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  2. JoshM
    The difference IMO seems to be how soon it goes from Neutral to negative tilt.
  3. ldub23
    I think it was a miss for SEVA at 18Z
  4. Daniel Boone
    Ugh. Is there even a Model showing that low ?
  5. Vol4Life
    Yea…I miffed by the NBM. It’s interesting that it looks like it uses old data/model runs. Please let us know what you find out.
  6. wncsnow
    But the Euro was farthest south and had highest totals for MBY.
  7. John1122
    Well, for some reason when I select the 00z Jan 30th 2026 NBM 6 hr snow fall at hr 36, it says it's using model runs from Dec 17, 2025 on the NBM dashboard. So I'm not sure which runs of what model they are using but I can't find any model that gives me a half an inch besides the UK.
  8. Chicago916
    What trends? Not seeing anything positive for the IL side tbh
  9. CentralNC
    Personally, I think this is bogus for SE VA.
  10. Scottie16
    .
  11. chris624wx
  12. DavisStraight
    They didn't salt the hell out of the roads like now. We used to sled on our street for weeks back then.
  13. ldub23
    NAM is a huge improvement. gets 5-6 into SEVA and the snow line has moved alot NW to the doorstep of RIC
  14. chris624wx
    yeah, don't love that for SEVA
  15. Freezing Drizzle
    Thanks so much @donsutherland1 I was always envious that my cousins near W-B got more snow than in my hometown. lol
  16. Ravens94
  17. wake4est
  18. jm1220
    Looks just lame altogether other than a 75 mile wide strip near the Tidewater and E NC. 0.3” liquid as snow for Raleigh is notable and I think a warning event down there but nothing historic.
  19. BooneWX
    We need to be as close to that ULL as possible. Compare the positions of the ULL on runs we like vs runs we don’t. She’s getting a bit too far south now.
  20. ldub23
    Confession. I am the one who actually puts out the NBM with a secret snow formula
  21. WeatherGeek2025
    deal! i'll be here blabbing
  22. Wxbear25
    Its crazy how the convection is so pronounced and widespread it creates it own cold pool and shreds apart the ULL over the coast Wild
  23. donsutherland1
    From the KU books: The trough went negative and the storm wound up tracking inland relative to NYC.
  24. John1122
    The 0z NBM was pretty much a repeat of the 18z. Gonna see what models they used. It literally has 1/2 inch for me.
  25. AGardiner87
  26. wncsnow
    I thought digging would help negate downsloping but now I'm not so sure
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