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Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 409 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026 ...The combination of a slow moving frontal zone with a tropical air mass in place will increase the risk of flash flooding this afternoon and evening... DCZ001-MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-503>508-VAZ027>031-037>040- 050-051-053>057-501-502-505>507-526-527-WVZ051>053-061615- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0005.260706T2000Z-260707T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Shenandoah-Frederick- Page-Warren-Clarke-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange- Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford- Spotsylvania-King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier- Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 409 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Washington D.C., including the following areas in Maryland, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Frederick, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore, St. Marys and Washington, Virginia, including the following areas, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Clarke, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Frederick, Greene, King George, Madison, Northern Fauquier, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Northwest Prince William, Orange, Page, Rappahannock, Shenandoah, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford, Warren and Western Loudoun, and panhandle West Virginia, including the following areas, Berkeley, Jefferson and Morgan. * WHEN...From 4 PM EDT this afternoon through this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple rounds of heavy rainfall are possible this afternoon and evening, some of which may occur over areas which recently experienced flooding rains. Slow storm motions and repeat thunderstorm activity will occur within a tropical air mass. Hourly rainfall rates could push into the 2 to 3 inch range in the strongest storms, with even higher instantaneous rates. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Week midpoint…1+2…..…3….…..3.4……....4 29APR2026 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 06MAY2026 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 13MAY2026 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.6 20MAY2026 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 27MAY2026 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 03JUN2026 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.7 10JUN2026 2.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 17JUN2026 2.4 1.3 1.1 0.8 24JUN2026 2.5 1.5 1.2 0.6 01JUL2026 2.7 1.5 1.2 0.5 -
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Zzzzzz maybe .25 overnight while the HRRRRR had over 3 inches for the same period
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1.3 last night; best rain in forever....another round of storms later this afternoon/evening. WB 6Z 3K NAM.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
73 for the low up here. Got dry slotted on most of the rain only .15” of rain up here. Hope everyone gets their power back soon. What’s the old saying? When it rains it pours. -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
kdxken replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Let's keep South -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
New July BOM model run for region 3.4 and region 3 -
Just a WAG, but I think this week marks the beginning of a transition to legit Niño conditions i.e. wetter and cooler than normal. We'll see.
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
BrianW replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
kdxken replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
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Pasadena MD 7/5. Listen w/ headphones/earbuds for the full effect! https://www.facebook.com/reel/2524504421303837
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I saw that... im starting to learn the dynamics out here as things approach from the west. The last several systems seem to jump north as they approach so for me I need things to be down your way as they get closer if I want to cash in at least so far that is how it's been. I did get 0.48 out of it I'll take it!
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495 has been the screw zone so far the last 2 days. Hopefully you all cash in today and tomorrow. That line almost missed me last evening but it extended down just briefly, and damn was that rain intense.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Just a WAG, but I'd day there's a 5-10% chance the winter (DJF) north of MD/PA border will average BN, but a 50/50 chance 1 month could end up BN with February being the best chance. Fwiw, I think March has a 60-70% chance of BN, though only slightly. -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
weatherwiz replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Damn it, I forgot to cover the grill before bed last night after making burgers -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pasnownut replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Btw last nights “fireworks” were an unbelievable light show like I’ve not seen in a long while. -
4.76" since 7pm last night here near Campbell Hall.
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Same here in Hanover and 1.28" at York airport 8-9 miles to my ENE. 6." Saturday night.
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0.05" in the past 24 hours. lol. i give up.
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Big Heat (and storms?) Week into July 4th Weekend
Random Chaos replied to yoda's topic in Mid Atlantic
0.32 on 7/4 0.69 on 7/5 0.00 overnight At least it’s something against my rain deficit. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pasnownut replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What a mess. No power since Saturday eve and got pummeled last night once again. 1.77 sat and last nights deluge put 1.64 on top of that. water in basement. Not real bad but need power. I’m nervous at how long that’s going to be until it back. Lookin for generator today as well as places to move frozen foods. Good luck to alll affected. -
Pretty unimpressive so far, heavy echos dried up on arrival and kinda just showery all night.
