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6zs - 3k NAM & EC -

There’s a clear qpf gradient along the MA border up to here. We may risk some coastal front exhaust too.

I know this week on tv somebody was worried about the strain on the power grid with these brutal temps this coming week. But hadn't heard anything since.

SPC has given us a mesoscale disco: Mesoscale Discussion 0041 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0554 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...Southern Kentucky...Western and Middle Tennessee...Far Northern Alabama...Far Northern Mississippi Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 241154Z - 241800Z SUMMARY...A mix of wintry precipitation is expected this morning from the Mid-South northeastward into Tennessee and southern Kentucky, where snow, sleet and freezing rain will be possible this morning. DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery across the southeastern U.S. shows a large area of precipitation from Arkansas extending eastward to the southern Appalachians. This precipitation is being supported by strong lift associated with the right entrance region of an expansive mid-level jet, and by ascent due to a 40 to 50 knot low-level jet over the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. The nose of the low-level jet will move east-northeastward across the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley this morning, contributing to the maintenance of widespread precipitation. RAP forecast soundings across the region have a warm nose from 900 to 700 mb, where temperatures are forecast to gradually warm to near 0 C after daybreak this morning. This will result in a wintry mix of precipitation. Snow may continue in parts of southern Kentucky through midday. However, further south into western and middle Tennessee, a transition to sleet and freezing rain will be likely. In far northern Mississippi and far northern Alabama, the predominant precipitation type will be freezing rain. ..Broyles/Mosier.. 01/24/2026

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 638 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Per regional radar...light precip is already approaching the western part of the forecast area. Light snow will be possible in the vicinity of Smokies this morning, with a light dusting possible. Some sprinkles, flurries, and/or light sleet may be seen in the lower elevations of northeast GA and the Upstate as well. This is ahead of the start time GSP posted last night at 3:57am.

Puking dime size flakes at times. .

Up to I-80 where? With 6 hour increments, I don't see mixing anywhere near I-80 except perhaps in New Jersey.

My thermometers say 8 and 7. I’m pretty sure that my forecasted low was 12.

if you were clear and calm you’d be -35° this morning.

I’m on the 12 to 18 train, but your train tends to get to the station while mine typically gently derails.

Honestly not sure.

Hey, thanks for your reply. Looks like you might be new to posting here? Welcome.

Noticed that...with the early arrival would think that cuts totals (but how can base anything off modeling with CAMs this far off except RAP lol). Was suppose to get a break in precip, but line looks pretty continous across southern border

Especially if it's a random tree that decides to fall at the worst possible time in a remote rural area that repair crews will have trouble getting to

I think my car had -5 on the way to work the other day.

Temps range from 1° at the highest spots on my hill, up to 6° down at the bottom on the Croton River 4 miles away. Strange that there's no inversion this morning considering there's no wind. Man, it bugs me going into a storm so cold and knowing it's gonna get warm upstairs. That heavy, ball bearing shit sux to shovel but it's not as bad as an inch of slush under 6" of paste.

Someone has to pay for the power station in Baltimore peninsula that Plank stepped way from.

I have enough generator to keep me heated. But yeah hope everyone keeps power.

My ex-wife had a place on the Tug on Brantingham Lake. Lowville was the nearest town to us.

Just spotted the very first flake in West Knoxville. That was very fast I would have thought it would take longer for the column to saturate.

From the AFD: "Our hazards issued and latest WSSI from WPC depict this thinking pretty well with lesser winter storm impacts nearly east of the I-75 to 40 to I-81 corridor. A portion of this area doesn`t meet minor impacts, even." Here is the WSSI they mention from the WPC:

5 degrees here. Everything is going to freeze quickly.

The WPC prob look good to me. Most are going to get >= 4”, many have that chance at 6, and the area for 8 has moved to the favored areas.

I've conceded the sleet/rain/slot at this point but I'll be sleeping at that time anyway. going to be an epic 8-10 hr thump beforehand. And we'll see what happens Monday

Yeah. WTNH mentioned that. Looks like Gil wrote it. Haha Sunday: Very cold with snow developing around 9 am give or take an hour. Steady and heavy snow continuing through the day and into the night. Some thunder-snow also possible! Blowing and drifting snow. There could be a little sleet mixing in SE CT. Highs 15-25. Travel near impossible Sunday evening-overnight!