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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Great work Man !
  2. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that NEPAC Look would help augment and support a +PNA this Winter . Probably +TNH Episodes as well , looking at the whole Pac Profile. If we get some more improvement in the NATL we may get a better Winter Snow wise than most expect.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, looking some better out there. NATL looking better as well.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Glad you all got a significant Rain.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Seasonal snowfall model projecting most of the country well below normal like it did last year. Canada well above Snowfall.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Exactly. We averaged normal here. Model had us projected well below snowfall.
  7. Daniel Boone
    As of this writing, I'm approaching an inch on the Day. Alot of lightning and thunder. Kmrx put a severe t storm warning out for Jonesville. It just missed my local about a mile to my South as Wallen Ridge and Powell Mountain appeared to do their thing of pulling the Storm South with their Lift.
  8. Daniel Boone
    What look do you get with the combined QBO Status ?
  9. Daniel Boone
    We had a couple hours of early morning rain..1.24" Total. Jonesville proper, 2.18". Thar same pecip field moved over your area and kept expanding and backfilling. I'm expecting early cold and snow. May be another November Snowfall. Hopefully, an old fashioned big one.
  10. Daniel Boone
    I saw that Video. 2010-11 was a great Winter. Basically all Forecasters were predicting a mild one due to the formidable La nina. Upstream blocking crapped their Outlook's. I saw where 62-63 is being thrown around some as well. That one was just bitter. Not any big Snows but many Snowfalls. Blocking once again ruled the Roost.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Makes sense given ENSO heaviest weighted . Throw in a good amount of upstream blocking and you would get a good look. Hopefully the QBO State along with NATL SST'S will help accomplish that. I saw a Forecaster saying 2010-11 was a favored analogue. Ryan Hall I believe. That type Pattern would be what would result with the Cansips Outlook with added blocking.
  12. Daniel Boone
    If those SST'S remain pretty much as are around Newfoundland and those in the GOA warm a bit we could be looking at both. 50-50 Lows should be more prevalent. +TNH Pattern possible with the NPAC SST Profile. Let's not forget the QBO as well.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. I brought that up in the Tenn Valley Sub. If those SST'S around Newfoundland remain similar to now along with the QBO State, I think the likelihood of a -NAO is greater than many think.
  14. Daniel Boone
    That Winter was weak nina to neutral enso. I'm thinking a -PDO existed. My antique memory is not so good anymore. Should just look it up to be sure.
  15. Daniel Boone
    46 again here this Morning. Around 40 in Mountain Valley Locations.
  16. Daniel Boone
    I'm liking the QBO State and the SST'S off Newfoundland. Hopefully they remain similar this Winter. That is if you want a greater likelihood of a -NAO.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Morning low of 46 at my home. Some lower 40's in mountain valley s.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Currently 53 here at Midnight on a hilltop. Probably 47-48 here in Morning with mid 40's Valley's. Cool but not coldest for this time of year. Record for August 26 in Pennington gap was 38 back in 1986.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, they have got to the point they change the Local Averages every other Year or so anymore. The long term Averages(Climate Norms) used to be 30 Year Periods. I think technically that still exists. On back to the extended Outlook cool down. Forecast's are adjusting to Model Guidance and lowering Temps. If Data continues with the big cool down you'll see the Forecast's lower temps the closer we get .
  20. Daniel Boone
    Their extended outlook has nothing dramatic for this time of Year. Cooler but nothing extreme. However, Model Data is showing cooler but nothing of Tecord proportions. NWS is adjusting to Climatology , so their extended Outlook will be warmer than Guidance.
  21. Daniel Boone
    We'll name it Whiteland if we aquire it, lol.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, good point Jeff, Atlantic or Gulf TC activity can either help or hurt by reinforcement of a heat Ridge. Timing of propagation.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, it was weak Nina. Check out the N.Atlantic SST'S that Winter. Evident Nfd cold pool. Thanks for the Data dig John !
  24. Daniel Boone
    As you can see, I went ahead and found it. Plymouth only goes back to 2000. Anyway, here's the " evidence". Looks Nina to me. Although, close enough tri.month average one could classify as neutral I suppose with marginal spread.
  25. Daniel Boone
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