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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Agree. May hold daytime heating in.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Just read an Article regarding the La Nina ,CPAC and possibly Strat split connection couple days ago. Interesting.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, agree NAO going negative again is not looking likely at all. Best we can hope for is the MJO somehow manages to make it on through the warm phases and into cold. That Nina coupling will probably make it tough. Trying to keep hope alive but, gotta be honest .
  4. Daniel Boone
    The worrisome thing if you want more wintey weather soon is, as we know, the Euro MJO Forecasts have faltered in wanting to project it going into the COD before warm P progression. MJO is not only progressing into warm phases but, at high Amplitude. So, hope is low for the GEPS and EPS being right. As far as the other's hanging it up in warm Phases, that seems to be a bias of them so, nothing concrete . However, the Nina may favor that occuring unfortunately. The bright side is the Alaskan and over the top ridging showing up. This may help mitigate a warm phase MJO, particularly if strong . A - NAO in conjunction would possibly yield some big Snow opportunities even with an unfavorable MJO especially western and northern Areas of the Forum.
  5. Daniel Boone
    That doesn't surprise me at all man. It's a shame this happened. Alot of wasted Cold!
  6. Daniel Boone
    May be back to the old Flooduary deal.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Same here. Even with the upcoming warmup we will probably still wind up -8 to -10 for the Month. We Penny'd and Nickled our way to 14.5 inches for the Season. .2 of that coming today. Month right at 10". Went to downtown Jonesville around 2 Today and a heavy Snow shower deposited between a quarter and half inch there that quickly melted from solar heating.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Wise Cam : https://www.uvawise.edu/academics/departments/mathematics-computer-science/webcam
  9. Daniel Boone
    Probably be the case Holston. That will completely couple the Nina as well so ... Could mean a cold possibly Snowy early March however if it goes into the cold phases then.
  10. Daniel Boone
    It is crucial to get past MJO P 6 . I still think we will cash in with one or two formidable Snowfalls particularly if we hit P 8 at decent Amplitude.
  11. Daniel Boone
  12. Daniel Boone
    Coming down heavy now. Dimes and nickles mixed in .
  13. Daniel Boone
    Flakes started falling here now. Small 1/4" size.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Agree. ETA fits really well with progression from where we're at.
  15. Daniel Boone
    And what big one's there have been either weakened or missed to our North South or West.
  16. Daniel Boone
    A heavy snow shower just missed me to my north and east. Saw it spread down Wallens Ridge in Woodway just south of Pennington gap. Completely whited out view of Mountain. Never saw a flake here !
  17. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I knew what you were saying man. The Avatar of confused was a joking one of you being confused on which Topic, lol. That's that being a half Century old or older, lol. I can definitely relate to that .
  18. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that's the worry for sure. Pop that Ridge there and completely couple the Nina. I'm with Carver's on the MJO being the real Culprit. However, as mentioned yesterday, the worry is those warm Phases MJO Trek may help instigate a more La Nina Structure in the PAC. Hopefully, if so, the MJO goes steadily at a good Amplitude into the Cold Phases or Blocking set's up and flips the East back into a Wintery Pattern. The Nina is weak so, even if it does fully Couple we can work with that with a good MJO Phase.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Larry, there's alot of bad Data that is being used unfortunately. I spoke with the Chief Met at KMRX a few years back regarding the Issues. He said the FAA does govern the Official Airport Station's used by the NWS and that their Quality Criteria is not par with the NWS Standard Guidelines. Ie., they allow 4 degrees either side of actual for the Temperature Calibration.
  20. Daniel Boone
    The now postive PDO is definitely having an effect on the Pattern. Models have consistently tried to do away with the PNA in the LR or at least waffle to and from it only to bring it back. The MJO once in warm Phases should throw it off kilter for a bit but, once it reaches PH 7 expect it to reassert. We can get some big Rain to Snow Events in 7. Then, if it gets to 8 at decent Amp I think the whole Forum should cash in with a formidable Storm or two. The Feb. '85 possible resemblance or the '96 one Carver's alluded to may have merit. I think the only drawback will be if the MJO doesn't make it past 6 or the Nina is able to augment the Central Pac Ridge during the warm phase period.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Morning Low of Zero here. Report of 2 below in Dryden, just NE of Pennington gap. Some deep snow covered Valleys were 5-10 below. I went just north of Pennington gap this Morning through the Gap of Stone Mountain up Hy 421( half mile North of Pennington) and there's plenty of Snow through there.
  22. Daniel Boone
    I saw him measure it with a measuring Tape at a convenience store on the Lot in the Video .
  23. Daniel Boone
    We're running about 3-4 degrees colder than KTRI over here. I'd say much of the area over there has some as well. Warm spot there .
  24. Daniel Boone
    You have to go way back to 1895 to find an extreme Event. Lake Charles recorded 2 feet then. Nola 8". That one moved up and got us all involved with quite a bit.
  25. Daniel Boone
    1895 is when Lake Charles recorded 2 feet from that one Storm !
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