All Activity

Flying in to JFK Sunday mid-day. Could be real dicey.

This is one of those rare times that the Northeast was colder than other areas instead of warmer. Climatologist49 ‪@climatologist49.bsky.social‬ Follow Winter-to-date temperature departure from normal. Currently on track to be the 2nd warmest winter on record (1895-present).

I wonder if he bothers to ever walk any of this dribble back when mother nature inevitably puts him over her knee? I don't bother to check....

EPS is interesting slight nw tick on everything but like a third of the members in a tight cluster that are around where the gfs op is giving us a great storm

More like Ronald McDonald…

we're screwed

Gun to my head I’d say graze at this point. It’s not really an ideal setup for major snow-ridge is too far east and the block looks like it wants to suppress it too much. I’d want other models to jump on with major snow starting today.

Gonna give this another 24 hours before I really begin to delve in, but I'm still not very enthused.

Wish the euro would just come on board. Makes me fear a rug pull.

We live in a simulation

Looks like a holdover from the November pattern that kept us colder all winter.

Straight from the horse's ass mouth. Blizzard of '26

When most major respected mets have written this off, that speaks volumes.

Agree for the most part, but I don't think it will be P sunny here....more like fringe.

Kind of has a 2015 type vibe

Hopefully by tomorrow we have a better idea but every solution is still on table

I don’t get the euro bowing down lol it’s also been all over place strung out ots graze

Yup, that’s why will not believe the trend. I gotta see a hat tip to some degree.

Even though we rebounded back into the 40s since early February, the warmest departures have been missing miss the Northeast relative to other regions. So the Northeast continues to hold into the colder pocket compared to the rest of the CONUS. The forecast into early March looks like more of the same.

Wiff for you guys. Scrape fringe for Nova Scotia(Cape Breton might get shovelable). Crush job eastern Newfoundland. That’s my thinking. Seen this movie and its reruns multiple times this season and hated the show everytime…lol.

We always end up here, hoping the GFS somehow scores a coup.

Definitely a good trend but it occludes before it really hits our area so we don’t get the goods S NJ does. The storm is starting to wind down by then.

Hahaha yes! Except Last year it was the eps teasing us at this range.

I wish the energy over MN would dissapear.

It's only the Euro that i give that kind of weight to. If it was the GFS, CMC, UK or something stupid like the Icon id hit the ignore button.