Daniel Boone

Now that looks more like it.

Just got a quick heavy shower with strong wind and Pea sized Hail. Temp dropped to 42.6

Need to unload those big Snows over Missouri over our Area.

I know. I hope it all pans out and we get even more than advertised and experience a throwback rest of Winter.

You'll get your 3 and be happy with them.

Yeah, absolutely discusting for us Snow fans. Lol. Hopefully, not the case this time.

And the sad thing still is, most Outlets use it in their Outlooks. The local news, most Apps will reflect the GFS 12z in the 7 day Forecast.

We had a clean pass 7 inch Storm Dec 10 95. It moved ene and Roanoke got 10" from it. We had 1 inch on Christmas Morning that Year from a rain to snow changeover predawn.

Yep. Margie was who I watched as well. She did a great Job.

Remember, I called it first, lol.

Yeah, 1940 2nd here too. The cold late 70's stretch was, '77, 1, 78,3rd and 79 10th.

Great stuff John ! I don't have my own Data back that far. Glad you have that and share it.

They were all in the top 20 out of 130 years coldest( except'96 oddly' although the record cold that Year was early Feb). January 1961 was ranked 15th for Virginia. 16th in most of extreme SWVA. 85 was 4th, 77, 1st( not surprising) , 81 10th. 1970 6th and '96, 32nd. Here's a Link to Lee County. You can find yours on the Sites homepage. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/county/time-series/VA-105/tavg/1/1/1895-2024

It's the 18z so, less concern than when 12z or 0z. However, it does show that as one possibility although remotely so as all othe guidance is not showing that Option.

Hopefully the upcoming Pattern will deliver at least one true Miller A and dump on you man. You deserve it !

The positive NAO then is about the only visual difference as far as North America from what I can tell.

Actually, models started taking more of the '96 look couple days ago and definitely showing it now. Systems in '96 Travelled from the Pac NW southeastward under the Block and would phase with southern branch or miller b to miller A transfer as touched on few days ago. That's basically what this looks like. If realized we're in business !

Yes, started to mention the wind too. Wind chill did hit the -50's and there were Blizzard conditions as the Snow fell.

Yeah, remember that well. The January 20 85 Arctic Front Snowfall was amazing in that it dumped a swath of 2-8 inches along it's path all the way from Illinois, Missouri, western Tn and Ky across Indiana and Ohio down through our area and east to Western NC. I measured 7 inches. I think Knoxville recorded 7 and I believe Ktri 5". Flurries floated around the afternoon before the front came through that night with temps in middle 30's. Temps crashed after front passed around 9 p m. and by Midnight was already below Zero !

Dec and January 10-11 come to mind. Moderate to strong Nina then. There's other instances as well. Enough blocking, backed flow can alter the typical response as most know. Particularly a weak Nina .

Agree. If we can get some STJ and NS phasing we can get that '96 like Big Dog. With the Polar Jet digging that far South there's a decent likelihood of at least a Miller B to A transfer providing Trough dives far enough West . If the NS were to dive to the Gulf it could create cyclogenesis in the Gulf even without the STJ. Although rare these days the possibility is still there.

Blocking, if realized should help force Trough further West. If not it should allow for NS Vorts to dive further South so, should get some chances for Snow one way or the other.

We had Snow cover on North facing slopes and Shady area's from Mid December to mid February. Rivers and Ponds were frozen and Snow covered.

I'll check it out. Coz is hard to beat at Medium and Long range as we know. I used to stay in touch with him . Need to catch up with him. An interesting bit of info ; He was the reason Dave Dierks of WCYB got into Meteorology. They were College Pals at Iowa University and he talked Dave into changing Major to Meteorology.

That looks 1960ish Winter like.