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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, it sure looks like what you described is the case to me as well. Hopefully we get that retrogression of that ridge into western Canada. We can still work with a central ca ridge if we can get a constant flow of Lps moving up the eastern seaboard and pulling down CA from eastern Canada. That can work oddly enough with a +NAO. the C. Can. H pulling air from the Arctic in tandem with the + Nao pulling it, then insitu 50-50 from training Lps pulling that air into the Eastern US. Not likely to happen but, has and can.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, agree. Main System moving up the Coast will be tough until further North where it draws in colder air. Maybe highest elevations of the Smokies and mid App chain can score from it as well.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Eastern Canada has enough if pulled down by a strong enough system.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Not where orographic lift cools enough for snow but, on lower the above freezing wind would melt dendrites quicker. So, in the grand scheme , nothing really noteworthy.
  5. Daniel Boone
    As far as a perpetual one , I don't know but, I'd venture to say he likes perpetual one's.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Man, wouldn't it be nice if that cold air up in the upper Midwest could get down here for that. Talk about a Snowstorm
  7. Daniel Boone
    ? That's what I put. Lol The last symbol is exclamation mark. Just noticed, yeah put priod in there. Good catch, lol
  8. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that's what we discussed awhile back in pushing that thing west . Need blocking to help with that as well. May be a quick block pop as wave breaking may get it done. Btw, check out the high pressure over our area now. 10.33 mb !
  9. Daniel Boone
    Yeah really. Forcing from one side to the other.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, was thinking similarly. Would possibly allow systems that tracked across the deep South then to travel further North.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Not a pessimist nor optimist but, a realist
  12. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, exactly.
  13. Daniel Boone
    The JMA also has cold Jan-Mar. Of course that's been par for the course with it so, that's that but, with added support from other guidance maybe it's onto something. Glaam going to be going extremely positive. That's typical Nino response right there and also as Larry Chuck noted in the main forum a cold SE signal. The intensity is whether general Nino cool south or a cold SE apparently irt the glaam. The Coz may still be in his game as you mentioned. Dare to say, if guidance continues that way even JB may be looking better. A little late but, not denied maybe. We've gotta give you credit here too Carver, you called the flip in mid January ans backloaded early on. If it's early Jan... Still a great call. I'm with on that now and think we still have back and forth mainly due to those SST's still supportive if MJO warm Ph passes. If those were cooler we'd be in big time business imo.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, it would. Basically canonical Nino. Maybe someone will do the work and post a map.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, great Winter up here. Miller b/ miller A hybrids, Miller B transfer's. Wise set VA Seasonal Snowfall Record that Winter. 123.4". Still stands.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Sure looking that way right now. Terrible for Winter wx enthusiasts.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Cohen has an update on the PV stretching. Odd behavior if correct.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, remember flower bushes blooming in January, lol. Hopefully,the Strat will throw a good monkey wrench into that horrible pattern if that happens. Who knows, Strat may be messing with guidance now.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Coz is a bit uneasy as well now i think.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Yep. Rather frustrating brother. I recall the monster storm in Feb 73. Clouds is all we got while Ga, SC and NC got hammered. Also, I remember the Deep South getting clocked then the next system would go north and we'd get rain. Happened a good bit in the early to mid 70's I recall.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Agree on Holstons Post. That's a Pin worthy if there ever was.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I know. Just a bit irritated over the stretch we've gone through I suppose. In my long life I've lived through good streaks and bad one's. Forecasted back before a host of Model's were available as well new research information. We've came a long way but, there's times not much better. So many variables, minute factors that morph and become major player's in a relatively short time. Monkey Wrenches is a good term for them. Regardless of knowing these things, I always hated to fail in forecasting. I'm sure we all are pretty much that way.
  23. Daniel Boone
    It's about to the point to where I feel I'll be lucky to see an even Average Winter again considering my antiquity and agw along with SST'S continually working against us overall. Lol.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, let's hope the '94-95 and 97-98 one's in particular doesn't come back to haunt us.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Right on the money with analysis I believe. Exactly my take now Brother. As you mentioned earlier, we still have a shot or two of getting something by Christmas in lower elevations. Hopefully, we get some of that cold from Eastern Canada or at least System manufactured from aloft to get it done. It's still rather heartbreaking to see that 500 pattern and it be too warm in December !!
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