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  2. CAPE
    NE MD/N DE, and SE PA getting crushed again. No drought up that way.
  3. Stormlover74
    ..STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT HUDSON...PASSAIC...UNION... BERGEN...ESSEX...RICHMOND AND ROCKLAND COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM EDT... At 452 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near West Milford to Belle Mead. Movement was east at 40 mph. HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
  4. canderson
    Those storms exploded right past HBG holy cats
  5. AnEndlessMaze
    On our Butterfly Bush yesterday
  6. Brian5671
    perhaps-but seems like most events have overperformed this summer...
  7. yotaman
    We are at 9 days with no rain. Thanks to the 2+ inches we had on the 10th, we are at 3.41" for the month
  8. Kleimax
    Next
  9. RockawayRowdies
    Crazy heavy rain.. got really windy for 2 minutes.. No thunder. Absolutely pouring outside.
  10. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  11. Stormlover74
    Tornado warning Lancaster and near AC
  12. mattie g
  13. FPizz
    No, just very intense rain and some wind, 20mph gust
  14. Itstrainingtime
    1.76" of rain. Lots of wind. No tornado and I hope everyone else avoids damage.
  15. SnowenOutThere
    Impressive how organized the cells are. The one hitting me just popped up 30 minutes ago and was in the process of forming a shelf cloud. Some sculpting was evident with the mid level clouds being held behind the front and upper clouds. Lots of scud too indicating good inflow. This line won’t be bad till it moves off east, but concerning what it may do out near DC.
  16. Stormchaserchuck1
    What are you basing this on? Seasonal models had a mean trough for the EC, cold DJF anomaly in the seasonal mean in 23-24.. and it was pretty well above average. 18-19 a Weak Nino was looking good in the Fall then ended up being very -PNA I would argue that only the last 2 Winters underperformed, because we had below average temps DJF for the first time. There was a ridiculous -PNA pattern 2018-2024 that has nothing to do with luck. It was more of a base-La Nina ENSO state combined with very strong -PDO. I'm trying not to get lost in the PDO but it has been a good indicator!
  17. Weather Will
    Got lucky with a heavy downpour!
  18. marsman
    The line formed to our south right over US 1 in Cary/Apex, 0.00" on the station.
  19. NEG NAO
    any Thunder/Lightning/wind with that ? No warnings out yet this far north
  20. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  21. CAPE
    mm?
  22. FPizz
    Pouring
  23. Weather Will
    .80
  24. CAPE
    Looks like a bowing segment over this way on the 18z 3km NAM.
  25. vortex95
  26. vortex95
    The "barrier" reigns supreme. I am not sure the global models always fully acknowledge this wind shear barrier, esp. in the longer range. Yes, they may fcst it to wane, but no reason to think it will given how strong El Nino is.
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