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I think I saw vortex95 mention this but the reflectivity gradient along the leading edge of those storms was about as textbook as you'll see for these parts, hell that would even be impressive anywhere else. Anytime you see a super strong wind signature like that I guess there is the risk for a brief spinup but I don't think there was anything really pointing towards a tornado or rotation. Velocity signatures on all radar sites was pretty evident with straight-line wind signatures and if you look at the environment, there really wasn't anything supportive for tornado formation. Just a textbook classic setup for straightline winds and widespread given the development of a cold pool.

I think we’ll see a 5-8” jackpot setup somewhere - maybe CT (?) based on some of the more recent guidance I’ve seen. Admittedly too soon to know where but the atmosphere is ripe to produce some prolific rainfall somewhere in the tristate area over the next 48 hours.

I thought the same thing about my pws,but the similar obs in there area definitely lend credence to it being legit. What I don’t understand is I am close to the river (less than 300 yards) not exactly an urban area, lots of big mature trees, and yet still hit 106! Here is my run over the last 4 days. July 1-103 July 2- 105 Max HI of 125!!! July 3-104 July 4-106 with all that said, my PWS definitely runs warm in the winter!

Meh. The parameters are pretty much all worse than yesterday. Should still have the potential for microbursts or storm complexes.

Some may pick up the rain as if it were a tropical system…if guidance is into anything.

https://x.com/i/status/2073781312465371274 10 inches of rain? No thanks

we wish we were here

North end of town did…trees down everywhere- we missed it by literally a 2-3 mile margin. I’m glad..didn’t want the AC going down. But it got stormy and nasty. Picked up alot of rain.

You get big damage last night?

Oh for sure. Someone is getting lit.

Dam, I hope it isn’t here, don’t need that much water, but most guidance is 4 plus here easily. What’s causing this? Not too often does a summertime system produce all day long plus rains in summer time.

I've seen enough guidance now though to think that 7+" is a reasonable max somewhere in the area.

Never say never, but I think this was good ol' fashioned straight line wind. That was a textbook bowing signature. You had a great signal for a rear inflow jet. People are always surprised when they see real wind damage.

Wasn’t there a storm , maybe it was the remnants of IDA? That had the same thing. Flooding rains right where the warm front was.

Friend Kris sent this Just came southbound on Route 32 and I have never seen anything damage wise like I just saw. It looks like a tornado went through the entire stretch from the 32 connector all the way up to Connecticut College, powerlines down, trees down everywhere. Roads are blocked off in some places and meanwhile at my house there’s not even a leaf that fell off a tree lol

Would be nice to get some storms IMBY today. Everything went around the house last night

FIFA just changed their minds on Balogun, lol He can play tomorrow! Sounds like a "yeah we messed up" lol

We got between 1-2” last night. So we aren’t all that dry here currently.

You’re good at sniffing these types of events out. Now that you’ve sobered up and they pulled from the bottom of Winni in time.. what do you think ? Widespread , narrow zone , most likely areas etc

The warm front may not even get into SNE at all. Very possible it sets up to where coastal CT across coastal RI and far SE MA get the highest totals (anything greater than 3-4").

I was out near Hancock yesterday. We had a good one there. Winds had to easily gusted 60+. Tons of cloud to ground lightning too. It is wild to see storms in the mountains when you can see miles away.

The FF risk is wherever the warm front sets up. You aren’t getting 10” of deformation rain on 700 warm front.

Blessed

The full sun is ominous today

Noticeably more comfortable for this morning's bike ride but still pushing 90 at noon..