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You fall into this trap everytime falling in love with models and not actually forecasting . It’s 1-3” 95 north

Makes sense with a low that far north as it moves in.

Look at a model. The snowier ones ticked NE.

This is gonna end up on one of my Science Weather forums. Its TRULY EPIC!

Yes it is. Cut the nonsense this morning

It’s a totally viable option. Setup isn’t great.

No it isn’t. Not all.

Says who? You're telling me it's written in stone that we're getting rain next Sunday into Monday? A week away and the models have not converged on which side of the snow or rain fence settled on. It seems like we're getting a storm, but to say it's just going to be rain is senseless at this point

Even our best winters had warm days and rain. Aint gonna sweat things

16.5 this morning. Probably last teens of the year

It’s always been 1-3” for SNE. Still is

I have mindsy off for Presidents’ Day. With no chance for a snow day, im less bothered by rain.

The people who complained the most are the same type of people that told me to turn down my music as a kid. Fuck em. At least the people who performed at the SB didn’t lip sync

Yeah Norwood nearby here has faked its way too. But in terms of high impact cold, really haven’t had it.

That type of music isn’t my thing. I like hard rock and heavy metal. But he’s clearly a popular artist in the US and worldwide. And if people enjoyed his performance then that’s ok with me. His message of love and we are all Americans should be the main takeaways

Cliff jumping has begun in the southeast board. We may be north enough to still get something but I’m not holding my breath after the recent runs.

Personally between Green Day, Brandi Carlisle and Bad Bunny, I was entertained

No crazy stretches of daytime low temperatures but I’ve had 17 mornings at or below zero now. Year of the radiators.

You know this just as much a chance as going to be snow ( if not a bit more ) then it being rain.

Consistent cold but nothing crazy around here. Low of 9 with wind.

