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  2. Birds~69
    81F/DP 69F at 7:40pm Pretty much Jack squat on the radar...
  3. John1122
    Didn't rain much at my house today so far, but I'm on the lake for trivia night and it came an epic rainer at the boat dock. One clap of thunder in the whole thing but it probably rained an inch in 25 minutes.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    If I ever witness another Feb 2010, I'll go @snowman19
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    We are what, about 60% of the way through your May-Aug period?
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, thank you.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Raindance has stated that -AMO could lead to a cold winter for the country.....I'm not saying there isn't any truth to that, it's just that that site tends to seeks out avenues to cold IMO.
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Crazy rainbow here right now. Got fringed by storm just a few hundredths of an inch but it’s been an excellent one to watch go by. Power outages showing up around Cary. Probably a microburst in that area based on mPING reports
  9. CAPE
    Up to 2" here through tomorrow night. They are always bullish on rainfall lately, only to back off as the event nears. Given the scattered nature of storms this time of year, it generally doesnt work out very well to go with widespread heavy amounts across the area. Hasn't worked out here at all.
  10. marsman
    Wound up with .19". Some possible rotation around Cary Crossroads. Wind was decent too. mPING reported hail reported in the area. Down to 77/81. edit: this time of day should produce some nice rainbows.
  11. NCSU_Pi
    We were on the edge of the storm enough that it stayed really bright, which just made it clear just how insanely windy it was. We also got a nice burst of hail.
  12. weather0908 started following Mid Atlantic
  13. Superstorm
    Congrats! .
  14. GaWx
    Thanks, Adam. Note how much the WPAC has cooled from Korean Pen. to E of Japan! Also, check out the impressive N Atlantic cooling! That ATL cooling along with cooling tropics (-AMO trend) may be indicative of a major pattern change toward colder E US winters coming up.
  15. Today
  16. Jns2183
    I tried to find the most defensible position in putting every summer day from 1895 to 2025 on a 2025 scale. I looked at various methods. Homogenization is not meant to answer that question and it provided less clarity the deeper I went. Future work is to try to get more a handle of what I saw there. This i feel is a strong position where I honestly put forth confidence positions. I look forward to feedback. For future work I think there's lots of potential in an area I have not seen developed at all and that is using the aerial surveys that were digitized by Penn State starting in the 1930s through the 1960s all across Pennsylvania where we could actually see the land use changes in real time in the placement for some of these long-term climate sites and the stations that they are correlated with maybe combining that with the metadata we can get a better idea of what was going on at different times and what adjustments are supported which ones are artifacts of piecewise correlations. I find this absolutely thrilling and exciting because it really has a bit explored much from the angle I'm looking at. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  17. donsutherland1
    Tomorrow will feature high temperatures in the lower to perhaps middle 80s and the Friday could see highs in the upper 80s. A few of the hot spots could approach or reach 90°. Showers or thundershowers are possible on both days. The weekend will turn somewhat cooler with highs mainly in the lower 80s. No excessive heat appears likely through mid-month. However, some of the guidance has grown hotter near mid-month so that situation will bear watching. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI is not available due to data feed issues. This could be an extended issue. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.987 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 62% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.8° (1.3° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  18. pen_artist
    Brining me back to 2014-16 summer times. Love it
  19. GaWx
    Moderate +NAO 1973 2 1 0.250 1973 2 2 0.252 1973 2 3 0.237 1973 2 4 0.525 1973 2 5 0.834 1973 2 6 0.944 1973 2 7 0.807 1973 2 8 0.672 1973 2 9 0.656 1973 2 10 0.718 1973 2 11 0.924 Moderate to strong +AO 1973 2 1 1.868 1973 2 2 1.709 1973 2 3 0.930 1973 2 4 0.511 1973 2 5 1.958 1973 2 6 2.915 1973 2 7 2.326 1973 2 8 1.437 1973 2 9 1.385 1973 2 10 1.560 Neutral to weak +PNA 1973 2 1 0.304 1973 2 2 0.161 1973 2 3 0.229 1973 2 4 0.295 1973 2 5 0.179 1973 2 6 -0.004 1973 2 7 -0.097 1973 2 8 0.154 1973 2 9 0.349 1973 2 10 0.166 Moderate to strong -EPO 1973 02 01 74.97 1973 02 02 -15.68 1973 02 03 -165.84 1973 02 04 -262.56 1973 02 05 -228.20 1973 02 06 -209.60 1973 02 07 -231.67 1973 02 08 -209.49 1973 02 09 -159.81 1973 02 10 -29.44 Neutral to weak +WPO 1973 02 01 247.35 1973 02 02 202.33 1973 02 03 119.68 1973 02 04 71.22 1973 02 05 36.31 1973 02 06 9.54 1973 02 07 -8.75 1973 02 08 -19.39 1973 02 09 0.37 1973 02 10 21.42
  20. Lava Rock
    Been coming for 10yrs or so. Celebrating our 22nd anniversary Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
  21. Jns2183
    Future work Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  22. Jns2183
    I promised some fun Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  23. KakashiHatake2000
    https://x.com/bam_weather/status/2074967466472853560?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg Context bam weathers forecast for fall a active sub tropical jet stream hugging the Deep South and southwest states and polar jet stream in Canada dipping down into northern Midwest and Ohio valley also get this could be cooler according to their forecast for the south deep south .
  24. Superstorm
    One of my favorite spots in Maine. .
  25. Superstorm started following Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?
  26. frd
    Mount Holly in my grid has one to three inches of rain tomorrow night
  27. NorthHillsWx
    Southern Wake getting in on the fun! Storm actually had decent rotation over Harris lake. Would’ve been photogenic @eyewall
  28. LurkerBoy
    -___-
  29. Maestrobjwa
    Bruh I can't watch the deep south get pummeled again, lol Wonder if 72-73 had strong blocking that produced that snowstorm down there?
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