All Activity

GFS drops the hammer over central-eastern NC next Thursday

Spoke too soon. Steady light snow just started here; small flakes. Mountains to my north are whited out. Cloud layer is rather thiñ as dim sun filtering through.

My question is----will get mail today? I think my odds are better than trying to forecast this storm correctly.

Omg I think we might hit freezing day 6

This is snow totals for Danville BTW

Ooooh do it do it .

Nope, south. Sorry I'm a downer yall, but I have reason to be with this shit happening today and in the past.

They haven't been huge jumps but most of the models have come a little further north west the last 24 hours

I don't like the way guidance is headed for next week. The ECM-AI looks to once again lead the way. As others have said - looks like we're headed back to a northern stream dominated period with wave interference problems. Notice how a tiny piece of energy escapes from the "southern stream" on Tuesday under the longwave trof at exactly the same time as a renegade ULL traverses southern Ontario, suppressing heights along the east coast. Cold and dry looks to reign until the drought is broken in the west. The Wed - Fri period doesn't look hopeless, but it's starting to slip away.

I would go here https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ And deselect all the short range you don't like and go with that LOL!

I'm a little sicko for -PNA/-NAO patterns....so I'm ok with the look going into the 2nd week of Feb after the PNA breaks down. Maybe we can go Feb '69. Or early Feb 2021?

The GFS is a suck ass model. But it come sometimes give us insight in a broad way. The Euro moved south too.

Possibility of streamers after this moves through for areas closest to the foothills. .

GFS drops ANOTHER 10 inches of snow on Thursday in central NC.

People going to be calling bust tomorrow morning when there is expected to be a massive dry slot over central NC with banding to the NW. Going to have to be patient and wait for everything to fill in and pivot, just something to keep in mind

GSL’s DESI has operational NBM. 13z has DC north at 20-30% chance of >3” of snow. Richmond and north ranges from 30-60% chance of an inch, better chances north.

Secondary roads are deteriorating quickly. US-19 and 56 are still okay. Route 80 holding up so far. I don't know what VDOT treated it with but I'm impressed. Visibility has dropped to a mile and the ground on south facing slopes is turning white (north faces like my home kept a tiny snowpack)

The storm did intensity over OBX and now I’m raising my pitchforks with you. Like another 6-10” there on Kuchera. Apologies But also it’s the GFS. I’m finally gonna learn the lesson to ignore it. Ignorance is bliss

Another short range gets juicier!

Canadian has potential lol

Omfg 12z GFS is like carbon copy now next week for this weekend lmfao. Next.

Sure it does. Because the main system has pulled south. But ok. Maybe Mitch and are crazy.

This particular shot was taken on February 12, 2014 on Glenwood Avenue in Raleigh, just up the street from the Angus Bar

That's me! LES here is usually transient as it's passing from west side of the lake to southeast. Tough to get a prolonged band aimed S/SW. Expectations are tempered but nice seeing the WSW extended to my west.