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It literally snowed and stuck at 33 even in manhattan yesterday

NYC is on the northern edge of the coastal. This means the heaviest of precipitation will remain offshore. The precip shield is moving north/northeast and is somewhat irregular in pattern. A wider swath will move into the area, generally from the south at around 2-3PM today. Maybe if we all cross our fingers, we could end up getting another 3-5"???

Right around 240, the 12z Euro hits us again.

The EURO AI has the classic southern wake county screw zone

Looking at loop, this area has had the biggest lul of anyone.

It's a crippling ice storm to the south of the snow swath.

Bout time for the hot donuts sign...here we go.

Lots of 3 word replys in the long range.

Tried to tell yall and nobody believed me. Lol

Oy, Gevalt, yes please! But seriously...ignoring the specific amounts, the ensembles (mean at least) clearly has the main swath of snow (and precip) through the area here. Going with just that, it's clear the deterministic GFS is currently outside the main envelope here with giving GA/SC/NC the heaviest snow and/or ice.

Good point. Trough alignment is also a factor in these setups. I remember when PD 2 commenced it was a mere 9 degrees.

Round 2 has started. 80/20% light rain/snow

So the American/Canadian/European models all have the potential event next weekend. The Euro drops 19 inches of digital snow in the Valley.

Back to decent snow i think it was a slight mix for a bit, but temps are dropping.

Oh yes it did. That's a widespread 12+ incher right there.

I was. Just spits of rain and snow now. As usual since 2022 it’s borderline and this is not a comfortable storm for me.

12z Euro making dreams come true out here. Impressive run.

Great for north Carolina and virginia but not much for anyone else lol

Is the pecip going to back in or is the snow later coming from the south?

Wow is that 18 inches here? good god.

Light snow just west of Eden. 37.4°/28.9°

Still snowing

Plenty cold enough with strong CAD.. only 7 days (or slightly less) away. Could be a long week of model watching.