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For s.a.g before gfs

Looking pretty solid for you. I80 north definitely has highest chance of seeing warning criteria. Slightly lower temperatures and higher ratios. A bit further from warm nose pushing north. As low passes by could get some wraparound and lake effect with n to ne flow off Lake Michigan. South of I80 could see warning criteria as well but more south you get there could be more issues with temps/snow ratios and lesser totals. But this looks like a decent spread the wealth event.

00z ICON

57 and moist Actually feels great after the last couple weeks of chilly, dry ball numbing cold.

mid 70s were nice today. 47F now and dropping in the high altitude regions of the District.

12z Euro had us all drooling. Only to have 18z back to reality. Everything else in middle

good win for the caps - rough day for the DMV.

The best winter storm I ever saw was the blizzard of 79. Presidents Day storm no 1 .. I was only 12 at the time... At the height of the storm bwi got 17 inches in 5 hours.. snowfall rates of 3.5 inches an hour. I remember waking up about 3 am looking outside and it was snowing so hard the whole street was lit up. I was 12. And even after all the storms I've seen since.... I still haven't seen it snow as hard as it did in that storm. I remember my next door neighbor measured 24 inches. That blizzard is what got me hooked on the weather and meteorology. Been studying it ever since

Down to 37.9/20.5, looks like a few flakes are flying by the deck lights in the wind. Speaking of, had a 43 mph gust about 90 minutes ago.

I'm off through the weekend so will get to experience this one from the weather enthusiast side. In all honestly, haven't looked at model data since my shift ended this morning lol. How are trends for Chicagoland? Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk

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FWIW..... JMA. Hour 144 and 168

Weenie icon

59 today, still 55 now

https://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/analog.php

Funny you say that, as I’ve been having trouble lately with posts going through. I’ll hit submit and nothing shows up on the forum, and then I have to retype the entire post. Bizarre.

Flipping over to snow…maybe a quick inch before it shuts off? .

Anyone have the link of the CIPS analog site?

coming back to this forum for another year, high on Kuchera maps & "weenie bands"

Outside of the ridge tops, I'm a bit underwhelmed by this wind to be honest. Would have expected more from this CAA.

Gusts to 50 here - but hey no advisory is fine

Got barely a drizzle by me out of all that.

Riding the northern edge on the NAM at long range feels like definite miss south to me.

I think our only shot down here is hoping for some front end scenario. Unless you thread the needle perfectly like 00z, it’s definitely not an all snow event, if there is an event. the problem is, at least to me, the antecedent airmass is marginal, which isn’t super surprising for 12/2