All Activity

Pretty much all models hinting at a nice corridor of higher UVVs for northern IL tonight between 850mb - 750mb. Not perfectly co-located with the small area of DGZ but not bad at all for a couple hours of 1"+/hr rates perhaps. Not perfectly textbook case but looks like theta-e lines in the cross section are more spaced out and climbing. Perhaps some slantwise convection possible? Not a perfect setup but it does coincide with best LRs (saturated) in the sounding, strong speed shear above veering wind profile, AND weak absolute vorticity. Could really thump right before dawn.

Sun came out and temp rocketed up to 37.9°. Taking advantage of the nice weather to get rid of some of the softwood that was a little too sporty for the inside fireplace.

Unfortunately you can’t. I was just looking on pivotal. You can see more of a wider view for the EPS on tropical tidbits, but that roles out after 3.

Where can I see a continental view of these? The Pivotal free site has only the US view.

And it's gone. Nothing but a memory. Hopefully we get a lot more. It was an enjoyable little event. It was nice having a deep winter day in early December.

Sun is out in Eastern CT, temp 42F, feels nice out!

So far the truly cold air hasn't been making it into the Great Valley this Month. You can see how it fell down west and East of the Great Valley in the Month T Plot. It's in the 40's Today. That falls within Average for here. This Mornings Low was above Average due to being socked in with Fog and low St Deck. Yesterday was near Normal as far as daily goes. The point being, although much of the East( MW, Oh Valley, NE and MA have been very cold, our Area and Southeastward hasn't in comparison. Qustion to debate is, the Reason why?. I'd like to see what everyone can come up with and get a common denominator . Mine is no strong Hp press down western slopes of Apps. Then there has been the residual heat Sourh of us left over from the Cuban HP that weakened and moved on SEward that pulls up toward the Jet and mixes. If Modeling is correct showing the strong HP coming down from Canada into the Plains we will be in the Icebox as well as we all know.

Little OT, but it’s pretty funny how psyched we were for T-.5” this am. Damn, it’s been desperate times, lol

Just seems hard to imagine we get through the next few weeks without all of us getting some snow. But we've been snakebit in recent years which leaves me feeling a bit jaded. Still, I'll roll with this pattern.

Grabbed another 0.25” yesterday evening/early morning. 2.25” total.

Nice progression. Let’s hold that

Yeah at least if it’s all gone, so is the grid.

Has been a common theme in recent years with the heavy road salting especially behind the 18-wheelers.

Not only do we not have any snow on the ground, we haven't seen a single flake of snow here in TBlizzland. Definitely not a memorable December here so far Pouring now, btw

Euro has quite the rollercoaster on Thursday the 18th. Waking up to temperatures in the 50s with showers/thunderstorms. Dropping to freezing by the evening, ending with a burst of snow/ice, then dipping down into the teens by Friday morning.

Back at the old stomping grounds today! .

Yesss the more cold we have coming in ...a good snowstorm is bound to meet the cold!

GEFS also trending to a better, taller + PNA, hope it happens !

One of the funnier discussions I’ve seen. Don’t blame that at all though!

Gefs says yes, Eps has a ridge rolling in at 348hrs. Don't fall in love with either possibility, but Eps has been warm in the LR this fall/early winter fwiw.

What?

This is LWX's way of saying. " We have no clue" lol... However, the system that may impact the region towards the end of the week may have more cold air to work with. Won`t delve into details at this time, as it is a very complex upper-level pattern with lots of moving parts in the northern and southern branches of the jet stream. It is important to note that this period could also remain entirely dry as well, so nothing is set in stone yet at this point. Stay tuned to the latest forecast for more details as we get a little closer and have the pieces in place over the CONUS

Apparently, I just need to miss the 12z suite for all **** to break loose. Shiver me timbers, GFS w/ a piece of the TPV! Storms on the Euro.

Driving home around 9PM last night on the LIE in eastern Nassau County we encountered a blizzard of salt. It continued until we passed the spreader which was salting the highway for some unknown reason. This was traditional rock salt, not brine.