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  2. Let's see the reservoirs are low enough that susquehanna water has to be mixed into the supply. DCA is still at a ~6" YTD deficit. We're going to need every drop we can get in order to recharge the ground water or else we'll be in trouble in 6 months. The fact that we avoided real water restrictions this year is nothing short of a miracle.
  3. Fuck Inaccuweather Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
  4. Very unlikely here . Need strong CAA at night this time of year
  5. You could frost/freeze Sunday morning bro…just saying. Wouldn’t that be a hoot.
  6. Can't be worse than the odds of hitting the 100K slot machine in Atlantic City under all that snow.
  7. So 72+ inches for the Jersey Shore in December and January alone. Seems legit. Can't imagine what February and March will be like.
  8. And who cares if we go dry? Anyone growing tomatoes in November? Most of the area is abnormally dry/moderate drought- but NBD in the Fall of the most epic super-Giga Nino of all time. Not like its gonna snow anytime soon, and there will be plenty of precip in the coming months. Gimmie cool/dry over the next 4-6 weeks to optimize the best season to enjoy being outside.
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  10. Daily Mail joins the hype train for next week! https://www.dailymail.com/sciencetech/article-16212841/hybrid-cyclone-east-coast-weather.html
  11. Im looking forward to thundersnow season.
  12. Today
  13. I think interior would do well with lows running along the cape or I-84, sorry, SNE. The BN over part of NY is probably most due to less LES.
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  15. Op euro similar-ish Oh yeah that would be a major erosion event
  16. Today was the 22nd record high at RDU this year. 2026 has seen more record highs than any other year in history for Raleigh
  17. Had an astonishing high of 93.9 and currently 91. Awful
  18. Euro AI is actually further west than 6z.
  19. Last chance for thunderstorm season to disappoint me
  20. Thanks Larry. While the UKMET and ICON are further offshore, even those scenarios would likely lead to significant beach erosion/coastal flooding issues from the Carolinas to the mid-Atlantic and even possibly southern New England, due to 5+ days of strong onshore flow driven by the gradient between the 1030-1035 mb high and the low to the south. Despite "only" having a ~1000 mb low, ICON shows an ~850 mile fetch of near gale force (30 kt+) E/NE winds from all the way out around 63W to the Carolinas! Also of note, the UKMET (like a few other models including AIFS) shows ridging rebuilding over the NE US/far NW Atlantic between day 6 and 7), which would likely trap the system and possibly force it back westward beyond day 7. In terms of coastal flooding, it could be argued that a solution like the UKMET and ICON (or 6Z AIFS) with a low moving offshore but very slowly could be as bad or even slightly worse than a solution like the ECMWF or 12Z AIFS - which have a low much closer to the East Coast, but it doesn't strengthen notably and never really has much time to sit over the Gulf Stream.
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