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Ocean Storm Poised To Brush Region On Sunday-Sunday Night Accumulations Largely Limited To Cape & Islands It appeared on Monday as though the second major winter storm within a week may impact the area with heavy snows, however, it now appears as though the region will be largely spared. Synoptic Overview The ingredients for major storm are still indeed brewing tonight. The two systems are still expected to phase over the Tennessee Valley this weekend, which makes for an ominous set up if one were to take a cursory glance at the chart below. However, as the weekend unfolds, two elements conspire to facilitate a track largely out to sea despite what is prototypically an ideal western CONUS ridge placement for a major northeast US strike. First of all, there is a follow up "kicker" system dropping into the northern plains, which acts to force the lead storm to continue moving along before it can phase proficiently. This prevents the low from gaining as much latitude as it otherwise would have with a western ridge thought Idaho and Montana. Secondly, there is an area of lead convection well south of New England that works in conjunction with the aforementioned trailing kicker over the northern plains to bias the movement of the system on a more eastward trajectory than it otherwise would have given that western CONUS ridge position. Thus the system cannot gain enough latitude to have a major impact on the region. That being said, some significant snowfall cannot be ruled out over the cape and islands on Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. Expected Storm Evolution Light snows will overspread the cape and islands around midday on Sunday, and quickly grow moderately moderate in intensity on Nantucket Island. Snow may grow briefly heavy for a time on Nantucket Island, as snowfall grows more moderate over the rest of the cape. Light snow may develop back to the south shore of Boston with light accumulations. Windy conditions and some beach erosion are likely on cape cod and the islands, regardless of snowfall. Precipitation then pulls back out to sea later in the evening and ends by midnight. First Call: Update issued as needed this weekend-

ICON was a banger, sure someone posted but wanted to reiterate

17 kemp mill

i won't post on main threads i got the ok to post on banter in nyc threads but i wont post here since u guys hate me so much

.

RGEM = RDPS

i wish to see that one of these days, this weekend would be great

Think you’re reading things too verbatim and not fully appreciating the run to run

Go ahead and lock her in boys…. .

I've seen snow here last for 12 hours after models stop showing it in these super cold situations with a saturated low dgz. I've seen some analogs to Christmas 2010, that happened here then. I ended up with about 8 inches of powder because it just snowed about 1/4th inch an hour, hour after hour after hour.

that sucks, I used to lock in a price early, and had delivery once a month even if to top off, worst was digging out a path to the street in late jan 2011, it was over 6' by the time I got to the street, you can see layers of the storms avg depth was about 37/40"... took me all day, but I had oil, he wouldn't deliver otherwise.

Which was that storm that the Euro had an absolutely horrific bust on because its SST's along the eastern seaboard were completely off, resulting in a big bust in its forecast... it must have been 2014 or something because it was back when I was still doing forecasting Point is, thats the kind of error we need (but in reverse) for most people lol

See you in two weeks?

Those streaks in Ark also makes me wonder if there is bodies of water close to the origin of the streak. That is something else models may initially over look (basically lake effect snow except here locally).

The 0z NAM even gives Nashville 1-2 inches of snow. So the mid-state may still be in this one.

i'm still (foolishly) holding out hope enough flakes fall to whiten the ground in spots at my house.

ICON is 750ft west.

Couldn't help myself...and yes, I feel oh so dirty.... https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/01/ocean-storm-poised-to-brush-region-on.html First Call: Update issued as needed this weekend-

Wild Caps win! Love it! Man I hope Chucky is ok though.

Nothing. Warnings got put out at 3-4am and by 8-9am there was already a few inches

ICON

Storm got to Hatteras & & turned due north.

I actually stopped looking at what the algorithm has been putting out on the snowfall maps starting last night with the 0z runs. Probably sound like a worn out drum on here today, but something hasn't been adding up just going off sounding analysis (think it has something to do with the algo wanting to look at the normal DGZ vs looking at the super low one on the SHARPy). Think HiRes is correcting itself as time moves forward.

the storm is the size of a texas state and half and we get nada

RGEM