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Not sure but I can tell you the same conversations were being had right before Superstorm 1993.

This is getting ridiculous at this point. MBY is going to miss by 10-15 miles south again. Yes I am crying.

Nice. These days, I'm suprised they even let them out because they might get cold and hurt themselves.

yup...ultimately I think the GFS will end up a bit on the overdone side but I think we'll see the underdone guidance come up some.

Just give them the day off. Jeez it’s a Friday. Their life doesn’t have to suck like ours does.

Nothing falling here yet. Thermometer still says 35 so hasn't dropped since the sun set.

Ya it def would be beefier than first glance. Would love to see other guidance back up the gfs

Cold. Below zero upstate NY.

As I perused through NCDC data, NC State data and Webber weather data, I noticed a lot. 1. We used to get a lot more small events per year. 2 to 4 inch snow/mix storms happened 2 to 4 times per year most winters. 2. Its now feast or famine. Really since 2010, its either been big snowstorm or nothing. Very few 2 to 4 inch type storms in the past 15 years. 3. There is no true set of conditions that will lead to snow for us. MJO, NAO, PNA, QBO, AO? Of course if all of these are optimal that helps but some of our best storms have occurred in the "bad" phases of each. In my amateur opinion, something isn't right with the atmosphere in relation to snow across most of our area. Is it because of the solar max? Is it because of the warmer oceans? Is it because of the crazy Active Pacific? Arctic Sea ice? Global warming? Too many cows farting in the Midwest? I'm not completely sure but I do know it takes absolute perfect conditions for it to snow here now.

Another nice little snow event out here. Ski Taos has a two foot base, with Ski Santa Fe at 18". Albuquerque had a dusting to four inches generally. Nice to see after the record warmth in November.

Enjoyed reading all that in part because it tends to reinforce what I was thinking about this coming winter, lots of cold air masses with extreme cold potential at times especially in the Midwest U.S. ... the storm on Tuesday looks like it wants to explode off Cape Cod and will be a formidable storm for Nova Scotia, perhaps this cycle will move up in time slightly and eastern New England will be seeing a major event but at the moment it looks to be more like a moderate one except perhaps on the cape. The 18z GFS is just one arctic high after another for central regions, could be running some -5 to -10 anomalies this month. And I believe there is a very good correlation of Dec to Jan temp anomalies, 1989-1990 being a significant exception.

Now that's a view!

well what I said though wasn't inaccurrate...it is hard to get warning criteria in cutters

Those were the days. The person that would email the delays/cancellations was a folk hero at my college.

whoops...meant to say clipper lol

36 and flurries here. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

But you said cutter?

Dead calm now. Feels a lot warmer. I think that windchill thing is real.

My place over in Franklin Falls is at -7F already. That’s Whiteface glowing under the cold moon.

Was out driving about an hour ago and it was hard not to be distracted by the full moon lighting up giant cirrus streaks. Gorgeous. Couldn't smoke the cirrus though. Driving.

Yeah...I think someone east would have a chance to pull off a warning criteria snow. ORH bufkit looked pretty solid...solid lift into DGZ and ratios upwards of 18:1.

Heavy slop with a few fatties, 32 degrees

PWCS on a delay as well already, win for my kids already.

Looks good to me . 2 inches sign me up. Plenty of time for a north shift.

38 and light rain currently.