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  2. Or like the basketball team to start the season until now……. I’ll see myself out .
  3. That’s the storm the GGEM was trying to crank but ended up as just a scraper. GFS is robust this time around.
  4. Point and click has me at 17 inches in suffolk, i think that's way too high...my best guess for here is 9-10" of snow/ice. Upton is being very aggressive. They must be banking on the early transfer and wrap around.
  5. I don't know, I'm looking at West Virginia at 850 as a tell, and the area of above freezing 850s is consistent from 06z to 12z to 18z. I'd expect to see that area larger on the west side of the Apps if it were trending toward keeping a stronger 850 low. The timing is a bit off so you have to loop each of the runs rather than compare hour to hour.
  6. Yes, I am north of Nashville and now only have a 30% chance of 6" or more; my question is, if they suspect less snow, why isnt the area in a Ice Storm Warning then?
  7. Last two runs have been nice. I'm riding the line, but at least it's a little hit of dopamine that I need. I know the comedown is on its way, but that's OK for this little bit,
  8. GFS flirting with something again Thursday
  9. Monday looks like a norlun set up with trough extending back west
  10. This would make it worse. At this point we need to be prepared,,, even a few days ago... for a possible severe ice storm... one we haven't seen in 20 years or so.
  11. Well the UKMET definitely is not having what the GFS is having.
  12. Oh god we’ve reached JB ocean temp wishcasting stage
  13. Yeah a couple of weeks ago when we had a cold front come through the gfs picked up some flow snow way before the Euro.
  14. So GFS is showing both more total precipitation and less mixing than the euro? How much more qpf does it have than euro? .
  15. Ya'll, I've been gone since late yesterday evening at the hospital in cae and I'm skeered to go into the storm thread
  16. I've quoted and called out some posts recently that are obviously composed by using AI. I don't have an issue with people using it, but don't pretend like it's your own analysis.
  17. people think the sound is sheltered waters; its about as sheltered as the great lakes....
  18. Who’s in for a contest? Total storm accum for KMDT. Closest wins. None of that without going over bull****. I’ll keep track. You win pride and maybe a small prize. I’ll close it at 11pm tonight.
  19. I promise, it came not from a place of wishcasting but of genuine desire to learn.
  20. Dubious, at best, but you do you. Regardless, if anything I feel better having at least one model showing what the GFS is. Would love to see some more models head that way, some of which have been gradually moving towards a colder solution but still need work Still plenty of time, here’s to a GFS coup
  21. I really think for once, your local will benefit from being too far east for warm nose intrusion, and far enough west for waa from coastal. You should be all in pal. Were I you, I'd not worry much at all. Huntingon to Skook/Nepa dude still gets my vote for max snow's
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