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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Traditional ONI, RONI, absolute SST…… -
Not here...thank goodness! I notice all the snowfall maps are the models interpretation at a 10-1 ratio. The last two winters here had almost all powder. Even assuming more wet snow this winter, its not a bad look at all.
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Only 39 for the low here Edit: 38.5 to be exact
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My Muttontown station is probably 15 feet or so from the pool on the pool patio edge. I don’t know what the temp of the pool is but I know it’s not being heated.
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
WxWatcher007 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
We're probably done in the basin for this season unless there's something rogue in the subtropics. Time to start working on the grade for my peak season forecast. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Terpeast replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think the more interesting question is whether an early SSWE usually leads to another strat event/PV disription later in the season. Especially during el nino winters. -
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29 here too today Indian Summer incoming later in the week
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Heading toward the Euro weeklies/seasonal? Looks that way. Time will tell. -
It's sooo boring though.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Indeed, although Nov on the CFS has warmed, the 10 day mean Dec has cooled ~2F in the E US since 10 days ago. 10 day mean as of 10 days ago: Latest 10 day mean: 2F cooler. Could this be related to the even weaker early Nov SPV when considering the 35-40 day lag Chuck mentioned? - Today
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Think I figured out my issue, which was true last year early on. My pool is still around 60 and my weather station is around 25 feet from the pool. After initial drop my temp levels off from midnight to sunrise on clear calm nights. By late fall last year my temps were more normal again, but until the pool temp drops my overnight low will be higher
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
A strong “rebound” Nina isn’t guaranteed. cold neutral is on the table. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnowGoose69 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The real question way too early is will the La Nina of 27-28 make 88-89 and 10-11 look weak -
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With not much else going on I thought this was worthy of sharing. Thought this was a great video clip. https://x.com/ReedTimmerUSA/status/2114179629863084042/video/1 Enjoy the weather cause you ain't gonna notice much change for a while. Nice but getting boring. Per post above from @bluewave don't like the look of this. Keep an eye on it over the coming weeks. I wouldn't be surprised if this pattern locked in for a while. Trof west / ridge east.
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We grow with zero frost in sight.. Frost coverage at the coast, where the growing season remains in effect, looks to be patchy at this time.
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A top 5 warmest October for Chicago and for a lot of places. Electric bill and gas bill gonna be at a low point with these perfect temps.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
33 and heavy frost to the Valley floor this morning. I'm seeing some possibly big changes ahead as we enter November. It's extremely uncommon to see the models pointing to impressive Stratospheric Warming event with an elongated Polar Vortex covering the Eastern 2/3 of Canada into the United States in early November. With the usual lag time of a couple of weeks, perhaps some interesting weather ahead in time for Thanksgiving. We will see if the models are correct in the next week or so. -
Lol Mega torch
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