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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I sorta thought the whole discussion regarding Enso was how it effects weather. I don't think anybody really would care otherwise about equatorial Pacific temperatures outside of Pacific fishermen/shipping interests. -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
That’s a cool front bringing temps from 90 down to 80 -
The Os enter June 1 game out of the wild card. On June 1 last season they were 14 games under .500, second worst in the AL.
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Chester County PA - Analytical Battle of Actual vs. Altered Climate Data
chubbs replied to ChescoWx's topic in Climate Change
The mistake you are making is assuming that your viewpoint and calculations are correct. Over the 1978 to 2025 period Phoenixville warms at the same rate as Coatesville and NCEI Chesco. Its your results that are unrepresentative, not the Phoenixville raw data. You don't match Phoenixville or Coatesville, the two stations with complete data over the 1978 to 2025 period. A big red flag there. No surprise either, the station network you are using is cooling with time. Well documented in this thread and shouldn't be this difficult to understand. You are giving "unrepresentative" Phoenixville a 25% weight in 1978 but only 6% weight in 2025. Devault, almost as warm as Phoenixville, also gets a 25% weight in 1978. Coatesville the coolest station in 1978 is an average station in 2025. You are using a completely different representation of the County in the 1970s and 2025. Different again in 1945 with Coatesville, West Chester, and Phoenixville all in much warmer locations. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Looked good to me! -
55 imby. 30 at Canaan NWR.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
- Today
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"Details remain uncertain, but there is a consensus across ensemble guidance for a potential system to bring showers sometime Saturday." Like clockwork.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
judging by the 45 degrees this morning, maybe this will be the summer that wasn't. I remember we had a summer that wasn't back in the mid '80's , I can't remember the year though. -
I will not
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anotherman started following Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
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It definitely didn't age well lol
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- let the flood gates open
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager posted a topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
So here we are. June 1st and the start of meteorological summer. Will the rollercoaster ride continue, or will we finally sustain normal to above normal temps with good thunderstorm chances? -
The title of this thread is terrible. The first sentence should be deleted.
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- let the flood gates open
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No, 69F is today’s 1,100ft average based on MPV norms. BTV is 74F. In another few days it ticks up to 70-75F.
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That's tough that you guys missed out. It was a very rainy last 9 days of the month here, with nearly 7 inches for the month, mostly falling over those 9 days. The heavy storms on Friday into Saturday came in at 2.95 inches on its own. Hopefully we can all get some rain tomorrow. The weeks looks dry after that.
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Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Really shafted in Lee and Wise Counties over the last 10 Days. 2.75" Total here. 3.69" Monthly Total. Over three quarters of an inch below average.- 250 replies
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
2015's big +PDO is starting to diverge us in the NW, US through the 2nd half of May and now heading into June. Watch out expecting a big Winter month or two like that year, because the PDO was >+1 in 2015. Favorable NAO can help though, of course. -
The latest model data to me is suggesting the Omega block sticks around a while longer but at times its position shifts a bit east allowing pieces of the hot high pressure ridge to move east and into and out of the NYC Metro region. So we go back and forth with 2 days of warmth/heat and then 2-3 days of cool weather. I suspect over time later in June or early July that the warmer/hotter weather may tend to own a little more of the time but I think the unusually amped flow will continue to allow cold fronts to move across the northeast. WX/PT
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https://x.com/runews/status/2060887383738921298
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no other shots of this happening? that's strange
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
These annual ENSO threads have always included US winter forecast discussion. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Maybe we can start a winter thread and keep this one strictly ENSO instead of posting temp and precip maps for winter
