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Weird night here. I suppose the wind speed stayed elevated. Went to 28, spiked to 33, back down to 30 pre-dawn.

We also need to look at the light chance early Sunday as well for minor potential of an appetizer.

Good to see the MJO crawl through Phase 7, 8, 1. The other year it damn near blasted through over 4 days.

Anyways when the beer hops and bong resin slowly clear the body for some, you’ll see the clown maps are completely off with those boundary layer temps.

an opinion is a type of interpretation

Absolutely nothing set in stone other than the Debbie's minds

Classic lake-effect event here overnight. Half-inch at my house. Within a mile of work, it started snowing, roads are a mess, and there's 2" of snow on the ground. Some areas just over the state line in Michigan picked up 6".

That's not an opinion that is interpretation

Climatology aside, this is the best possible MJO progression we’ve seen in a very long time. .

The AO remains positive, but we have intense cold in Canada and a weak PV. The MJO and the general progression could show potential Dec 15 th to Jan 5 th for the East Coast. >>>

This is the dream, I’m hoping for this. ACATT one time!!!

The euro and its minions have been slowly trending toward consensus anyway like they have many times the past few years. 4 days is still eternity for details though. I know many want results, but at least there’s something to track south of the Greens and Whites. We seasonally progress.

Too far sw

I haven’t seen changing opinions on this. Changing model scenarios, sure.

He does like to sugarcoat lol

I would expect a well respected met to update their forecast base on the latest data

I’d expect the pattern to relax at some point and I wouldn’t be surprised if you’re correct about Christmas. I do think we end up in the freezer again by mid-Jan….just a hunch based on another possible period of SSW.

Fight , fight , fight

Poo poo

You know skewts use closest data points not exact location right

December 2010 comes to mind- it was a La Nina and we had that phase on Christmas and model wars for days before. It was a special time. Lots of northern stream energy flying around the next few weeks, can we get a phase with some southern energy?

Tough when we change our opinions every 6 hours ha

Lolol.. You are so passive aggressive. It's too funny. I think we'll have a lot of chances throughout December. If this doesn't pan out, okay then we move to the next one. Come at least for Southern New England. But are we out of it, absolutely not

The euro soundings available from vendors don’t have the vertical resolution that you get from something like gfs/nam/hrrr. It’s probably because of how much data is available, but we’ve talked about that on here. I never look at them. Vendors may try to smooth them out but I’m almost positive that is the case. Also, is that your exact location? Because that is zoomed out and looks like it’s N and W of your location.

forecasts are opinions if everyone's opinion was the same, this forum wouldn't be worth reading