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Low of 8F

Low is almost too far south lol

GFS as well. The extended looks primed up. February will be a tracking fun time.

6z grok

Not sure where you are from, but late December and early January didn't warm up in the east, it was mid January. As far as the PNA, yes...I don't think I recall literally anyone going with a +PNA for the month of February.

Could

I just couldn’t care less about cold. I’d like the snow:

There’s no traction in clown range. Wait until early next week.

Always impressive seeing the Great South Bay almost totally frozen over. The Long Beach Super Bowl splash has been postponed to March. I don’t remember that ever happening before. We did it in 2011 when there was still a lot of snow around from the 1/27 storm.

I feel like Friday night is about 10% more exciting now, it’s def trending south which should get more qpf albeit meager and more impactful cold .

You do realize there is an imminent SSW at just about the same, exact time as 2018, right? You favor a warm start to March based on generic ENSO climo, then list three seasons that deviated from said expectation, which are quality overall analogs (2018, 2014) and a pretty good TNH analog (2015).

Trough axis is simply not going to work even with the blocking outside of maybe NNE. Bring that trough further west, we can get systems dropping down from the NW. Or bring it east and we can get overrunning events W to E. But with this position, storms will cut.

march will be rocking?

It's close to a big storm for us PD weekend. Maybe we need just enough cold not Vodka cold lol.

Fuk this. 1F

Down to 3F here Got into the mid 30s here yesterday for about 2 hours, warm enough to wash my car

New Haven Harbor has a ton of ice. I think 2012/2013 was the last time it happened. There are stories that in the winter of 1934 they drove cars and trucks across the ice was so thick.

May I suggest you go to the Midwest Forum and hang with our friends Mohammet, Judish, Sidney, and Clayton?

6°

This has been a top 30 coldest 10 day period on Long Island and the coldest since 2017. Minimum 10-Day Mean Avg Temperature for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 8.3 1979-02-09 through 1979-02-18 0 2 8.6 1979-02-10 through 1979-02-19 0 3 9.9 1979-02-11 through 1979-02-20 0 4 10.0 1979-02-08 through 1979-02-17 0 5 11.3 1979-02-07 through 1979-02-16 0 6 11.9 1979-02-06 through 1979-02-15 0 7 12.5 1968-01-04 through 1968-01-13 0 8 12.7 1979-02-12 through 1979-02-21 0 9 12.8 1979-02-05 through 1979-02-14 0 10 13.0 1968-01-02 through 1968-01-11 0 11 13.2 1968-01-03 through 1968-01-12 0 12 13.5 1968-01-05 through 1968-01-14 0 13 14.0 1968-01-01 through 1968-01-10 0 14 15.0 1979-02-04 through 1979-02-13 0 15 15.2 1968-01-06 through 1968-01-15 0 16 15.5 1967-12-31 through 1968-01-09 0 17 15.6 2017-12-29 through 2018-01-07 0 - 15.6 1981-01-04 through 1981-01-13 0 18 15.7 1968-01-07 through 1968-01-16 0 19 16.0 2017-12-28 through 2018-01-06 0 - 16.0 1981-01-03 through 1981-01-12 0 - 16.0 1968-01-08 through 1968-01-17 0 20 16.2 1965-01-11 through 1965-01-20 0 21 16.3 1979-02-13 through 1979-02-22 0 22 16.4 1982-01-10 through 1982-01-19 0 23 16.4 1981-01-05 through 1981-01-14 0 24 16.5 1977-01-12 through 1977-01-21 0 25 16.5 1977-01-15 through 1977-01-24 0 26 16.6 2017-12-30 through 2018-01-08 0 - 16.6 1977-01-13 through 1977-01-22 0 - 16.6 1977-01-11 through 1977-01-20 0 27 16.8 2026-01-24 through 2026-02-02 0

I can't believe how nice it is in Buda. 60/59 overnight, with 70s expected Tuesday. This weekend, low 80s!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I am gonna get my beloved warm weather! Monday, low clouds moved fast right off the Gulf of Mexico, bringing warmer moister air just the way I like it! And - Its ONLY early February! The GoM is ALREADY in Bisnass! Man are we EVER gonna have a massive Spring season! I. LOVE. LA. NINA. !!!!!!!!!! La Ninas are hot as heck! Spring = 2011 Summer in Texas, and Summer gets totally REDEFINED, in hot ways NO ONE can even imagine!!!!!!!!!!

Down to 10.

For sure. This week.

The 6z GFS offers some hope. Tonights clipper is more north. Friday's clipped is more juiced with some places gettsing a few hours of light snow. VD looks like two potentials; could be rain, could be congrats north carolina, but the potential is there.

He was a funny guy but hasn’t posted in many years. I remember in one of his posts before he disappeared he said he had cancer.