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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Same here. Another half inch to an inch of fluff on top of the overnight inch so far today.
  2. An inch of new snow here. May be a little more as it's blowing around. Parts of County a couple inches.
  3. Yeah, Hrrr got it partially right. Basically a blend of RGEM and it tonight. Hrrr had all freezing rain for here this evening. The RGEM all snow. We've had both.
  4. It's that warm mid level layer. Heavier rates got through it and cooled that column. Apparently the waa stopped so, that midlayer is cooling with the mixing.
  5. Steady lt to moderate snow here now. Had a pretty good period of freezing rain that iced everything over. Now have a coating of snow on that. Changed back over to snow about 45 minutes ago.
  6. Good news. Hopefully enough cold above 850 and in lower levels that the middle lower mixes and cools enough to turn us all over to snow before long.
  7. The absolute worst scenario for us. Extremely treacherous in every aspect.
  8. Freezing rain sleet here now. Freaking HRRR may score one this time unfortunately.
  9. I assume the further ENE one travels from there the slower snow to sleet changeover or mixing . I expect mainly Snow and sleet here, all Snow Wise on NE.
  10. The odd thing that time was the NAO was positive. There was a huge PNA Ridge, -EPO.
  11. Yeah, HRRR has had a warm bias for this area as long as I can remember. You'd think that would be corrected by now. Alot has to do with what Stations data has been used and ingested in the Model's. If they're not calibrated well or are from a warmer location then it causes issues.
  12. Yeah, I wonder what a ph 7 during Nino would look like.?.. Apparently, the enhanced STJ somehow throws the typical MJO alignment off kilter.
  13. Yeah, could be what the more snow output Model's are picking up in. Low Dews.. evaporative cooling. RGEM has this area with 2-4" 10:1 Snow Totals.
  14. Larry in SE Sub and main Forum backed those findings with tons of Data.
  15. If it gets to 8 we should then see a nice PNA Ridge set up. We really need those higher Lats in our favor as Coz was alluding to. That would help with the Southern trek and speed of Systems thus upping the ante of Big Dogs. If the MJO were to get stuck in the warm phases and blocking doesn't reset it could be another Flooduary. We do have a wildcard at least . The SSW. It should revamp the blocking.
  16. Yeah, it many times has the winning hand here but, pretty strong WAA at 850 will probably give it to the Hrrr, or a combination of both Models may be the route it takes.
  17. Gfs holds and has Snow NETN/SEKY and SWVA. 2-3" SEKY and SWVA. 10:1 Ratio.
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