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Foothills weather Mets seem certain there's going to be a minimum with less than 3 inches of snow for us up to Mt Airy

11/13.

Please post and drive as safely as you can

I thought the models would correct west today. They didn’t, but it’s still a massive ocean storm where even a 50 mile NW bump would make a huge difference. It’s too early to throw in the towel especially for eastern areas.

on my way back to South Carolina and coming down route 8 through Thomaston pretty good snow squall that’s not showing up on radar, I guess it’s getting me ready for the five or 6 inches of snow forecast for North Myrtle Beach

RAH maps have consistently been showing more snow than forecast. TV mets have to be conservative, and I don't pay attention to social media mets for the obvious reasons. NWS has been consistently showing a jackpot from southern pines north to alamace/orange county line. I am with y'all. The models are not spitting out those numbers for the most part, but the nws maps keep going up. When that reverses course, I will change my thinking. I also remember a storm in early/mid 2000's that dropped heavy snow 12+ in in Charlotte and 12+ on the obx while rdu had a few inches. Bush was visiting Charlotte that day. I can't remember important shit, but I remember that for some reason. Anyway, the double jackpot dry slot blah blah can and has happened, but until the nws maps change, I am not buying it.

we're now at 7/29 equivalent sun angle and headed "downward" into Spring. the leaves sure look leathery - however the snow is banked up really high, and it can be a long uphill fight out of this mess

It’s kinda crazy how similar the ai gfs and ai euro look at 156, the surface maps are almost identical. I wonder if the days of purely physics based medium and long range modeling are numbered.

No snow and all cold make weenies a dull boy.

Oh there's one.. She says it's gonna snow and i fucking believe her

Been hearing that as well and was going to ask.

ECMWFE P1 undefined ECMWFE P10 undefined ECMWFE P11 undefined ECMWFE P12 undefined ECMWFE P13 undefined ECMWFE P14 undefined ECMWFE P15 undefined ECMWFE P16 undefined ECMWFE P17 undefined ECMWFE P18 undefined ECMWFE P19 undefined ECMWFE P2 undefined ECMWFE P20 undefined ECMWFE P21 undefined ECMWFE P22 undefined ECMWFE P23 undefined ECMWFE P24 undefined ECMWFE P25 undefined ECMWFE P26 undefined ECMWFE P27 undefined ECMWFE P28 undefined ECMWFE P29 undefined ECMWFE P3 undefined ECMWFE P30 undefined ECMWFE P31 undefined ECMWFE P32 undefined ECMWFE P33 undefined ECMWFE P34 undefined ECMWFE P35 undefined ECMWFE P36 undefined ECMWFE P37 undefined ECMWFE P38 undefined ECMWFE P39 undefined ECMWFE P4 undefined ECMWFE P40 undefined ECMWFE P41 undefined ECMWFE P42 undefined ECMWFE P43 undefined ECMWFE P44 undefined ECMWFE P45 undefined ECMWFE P46 undefined ECMWFE P47 undefined ECMWFE P48 undefined ECMWFE P49 undefined ECMWFE P5 undefined ECMWFE P50 undefined ECMWFE P6 undefined ECMWFE P7 undefined ECMWFE P8 undefined ECMWFE P9 undefined GEFS P1 undefined GEFS P10 undefined GEFS P11 undefined GEFS P12 undefined GEFS P13 undefined GEFS P14 undefined GEFS P15 undefined GEFS P16 undefined GEFS P17 undefined GEFS P18 undefined GEFS P19 undefined GEFS P2 undefined GEFS P20 undefined GEFS P21 undefined GEFS P22 undefined GEFS P23 undefined GEFS P24 undefined GEFS P25 undefined GEFS P26 undefined GEFS P27 undefined GEFS P28 undefined GEFS P29 undefined GEFS P3 undefined GEFS P30 undefined GEFS P4 undefined GEFS P5 undefined GEFS P6 undefined GEFS P7 undefined GEFS P8 undefined GEFS P9 undefined GFS Global Forecast System Deterministic HIRESW FV3 High Resolution Window (Finite Volume) HRRR High Resolution Rapid Refresh HRRRX High Resolution Rapid Refresh Extended Run NAMH North American Mesoscale (Nest) RAP Rapid Refresh RAPX Rapid Refresh Extended Run SREF ARW N1 undefined SREF ARW N2 undefined SREF ARW N3 undefined SREF ARW N4 undefined SREF ARW N6 undefined SREF ARW P1 undefined SREF ARW P2 undefined SREF ARW P3 undefined SREF ARW P4 undefined SREF ARW P6 undefined WRF ARW WRF Deterministic (ARW Core) WRF MEM2 WRF Deterministic (ARW Core Member 2)

North Gwinnett and into Hall County should see 2 or 3 inches.

sun angle effects, only explanation

Up at SLK we have oil for the first time. That first delivery hurt like hell. Since then we’ve been limiting the oil use and letting the propane fireplace heat the house. Seems to be working so far.

Have not heard that name in a while! Him and Fishel were the best when they were together!

This truly might be the new king if it verifies. It’s been the most consistent of any model.

Doubting it’ll even be that much without a significant NW shift. I don’t see anything to support anything getting west of Montauk maybe. Today was a kick in the crotch.

A lot of chatter from local Mets in Carolina’s about an influx of dry air. Is this not factored into modeling?

Well, they tossed it this time. That map has me at 5"...here is my P&C: Sunday A chance of snow, mainly after 7am. Cloudy, with a high near 24. North wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Haven’t seen much Atlanta commentary over last few hours but see some social media noise about things trending drier? Still a chance at 1-2” in northern Atlanta metro.

I am John Travolta level confused at these last few pages.

Ok, noone panic. Let's wait for 0z

The AI-GFS is 54 hours of light snow and it works because it acts more like a classic Miller B and the coastal low forms that helps drop that extra precip, that's why it's ~5-10".