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My temp is dropping steadily 37.4

NAM and HRRR had us at 40-ish degrees at this time tonight. its only 35 here

Yes

Latest NBM v5 that Don referenced...still a bit high IMHO

NYC: 19.4" LGA: 22.0" JFK: 22.7" ISP: 27.4" EWR: 21.3

Sometimes statements like this I can't tell if it's a weenisim or a legit thing, lol

35.8/31.4

Accordion my to the snow contest totals, BWI can't get more than 13" of additional snow this season. Sorry, that's just how it shakes out.

tony u think my bet is a lock? i need 13.9 inches of snow for central park for the remainder of February?

under a weenie band right now .. starting to pick up

I don't know about getting 6" man...these runs have Baltimore barely at warning level and we need to get lucky with that IVT and get rates and that's a proposition we've lost on many times. We are fortunate to be in the game at all this late in a nina February. BUT...to your other point about the epic glacier? YES. That to me is looking to be the pinnacle of the winter unless something crazy happens tomorrow. That was truly remarkable...a 6.5 inch snowfall paralyzed the city for a week as if it were two feet. Bulldozers required. That is already a HUGE bonus for a Nina. I do need to remember that!

Hrrr is toasty. 37 for a high imby tomorrow. Probably white rain for a time.

More like anything past 0hr. I’m not the only one here that feels that way too. I know Will goes on SREFs rants because they pulled the spectral RSMs out for the ARWs.

That’s what I was thinking with its counter clockwise circulation

HRRR has a known warm bias

LOL!! I am way too west for this one!!

If this is the sounding at 0z near dc, we will struggle

Oh yea...I'm sure the Nemo 8"/hr or whatever will be SW of me....but I doubt I get under a foot.

Just curious Which Adams? .

Not expecting too much up this way, but it has been a fun week of modeling! I hope we get an unexpected tuck and the whole forum over performs. So much potential… but seems to be wide right at this point for a big one. (For central/northern pa). Everyone enjoy!

That's hot!

Looking forward to possible thundersnow tomorrow night.

I don’t even find the FV3, ARWs, and SREFs useable. RAP I forget exists. HRRR starts falling off a cliff after 12-24hr. But I’m sure the NWS likes it because the high res must help them fill their zones in the short range.

I'm excited to see some high-ratio fluff with this, even if it's less than the 15" of grains from last month. That's something that's been lacking so far this season.