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  2. May not have to worry about that if it’s a crippling ice storm.
  3. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/01/anatomy-of-very-wintry-latter-january.html
  4. Hard to be upset with where any of the major ensembles are at this point but clearly a number of scenarios ranging from cutter to varying degrees of snow and ice are on the table. Could be the first threat of several to close out the month as well.
  5. Models have been very inconsistent and uncertainty is high for the latter periods, but there is general agreement that a system will bring more precipitation to the area sometime in the Friday/Saturday/Sunday time frame. Right now models suggest a mixed bag of precip types, with both rain and snow possible, but given how far out it still is as well as the poor model agreement and consistency, we will need to monitor and wait for more clarity on the details as we get closer. -NWS MORRISTOWN .
  6. Carver, John, Tellico or Rambler could be more helpful answering that question than I would be. .
  7. I will believe it when I see it. We just went through this nothingburber.
  8. Why would I lie? Oh you banking on Kuchera. I mean, that’s one way to do it.
  9. Snow is still coming down steadily with excellent growth - up to 3.5” new
  10. Not sure if anyone posted, but those CPC temperature outlooks... woof
  11. When it is 44 degrees and raining it is impossible to turn that into snow no matter what the forecast says.
  12. Scottie, would this be a situation where you use kuchera instead of total snow accumulation since it's colder?
  13. Hoping it’s more sleet than freezing rain Tellico .
  14. Will be a great test for the AI products. If they are over inflating qpf, it may be time to disregard them more often
  15. My goodness.. all time record low in DC if it happened
  16. Um... no thanks... h/t @snowchill in the Richmond thread. I'll take the snow of course... but not this lol
  17. Solid snow squalls working through the area currently. Gusting 35-40MPH with +SN here at home.
  18. We’ll see if it moderates some but even the ensembles are damn impressive. I know that we can do colder historically, but this is impressive.
  19. If the current forecast holds they won’t have to do any rolling blackouts with how many people will be without power below I-40 .
  20. It looks like the region stays cold the majority of that next week. More rolling blackouts from TVA?
  21. Let’s hope it’s not a crippling ice storm with those temps coming. No warm up like the last major ice storm we had. This could be very ugly.
  22. Let’s keep this going for a while. It’s snowing very nicely here. Mini comeback attempt underway.
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