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You can’t stop her. You can only hope to contain her.

Burgers sausages on the grill today's GFS Christmas, Griswold in the pool

At least the 12z ED-209 looks better than 6z.

Long way out, though a warm up is likely; can’t expect to have multiple -10 days in perpetuity.

Euro AI is nothing for Friday outside the mountains. Sunday leans north of us, but dusting for DC, 1” for Baltimore, near 2” along M/D line

My Christmas postcard to Ray...it should arrive by Friday!

melting p good here, wonder what will be left of the pack by tomorrow morning

Your probably right for the most part, but it was 11 degrees here this morning, then clouds moved in before any real sun could warm surfaces up. If we get a thump in the early morning hours, even if temps are marginal, it should have no problem accumulating especially on any subfreezing surfaces. Looks like more shots at some snow this weekend. Hopefully we can score a couple more events in the next 10 days, as it looks like the pattern is going to break down around Christmas. Who knows if it will actually happen that way or for how long, but ensembles are coming into agreement some sort of relaxation may be on the way. NWS seems to be biting onto this possibility as well. Confidence is increasing in a several day period where we have high temperatures some 15-20 degrees below average in the cP airmass through the weekend with highs in the 20s and lows in the teens or single digits. Cold air being entrenched across the region means any additional disturbances are likely to produce snow as the prevailing precip type areawide. While the overall pattern appears messy and ensembles are clearly struggling to agree on timing and intensity of any given wave, confidence is increase in at least one more shot at snowfall over the weekend before long term guidance finally has the eastern Canadian longwave trough breaking down. Stay tuned for more details as we get closer and confidence increases.

The way it looks now, we may be dodging severe weather instead of snow. It'll be wild if we are -5 to -10 for half of December but my snowiest day of the season is November 10th, but that looks to be the case barring a miracle.

Some shots from last night and this morning. We even had a little snowliage here:

I personally don’t see it. Especially a day 16 run. I think more seasonal temps but not a full blown torch. Who knows it may end up being cold. I wasn’t supposed to putting in hay in my thickest coat and muck boots today.

Gotdamn even looks like a damn torch. Let’s just pretend this never happened.

GFS says get the sunscreen out and enjoy your 70s on Christmas

Just one big snow and I’ll be happy. Everyone needs to start doing the big snow dance!! .

7F low Rare to get that cold this early with no snow cover

Of course clouds have rolled in already which will halt any additional warming. Can't even get one sun-up to sundown sunny day...

Rough looks on modeling again overnight and this morning. Between that and what I'm seeing about January, we may be in for a lot of misery this winter.

He enjoys warmth if it isn't cold and snowy

..sort of like with the baseball statgeeks, a lot more information is available which has made everyone into an "expert"despite the lack of training. There is such a thing as information overload as you know. Someone such as yourself knows which weather information to pay attention to and which information to ignore.

Cams and medium range models caved to the southern track the globals have been showing for a while. Should be a solid storm for most of MSP and central Minnesota. .

this is your moment

don't you live in the coastal northeast ?

I went to bed once overtime was about to start, because I knew they would blow it after that debacle that was the regular part of the game. You made the right call lol

Gfs d16 setting up for a severe Boxing Day storm... just the wrong kind of severe