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that's a lot of rain
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solid coating of sleet. mostly sleet, don't see any snow. very low 150' asl
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2026-2027 El Nino
so_whats_happening replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We are starting to see the Indian ocean set up with respect to wind anomalies the El Nino like response. The kicker so far has been the lack of westerlies getting too far east and the still (weak overall) enhanced easterlies across Nino 1+2. 2023 featured a fairly broad area of westerly anomalies across 1+2 and eastern 3 around this time so it makes me think this may end up being more Central Pac oriented versus East Pac but plenty of time to discuss. I do wonder how we impact the hurricane season coming up with atmospherically we seem to be taking our time transitioning out of the Nina like state. -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I would think days and days of slowly melting snow the ground must be drenched? -
All snow here, just a coating.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.85” of rain today for me. .6” of that was in an hour and half this evening. -
Euro weeklies say we’ve just got to deal with a chilly third week of March and then we are gold.
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My initial report was off - we were mostly sleet until maybe 50 minutes ago when we switched to all snow. Currently a little more than a dusting over a thin layer of sleet. RAP has another 9-10 hours of this, which is nice -- I think we will end up with the 1-3'' NWS is forecasting. Too bad it will all melt tomorrow lol.
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
SOI is not budging yet 5 Mar 2026 1010.85 1003.90 13.59 10.96 8.17 4 Mar 2026 1011.34 1003.15 19.53 11.31 7.65 3 Mar 2026 1010.85 1002.70 19.34 11.46 6.95 2 Mar 2026 1010.44 1002.95 16.18 11.70 6.42 1 Mar 2026 1011.79 1003.40 20.49 11.80 6.11 28 Feb 2026 1011.80 1003.50 17.10 11.49 5.74 27 Feb 2026 1011.02 1003.50 13.35 11.33 5.53 3 of the last 5 months have been >+10 SOI, after 31 straight months under +10 (March 2023-Sept 2025). In the 2023 Super El Nino, the SOI was near 0 monthly March and April. Only in May 2023 did it have its first solid negative period, when El Nino was already happening. Almost 32 consecutive months >0 SOI July 2020 - Feb 2023. -
There should be a few hour period of pretty damned strong lift ahead of that sharp height fall/dryslot. That should start reaching us within an hour or so…sooner out west. If Ray’s area can flip to snow pretty quickly during that, then def several inches is on the table. But if it stays very mixy…
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Actually quite a bit of rolling thunder..... -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nothing even remotely close to that here. Looking at the radar throughout the day, I figured you guys to my north and west would see much bigger totals. -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Thunder!!! -
Not as safe as Weymouth
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
We got boomers. Welcome spring! -
2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
+1.0c popping up south of Nino 1+2 (time sensitive) -
31 F and pure freezing rain here. Ice is starting to accumulate on branches. Hoping we don't stay all ice. 10PM BOX maps have me at 20-30% chance of getting over .5" of ice accumulation.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I just heard thunder! It’s officially spring! -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
AccuChris replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
1.24” in the bucket today here in Lebanon . -
Take this f’n BS, and put it in the proper thread…WTF??
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absolute scalping out there
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Impossible. It precipitated in the desert?
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
LVLion77 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Nice soaking heavy rain this evening. Happy to see all the salt and snow wash away. Ready for spring and gardening. Wish I could report on a precipitation total, but my station is a little wonky tonight. Guessing I’m between a half to 3/4 of an inch of rain today. -
LVLion77 started following E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Albedoman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
first decent heavy rain event in 3.5 months for LV. We really need this rain and it will soak into the unfrozen ground this time. This really will help the drought situation and farmers fields and will bringing up the base flows in the streams.
