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Merry Christmas you old GRINCH

It's ridiculous, best euro run in several cycles , we just got euro 6zd - it's equivalent to the nam extra 33% qpf theory

There's my inch or 2.

Gfs is still in its own world. Even the AI gfs is with the other models.

AI Euro and Euro give NYC 2-4 inches. Nice little bump up.

1.0" of pure fluff here overnight. Where did that come from? Hopefully we can pull something out of thin air again tomorrow. 1-2" is probably the top end, but with temps in the single digits, well, arctic appeal for sure.

The 6z RGEM brings a widespread 1 to 3 to 3 to the LSV.

Change the track man. Put that needle in another groove.

35% seems too generous. .

CTP point & click for Harrisburg: Saturday Night Snow showers. Low around 24. Northwest wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Be happy? .

Lol 06z euro trying to suck us back in.

Who's shocked the 6z euro is great again.. not me .. think we can just toss all 6z and 18z euro guidance.. it's a joke

I don't think there's any model showing 4" right now.

It should be abundantly clear now that the plausible scenario of a warmup within a few days of December 20 has become the baseline scenario. The weakening WPO- regime coupled with unfavorable teleconnections will allow for most of the CONUS to see temperatures move above normal. The ongoing warmth will continue in the West, as well. It is also increasingly clear that the PNA will wind up predominantly negative this month. Most of Canada should remain cold beyond December 20, however eastern Canada, including Ontario and Quebec could begin to warm up several days later.

Just how long and strong will this advertised warm up last? Will it get cut off at the pass or will we all enjoy warmer weather? Does this also mean there won't be any frozen precipitation events either?

Hagerstown really can’t catch a break with this one…

06z euro north/more expansive and better for just about everyone. Gfs is still stressing me out.

Shoot the horse and do this to the AI model

Looks like the back half of December is written off then.

i think only beavis expects that

Good morning fellow NAM worshipers.

Clear. 17.0