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You are right. However in the last storm it showed sleet to CT and we never turned to sleep. Its great but not always perfect.

Mitch haven’t you heard all over Hanover people are saying we getting 2 feet. Man we must be missing something cause people keep telling me I’m wrong for 8-12” it’s going to be 20”+. Too many uneducated people out there believe whatever garbage they hear.

Gfs for next weekend

You did uncharacteristically unravel for a minute tho. But glad to see you reeled it in. It’s gonna be ok. We all need to be at the acceptance stage. We can find a way to turn an epic sleet bomb fun. What other choice do we have?

Theres plenty of snow already on the ground ahead of the storm. Fly in sunday morning and you won't know the difference.

https://www.weather.gov/ilm/criteria Thats what ILM states for ISW: "Freezing rain is the only or predominate type of wintry precipitation and is expected to accumulate to ¼ inch or greater during a period of 24 hours or less."

Yeah I’ve got a wheelbarrow with water in it and it’s still frozen. It’s in the shade but a lot of roads are in the shade .

Big Jan 96 vibes with the multiple storms and artic cold Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Sleet at least adds up and makes the snowpack last, we want to avoid rain though (NAM shows a bit at the tail end for southern parts of the city). Just need the NAM 30-40 miles south and I honestly don't care if we flip to sleet a bit earlier than modeled.

Doug Kammerer just posted the raw ZR from the euro and is talking about power outages…ugh

looks east to me but at this timeframe, it has time to tic NW

Too good to be true.

Which school? I work for KCS .

Snowmegaly

I’m honestly not sure, but my thinking is it would be a winter storm over ice storm if there’s more sleet/snow and an ice warning for above .50 with less sleet/snow. A lot of counties with a shit ton of elevation changes on top of model madness in handling the wedge will take time to sift through it all. That warm nose is as stout as the wedge and it’s going to be an awesome battle to watch unfold

Won't let me post any pics or gifs anymore but SREFs look slightly better and a little south.

I believe for ISW it has to be mainly ice and no snow

You’re not wrong, in this area most of the time the mixing is way stronger than modeled. However, most of the time we also don’t have a giant arctic high providing highs in the teens either. I totally get the “pessimism” so to speak though, I just think that this situation is a bit different than other events where we mix. We shall see though!

Don't worry, Superman is here

If you want some extra Friday weather tracking fun, check out the 6z GFS for Next weekend…wow! The GFS & some other Op/ensembles have been interested off & on for another chance next weekend. Oh & there could be a Clipper around this Thursday that takes a decent track for us a little snow pack refresher. Exciting times on here!

Same to you! We're just hoping for more snow and less ice and to not lose power.

I’m such a freak. I’m becoming more interested in midweek freshener and next weekend than I am with the storm this weekend. Help

That dark blue over central to SNJ looks good. Hard believe the rain out west according to the picture above.

It will never top the January 94 ? Snow ice pack