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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. We do know each occurrence is ingested into the Model's. So, 3 Year's of Nina's.. probably so .
  2. That pretty much shows the print of the higher ratio cold not getting across the Plateau. Even if same amount of QPF falls aa snow there's of course less accs east of Plateau. Hopefully the colder air makes it in over.
  3. Yeah, this could turn out to gain it some respect if ir were to be right.
  4. They've told me before that they use the NBM Output.
  5. Apparently, KMRX Evening Shift buys the 12z Euro Outlook. Say's only lt wintry precip expected Monday and Tuesday.
  6. The lower Snow Totals in the Valley are quite possibly due to the average difference in occurences ingested into the Model's. I.e,. say, Kingsport got 1 inch the last 3 Snowfalls while Knoxville got 2 , the Models over time will show Knoxville getting more in their output. Of course, if any wind is forecast, downsloping will be as well. The City to City Avgs may well be factored in now . That I don't know.
  7. Same goes for here John. They listed Pennington gap with just 8 inches for the Jan. '96 Storm. I lived in downtown Pennington then and measured 13 inches while parts of the corporate limits had up to 16" and elevated areas of the County 18-24" with more mountain tops. The Feb. Storm produced 10" in downtown Pennington gap. I think that one is missing in the " official" Records along with several other Snowfalls that Winter. I totalled 52" in downtown Pennington for the Season.
  8. Not surprising, really. We get several cutter's in a row and finally get everything to suppress south enough and then all storms have exhausted. Figures. Not saying that'll be the case but, wouldn't be surprised.
  9. Yeah, definitely. It was way under on QPF with this last System throughout the area.
  10. Model's have ingested data from previous similar situations. Could be those occurences produced more in that area, ie., Christmas 2020. That would reflect from the Model's output.
  11. A light dusting here. All the bands missed here last night so just a couple snshwrs and flurries.
  12. Great discussion guy's ! I'm down with RSV now so, not participating much but, am checking in ever so often. Fun times upcoming !
  13. Yeah, may wind up with a 73 type deal before said and done . Although, probably not due to forcing from MJO and warmer Atlantic SST's than then probably creating a SER of sorts trying to fight back. In this case, may be a good thing for us.
  14. Hopefully, things will go the snow way for us. Forget the cold without the snow. I can remember some 1970's Winter's that did just that. Dumped all around us. We'd get flurries at the end as the cold would move in , it would warm up and rain then same. Those were generally cutter Winter's with no blocking for the most part , however. Although 72-73 , 73-74 and 74-75 had Storms just miss us. 72-73 had the huge one go way South. The other's OV and MA cashed in. NC did decent in the last 2. Cad. The good thing is only one was a Nino. So, even in that Climate Era things just went wrong for us. The way the Ball bounces sometimes. On the bright side, the majority of Nino Winters produced well for us , particularly in the normal Great Valley screw zone.
  15. Same here. About guaranteed to be some outage's. Winds already whipping here.
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