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Just amazing. You took Wills photographic memory and digitized it. lol Really appreciate your effort this is gold!!!

Mike Masco favoring folks in Ohio... waiting for 12z GFS... we are so back

Sure, it can be argued that perhaps that PV will recover more slowly than some are implying, but I think interpreting that subtle weakening around Xmas as a major disruption is what is insane.

Rain Totals (11/25) New Brnswck: 0.76 NYC: 0.74 EWR: 0.72 LGA: 0.58 JFk: 0.58

Could see some flakes tomorrow for Thanksgiving. Going to be freaking cold too just in time for Thanksgiving. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Was it the euro last winter that did the same in Feb? Toss all those far and wide.

Acting like a forecast for 2+ weeks into the future is a foregone conclusion is insane. Think its fair to post a forecast that might show things trending differently than they are being shown now.

Trust the vibe! We are due for a December to Remember Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Impressive Lenticular in Gorham NH yesterday. Stole from FB

A step in the right direction. Models are far from seeing the pattern out into December.

Was looking at that. Temps are going to crash as well.

BWI: 20.5” DCA: 14.2” IAD: 25.3” RIC: 12” SBY: 10.8”

84hr NAM (lol) but sharing as it’s reaching range. Run ends when snow is continuing to fall.

Thursday

Pretty classic HP position on both models for CAD at least. Maybe an early season thumper to slop?

Please let us know if the cold air is gonna be like the LA Rams defense and strong or the Commanders defense that lets Barkley(warm air) get 200 yds

I’d sacrifice next season if the 6z gfs verified with probably more snow leading up to Christmas.. 40-60” of snow after that 360 hour fantasy storm in mid December for all of New England and very cold.. weenies can dream. I’m sure the 12z runs will be congrats Atlanta then a raging SE ridge

Lol - “no longer possible”. Calendar day records can be deceiving for obvious reasons. Obviously, this is a sign of slow stretches overall. But nothing helps to inflate “last time since” like a calendar day view. I can see why you like them. For example - the stretch leading up to ‘92 was (anecdotally) the slowest of my lifetime. The good news is that just like the ‘78 stretch, epic weather broke out after that. That ‘92 storm was great and disappointing all in one. There was a thump with a primary low, and a bomb on the coastal that was far enough south that it looked to hammer us as it came up the coast. But it was just a tick east. So the airport total was way low. City got a foot, 12-18” southeast, with 3’ in the ridges. It would be a “what could have been” storm if this board existed. But there were places in the southern and eastern suburbs that went on to crack 15” 3 times over the next 13 months.

Good luck. We're all praying you two have the mojo this winter.

The 00z GFS/UKMET/Euro and 06z GFS/GEFS would get most of this subforum to climo snowfall for December by December 5th. Very impressive.

You and I are both on the winter desks this weekend when this potential storm is inside 72 hours. We'll see how this trends over the next couple days!

I agree

The implication is that it will strengthen relatively rapidly if we are to have a reflection event in January, as I believe that we will. I told everyone that this first one would not result in a reversal weeks ago, when social media was whipped into a PV orgy.

From the NWS OKX AFD: SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Key points * Winds of near 20 mph with gusts near 35 to 40 mph forecast for Thanksgiving. High temperatures Thanksgiving mainly low to mid 40s but wind chills stay in the 30s. * Winds of near 25 mph with gusts near 40 to 45 mph forecast for Friday. There is still some model indication of near 50 mph wind gusts being possible. High temperatures Friday mainly in the upper 30s to lower 40s with wind chills staying mostly in the 20s to lower 30s. The key points with the short term will be gusty winds and with the higher winds, cold temperatures as well as wind chills. No measurable precipitation is expected during the timeframe of Thanksgiving through Friday night. There could be a few light rain/snow showers with strong mid level vorticity maximum pushing across on Friday. A much colder airmass will be across the region during the short term.

I am not happy that the chances of me getting a tiny bit of snow will hinge on if the corn stalks in Iowa are too warm.