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  2. Chicago916
    Shades of? https://www.weather.gov/lot/2014_06_30_SevereStorms
  3. TheClimateChanger
    This is especially ironic coming from someone who normally claims NOAA’s modern records are bogus, adjusted, contaminated, or otherwise untrustworthy. But a lone 105°F reading from a high-elevation northern interior New York site in 1919, with surrounding stations reporting 88–94°F on the same date, is suddenly sacred scripture? And that was literally the only substantive change I made. The rest of the map is from Martz’s own website, just reassembled to show the most recent occurrence of a given high, with a couple of corrections for omissions (Maryland & NC in 2012) and updated to include 2025's record highs(map ends in 2024). Martz himself excludes
  4. Chicago Storm
    The HRRR is top tier for tomorrow around here, projecting 3 rounds of back-back-back severe clusters locally.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    I would favor Friday for more organized severe weather. Thursday gives the all hat no cattle impression.
  6. andyhb
    That is quite a potent shortwave on the 12z Euro for Thursday with a 90+ kt 500 mb max, especially for June. Morning convection will rule the roost as usual, but I would expect a pretty widespread and potentially significant severe event given the magnitude of the flow overlapping strong instability.
  7. King James
    Funny last night for no reason I was thinking about derechos and the pronunciation It is written
  8. Brian5671
    I'm in that camp too unless it migrates west quicker and becomes more of a Modoki Nino
  9. A-L-E-K
  10. Eskimo Joe
    12z NAM really bakes the Carolinas and even south of RIC on Friday. Several locations make a run at 100°.
  11. Torchageddon
    It is a blister of a day out there, the humidity after this dry spell feels like the sky is drubbing you! 29C/84F with a humidex of 38 likely, wow. I foresaw a delay of possible storms til after 5pm and TWN revised their rain from 25-30 to 5mm in line with WUN.
  12. Today
  13. LVblizzard
    SPC has us in a marginal risk on Thursday and a slight risk on Friday. Wouldn’t be surprised to see an upgrade for Thursday in future outlooks.
  14. sbnwx85
    Getting excited for this one. I wish I didn't have to work because I'll be stuck in the newsroom/producer booth, but I'll be watching the storms on radar and through weather cameras. There are worse ways to make a living.
  15. Maestrobjwa
    Man...rooting for stuff here in MD realllly sucks. I mean we can't get a win anywhere. Can't get a good snow (and now facing a torchy niño which might spawn another nina the following year). Ravens have disappointed--though we don't know about this year with the new regime. Orioles keep finding a way to be close to good but not quite. We have just been the unluckiest area for snow and sports since 2016. I mean we have not gotten a single win with anything that could bring us more joy. C'mon man I need something here, lol
  16. GaWx
    For the first time in awhile, Nino 3.4 didn’t warm per OISST. Instead, there was a notable cooling of 0.065C (see image below). After such an impressively strong warming since May 31st, this isn’t surprising. To me it is just El Niño taking a temporary breather of sorts. Ups and downs always happen. It’s still up at ~+1.0 RONI/+1.5 ONI equivalent snapshot. I expect the next round of notable warming to be later this month or in early July at the latest, especially if the -SOI persists, as that’s what ENSO models are suggesting.
  17. snowman19
    I agree. At the very least, I think we tie the record RONI and ONI, with a very good chance that we break the records on both of them. I also think this one stays east-based (maybe not as east-based as 1997-98 and 1982-83….several more months to go…..verdict still out obviously) but east-based none the less
  18. Paleocene
    Just noticed that. Looks potentially soggy for much of DC-Balt around 7am
  19. Kmlwx
    The one thing that can elevate a normally garden variety threat would be if the outflow from storms can really make a robust cold pool that propagates off the terrain and gusts out. I don't think we'll have a solid handle on how the day(s) will play out until each one is on top of us.
  20. ChescoWx
    There are some who believe our nightime lows are getting warmer during the summer months. The actual data sees no such warming - almost flat since 1893!
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Yinzer Alley™ go brrr
  22. PhiEaglesfan712
    Yeah, almost all el ninos do that, with the obvious exception of 1986-88 (which peaked in between seasons, in the summer of 87). However, the earlier the peak/fall off, the more likely for a strong la nina the following year. Just look at 1973, and the aforementioned 1988, for example. Those years got very close to, or even breached, -2.0C.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I mean it’s a pretty easy forecast. This is a close the blinds winter for snow lovers. Not every super times a big storm with cold like 82/83 and 15/16. Without that it’s warm pac air with a few modified continental polar cool shots. .
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Doesn't appear to be a very hot summer on tap.
  25. Weather Will
    WB 15Z NBM thru day 4
  26. Brian5671
    Totally agree but he's usually looking for cold/snow so interesting he thinks warm and snowless
  27. Chicago916
    Get ready to Day 3 Moderate?
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