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We snow.

Max gusts dropped from like 45mph to 40 here. Nbd

I got a real easy approach to tracking this year: If a model shows something that hasn't happened in 10 years...assume it's wrong and toss it

Nah we haven't had the pattern with a less hostile PDO though. The -PDO regime has been a constant the last 10 years. It finally eased up close to positive for a moment last season and lo and behold...we squeezed out more flakes. Not blockbuster by any stretch, but slightly better.

NWS had Storm Watch here for Marine now just Gale warning.

Euro and GFS are worlds apart past D8-9 but unfortunately the GEFS doesn't seem to support the GFS idea of reloading the PNA ridge. I must not understand the PNA domain because the forecast for the next week on the teleconnections site shows it as neutral despite the huge ridge developing this weekend/early next week.

That rule got changed a few years ago (2018 I want to say?) but it's not retroactive. So the T snow in July stays.

Feb 5-6 for sure at least in the past 25 years. As I type that, I realize that's since 2000 and now I feel very old. Anyway, Feb 5-6 was the cake and Feb 9-10 on top was just extra icing. PDII of 2003 is #2. Wasn't on the east coast for '96 or '93 unfortunately.

There has been some small decrease in modeled winds tonight... I think the advisory covers it. 45 KT at BUF recently at 40 KT JST. Slowly increasing,

Gotcha, thanks. We had a High Wind Watch issued up here yesterday that went to a Wind Advisory.

I'm starting to thing that this snow system depends a lot on timing. If it happens at say 7PM then temps will likely be too warm except for the upslope areas (around 40+), but if it happens at say 10PM then temps are more like 35... much more conducive for snow

So did mine but its also my mower in the summer............

Wet snow falling at 1,500ft outside my window.

Yes, WCSH6 is News Center Maine, And WMTW8, I speak to both of those stations mets with my spotter reports.

My snowblower starts—winter cancel.

Wow! This would likely be the earliest major SSW since Nov of 1968 should it occur!

I was just out in the garden and picked some peppers and pole lima beans. Still producing because we haven't had a freeze here yet. It's gonna be a close call tomorrow night. If not tomorrow night, the garden will definitely come to end end with the cold shot early next week. We'll be going below freezing Monday night.

WMTW8 and News Center Maine

This. Our non-elevation snow rates/accumulation are second to the LES belts, and I wouldn’t trade that for a 5-10” Midwest blizzard with 70mph winds, even though I love wind. But high end to me is the HECS territory. We had a great stretch last decade, but region wide historic has happened less than a handful of times?

Wow! By a good margin today’s run has the weakest SPV and highest % of members with a major very early season SSW in late Nov or early Dec: would likely be the earliest major SSW since Nov of 1968! Before this, the weakest SPV was on this run from 2 days ago:

Gusts cranking for sure out there

The UKIE is closer to the Euro than it is to the GFS camp. The model wars have started early, it seems.

67 here, now clouds took over.

This looks good

I would LOVE to experience a Great Plains blizzard some day. That has to be some wild stuff...that and a major LES event.