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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Yeah, imo the main muting effect for the East if that does transpire would be a formidable -NAO.
  2. CNN.. I don't know whether to believe it or not then. Lol
  3. In a criticizing reply tweet to margavage he actually said it was a legit -NAO and then unloaded his opinion of rest of margavages tweet, lol
  4. In a criticizing reply tweet to margavage he actually said it was a legit -NAO and then unloaded his opinion of rest of margavages tweet, lol
  5. He couldn't be wrong. How dare you question dt the great. The self professed best.
  6. Yes, respect other's.. throwing weenies, lol, at those that's been in the business longer than you've been alive is just low imo. He has some good discussion if like you said, would not be so one sided .
  7. Exactly. That's what's been the flaw with an otherwise advertised great pattern. Hopefully, that does correct and park where we want it.
  8. Not a peep out of snowman 19. You suppose he doesn't like webber as much now.?.
  9. Unless we can get strong blocking ala., '95-96. Although that was pac jet and polar jet driven, Systems tracked generally ESE before turning ENE after reaching the upper SE.. although , that I rather rare. It's possible the STJ will deter any chance of the -NAO and the SER hookup also .
  10. Happy Thanksgiving Everyone and may God bless you all !
  11. Yeah, the STJ may help mitigate the possibility of the-NAO/SER hookup.
  12. Snow shower's been reported in Smokies above 3000 ft late this afternoon. I'm sure High knob in Wise, Co, Va had some as well as Black Mountain Ky.
  13. Saw Cohens update on Twitter today and he was ecstatic about the projected warming.
  14. Yeah, that's always a concern particularly in strong Ninos. Higher elevations less so. The super Nino's of 82-83 and 97-98 produced a decent amount of Snow in East Tenn/ SWVA. 82-83 Seasonal Totals were above average in many locations ( that was in relation to the higher normals back then). 97-98 featured a 2 crippling Snowstorms. The Late January one dumped 10-16" in the Tri- Cities. Over 3 feet in portions of Wise and Russell County VA. The early February one dumped 1-2 feet in portions of SEKY and the Central and northern Plateau in Tennessee. Seasonal Totals ranged from below normal in some Valley locations to above in elevated areas.
  15. Yeah, I saw that too. Hopefully, we'll get lucky this go around. I agree on the strength of Nino's. I've always preferred weak . However, Moderate is usually good snow wise particularly in the eastern Valley providing it's not east based. The location of the forcing is really the main thing. Even strong as long as it's central centered can still work. Basin wide like this one will probably be back and forth until weakening come February and March. Strong blocking along with mjo cold phases can make for some decent chances for us before then. I will say, somewhere, at some point, within the Ohio/Tenn Valley areas will get dumped on as the STJ will be moisture laden.
  16. Problem with Euro is it does have a warm bias and the bigger thing, imo, is it's defect of holding energy back in the SW. That changes the whole outcome many times in at range with it. I've not looked today but, am guessing it is doing that and therefore the trough is further west in response to that or just shunted from dropping on down in the East in response.
  17. So sorry to hear of that brother. Praying for you and her and the loved one's .
  18. Models are still not far from showing a pattern that could produce a legitimate Snowstorm. Either overrunning or System oriented. Canadian flirts with it but, weakens and shears it to a mainly light event. 18z GFS takes a significant Snowfall up the Ohio Valley. A few rather minor adjustments could do the trick.
  19. Yeah, see that. I think basically Eric thinks the Eastern area will warm to that level. Even if it did, it wouldn't still be just " East based" as he says
  20. As you know, Eric Webb , snowman 19 begs to differ saying it's going to East based. Eric gave his reasons. Hopefully ur right Chuck. If warming does propagate eastward per Webb's reasoning, I still can't see how you'd get East based. Basin wide, possibly.
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