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Except right now it’s not snowing for the opposite reason you said. But you don’t actually know enough or care enough for that to matter. For you all that matters is it’s not snowing. Not the why. Because you weren’t analyzing the specifics of this synoptic event you were just bitching about our unfavorable snow climo. And greyhat is a troll who is gaslighting everyone. You know how I know…he has made the same “mistake” a dozen times. He will take the warmest thermal plot he can find within 24 hours of a threat and post it. The warmest model in a cycle or a panel that’s 24 hours after the snow threat when it’s warmed up…and he keeps doing that! If it was an accident, if he just kept making mistakes because he is new, wouldn’t he sometimes accidentally post the coldest model or accidentally the right time? No…because he is doing it on purpose and acting like he is just some newb who can’t help it. And I’ve noticed he does it the most when It’s a storm that is worse for his area. This upcoming threat was never good for Delaware. Even if we get it to work out this is more a NW of 95 thing and so he is being a jackass and pissing in the pool because if he isn’t getting snow F everyone else. you both are transparent. He is a troll. You simply want snow and don’t care how or why and throw a tantrum when we go too long without it.

Yeah that was a rough one. One of these days I need to go through my data posted on here and update the last 2 seasons. I lost motivation doing it daily.

I think that photo is from the Battle of Monmouth. That is a very hot event indeed. Done that one. Was so delirious from heat I had to tap out.

Coldest in three years

His face planted in the ground…foreshadow, our remaining Winter? 6F

The woman just text is to our normal highs. Maybe a degree or two higher. But nothing earth-shattering. It looks like we're going to get back to a a wintry and stormier pattern again not too long after next Valentines day.

Agreed. Only chance here is something like the EPS has but in that case the low is weaker and there still isn't enough cold. Might be a rain snow mix/snow tv. Would need an ideal track and a more significant low.

That’s when we warm up.

TOD for Rev in the 2025/2026 winter 7am on Sunday, Feb 8th

Thanks for posting the video of the eagles @Nibor. We get out once each summer for a float down the upper Delaware; the eagles are truly an amazing bird to watch and hear as they are rather vocal.

BTW being cold sucks, but its way better than being warm. You can always put on more laayers or find a fire to sit by. If you are hot, there is nothing you can do but suffer.

The EPS has trended better for snow in Wake for the 13/14/15 event over the last 4 model runs. Probabilities of snow have increased.

you didn't look at the entire event - not a big rainstorm - 12Z will probably show something different

Side note: man 15-16 was absolutely abysmal for you 33.4? I got more snow than you with close to 40. That probably never happened before and wont happen again. Actually was a pretty decent winter here. Solid 3 week stretch and two double digit storms, one was a blizzard.

6 / -10 off a low of 1. Highs in teens. Moderation 2/9 and perhaps some spots get to or exceed 40 Tue and/or Wed - (1/22 was the last time). Week looks dry. 2/8 - 2/9 : Ice box -15 or more below avg 2/10 - 2/15: Moderation to near avg (dry) 2/15 - 2/17 : Possible mix- rain 2/18 - Beyond riding near avg to slightly above overall - next storm risk 2/19-2/20 period

They don't. I've been in reeanctments as cold as -5 degrees and have been to events with 18 inches of new snow. The more crazy the weather is the better the event. In early Dec we did the 250th of Knox's Noble train. That was 3 days out in temps in the low 20's and at night in the teens. You want to feel pain- try it.

6z is a big rainstorm to for most lol

NYC had no trouble dropping to 3° since the winds stayed up throughout this Arctic outbreak. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc

Neither rain nor snow nor sleet should stop these reenactments!

Not sure if we dipped below overnight; I forgot to check. 0 currently.

I don’t think this particular threat is high probability SE of 95. You’re right that area is in a double bind. Any stronger wave will initially try to gain latitude in the Midwest because there is some ridging there. It will get blocked by the Atlantic flow eventually but without arctic air in place not sure what the “Win” scenario for SE of 95 is. Even if things go the way we want it’s probably more a 95 NW threat. Even the snowier solutions were indicating that.

Then stop following the weather and posting here if it’s cooked. It will be warm enough soon for reenactments.

welcome spring?

Also models showing something that following week Lots to track whether they hit or not