. So, that's much better than what it looked to be just a couple months ago. The IO is once again warming. That doesn't bode well for the MJO but, there is research that shows an effect on the Pac Ridge in conjunction with a +QBO in forcing it more Poleward of which would lend to a +TNH Pattern. Hopefully, this works out if you want a surprise cold/ snowy Winter. The +QBO does tend to war against Greenland blocking. But, a +TNH can get the job done ala FEB 2015.
  22. Daniel Boone
    I like him but, I think many outlooks, as well as his, were prepared before the recent positive changes in the Pac. I think maybe a couple have alluded to that with an Appendage in that things may be better or follow the outlier colder Analogues like 2013-14. The way things were it looked as though we had a good shot at the warmest on Record. Hopefully the Pacific becomes more favorable. Probably won't get much help from the NAO once the QBO goes more positive. Hopefully, a +TNH Pattern pops and does the trick.
  23. Daniel Boone
    His, as well as many of other's were written up before the positive changes in the Pacific. He may of added an appendage regarding that, I've not read it through. So, there are some better odds at seeing more in the Snowfall dept as well as Temp departures if the changes in the Pac continue and the WPO and EPO respond accordingly. The IO still may be a Thorn but, that may be countered with a +QBO in +TNH augmentation. La nina is weak at best although looking to gain a little traction and maybe be more easy based. If weak , there still could be somewhat of a STJ. So, that is a plus providing enough cold comes down.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Our first guess on what may transpire with the upslope deal may be right on target after all buddy.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Yeah true, lol. Was pondering over that earlier and was curious to whether ensembles changed much but, didn't feel up to checking. Did however, read a little in the main forum and they're all basically buying into today's warmer Model Runs. I guess the way things have gone for so long it causes most to lean to the warmer outcomes.
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