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The Big Ten review team to make decision on a replay?

People cannot stand disappointment so they talk it down to make themselves feel better. The life blood of this board 365.

I think there's going to be two factors at play leading to steady state through landfall: baroclonic forcing leading to pressure drop (seeing now), and shear weakening one half of the storm allowing dry air in and an expansion of the wind field

Most here know way more than me so I ask questions but there is No Doubt that 80% of the discussions yesterday had this ripped apart by shear. In fact and once again it’s strengthened and will maintain intensity at landfall which used to be a definite rarity

Way off topic for us, but it looks like a tropical storm (maybe hurricane) for San Diego within the next week. Serious flooding into the deserts of Nevada and Utah.

I can’t believe people think this AL football game should be canceled. I’m down in Gulf Shores AL and I promise you no one in Tuscaloosa is going to have any issues with this game going on. Tuscaloosa is like 5 hours inland and it’s going to be gone way before the game time. No one wants to reschedule this, it’s not happening. Roll tide.

but in those last couple of frames you do not see the convection back build in the south and south east of the storm. I hope that is the start of the weaking process.

Wow, confirmation from the second plane too, 951.5 at least. So probably ~956mb

Thinking we will have similar conditions to Hurricane Opal in this neck of the woods.

starting to strengthen quick.. it was 959mb last update

Fairly significant pressure drop recorded by RECON a couple of minutes ago. Looking more likely we have a CAT 4 now.

One thing shear is doing is going to work on eyewall symmetry. Half-a-cane look starting. Hopefully that starts the weakening process. This current convective burst and little change with the CDO seriously lessen the chances of significant weakening but you can tell this storm is simply being held in check atm

I'll just add note the deep convection with lightning that continues to fire around the center. As long as that happens, this isn't weakening any.

I see 951.6mb extrap. A very substantial fall.

My God what does it take for the football talk to get taken to banter?

Why so windy.

You know everyone is grown adult and can choose to go or not. Adults make choices.

Uh oh -- so much for leveling off ....

Huntley in, Lamar out https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/50141743/ravens-qb-lamar-jackson-huntley-start-snf-vs-falcons

Whoa, need confirmation from the drop, but 952.8 MB extrap , vs the pass before at 958.0 (drop was 963)

We have about 8-9 hours til landfall. So it's a race against time with the shear. The storm has done a remarkable job fighting it off. No doubt the very warm, undisturbed gulf and jet stream alignment helped big time.

Doing a darn good job of fighting off the dry air trying to get ingested from the west. Robust convection most of the western half of the circulation. More new convection popping NW on the center. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_US/loop60w.html https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_MESO2/loop60i.html Northern eye wall looking solid. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=EVX-N0Q-1-48-100-usa-rad

Yep.