For Newark, NJ this was the coldest 16 day period for average temperatures since 2017-2018. This was the coldest 16 day period at Islip since the late 1970s but nearly 6° warmer. At White Plains,NY this was the coldest 16 day period since 2017-2018. For Sussex NJ, it was also the coldest 16 day run since 2015. This coldest on record there was 1967-1968 and 1979. Minimum 16-Day Mean Avg Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Since 1951 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 15.0 1979-02-05 through 1979-02-20 0 2 15.4 1979-02-04 through 1979-02-19 0 3 15.6 1979-02-06 through 1979-02-21 0 4 15.8 1961-01-19 through 1961-02-03 0 5 15.9 1979-02-03 through 1979-02-18 0 6 16.4 1982-01-08 through 1982-01-23 0 7 16.5 1961-01-20 through 1961-02-04 0 8 16.5 1982-01-10 through 1982-01-25 0 9 16.7 1982-01-09 through 1982-01-24 0 10 16.8 1961-01-18 through 1961-02-02 0 11 16.9 1981-01-03 through 1981-01-18 0 - 16.9 1979-02-07 through 1979-02-22 0 12 17.0 1982-01-07 through 1982-01-22 0 13 17.1 1979-02-02 through 1979-02-17 0 14 17.3 1980-12-31 through 1981-01-15 0 15 17.3 1981-01-02 through 1981-01-17 0 - 17.3 1961-01-21 through 1961-02-05 0 16 17.5 1982-01-11 through 1982-01-26 0 17 17.6 1980-12-30 through 1981-01-14 0 18 17.7 1981-01-01 through 1981-01-16 0 19 17.9 1979-02-08 through 1979-02-23 0 20 18.1 1979-02-01 through 1979-02-16 0 21 18.2 1981-01-04 through 1981-01-19 0 - 18.2 1977-01-16 through 1977-01-31 0 22 18.4 1977-01-08 through 1977-01-23 0 - 18.4 1961-01-22 through 1961-02-06 0 23 18.4 1982-01-12 through 1982-01-27 0 - 18.4 1961-01-17 through 1961-02-01 0 24 18.4 1982-01-06 through 1982-01-21 0 - 18.4 1977-01-09 through 1977-01-24 0 25 18.6 1977-01-17 through 1977-02-01 0 26 18.6 1980-12-29 through 1981-01-13 0 - 18.6 1977-01-11 through 1977-01-26 0 27 18.8 1977-01-07 through 1977-01-22 0 28 18.8 1977-01-15 through 1977-01-30 0 29 18.9 1979-02-09 through 1979-02-24 0 - 18.9 1977-01-10 through 1977-01-25 0 30 19.0 1977-01-12 through 1977-01-27 0 31 19.2 1979-01-31 through 1979-02-15 0 32 19.3 1977-01-14 through 1977-01-29 0 - 19.3 1977-01-06 through 1977-01-21 0 33 19.4 1967-12-29 through 1968-01-13 0 34 19.4 1982-01-05 through 1982-01-20 0 35 19.5 1961-01-16 through 1961-01-31 0 36 19.5 1961-01-23 through 1961-02-07 0 37 19.6 1977-01-05 through 1977-01-20 0 38 19.6 1968-01-01 through 1968-01-16 0 39 19.6 1982-01-13 through 1982-01-28 0 40 19.7 2017-12-26 through 2018-01-10 0 41 19.7 2017-12-25 through 2018-01-09 0 - 19.7 1985-01-08 through 1985-01-23 0 42 19.8 2015-02-13 through 2015-02-28 0 - 19.8 1967-12-30 through 1968-01-14 0 43 19.8 2004-01-14 through 2004-01-29 0 44 19.8 1977-01-13 through 1977-01-28 0 45 19.8 2004-01-10 through 2004-01-25 0 - 19.8 1968-01-02 through 1968-01-17 0 46 19.9 2005-01-17 through 2005-02-01 0 - 19.9 2005-01-16 through 2005-01-31 0 47 19.9 1985-01-09 through 1985-01-24 0 48 20.0 2005-01-15 through 2005-01-30 0 - 20.0 1980-12-28 through 1981-01-12 0 - 20.0 1970-01-08 through 1970-01-23 0 49 20.0 1977-01-18 through 1977-02-02 0 - 20.0 1977-01-04 through 1977-01-19 0 50 20.0 1981-01-05 through 1981-01-20 0 51 20.1 2026-01-24 through 2026-02-08 0 - 20.1 2017-12-24 through 2018-01-08 0 - 20.1 1967-12-31 through 1968-01-15 0 52 20.1 2015-02-12 through 2015-02-27 0 - 20.1 1967-12-28 through 1968-01-12 0 Minimum 16-Day Mean Avg Temperature for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 12.7 1979-02-05 through 1979-02-20 0 2 13.2 1979-02-04 through 1979-02-19 0 3 13.3 1979-02-06 through 1979-02-21 0 4 13.8 1979-02-03 through 1979-02-18 0 5 14.6 1979-02-07 through 1979-02-22 0 6 15.0 1979-02-02 through 1979-02-17 0 7 15.8 1979-02-08 through 1979-02-23 0 8 16.0 1967-12-29 through 1968-01-13 0 9 16.2 1979-02-01 through 1979-02-16 0 10 16.4 1967-12-30 through 1968-01-14 0 11 16.6 1968-01-01 through 1968-01-16 0 12 16.7 1968-01-02 through 1968-01-17 0 13 16.8 1967-12-31 through 1968-01-15 0 14 16.9 1967-12-28 through 1968-01-12 0 15 16.9 1979-02-09 through 1979-02-24 0 16 17.4 1979-01-31 through 1979-02-15 0 17 17.5 1967-12-27 through 1968-01-11 0 18 17.7 1968-01-03 through 1968-01-18 0 19 18.0 2026-01-24 through 2026-02-08 0 20 18.2 1981-01-03 through 1981-01-18 0 Minimum 16-Day Mean Avg Temperature