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Ooof I’m sorry. Glad you’re on the rebound.

Sorry I haven't been posting much. I came down with worse pneumonia I ever had. Had to spend 2 days at Hershey medical due my oxygen levels crashing. Now I'm just so damn tired. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Absolutely shacked today. As someone at the base of the Quad said… “A Stowe 4 [inches] fell last night” because that’s what we reported haha.

Why you old fart...lol I was a only a freshman in high school that year, but at least I was old enough to remember the storm, and it was a doozy.

7pm Sun is 0z UTC, which is when it's stopping. Maybe like 1 hour of light after that.

2014 was such a wild winter. That run of snow and cold was incredible. We had snow on the ground for over 40 days at Millersville when I was in college. Surreal

Isn't most of this storm supposed to be after 7pm Sunday?

Do you have a reference for climate change improving crop yield? Most studies I have seen show that adverse temperature and precipitation effects cancel any benefit from CO2 fertilization. As you note yields have increased by improvements in seed varieties, fertilizers, pesticides, irrigation, and better farming practices. The chart below shows how different yields would be in a world without climate change compared to our current one; a “decline” in this case means that in such a world yield growth would have been even higher. Climate effects have been small with more negative than positive effects on major crops. https://ourworldindata.org/crop-yields-climate-impact

Who broke the Bleaklies? Whereas I haven’t been able to get them all evening, I did look at the WxBell interpretation of them. That suggests they’ve cooled closer to the run from two days ago during several Bleaks fwiw. @MJO812

What’s your prediction at this time

Somewhere between 0 to 11 is what the tools say

Preparing to locate the 1 or 2 ensembles members that are still hits, out of 51.

Yeah you wont at winchesters weak ass 1000ft elevation but I’m talking 3000ft+. You basically transform the whole climate regime as you lose close to 8 whole degrees adiabatically! Ofc, this storm isn’t ideal for the elevation component as it’s flooding warmth even up to 850 in some runs with warm air but it’s well within the realm of possibility to get snow there.

I’ve seen you and handsome you are but model drawing quality????

Show us them bad boyz!

I missed the banning thing so can I get the skinny on how we list a great poster ?

-PDO numbers this decade.. 73 straight months of negative: Will warm ENSO break this? January 2026 -1.19 December 2025 -0.98 November 2025 -1.51 October 2025 -2.37 September 2025 -2.31 August 2025 -3.23 July 2025 -4.21 June 2025 -2.64 May 2025 -1.66 April 2025 -1.15 March 2025 -1.12 February 2025 -1.40 January 2025 -1.29 December 2024 -2.03 November 2024 -3.13 October 2024 -3.80 September 2024 -3.56 August 2024 -2.91 July 2024 -3.01 June 2024 -3.15 May 2024 -2.98 April 2024 -2.11 March 2024 -1.54 February 2024 -1.34 January 2024 -1.57 December 2023 -1.66 November 2023 -1.79 October 2023 -2.23 September 2023 -2.99 August 2023 -2.48 July 2023 -2.54 June 2023 -2.55 May 2023 -2.41 April 2023 -3.08 March 2023 -2.45 February 2023 -1.65 January 2023 -1.24 December 2022 -2.21 November 2022 -2.40 October 2022 -1.81 September 2022 -2.28 August 2022 -2.38 July 2022 -2.63 June 2022 -1.31 May 2022 -2.23 April 2022 -2.09 March 2022 -1.67 February 2022 -1.91 January 2022 -2.40 December 2021 -2.71 November 2021 -2.75 October 2021 -3.14 September 2021 -1.96 August 2021 -0.95 July 2021 -2.00 June 2021 -1.82 May 2021 -2.04 April 2021 -1.84 March 2021 -1.67 February 2021 -1.09 January 2021 -0.61 December 2020 -0.98 November 2020 -1.58 October 2020 -0.62 September 2020 -1.04 August 2020 -1.33 July 2020 -0.92 June 2020 -0.75 May 2020 -0.52 April 2020 -1.32 March 2020 -1.75 February 2020 -1.48 January 2020 -1.41 Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) El Nino/-PDO Winters are: 65-66, 72-73, 23-24 La Nina/+PDO Winters are: 83-84, 84-85, 95-96

I told Alek last month it wouldn’t be long until you’re in the 60s and he’s in the 30s along the shore and here we are. lol

It's a slight statistical anomaly, but there is no signal on the 3rd Winter going either way, besides what is normal for El Nino. 2 years of cold and dry maybe begets a drier El Nino.

Isn’t this winter the type of winter everyone was wondering why we didn’t get anymore? The clipper winter.

I’m not sure the preceding two winters being cold really have anything to do with it, does it? It could just be that an El Niño is typically mild where the map is mild and would look that way even if the two preceding winters were mild.

Yup, west of you and in the valley.

Kind of an interesting gradient pattern setting up latter half of Feb. Models have been leaning on the colder side too, overall prob near normal which is good enough for snow chances.

Monterey VA will. Bet that is the snow capital of Virginia. We should descend on that place