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  1. Past hour
  2. Fast moving line of storms approaching me from the NW. Does not look to be an overly impressive rain producer due to speed of forward motion.
  3. Not even under a severe storm watch in the region. The cell near Stockton appeared to have some strong rotation on it too
  4. IAD back down to 97. Guess we won't get triple digits today. And I don't see a single cloud out the window of Caboose Mosaic.
  5. One regional caveat: 1977 was not warm at all in western Pennsylvania. It technically ranks as Pittsburgh’s 2nd-coldest summer, though several older downtown-era summers would likely have been colder under today’s airport siting/elevation. It was also the 7th-coldest at Erie. That blistering July heat somehow largely skipped over this part of the region. Pittsburgh topped out at just 91°F, and Erie only reached 90°F all summer.
  6. A couple of tornado warnings up in far northwest IL where there is 0% tor probs from SPC. #Illinois 2026.
  7. Looking at MD mesonet, AWOS/ASOS, and the reliably sited CWOP sites had made it clear the Chesapeake Bay added a few degrees to the humidity. It's always amusing to see some of the national mets look at our heat index and dewpoints in Maryland and go "no way".
  8. Would be a bad night for outages... Nearly 1,600 PECO workers, represented by IBEW Local 614, are scheduled to go on strike at 12:01 a.m. on July 4. If a new collective bargaining agreement is not reached, this will mark the first work stoppage in the 145-year history of the company. [1, 2]
  9. I calculated the storm will miss 500ft to my northeast
  10. Storm just missed me by about 5 miles but it did cool it off to 86
  11. I don’t understand the appeal of having your wedding inside MSG. Shrug.
  12. WB 12Z GFS, Can., and EURO ensemble precipitation through Day 4.
  13. Oh fun. 1 year ago tonight we had 80 mph winds and lost power for 4 days
  14. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1477.html
  15. Actually didn't reach 100F today. Heat index still peaked at over 118F, though. The moisture never mixed out. Dp was basically 76-78F all day.
  16. Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448... Valid 032231Z - 040030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448 continues. SUMMARY...The potential for severe winds is increasing across eastern Pennsylvania, southern New York (including the New York City metro), and northern New Jersey as storms approach the coast. DISCUSSION...Latest radar imagery from KBGM and KDIX depict an initially broken band of thunderstorms beginning to show the early signs of cold pool amalgamation and upscale growth. Concurrently, increasing MRMS VIL values and cooling cloud-top temperatures have been observed over the past hour, further hinting that organization/intensification is occurring. More recently, a 75 mph gust was observed at Scranton, PA. Regional VWPs from central NY have been sampling fairly strong (40-50 knot) mid-level winds that are supporting stronger deep-layer wind shear than depicted by recent RAP mesoanalyses, and is likely promoting the recent intensification trend. Consequently, given the development of a deeper/more cohesive cold pool and strong deep-layer shear in proximity to ongoing convection, it seems likely that the potential for severe winds (most likely 55-75 mph) will persist downstream for the next couple of hours as storms approach the coast. Based on latest storm tracks, this band should reach the NY/NJ coast within the next 2-3 hours
  17. extreme https://x.com/WorldClimateSvc/status/2073150197807329431 World Climate Service @WorldClimateSvc These extreme deterministic solutions are eye-catching. For reference, the ERA5 record highest 500mb height over the CONUS is 6027 gpm (21 Aug 2023). As of today's 12Z runs, the following percentage of members exceed this: WeatherNext2 23% AIFS-ENS 12% IFS-ENS 12% GEFS 19%
  18. My PWS registered a high of 103.6 F this afternoon just before 4:00, 0.1 F higher than yesterday. Driving around town about the same time, our other car’s thermometer hit 108 F near the Target shopping center! While driving. Not parked on the asphalt somewhere. That’s insane. I can’t stand this heat. It’s horrible. It’s currently 95.2 F at home, in the shade.
  19. That’s why I’m not to worried about tomorrow, models are all over the place with the storms being so scattered lol
  20. HRRR has a good handle on things
  21. This is the station a stones throw from mby. MOG.
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