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  2. All comes down to what the individual members show. A couple of big hits skewing the mean to make it useless or a decent number of moderate hits with a few big dogs and dogs averaging things out.
  3. 26 for the low ....first time heat on at the shop , had to make sure it still works! Happy Friday!
  4. The models have had a big shift in the last several days. We are going to get strong blocking next few week. I just posted in the main ENSO thread. Could also be some type of disruption to the SPV. The million dollar question is if it will in some way be strong enough to shift this Pacific Jet pattern heading into December leading to more benchmark tracks? December is the key for us during La Niñas. Out of the last 15 La Ninas, the 4” snowfall rule has worked for NYC, LGA, and EWR 14 times. Under 4” in December went onto below normal snowfall like last winter. But if we can find a way to get over 4” this December then we would have a shot a an average to above average snowfall season. We should know pretty soon in December since all the snow has been frontloaded before December 21st since 2011. Not sure yet if this will work out in our favor, but at least we have something to watch.
  5. Another hard frost this morning and 25 degrees. I hope soon it kills these yellowjackets. I killed 3 of them 2 days ago in the afternoon around my porch area. And i was in the yard with my mower and I seen a few flying around,
  6. Just posted in the other thread, heavy frost this morning, low of 26, 27 now.
  7. First frost here. Got down to 36.3
  8. Heavy frost out there this morning. Went below freezing just before 9pm and got down to 26 this morning, 27 currently.
  9. 29f. First freeze of the season. And so it begins
  10. 22.8⁰, coldest of the season here. Added some some wood to the stove before bed and the house is a comfy 70⁰ this morning.
  11. 27, Here, Like the 6th time in the 20's and several low 30's, I would say moreso then last fall.
  12. We're really starting to see some impressive microclimates emerge. Thurmont dipped to 34 degrees, but just to the northeast Harney at its lower elevation decoupled to 26 degrees.
  13. deep winter setting in up in NNE. This mornings webcam view from Wildcat Ski area looking across at the east facing on KMWN where they’ve already received over 14” this month.
  14. Was she ever here at all? Low of 28° this morning. I think that’s my seventh time below 30.
  15. Great post, and a great analog. Pretty amazing to see that type of correlation.
  16. More NWS map reports: American Legion Bridge hit 33 Springfield hit 32 Fort Belvoir hit 29
  17. 29 degree's this morning at work. Crystal clear skies with a beautiful sunrise.
  18. A low of 11 at Canaan NWR. A 20+ degree difference from the reporting station on the nearby cabin mountain ridge.
  19. 29 at the closest station to me, all nearby are below 32. First freeze.
  20. Great radiational cooling here just east of KHVN. This was my first freeze of the season. Down to 28.8° on my new Ambient thermometer.
  21. DCA currently at 41 off a low of 37.
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