All Activity

What a postgasm from ineedsnow

Regardless of the maps, the signal is there for the 1500ft+ elevations from Stowe to Jay to get appreciable snow following the messy/rain before that. Also that same elevation at Bretton Woods in Alex’s zone looks just as good. Moist W/NW flow behind the Saturday night system looks to be productive from Sunday PM to Tuesday AM.

Speaking of palm trees, I took this nice little shot about a week ago during my visit to Wilmington. It was surreal seeing that and temps in the upper 70s after days of coolness and clouds in New England. I miss it already!

UHI was definitely in full force here in the city - low of 37F this morning.

Heartbreaking. Sorry to hear

Chin clip lol. Let's just say the girls we were with weren't the best skiers and were not happy when we led them to an icy Chin Clip. They made it unscathed

I may not have mentioned it. Been a tough year. We got married in a small thing in September. She was pregnant earlier this year but we unfortunately lost the baby at 22 weeks to a rare genetic disorder. Obviously kind of turned our whole lives upside down

All my homies hate the wind.

Big m************ snow drifts.

Congrats man. Did I miss that you got remarried?

Around a half inch here tonight. Unexpected

11/15/18

Yep, I'm sick of it too. And it's only just the beginning. What happens if we get a few 12in. Plus snowstorms and then wind days on end.

It’s phenomenal and worth a pick up.

That is a crazy snow cycle... and wild melt afterwards. But 43" on 4.9" of liquid is a big cycle. Wow. Honestly, it's probably about the current cycle ratios we've seen, 10:1 or under... but with twice the QPF.

Days like today make me miss summer, can’t wait for it to return. Wife due in May, so hopefully have the whole summer off to enjoy the baby and the weather

On this date in 2018 didn’t we get a nor’easter with record snow? Was barely predicted?

First snowman of the year

Making the CFS even wackier is when it is a WxBell version: -For one thing their versions almost always have an odd cold spot over Lake Michigan along with a warm spot to the NNE near the E UP of Mich. -The wackiest maps are the control runs (C) as opposed to ensemble mean (M) runs Here’s another example: cold spot over L Mich. (to -6C, which would be close to coldest on record) while there’s a warm spot of +4C over NE UP of Mich!

Starting off the season with a bunch of dense snow. Interesting that while 25" is more than 69 other recorded winters, as one can see with the 45" on this date in 1990-1991 that it didn't mean much for the rest of the winter, ha. I'll have to look up what happened around this time in 1990. That must've been a monster event or couple of events to go from like near 0" to 45" of depth in a week or less. Then to lose it almost as fast. It's interesting that spike in snowpack is so far above anything else in the long recorded history. 70+ years of records and that one spike is like 50% higher than the next highest season.

As did WRF-ARW

But did they have the fun he had ?

Love that deep trough NW of Hawaii. You don't can kick when the players are in position - it would take a whole re-alignment of the N. Pacific 500mb pattern, which is a little bit beyond the average model error. I think the wild card is the MJO and what it does. Seems models are betting on it staying strong. They want to have more of a -PNA pattern if the MJO goes weak, but I'm not seeing it: 21 of the last 29 months have been +PNA [CPC], and since the 23-24 Strong Nino flipped to negative-ENSO, 12 out of 19 months have been +PNA.

12z 3k NAM had SHSN moving through there