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But don’t we need leaps and jumps?

Did you look at hh 500's? That was definately a nicer look.

Even with the dual lows, It didn't chase the one to the east this run, But convection plays many games.

Coming soon to an Ocean near you. Well let's hope for better than that -- this could be anywhere from a K-U monster to a fish storm although I believe s.e. VA will score big no matter what.

You been smokin with Ginxy?!

The OG was Burger. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

I've been wondering if the Southeast forum has a pbp guy... or is that Brick?

23" Storm Total.

Magic is in the air

Absolutely, wait for the 00z suite right?

What's interesting on that GFS run is that the heavy convection was to the north and northwest, while the storm took an eastward track. Usually we see these setups where it chases the heavy convection to the east of the center and we lose out. That's why I'm not buying this eastward track.

A monkey can get a snowfall forecast with a 6" range correct 18-24 hours out. Mount Holly did not do a good job with the last storm.

So far, an ass hair wester with what should be our formative close low at 48. Money shots start at 72

Canadian Parallel doesn't count? Would be a solid warning hit at least up to 84. But the old OP is further SE.

Please show me the kicker you speak of on the GFS??

does anyone doubt the AI gfs/euro? I know they're vastly different but have that same vibe, regardless of region N-S. Different flavor of same storm

Can some one give us the play by play but just use patrick mahomes analogies like you’re cris collingsworth .

AIFS tick west

The GEFS AI is definitely showing a westward trend with the moisture

Euro is running. We pray!

Gfs is a JV model?

Good catch. nooner was 3 contour closed at 500, and now 5 countour for HH. That just made my HH a whole lot happier. Much better phasing on ens.

Now that is beautiful. Makes me wanna light up a fat one, drink a nice alcoholic beverage, and kick my feet up in the recliner.

Significantly. I’m sure it had some lake enhancement and is losing its luster as it dives southeast .

After seeing the GFS hold and its ensembles, if the Euro is still far east OTS, I think we all know what it would mean