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I was too lazy to zoom in. Looks like you are too.

See Ji's post above yours!

Uh:

meh. Are we still getting a Christmas warm up?

The 6Z reggie is a shellacking. I’ve been burned so many times believing that model lol but I’m gonna do it again.

I need my coffee before I post…lol I originally read it as move it south 250 miles.

Close to go time I know, but 6z EPS bumped up QPF as well. Upper-levels ticking more favorably, hopefully the ticks continue right up to storm onset. Philly EPS mean is 4" and probability of snowfall exceeding 4" is now 53%.

Take it down a little south: This is really the first time since the January 28-29, 2022 snowstorm that we got this type of storm track, where there is more snow towards the coastal areas.

Bottomed out at 27.0

They're actually in hanging planters on my front porch so they don't get any protection from wind and and they don't get any precip either. They're were from last year's petunias that just reseeded themselves over last winter, maybe they are some cold hardy variety or something.

No. It’s cutting.

EPS has really been buckling the trough more in recent runs

2.3" here is my call and 1.8" forward FWA. I'm just happy to see another daytime event. But the following bitter cold, and then quick torch, naso much.

Is there anyway we can mute the furnace this upcoming week?

definitely seeing a solid trend towards more buckling of the trough, leading to a bump north with precip. i'm thinking that NYC's looking at 2-4"... might honestly be more like 3-6" at this rate. we'll see if these trends persist. if so, we're looking at more of the latter range

He meant stop trying to argue with Ginx about snow

About as much as you posting the national map and trusting that’s the closest look we can get!

https://x.com/aigle_e/status/1999817769336873309?s=46&t=C005pd5HNg3Y-KhVU7n3VA

Latest briefing: Around 1" in northern Orange County up to 5" across Suffolk County from Sat night into Sun morning. Bulk of now falls between midnight and 9 am Sun. Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect for portions of NE NJ, NYC, LI, & coastal CT. #NYwx #NJwx #CTwx #snow

I am seeing conflicting start times. It is the oldest Ms J’s birthday today and we are headed into DC this evening for dinner. Guess we will have to watch driving home.

Rob,your pretty North of me as I am in New City and I am one of those peeps with bare ground lol,,,,,,,also it looks like South or Central Jersey could get theirs

Morning peeps! So how much trust do we have in the 6z RGEM. Wow!

Hammer and Kev knew. Its a lethal combo when in agreement

Not showing up well in the ens (yet?) but ops keep printing variations of a legit -nao in the d10-15 range. Primary reason why they are spitting out some winter wx. Can't really buy it yet but if ens shift towards the idea my interest will jump considerably. 0z EPS had some hints of the idea and 6z gefs took it a step further....

Well you should know them well