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The flow is southerly and not easterly.

Could this have been the June 4, 2008 event?

@Eskimo Joe friend on FB shared this, road flooding Bond Road/West Liberty Road, Parkton. Looks like Deer Creek overflowed its banks

I'm jealous. I'm down in Ooltewah wondering how much snow is on our property near you. I'm guessing the end of Window Rock Rd got a good inch or so. Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk

Gotta love it when the Antarctic's climo curve enters it's steepest perennial decline, yet the actual temperature's wondering off into free space ...

Hammering. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Time to switch over to the mid range thread and join me for the one last snowstorm on the Euro AI. Rock solid. 204 hours out. Imma bring it on home.

Following this evening's rain and thunderstorms, a shot of much cooler air will arrive for tomorrow. Lows in New York City could fall to the middle and upper 20s with highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s tomorrow and Wednesday However, with the AO likely to remain generally positive through around March 20th, the cool period likely won't be as prolonged as had been the case during this past winter's cold regimes. Temperatures should return to the middle and upper 40s by Thursday and the 50s to end the week. Uncertainty about the closing 7-10 days of March has increased. The major weather story this week will be the super March heatwave that will develop in much of the western U.S. March monthly records are likely to be smashed in numerous cities, including Albuquerque, Flagstaff, Fresno, Las Vegas, Palm Springs, Phoenix, Reno, Salt Lake City, and Yuma. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -4.88 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.744 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 72% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 44.6° (1.8° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

That was a nice little chat but thunderstorms or tornados can’t be pinned down the night before like they were doing last night. If they are dutiful then everyone involved is on watch and ready and by 9:10am it’s easy to spot what’s going in snd activate, or not, a 1-2pm early dismissal

Busts happen. There's nothing to learn here. The important thing is that we keep posting through it. Always

Just getting home and it's a whiteout.

I mentioned last night that often in March and April these dire severe forecast are busts. They do not take into account the cold easterly flows that precede the warm front, and unless you turn solidly SW after the front passes to clear out all that ocean influence you end up with a bust. Well, the bust happened yet again, which is good as nobody wants tornadoes wreaking havoc.

If this front line doesn’t blow off my trash can lid, I’m going to riot.

Looks like Green Bay had their second biggest snowstorm on record with 26.1" being the final tally, not too shabby.

You’re really downplaying . Folks will not be pleased after what happens . HVN is cold due to cold LIS. 15-20 miles inland north is ground zero https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/2033651669372698687?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Yeah usually overdone. I always reduce by 25-30%. - torrential rains have arrived here

Hey Bo long time..... I was complaining early about clearing my 2' plus I received in the past 2 days. But have nothing compared to what your dealing with.

Meh...showers. 65F

Line is still to my west but front running rain has broken out and it's bringing wind down with it. Has to be gusting low 40s. You can hear the roar in the distance before the gusts roll through. Still out of the south but Roanoke has switched to westerly and gusting high 30s. This is better than both of the 2 lines that moved through earlier.

OPM got raked over the coals after the Jan. 26, 2011 snow event when they put an early dismissal out but folks waited until the last minute to leave. Now there's a "everybody out b [insert time here] rule. But yea, waiting that long to dismiss was kind of weird.

Lock it in. We can adjust higher if needed. Soundings on the 3km NAM would suggest 40 knots or so for HVN. Those gust maps are completely trash.

And just like that the ground is white.