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When the models were showing a great pattern over the next 10 days and beyond a few days back, it was showing this system but it was way suppressed to the south because of the cold press. Now that the block is falling apart, the cold press isn't as much, allowing this system to come up north. Hopefully we still have enough cold air to snow if the precip comes up that far.

Citrus crops don’t like the 18z GFS AI…

Hopefully that wolf eats less of its own poop than my labs do.

IMO DC is a good spot to be in for this. Just far north such that mixing isn’t likely to be an issue, just far south such that they can get into that precip band.

18z Euro gets some kind of snow back to I-81

Seems like that's been progged pretty well and is apparently part of the pattern change mid-January that everyone is banking on.

Stranger things have happened, ive seen it before. Jan 7th 2017 is a good example that was a suppressed whiff way off shore that came NW every run inside of 108hrs. But this needs a lot more work than even that storm, and that was a lot to ask. Worth watching thats about it, ensembles need to jump on board with not just NW ticks but some hits as well. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7-2017 GFS trend inside of 108 and it kept going

Currently 34.8/21.4 at 7 pm after a 35.5 high. Not expecting much here, but getting the ground white is the goal, anything measurable is a win.

Appreciate you. Thanks!

Not modeled and likely won’t happen.

Hopefully this guy

No.....I think I'm like .2. But even light qpf will have nice fluff taking place.

Out celebrating…if you put Greta on that face..might have to bring the fangs lol. All good and funny.

This is close

Had a high of 51 after a low of 24 for the last day of 2025. My monthly stats: Highest temp: 77 Lowest temp: 18 Highest dew point: 65 Lowest Dew point: 3 Rainfall: 4.65" Snowfall: only flurries My end of year stats: Highest temp: 99 Lowest temp: 17 Highest dew point: 87 Lowest Dew point: 3 Rainfall: 53.6" Snowfall: 5"

Euro is actually pretty good lol

Where would we be without it?

Ah yes! I have found the jet charts! Sadly it does not look like it has been updated since early November Here is the link for someone if they can see something I didn't on the website for more recent info. https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/awinters/realtime/D1_Deterministic_NPJPD.php

Here’s the GIF, ya it’s close .. it’s still 72-84 out .. would like to see ensembles at 00z jump onboard with some hits

Is that you in the blue?

i don't know how much we can really move this closer given the lead time, but it's getting a bit precarious

And the boys are ROLLING over Dicky Pitino Jr. Happy New Year. Just poured an ice cold New Park IPA.

Who do we trust more here? Love those Brits.

No actual squalls within 10 miles of NYC anyway. Maybe Susses County if they hold?