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  2. Right in a valley! Blah. Still have 0.92", so can't complain too much.
  3. I think he was taking people saying how it could become one too seriously, but he also must follow a bunch of weenies because I haven't really seen anyone with a degree say it only some hopeful hobbiests pondering about it.
  4. PDO correlation +PDO = more troughing in the east. 97-98 would’ve been an extreme torch without the +PDO.
  5. I think somewhere close to neutral PDO is the best scenario for a robust el nino. Strong/super el ninos have busted when the PDO was highly negative or highly positive. A near neutral PDO is the sweet spot (see 1965-66 and 2009-10).
  6. 1.50” so far and more to come. I’m sure we’ll here more drought talk
  7. They typically break in our neck of the woods like the way things have been going here lately.
  8. Yeah, they snuck one in during 2004. Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Jan through Dec Lowest Number 90° days Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1889 5 0 2 1920 6 0 - 1907 6 0 - 1904 6 0 - 1902 6 0 3 1996 7 0 - 1984 7 0 - 1960 7 0 - 1906 7 0 4 1927 8 0 - 1917 8 0 - 1875 8 0 5 2004 9 0 - 1969 9 0 - 1905 9 0 - 1877 9 0
  9. Scouts crying as their regattas float ashore Block Island.
  10. How’s that drought working out lol
  11. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  12. all this posting about some podunk hellhole where people trade their babies for percocet
  13. Every merit badge and kerchief in Yawgoog washed away .
  14. Man SECT is getting annihilated already 3.75” with hours of heavy rainfall to go around the Old Saybrook area.
  15. 3.18 so far at my station
  16. It interferes by *weakening* the SE trough and making it *even warmer* meanwhile a 97-98 type pattern increases the chances of a big snowstorm via the active southern stream. That winter came very close to multiple KUs that barely missed the cold air phase. 82-83/15-16 produced one and had +PDOs as well. In my several years of tracking weather it has always been preferable to have a +PDO and is backed up by evidence. “-PDO means less el niño so it’s snowier” is such a wrong way to view it. You *always* want a +PDO in the East, and hopefully it flips and we get that!
  17. That’s interesting – so certainly that January storm contributed, but what do you think was the cause of the record overall snow ratio? The ratio of 16.95:1 here at our site wasn’t a record (2020-2021 was 17.25:1), but it was certainly up there – it took second place and was well above the 13.9:1 average. I wonder if ratios were generally high all around NNE this past winter.
  18. A +PDO coupled with a super Nino is just 97/98. A -PDO could cause deconstructive interference which makes the pattern much more variable.
  19. A monsoon here! 3.21 inches and still pouring due to training convection.
  20. The ongoing super El Niño is approaching historic proportions in ENSO Region 1+2. The anomaly for the week centered around July 30 was +4.1°C. The last time the anomaly was at least as high was the week centered around July 6, 1983 (+4.2°C) as the 1982-83 super El Niño was nearing an end. The record is +4.5°C for the week centered around June 29, 1983.
  21. It’s a big sash with Steve’s face on a sandbag.
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