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  2. Few small cells ahead of the main batch but yeah, that outflow seems it is lighting things up.
  3. The rain almost always moves through faster than depicted.
  4. Going to be really close based on some of the modelling
  5. The WPC with the afternoon 7 day bought the paltry GFS 1.23" and tossed the 2.47" ECM and AI. Hopefully, they are wrong.
  6. 95 here, highest of the year so far.
  7. was unsure if they would go with the watch or not. I could certainly see so a bit southwest but might be a stretch for southern CT...although no choice but to throw entire counties under the watch.
  8. Looks like Islip topped out at 93 and FRG at 92. Decent
  9. Another storm blowing up in SW Buncombe now.
  10. you might be in a good spot in Fairfield. Looks like greatest potential is right along the shoreline. Most of the action though may end up crossing the Sound
  11. 94 will do it. Clouds moving in
  12. Two more severe warnings just went up out near the VA/WV border
  13. Outflow boundary hit the cells near Charles Town. Things really popping off quickly in the pan handle.
  14. It just doesn’t even initiate with them. Can’t kill what you’re not modeling.
  15. Anywho, low level lapse rates are past 9 degrees C/km so we’re approaching unconditionally unstable with 2000+ Cape and 1300 DCape. I’d imagine things pop off quickly near DC once outflow boundaries reach us
  16. They have 40 day forecasts in the future you know!
  17. With the 1:54 7 day Update, the WPC is buying into the 7 day prog. from the GFS and tossing the ECMWF and AI.
  18. Looks like the Greencastle storm died, threw an outflow boundary south into Maryland, and it's about to crest the Catoctin Mts. Wonder if that's what kicks off the activity in the lee of the mountains and northwest suburbs this afternoon?
  19. Clouds filtering in have dropped my temp to 89F after a high of 92F.
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