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-13F at 7pm is a bit much.

13 degrees here at the moment. Don’t hate these temperatures.

Guilty weenie here and I am free to chime in whenever I want. .

At least you'll probably beat out the 3k NAM, which had you down for about ~1".

looks like moderate returns coming from the west- should start within an hour or so

It was windy this morning too, my hands almost got frostbite installing a shear pin on the snowblower.

For closer Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

At 7 pm snow and 14.2/9.0. About 1/2 inch now OTG.

Light rain just started - the temp is down to 33

12 and -6 in Northern Washington County.

I made a leading indicator watchlist for tonight starting at 1am Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

That’s one helluva gradient

That sucks, but that’s really pretty .

Another 3 hours perhaps? Then pixie dust first hour or so, and the rates increase. At least that’s the plan…

6 more hours of this will not be good. .

Sleet restarting in midtown Raleigh

With the 18Z models now out and generally (Euro/AIFS/RGEM/UK/CMC/HRDPS/HRRR) a bit snowier/less sleety than at 6Z and 12Z gnerally showing 8-12" before any sleet at 10:1 (which would be 10-15" at 13:1 ratios) I feel more confidence in an 8-12" snowfall for 95 from Philly to NYC and all of CNJ/EPA N of 276/195 and S of 78 (and more N of there). The two model exceptions were the NAM/GFS, which showed 5-6" (at 10:1) for CNJ (6-8" at 13:1 ratios) and then a lot of sleet (2"). I'll definitely take the Euro/AIFS/RGEM/UK/CMC/HRDPS/HRRR over NAM/GFS every day of the week (with the GFS the worst, going from most snowy to least snowy over the last 24 hours). We'll see soon I guess.

Am I the only one that doesn't visit the board as much once we know it's coming? Once it starts I'll likely visit more often but just enjoying the moment and the weenies that come out of the woodwork just me away.

It has me at 20”-24” up here in the Lehigh Valley ! Crazy. .

Northern fringe already collapsing through here. May have picked up a tenth.

Ohhh we got a bragger.

Allow me to raise your SREFs to 15"...

I bet what we are seeing in Kvegas and Walkertown is skirting just north of you. Coming down good 10 miles west of you.

GYX coming in a little more realisticly......not sure if we'll hit it, but it's more in line with what might expect.

I recall from some time back that you're from Louisiana originally! Gumbo is some amazing stuff for sure! As for me...doing an old-fashioned chicken soup tomorrow.