for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 9.3 1979-02-05 through 1979-02-20 0 2 9.7 1979-02-04 through 1979-02-19 0 3 10.3 1979-02-06 through 1979-02-21 0 - 10.3 1979-02-03 through 1979-02-18 0 4 10.7 1961-01-19 through 1961-02-03 0 5 11.3 1961-01-20 through 1961-02-04 0 6 11.4 1979-02-02 through 1979-02-17 0 7 11.8 1961-01-18 through 1961-02-02 0 8 11.9 1979-02-07 through 1979-02-22 0 9 11.9 1961-01-21 through 1961-02-05 0 10 12.5 1979-02-01 through 1979-02-16 0 11 12.7 1982-01-08 through 1982-01-23 0 12 12.8 1982-01-10 through 1982-01-25 0 13 12.8 1982-01-09 through 1982-01-24 0 14 12.9 1961-01-22 through 1961-02-06 0 15 13.2 1979-02-08 through 1979-02-23 0 16 13.3 1982-01-07 through 1982-01-22 0 17 13.5 1961-01-17 through 1961-02-01 0 18 13.6 1982-01-11 through 1982-01-26 0 19 13.6 1979-01-31 through 1979-02-15 0 20 13.9 1961-01-23 through 1961-02-07 0 21 14.3 1982-01-12 through 1982-01-27 0 22 14.4 1979-02-09 through 1979-02-24 0 23 14.6 1982-01-06 through 1982-01-21 0 24 14.7 1961-01-24 through 1961-02-08 0 25 14.8 1961-01-16 through 1961-01-31 0 26 14.9 1979-01-30 through 1979-02-14 0 27 15.2 1982-01-13 through 1982-01-28 0 - 15.2 1977-01-16 through 1977-01-31 0 28 15.4 1977-01-08 through 1977-01-23 0 29 15.5 1977-01-09 through 1977-01-24 0 30 15.6 1977-01-15 through 1977-01-30 0 31 15.6 1977-01-17 through 1977-02-01 0 32 15.7 2015-02-13 through 2015-02-28 0 33 15.8 1977-01-11 through 1977-01-26 0 34 15.8 1961-01-15 through 1961-01-30 0 35 16.0 1977-01-10 through 1977-01-25 0 36 16.1 2015-02-14 through 2015-03-01 0 - 16.1 1977-01-07 through 1977-01-22 0 - 16.1 1961-01-25 through 1961-02-09 0 37 16.2 1977-01-12 through 1977-01-27 0 38 16.2 1977-01-14 through 1977-01-29 0 39 16.3 2005-01-17 through 2005-02-01 0 40 16.3 2015-02-12 through 2015-02-27 0 41 16.3 2005-01-16 through 2005-01-31 0 - 16.3 2005-01-15 through 2005-01-30 0 42 16.4 1982-01-14 through 1982-01-29 0 - 16.4 1968-01-02 through 1968-01-17 0 - 16.4 1967-12-30 through 1968-01-14 0 43 16.4 1979-02-10 through 1979-02-25 0 44 16.4 1977-01-06 through 1977-01-21 0 45 16.5 1977-01-05 through 1977-01-20 0 46 16.6 2015-02-11 through 2015-02-26 0 47 16.7 1977-01-04 through 1977-01-19 0 48 16.8 2017-12-26 through 2018-01-10 0 - 16.8 2004-01-10 through 2004-01-25 0 - 16.8 1994-01-06 through 1994-01-21 0 49 16.8 2005-01-18 through 2005-02-02 0 50 16.8 1977-01-13 through 1977-01-28 0 51 16.9 2015-02-15 through 2015-03-02 0 - 16.9 2004-01-14 through 2004-01-29 0 - 16.9 1982-01-15 through 1982-01-30 0 - 16.9 1977-01-18 through 1977-02-02 0 52 16.9 2004-01-09 through 2004-01-24 0 - 16.9 1979-01-29 through 1979-02-13 0 53 16.9 2017-12-25 through 2018-01-09 0 54 17.0 1968-01-01 through 1968-01-16 0 - 17.0 1967-12-31 through 1968-01-15 0 55 17.0 1967-12-29 through 1968-01-13 0 56 17.0 1994-01-07 through 1994-01-22 0 - 17.0 1968-01-03 through 1968-01-18 0 57 17.1 1977-01-03 through 1977-01-18 0 58 17.1 2017-12-24 through 2018-01-08 0 59 17.1 1994-01-08 through 1994-01-23 0 60 17.2 2026-01-24 through 2026-02-08 0 61 17.2 2015-02-10 through 2015-02-25 0 - 17.2 2005-01-14 through 2005-01-29 0 Minimum 16-Day Mean Avg Temperature for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 12.5 2015-02-13 through 2015-02-28 0 2 12.6 2005-01-18 through 2005-02-02 0 3 12.6 2005-01-17 through 2005-02-01 0 4 12.8 2015-02-14 through 2015-03-01 0 5 12.9 2005-01-16 through 2005-01-31 0 6 13.1 2015-02-12 through 2015-02-27 0 7 13.1 2005-01-15 through 2005-01-30 0 8 13.5 2005-01-19 through 2005-02-03 0 9 13.6 2015-02-11 through 2015-02-26 0 10 14.1 2026-01-24 through 2026-02-08 0 Minimum 16-Day Mean Avg Temperature for SUSSEX 1 NW, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 6.2 1967-12-30 through 1968-01-14 0 2 6.5 1961-01-20 through 1961-02-04 0 3 6.7 1979-02-06 through 1979-02-21 0 4 6.8 1961-01-21 through 1961-02-05 0 5 6.9 1968-01-02 through 1968-01-17 0 - 6.9 1967-12-31 through 1968-01-15 0 6 7.1 1979-02-05 through 1979-02-20 0

One word comes to mind looking at overnight modeling: spring

Low was 0.9°…up to 4.8° MWN is -3…HIE -26.

Right. We can't even watch football without the government and media creating divisions. Turning point vs bad bunny. WHAT TEAM ARE YOU ON!? I'm on team freedom to do whatever you want.

Yeah 1-3 here seems doable.