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  2. Been around long enough to know the drill, still pretty tiring.
  3. Agreed. 50/50, -nao, -ao, confluence in a decent spot, 1040hp. Hard to see all of those features just clearing the way for a 998mb low in WV.
  4. Verbatim its much better than a supressed weak sauce run. The trend is concerning however.
  5. Agreed, what’s to say it doesn’t jump back the other way tomorrow. At 12Z you thought the storm was gone if you saw the GFS, look where it is now.
  6. the WAA is so insane that this is really hard to fuck up for MD/DC. the UKMET drives the low to Buffalo and you still get 12" of snow
  7. Just a reminder. On Pivotal, the UKIE snow map counts ice as snow.
  8. I mean you can’t go against the theme and trend the past 10 years
  9. Y’all cliff jump more than the SE thread it’s ridiculous!
  10. I know we are focusing on this weekend but the following weekend is eye opening also?
  11. Happy to see an intense moisture bomb. Tired of the dusting or 1 inch every 6 hours with marginal temps. Bring an intense storm, and if you get some wintry mix enjoy it.
  12. It was a really big jump. I mean...we legit don't know if that's the northern extent or not--it's just Tuesday night.
  13. That's the second time in 2 days the UKIE cut. The reason it does, it has a 1035 high 1000 miles north of all other modeling.
  14. Unfortunately, routine here. Gonna wait for the Euro to see if this jump/trend is real
  15. It's going to be fun to watch the models and mets figure out the speed and intensity of this storm and it's impacts in NE.
  16. haha after starting sunday in the low teens, the temp makes it to 35 by the end. Crazy
  17. Primary weakens and moves esst. New low does develop off Jersey and move east. Gfs op going off in the extended lol
  18. Actually NYC still does pretty well here so whatever lol
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