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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Suspected that as still alot of Snow in Valley's in Northern Lee and Wise Counties. Surprised KMRX didn't put an advisory out.
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It's been terrible in my area. So far it has underforecasted Snowfall amounts at close range here. I suspect bad reporting from the " official" NWS Observer Site's is at least partially responsible as that goes into the Model Ingest System. It tends to overdo downsloping as well as John has noted.
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They'll be some pretty hefty Totals in SC, NC and SE Virginia. Ratios will rise quickly once the Arctic air rapidly presses in.
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For the Sunday System, we either want ana development sooner and a bit east to put us in the eastern KY zone showing now or cold to slam in quicker and result in faster turnover. It looks as though the latter is what some Models are seeing as the problem east of the KY line.
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Yes, very plausible. If the MJO does as the Euro depicts particularly imo. I believe the Models LR are having trouble due to the MJO and Enso mainly. It seems the +TNH wants to keep reasserting. I think you hit on the main reason when you mentioned the change in the PDO. Argues for -EPO. Nina is weak so having trouble overpowering the Pacific.
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Link says "not found" brother.
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Historic Tennessee Valley Cold, Snow, and Ice Events
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Agree 100% . Going back looking at Winters with similar H5 Setups and Temps, basically all had nore Snow at this juncture. Sad .- 127 replies
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Yep, sure looks like it. Definitely need a Sargasso Sea HP in place while the Storm Trek's across the South to force it to turn.
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Abysmal really. Thing is, if it even snows lightly all the hour's they mention in higher eles odds should be greater than what's shown.
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In Carver's neck of the Woods now. Looks like around an inch in shades here now but rapid melting taking place. Those strong 40+ Degree Winds really eat away at it.
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That's the way it is at home.
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It was. Southern Indiana recorded over 30" in that pre Christmas one.
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If we don't get anything Sat night/Sunday we could be looking at a frozen bare ground after what we got gets rained off Saturday. Wouldn't that be the ultimate bummer. May want to try to get some antidepressants to have on hand. Btw, just went to Big Stone gap and there's still 4-6 inches on North facing slopes and in the Shade !
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We were fortunate with several decent Clipper Snows that Winter.
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Bank on the severe.
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As far as here in the eastern great Valley it has been stellar compared to the rest.
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No. Usually very little wind with them.
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Always the worry when a big one misses us to the South. I've saw that play out several times. Talk about Anguish! lol
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That was the best and funnest Storm in my antique life ! The sad thing for me is I videoed it and a Cousin of mine from Northern Ohio visited once and borrowed the video tape. I never got it back . He said it got damaged when it was in the trunk of his Car. I can recall the constant roar of the Wind. It was absolutely amazing ! I received 20" at my home with 6 ft Drifts. Thing is, amounts varied greatly in some cases, at short distance..Convection was prevalent as well as downsloping in that monster Storm. Just 2 miles from my house there was 24-26 inches in the Level with 6-8' Drifts while about a mile south of Pennington gap just wsw of the Knob(ele., (3120 ft )on Wallens Ridge in the Valley just around 11" was observed ! That area is due wsw of High Knob and the highest peaks of Powell Mountain and Wallens Ridge.
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He's a great Met and great person.
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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?
Daniel Boone replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
Can't be. Radio shack went belly up. -
Hit 40 here today. First time above the 30's since December 31.
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'77-78 along with '39-40 and '69-70 should be in your top 5 with '76-77 number 1 in the past 100 years. '62-63 . '57-58 and '59-60 probably top 10 with one of those maybe rounding out the top 5 bunch. All just off top of my head as lost my Records Years back in a moving process unfortunately.
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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?
Daniel Boone replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
I agree. Makes sense with a la nina and current Pattern mixup. -
January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?
Daniel Boone replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
Exactly. Enso weighed heavily .