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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    GaWx posted about how SE US Snow was more prevalent during Ph 7 MJO during Nino's. Probably something to do with the STJ and typical blocking during El Nino.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Verbatim that's a major Winter storm for the mid South and Tennessee Valley if it is cold enough if that depiction came to fruition.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Thanks for posting that . Very interesting ! My Grandfather told me about a big Snow during the middle 1930's. I'll look that one up in our local Paper. The biggest on Record for here was March 2, 1942. 3 Feet recorded in downtown Pennington gap. I wish our Paper was online.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, greater odds as the plots show. Nothing like ph. 5 and 6 though. I think where he got that was a study and data GaWx recently presented irt the Southeast. The research showed the SE had greater instances of Snow during Ph 7 El Nino Years. The STJ and typical blocking is more than likely the difference maker.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Looking at what Holston pointed out I think the Model is in Error here. That central Pacific Convection should help change that outcome. Also, with it firing now, in my mind, that should mute the current MJO Phase some.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Exactly John. That is the way measurements used to be taken. If it fell at night they wouldn't measure until they got up or they'd wait as you said, until it ended. The average seasonal Snowfall for Pennington gap in the 1950 to 1980 period was 21 " . Records were recorded by a long time observer. He would measure like you said. They would also wait until snow ended too. If they were taken like they are supposed to be now, average then would have been 25-30" there.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Problem is, Data is not trustworthy. Going back through records there's quite a bit of missing data, particularly snowfall. I'd bet my life there's been times of many more days than that. I know Knoxville doesn't get Snow as much as up here but, they've had much longer stretches. The late '70s are a good case. I kept Records for my area in Lee County then and there was a period of over a month and a half of 6 inches or more on the ground in 1977-78. Well over a foot in shaded, north facing areas.
  8. Daniel Boone
    They've forecasted too high for Temps every day for the last 5-6 days. As we know, Model's don't do well when there's snow cover.
  9. Daniel Boone
    I saw that Tweet. He gave his reasoning too. Actually, has Merritt. Same IOD affects are different in February and March than December and January.
  10. Daniel Boone
    We had a month and a half of solid snowcover of greater than 6 inches lin Pennington gap in the Winter 77-78. There was well over a foot in shaded areas and north facing slopes then.
  11. Daniel Boone
    I wonder how trustworthy their Data is. We all know how flawed alot of it is, in particular Snowfall data. I'm pretty sure Knoxville had alot more than that in the late 70's.
  12. Daniel Boone
    With the Strat deal , there's going to be wonky solutions upcoming.
  13. Daniel Boone
    High yesterday 14 low this morning -3. Had reports if 5-10 below in the Valleys.
  14. Daniel Boone
    -3 morning low here. Several degrees colder in the Valleys.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, looks good.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Didnt you get blasted in February 2015 like we did ? There was over 2 feet on the ground in Pennington gap and Big Stone gap at one time. Over 40 inches fell in 3 weeks !
  17. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Back here in far SWVA we picked up over 40 inches in a 3 week period starting Feb. 13. That was the +TNH -EPO + NAO oddity. Record low of -20 on Feb. 20 th here.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Good work Chuck ! The hyped heat wave may be muted to just a typical January thaw. Blocking will dampen the MJO if it's still in warm phases early February.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, definitely make it alot easier to handle. Really rooting for at least a 1-4 inch event before then. To add to your positivity , 2015 was basically snowless until near Valentine's Day.
  20. Daniel Boone
    John, you need to become a Cocorahs Observer. We need Official Reports from that Area. KMRX would use your Rain/Snow Totals. Contact KMRX and they'll help set you up. May even provide an Official Gauge.
  21. Daniel Boone
    That's more like it.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, a bit more moisture than usual got entrained in the flow.
  23. Daniel Boone
    I agree. Yeah, many are gloom and doom for next Winter but if La nina is weak after Nino, should be good.
  24. Daniel Boone
    I'm in hopes that thwarts the MJO mess up. If it can bring back strong blocking that should do the trick.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Had a squall go through about 45 minutes ago that dropped an inch . Total for the day of 3" now.
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