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You are an idiot. The fact that it offends you just means you believe it. Presumably if I called you an pedophile you wouldn't be offended because you're not a pedophile. You spend these threads trashing ideas hiding behind idiotic premises of "bull busting" so no one can call your behavior. Its an excuse to criticize what you don't like and then when someone dares criticize you you hiss and moan like a little baby and run to the mods. You dish and refuse to take. You never actually learn anything. Here are all the Super that don't "self destruct" which has been the entire premise of your theory this entire thread out of the left side of your mouth, while on the right side you hem and haw about how it won't be a super event anyway. Literally half of the ENSOs at/over +2.0C haven't self-destructed, so yes it is an idiotic idea that could be disprove with five seconds of thinking, which you don't do. Anything that has a 50/50 tendency is not a tendency. 1957-58 became 1958-59 after hitting +2.0C. 1965-66 became 1966-67, 1991-92 became 1992-93 - none of those are La Ninas. 1997-98, 1982-83, 1972-73, 2015-2016 arguably became La Nina but even those are kind of bullshit La Nina since 1983-84 and 2016-17 were extremely warm by South America and below the surface. So the entire premise...is at best 50/50 which is again...stupid as a baseline for forecasting.

Seems like most of the sub has seen as much or more precipitation in April then I have all year. (5.20” since January 1)

Our area might get lucky with something later on tonight. Further east chances less. Picked up .24” from lasts nights stuff. I did sprinkle the grass seed earlier so I am not overly confident we get anything later.

90° here today after am low of 64°. Halfway thru month just 0.43" of rain.

Temperatures approached and reached record levels across parts of the region. Records included: Baltimore: 91° (old record: 88°, 1941) Bridgeport: 82° (old record: 81°, 1960) Hartford: 87° (old record: 88°, 1941) Islip: 81° (old record: 78°, 2002, 2024) New York City-Central Park: 90° (old record: 87°, 1941) New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 88° (old record: 86°, 1941) Newark: 91°(old record: 88°, 1960) Philadelphia: 91° (old record: 88°, 1941) Washington, DC: 90° (old record: 89°, 1941) White Plains: 87° (old record: 83°, 1960) Tomorrow will be another summerlike day. Temperatures will likely peak in the upper 80s in most of the region. The hot spots could approach or reach 90°. Long Island will be cooler with highs peaking in the 70s due to onshore breezes. Following the bout of early season heat, readings will return to the 70s to end the week and start the weekend. It will turn cooler on Sunday. A sharp cold shot is possible early next week. Generally dry conditions will also persist through at least Friday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -9.45 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.814 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 83% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.3° (2.6° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Just came in from sitting on the deck. Balmy out! Currently 77 degrees. Crazy. Some flashes of lightning off to the north. A few storms along the NY/NJ border.

83.7 & 85.4 at my stations today.

H5 recap for the cold wintry period, part of which ended up dry after the glacier storm but also produced the storm in late Feb that was a monster for MA and NE coastal areas. Compare to the previous winter that also produced multiple snowstorms. Pretty similar look, and both produced above avg snow here and for much of the coastal plain. 2017, 18, and 22 have the same general look for the periods that produced significant snow. In recent winters Ninas have been predominant and generally the better snow producers for eastern parts of our region, with a more poleward Aleutian ridge(favorable EPO/WPO) and neutral to +PNA delivering the cold, with some decent/timely NA blocking influencing storm tracks a bit further south and east. It will be interesting to see what happens with the developing Nino for the upcoming winter. Specifics on strength/configuration unknown at this point, but in general would expect winter to be milder with increased chances for above avg snow (wrt climo) to be further inland.

we don’t need no stinking’ AI, we got Tip to psycho analyze us on the regular We go through this every spring. DIT thinks leaf out is when there is a hint of green on the trees. the rest of us think of leaf out when there are actual leaves on the trees.

Pws hit 90, closest mesonet 88. It was a hot and windy bike ride this afternoon.

How about 'dem bruins ? At least we get four more games.

Good move

ahhh yes, today is the 15th. I'm a day off

Oh ok lol..I was like holy arctic. Yes, that’s perfect!

For sure. And that’s the beauty of AC…you use it when you want this time of year. Next week we’ll have to use heat probably..like last week.

83 today. Beautiful

I was trying to put it off... but had to install Today. Our living room was getting too warm for the Chinchillas, and we both slept like shit last night because the bedroom was a thousand degrees. At least we won't have to use it continuously yet

0z GFS last night got us into May

I can't help but cheer. My business is doing really awesome because of this dry weather. We do need rain, I guess lol

Ready for more garden variety sleepers

It’s rugged. We’ve taken an absolute beating this week, though I’ve heard we still have better coverage than most. Lost 8” of glacial depth in the past 48 hours and that starts to matter when the snowpack gets down there. Still, Nosedive, Hayride and intermediate stuff was fun today. Hopefully patrol can keep Liftline and National going. Snowpack hasn’t had a freeze in like 4 days and have 4 more to go before Sunday night’s temps.

I'm fully prepared for a spring, summer, and fall of storms firing off well north and west and not making it here. Already we've had two days of some media hype about storms with little to nothing to show in every location in the forum. I'm watching that line out in western PA, and things are always possible, but it's likely to be a miss or fizzled out to sprinkles by the time any of it gets here.

No that’s been off since I got this Davis . I can’t figure it out. It’s 70 in here with the AC on

Yes, but our oaks have zero leaves, and only some maples have the very start of some very small leaves. The flowering trees are flowering. But Looking at the landscape…it’s 90 plus percent bare still. Another day or two of warmth will help more, but the incoming cool unfortunately will slow things down fast.

Your indoor temp is 61? Holy faaak….I like it cool and dry in the house, but that is way to cold for my liking. 69 and dry/cool here indoors.