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Hey guys, its only 30 more pages before we start up the January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage Thread 3.

The more agressive map is the one in the “Local Winter Key Messages” while the other one is the autogenerated “Day 0-3 Snow and Range of Possibilities.” Usually the Key Messages one is more conservative and more accurate though, so I’m not sure what’s going on.

Oh, I know, it's just especially noticeable to me for whatever reason.

Ugh I don't want an ice storm

Frankly, there's plenty of time for this to trend, one way or the other. Admittedly, it's sad to see how, in general terms, it's turning into an old fashioned "Niña north" event. For that reason, odds favor a slow trend north imho. Maybe this one will be different. I hope. Either way, I'm done for the evening.

I mean if you use or bought it the fbi will be on its way

I'm just now noticing that the two maps have different titles ("Event Total Snowfall Accumulation" vs "Expected Snowfall: Official NWS Forecast") so perhaps they're using separate data.

The first graphic is the whole event. The one with a little less is through 7pm Sunday.

The Euro/EPS really do seem to want to lay the smackdown on Oklahoma. 60-80% chance of a foot or more at 10:1 ratios on the 00z run. Reminder that the greatest snowfall in OKC's history is GHD 2011 with ~14", so we're talking easily in historic territory if most of this stays snow/avoiding dryslots/etc.

You’re not new here, this is the way things are handle by a lot of posters, especially the insomniac overnight crew

I don't think LWX is updating their maps back and forth so dramatically based on individual GFS and Euro runs. Nothing explains that map with the more robust totals...it's weird.

It’ll .

Looks to me like Tirol arrive earlier than forecasted. .

Weird - that looks more like what they've had all along. Did someone let the intern log into the map posting computer and he went rogue?

It's called: Euro They should have waited, but at least they corrected it quickly.

Ha. They just released an updated one at 1:17am that is a tad more conservative.

MPM will dump his coffee on his keyboard when he sees this in a few hours.

trends can easily change 24 hours before a event we seen that happen many times in the past..

I don't know what they're smoking, but I'm not mad at it, lol.

Don't buy that one.

Clipper to freshen up the sleet on euro

Latest map from LWX (12:41 am). The red-shaded 18"+ area is starting to creep into the favored N/W zones.

Ptype isn't accurately depicted for the Euro on Pivotal. It's a 3rd party vendor issue not a model issue. Most of what is shown as ZR is actually IP.