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I must have missed it, How did you do down there on the overnight for accumulations?

I’ll accept anything from a bomb to a SE miss. No east or NE

Calling it 19.0 in Burlington

1 hour until GFS rolls. Would really like to see it bring the bomb.

There used to be a forecaster on Facebook that I followed pretty closely, and he had a great track record. He contracted with a lot of agriculture companies to provide farming forecasts, planting recommendations, etc. I just realized that I haven't seen him post in a long time and I can't remember his name. I want to say he was in the western NC mountains. Does anybody know who I'm talking about?

Big aggregated dendrites, moderate snow in lebanon. As usual, the radar is not picking this up lol.

where did you see this?

I wonder what the record for longest stretch of highs in the 30s is for RDU? This is as long a stretch as I can remember since I moved here in 2012

about 130 ish hours hours out. we're much closer than we were last week when we started talking

Snow picking up here, just like HRRR showed.

NAM in range yet?

Yep sorry, I'm too used to severe weather. First season going full weenie on the winter weather.

Calling 15" in Easthampton including today's inch or so

At least it looks like winter out here in TX after the 3" sleet storm. But were practically shutdown. It was 5 last night and 12 tonight. I agree and its been a while since we've seen two back to back cold winters in the east. That's great. You're performing better than the last couple of seasons so far. Hopefully February and March deliver. How much for December and January, respectively?

I made a thread specifically for everyone to submit their final storm totals for this event w/ all the resources to find reports for the northeast. I'll also post the maps their when finished.

Correct Fozz, it's like my snow totals in SEMI vs where the White Lake office is. There is a higher elevation away from the water.

11/30: Mix of sleet and light rain for a couple hours before switching to light cold rain. 12/2: Mix early in the morning before flipping to hard, cold rain. 12/5: 2.25”. 2” in the man event and 0.25” later that evening/overnight. 12/13: 1.25” 1/17-18: T - An hour or so of sleet/flurries on the 17th and very light snow on the 18th 1/25: 9.25" - 5" of snow overnight followed by all-day pounding sleet Running Total: 12.75”

Anyone have a NBM map with pressure/Pryor for next weekend?

yea a lot of reports are several hours old, you can hover each one and see the reporting time and source.

The last SWO at DCA was MR and you are incorrect here. They actually hand measure snow.

Were you going up to the county next week?

that's nothing, a guy I work with just said on his property in wilbraham @900', was 36"...i legit laughed, I said a drift maybe, or total snow otg, but nobody in that area got over 20" as far as I saw anyway.

They had heavy snow over NC and us for the past storm so it doesn’t mean much.

WPC's caught on

Globals always struggle with mix lines. They excel at qpf but ptype is often more muddy. This is where forecasters earn their money. Applying historical/past experience and the region's favored climo outcomes can often make sense of this and produce a solid forecast that doesn't mirror any specific weather model output. Hobbiests should do the same. I agree, it was obvious based on soundings and mid level temp panels that the zr threat was overdone the euro. Easy mental adjustment. Models aren't perfect and rarely nail a forecast top to bottom. The nam 3k is unpredictable and inconsistent with qpf output but it's pretty good with thermals. Apply that skill to the euros qpf output and see what happens to your expectations. Snow maps and snow output is an algorithmic map and also a new phenomenon. They didn't exist when I joined Eastern wx and they have always been unreliable. They are a good snapshot/data point tool but without applying critical thought they should never be used verbatim as an expectation. In the past we used to (as a group) decide how much qpf will likely fall as snow and create our own estimates. I still do this and will continue. Snow maps are fun to look at but make terrible wives. Don't marry them. Use your brain. If you are using the ensemble snow maps at short range and setting expectations then you will often not be correct. Euro AI ens are great upper air tools in the mid range and seem pretty good at qpf in the mid range but when you're inside of 48-72 hours, op runs are the heavyweights by a large margin.