Daniel Boone
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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Yeah, guidance as well as local NWS Forecasts have constantly been too high . Not just to the tune of a couple degrees but, 5-7.
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Really been short changed irt Rainfall here at my home east of Jonesville. Under 4 inches for the Month so far. Average is about 5.25". Just continues to develop all around us . It's as if we have a mini dome around here.
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Right. The Models haven't been good depicting where the greatest likelihood of Storms will setup. Day before yesterday they had it over us, west to east. It ended up being further North along a London to Wise line with spreaded swath width about 50-75 miles North of that line. This Morning an area was further south than progged.
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Recorded just under 2 inches here last night. Portions of the Area received 2-3 inches.
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Yeah, really amazing out there.
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Lol. Yeah I know what you're saying. Seems we're hurt by those area's more times than not.
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Yeah, right with you on everything you said brother. As it stands, a decent shot at a cold November/December imo. If by some almost miracle the CFS scores a coup irt the PDO we could be in business the balance of Winter. Let's keep an eye on the NATL SST'S as well as the QBO looks favorable for a predominant -AO so, if those SST'S configure correctly we could have a greater likelihood of a -AO/NAO Combo.
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That's our hope as you know ,with the rest of the PAC in a -PDO Regime. Hopefully those SST'S go well above Normal there.
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2013-14 and 2014-15.
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PDO is quickly going deeply negative unfortunately. Doesn't bode well for Winter. Just as it appeared we were finally coming out of that long -PDO stretch, for whatever reason it comes roaring back.
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Hp overhead appears to be the culprit to a degree. Unusual for there as you're generally in a prime area for popup Afternoon and Evening Storms.
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We've been getting basically average Rainfall at my location. Everything is alive and green. I do worry that if a dry spell comes along it could be a bit problematic here. Areas all around have received abundant Rainfall so, no worries for the area as a whole.
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Yeah, that warm blob seems to want to be a mainstay.
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Yeah, it's easy to do. It's been a Thorn more times than not the last few Years.
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That's pretty funny .Good one !Lol
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As things look from this juncture ,we have a pretty good shot at a cold/ snowy Winter. The QBO should help lend to a more negative AO and NAO and the other drivers going to a more favorable position I see not much reason to not go for an overall cold and snowy Winter. However ,the IO bears watching as it , as we know, can throw a Monkey Wrench into an otherwise guaranteed Driver Setup but, not too concerned atm .
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Cannabis ?
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2025 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Maggie Valley Steve's topic in Southeastern States
Been a windier Spring in general than usual this Year. -
Shafted here so far. Western and Northern parts of the County have got bountiful Rain the last couple Days. Thundering now so looking like a decent one rolling in.
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So far with this weeks rounds of Rain NETN and southern sections of Lee, Scott and Washington Counties in SWVA have been short changed. Hopefully things change next couple days. Your Local is much worse than most of the Area . Dry arid conditions next week won't bode well if the System doesn't produce the next couple Days.
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Was just telling my Wife a bit ago that large hail up to golf ball.size is a legitimate threat tomorrow. Those lapse rates can get it done.
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They're pretty close. Taking into account the Euro's warm bias, pretty much identical.
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Yeah, still expecting some Mountain Snow Showers. Going to be a serious shock to the System after the Heat.
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Yes, and the Forecasts will most assuredly be warmer as they adjust to climatology.
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Should be some pretty good snow showers in the Mountains if that pans out.
