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Yep, I'm expecting overnight stuff into early AM. Just enough to give that wintry feel/look... 28F

I don't know what this even means lol. Btw a SWFE involves overrunning with cold HP anchored to the north. This ain't that.

I don’t think there is any disagreement there. But it seems like a few somehow think the next week or so somehow looks ok.

So I’m looking at the NAO region and I thought that looked better. The anomalies weren’t aggressive regarding SE ridges. I do have the lingering PTSD from those setups. Besides, we have to be APATT.

you finally picked a good place to live. What happened to that woman that had that house in Central Maryland that you could escape too when the rain/snow line in Loudoun was too far west?

If you follow the progression of everything the Euro and Ai, to a degree, had that LR event because it held energy behind the day 6-7 front. GFS and CMC just bring the front across as one big wave/cutter. We’ll see how it evolves, just wanted to point those differences out. .

I’ve always said that a lot of the usual suspects will whine until we get a big hit. It doesn’t matter if the pattern looks identical to Feb 2013 or Jan 2011 or Feb 2015. They will scoff and whine unless the storm is on the doorstep. That’s just the way it works. But yeah, it’s a solid look. Details TBD. I’m actually keeping my eye on the 1/7 event which a lot of mesos are starting to show a lot of CAD and even a mesolow…could be some ice issues over interior, esp if a mesolow gets going (and some snow north of that into CNE…Rgem/Ggem has snow into SNE but likely too cold.)

Warm front essentially

Overriding warm air I’d suspect meeting up with the northern stream vort to the north and storm gliding by south.

Ya I mean 90% we all lose the pack this week pike south. I’ve accepted this for about 5 days now

all of college sports is ridiculous now. You see 4500 players entered the transfer portal today? It's not sustainable.

Yeah, but that little 998 acts like a kicker to keep things moving and us on the right side of the gradient. But yeah, your map is nicer.

All ensembles look very good day 10-15. We are all just a bit jaded bc “when have we said that before” .. It’s time to really cash in with a good look. South of pike has to go through an ugly 4-6 days. Hopefully Pike north can cash in or at least hold the pack.

This setup would end up mostly rain for the majority of our region.

33.6 for the high today

Euro has snow showers around overnight and again Monday AM.

january 15th KU potential? a day or two before or after! Get ready!

Snowed in on the Tug Hill. Boy... do i have a story for when I get home. I've witnessed nearly 8' of snow since Wednesday.

Wait...I thought you said this morning that you didn't like that look

Well, not exactly. What I want is a shortwave riding the thermal boundary with cold HP to the NW pressing southward, not a goddamn 998 LP over the Great lakes lol. This-

Anyways end of EPS looks nice imo. Lingering cold with a flexing Deep South/SE ridge. I’ll take my chances.

Below is the 2025 Climate Summary for Chester County PA

Not my first rodeo. "leaning below" I know I've ranted on these maps before, but I just always find them funny. I know what they're trying to imply, but they separate the probs into 3 categories (BN, N, AN) and slap a probability on each one and shade with whichever one is the highest. So they shade us in 40-50% probability of BN which translates to 50-60% (higher) chance of not BN.

I thought I was the one having painkillers. Open bar happy hour in CT it seems.

Below is the 2025 Chester County PA Climate Summary