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I thought it was going to be a hit based off the upper levels but it went east
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There's still time. Lol
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True, but I was referring, but failed to mention, to a bigger storm of 6"+.
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I mean the 15th was a rainer until a couple days ago…
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When you starting seeing a 1" mean that reaches down into central AL/MS at this range, something is lurking for someone in the distance usually.
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Euro with light snow Friday
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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Ain’t like it’s that far off. Already came a long way since yesterday.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
yeah, stronger and more neg tilted -
I don't think the "kicker" is really negatively interacting much with the lead wave. Typically in fact a lead wave will amplify a trof structure if it's downstream of another wave embedded in the longwave trof. The bigger issue IMO is the ULL in Quebec and its interactions with the developing trof.
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18z Euro's trough was deeper, more neutrally titled, and more compact compared to 12z. Might not show it on the surface but it's better than 12z.
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What can brown do for you?
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yeah unfortunately it looks like they'll be out over the lake by kickoff. Hopefully a few more showers pop up later in the game. -
Not really pissing my pants over that lol
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Euro AI has a nice overrunning event for next Saturday
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Baroclinic Zone replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’d argue the 18z Euro looked better at 5h than the 12z run. -
Euro suite won't come around, if at all, until Monday.
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Weenie talk about ai resolution issues is my guess
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Just like the Panthers…. Tying it up in the 2nd half of model runs today. .
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Good lord kid you're making me feel old Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
NorthArlington101 replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Surface is warm on the parent EURO too. I wouldn’t count on a lot of that being snow -
Storm 2 similar to 1 on AI. Vort doesn't dig far enough south.
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I think the general consensus around here is that the AI model can't tell the difference between rain or snow I think
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Well he’s not exactly wrong. That’s a very logical statement given recent climo. But you’re also correct, the mile high crowd can ignore this thread, you guys score on bird farts.
