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Yeah 0z not kind to IL. Lol. Another non event. Ready for spring to stick around
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It's like that with any large event...
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Yea, I hadn't sniffed within 10" of average since 2017-2018 until this year.
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New hi-res NAM really sucking any fun out of Illinois for the event in terms of high amounts. Even furthest western parts of the state.
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3K NAM shows DCA going from 70 at 6pm to 37 at 7pm. Now that's a cold front.
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I’m not sure I quite buy it. They’ve held steady all day on the band over the metro. Seems odd that there is such a dramatic shift in one run as things are starting. .
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
To extremely bright flashes over the last 15 minutes out this way, both followed by massive explosions. It shook everything. It actually happened during the day they other day here, and they never figured out what it was. Read about something like this happening in another part of Pennsylvania recently. -
Enjoy guys Post pics and videos
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
00z HRRR is legit. Several pre-frontal mini supercells then a solid squall line.- 243 replies
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What was your peak depth? Detroit peaked at 9" Jan 26-29 and Feb 7.
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All of the short range models are starting to slow that front down. Any more ticks west with time and even more folks in the Carolinas and Virginia are going to be under the gun.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Exactly. I remember feb 2015 so vividly because first we had the 16.7" snowstorm then the insane cold. My grandpa was near the end of his life so we went to celebrate his feb 19th birthday despite wind chill warnings to not go out, much less for elderly. But other than being a historic month, it caused no lasting harm. The two week march inferno in 2012 literally ruined the entire 2012 growing season for fruit growers.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
HRRR and NAM seem to be coming in later with the cold front's arrival.- 243 replies
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Hi-res models have swung the heavy death band south of the metro now. 50 miles will make the difference between 12-15” and 18-24”
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You're right, its not. But low 90s in March is a lot better than having to deal with heavy snow and blizzard strength winds. I mean, you guys are definitely up to it, but I am aging and I can't any more. All I like to do now is watch it fall but that's it. McHenry are you trying to tell me that Texas is going to have a very bad record hot summer this year?
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Other forums I'm on have the ability to cut and paste a bunch of posts from one thread to another, could we do that for this thread?
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90s in March is not the flex you think it is.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
coastal front replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think the value of a thread is to analyze how tends, model runs, increasing/decreasing threat levels and NWS discussions evolved in the days leading up to the event. Regardless if the top end potential verifies it would make it easier to reflect on how a very rare long lead/ high prob severe threat unfolded day by day for future reference. Most on this board will remember a day 4 30% severe prob over an anafrontal coating that had a thread earlier this week lol.- 243 replies
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Unrelated - but has anyone else been having serious issues loading the SPC Events Archive pages? Eventually they load - but stuff is missing - and sometimes it just throws an error on the left navigation area entirely.
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I read in one of the AFDs that places to the north of I 94 may get 18-36 inches of snow. I'm so jealous because I wanted my Uncle in La Crosse to have to shovel 2 feet of snow. Now he is only going to get maybe 8-14 inches with some sleet. Damn. I wanted him to get slammed with the 18-36 ha ha, then he has to dig snow. I was gonna call him up and brag about low 90s in south Texas while he breaks his back in deep snow with drifts on top of it.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
No don't be. Its ok, I'm just frustrated. If we weren't so locked in since Thanksgiving I wouldn't be so upset. It's just been so relentless, both our cold and their heat. I guess it didn't help that the two winters I spent out there with my mom were cool and somewhat wet. Both before and after my arrival and departure, the winters were warm and dry. Gives merit to when I say that wherever I am, there too, shall the cold be. -
We do seem to go on "runs" at times. 2008 and 2012 come to mind. Also I still can't believe that College Park in 2001 and La Plata in 2002 were less than 8 months apart.
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For mby? 4+ melting down to puddles, then the backside blasting thru making a frozen mess of everything for several days. Then spring happens next weekend. The Robins are not too pleased with back-2-back storms greeting their arrival.
