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  2. I thought it was going to be a hit based off the upper levels but it went east
  3. True, but I was referring, but failed to mention, to a bigger storm of 6"+.
  4. I mean the 15th was a rainer until a couple days ago…
  5. When you starting seeing a 1" mean that reaches down into central AL/MS at this range, something is lurking for someone in the distance usually.
  6. it really unreal how this isn’t a MECS at first glance. that vort is insane
  7. Ain’t like it’s that far off. Already came a long way since yesterday.
  8. I don't think the "kicker" is really negatively interacting much with the lead wave. Typically in fact a lead wave will amplify a trof structure if it's downstream of another wave embedded in the longwave trof. The bigger issue IMO is the ULL in Quebec and its interactions with the developing trof.
  9. 18z Euro's trough was deeper, more neutrally titled, and more compact compared to 12z. Might not show it on the surface but it's better than 12z.
  10. Yeah unfortunately it looks like they'll be out over the lake by kickoff. Hopefully a few more showers pop up later in the game.
  11. Euro AI has a nice overrunning event for next Saturday
  12. I’d argue the 18z Euro looked better at 5h than the 12z run.
  13. Euro suite won't come around, if at all, until Monday.
  14. Weenie talk about ai resolution issues is my guess
  15. Just like the Panthers…. Tying it up in the 2nd half of model runs today. .
  16. Good lord kid you're making me feel old Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk
  17. Surface is warm on the parent EURO too. I wouldn’t count on a lot of that being snow
  18. Storm 2 similar to 1 on AI. Vort doesn't dig far enough south.
  19. I think the general consensus around here is that the AI model can't tell the difference between rain or snow I think
  20. Well he’s not exactly wrong. That’s a very logical statement given recent climo. But you’re also correct, the mile high crowd can ignore this thread, you guys score on bird farts.
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