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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Yeah, know what ur saying with the fwiw, lol. Seems just as things are looking like they're going to pan out something throws a monkey wrench and shatters everything. That SW pullback tucked under Trough that was a thorn last year and that we feared as a possible occurrence again seems to want to happen again and pump a SE Ridge at times. Hopefully, it won't be deep and can be countered with upstream Blocking. Rooting for the Canadian .
  2. Thanks buddy ! Knew you'd know. I had 51 for 52. Great information!!!
  3. Wouldn't it be nice to get an old fashioned major November Snowstorm. Some of the Eastern Valleys biggest Snowfalls actually occured in November. The early 1950's featured one in 1950, 51 and 53 I believe. These were deep Snowfalls. Knoxville and Kingsport received around 18" in the '51 Storm. My area, Lee County received 18-20 from that one. 15-28" from the 1950 one(Great Appalachian Storm). The 53 one not as deep but still a respectable 4-10". The 60's and 70's also featured a couple but, not the magnitude of the early 50's Storms. My area received 8" in '71 . 12" in Pennington gap and 16" Big Stone gap in 1977. Middle Tenn. received a major Snowfall in early November 1966 . John probably has nore detailed info regarding this Subject. Paging John....
  4. Yeah. Hopefully it pans out for us Winter weather lover's. I'm a bit skeptical as tropical forcing from the STJ appears to be going from almost non-existent to full blown heavy duty all at once on some guidance. That may shunt any deep arctic air push. However, with that much blocking, alk to Grelnd. It may . Or if a strong System rides along that Jet and wraps and pulls that air down. Either way, we'd e looking at high chances of frozen precip.
  5. Think couple other Models were advertising that for then a few days ago; showing that SPV Piece dropping into Great Lakes.
  6. Wound up with .30" here. I see area's just north of here did well. Less to the south. Multiple fire's here in Lee County as well. Alot of acreage has been burned.
  7. Yeah, saw that after posting that. I'm still a bit gun-shy. 18z ensembles look good for last week of November. If they pan out I will lean toward a decent Winter.
  8. Yeah, if GEFS turns out right, I'll probably lean overall mild Winter and 94-95 Analogue back up. More times than not, late November is an indicator of whether we have a milder or cooler than average Winter. That freaking warm pool off Japan I think is a thorn.
  9. Severe Drought in this neck of the woods. Looks to finally start getting chipped away.
  10. For all we know, they may very well be posters on here. I have a couple Suspects. I'm sure Webber at least reads the boards. As far as Rounder Roundy, not sure.
  11. Maybe he just identifies as a Meteorologist. Sure beginning to look that way.
  12. Yeah, looking like a period to watch for possible first significant snowfall. May be back to the famed Dec 5 Spotlight Day.
  13. As we know, those change as often as a 20 yo woman getting ready for a night on the Town. Odds favor a warmup around mid December. If you go total Nino = warm December then you're going to swear by runs like that one and declare it. Colder Nino December's generally had a mild prelude as well but, went back cold.
  14. Hopefully it'll go low amp or into cod in those areas. Possible with SST Configuration.
  15. Right on man ! From my record keeping going back to the 70's , that is what they indicate as well. I'm just hoping this new climate era won't cause it to be different.
  16. Yeah, CFS Weeklies looking good as well. -EPO Ftw. Hopefully these depictions come to fruition more times than not and not the tucking under sw trough and eastern ridging . Would setup a great Winter Pattern.
  17. I'm surprised you didn't get a weenie from the usual suspect over that outlook.
  18. Big difference in results with those 2 Winters too. February in particular. Feb. 2015 was spectacular.
  19. Yeah. Marginal Temps played a part as elevated area's got clocked on several occasions during the stronger Ninos, whereas lower eles would get mix or rain, therefore creating a greater than normal difference between the Valleys and the higher elevations. As far as western areas, Nino's tend to favor Eastern irt Snow, particularly when blocking is present, imo.
  20. Yeah, really. Lol. Of course to some, pretty much everyone on this forum is not nearly as knowledgeable as eric. The redtaggers are just novelty mets. I don't disrespect Eric, he's a good Met. However, many are on here and shouldn't be disrespected either. That includes enthusiasts as well. Many are just as knowledgeable as degreed Mets.
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