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If you scroll the last few pages there is the typical doom and gloom that we just got lucky with the last event and more cutters to come! People love winter so much, then enjoy what you have instead of what's on a model run 10 days away.

Yesterday I was up at Bolton Valley for some lift-served skiing with a couple of colleagues who were in town for work, and that was a nice change of pace after several days in a row of touring. Apparently Bolton is doing $50 lift tickets on Mondays, so that’s a nice incentive for folks who don’t have season’s passes. Indeed the mountain was fairly quiet with a relatively small number of visitors, so I can see why the discounted tickets make sense. It was fairly cold, with temperatures probably in the upper single digits F at Village elevations, and they must have been near zero F up at the summits. I knew from the temperatures and blustery conditions in the valleys that it was probably a day I wouldn’t have gone out for lift-served skiing, but having my colleagues heading out for turns was enough to tip that balance in favor of a visit. The resort was running both the Vista Quad and the Wilderness Chair, as well as the lower mountain lifts, so they had quite a solid amount of terrain open now that they are operating during the midweek periods. Conditions were decent, with manmade snow on the main routes of Vista Peak, and all natural snow over at Wilderness. Both areas saw substantial weekend skier traffic, and you could tell the snow had seen some wear and tear. There were some slick spots on the manmade surfaces, and some areas of imperfect coverage on the natural snow terrain at Wilderness. This has obviously been a strong early season for snowfall and natural snowpack, but natural snow depths still aren’t quite at the level yet where coverage will really remain fully pristine on steep, ungroomed slopes. The temperatures were also cold enough that the groomed skiing was a bit slow It would be nice to get back up into the 20s F, and it seems like the coldest weather has passed and we’ll be warmer for the rest of the midweek period.

Off topic, but not sure where to post the news, that a move is underway to dismantle NCAR! The critical role NCAR plays in vital / critical research associated with climate assessment and all types of hazardous weather is huge.

Courtesy of Thomas Mabry

2000-01 was the most disappointing in my lifetime. I know this one technically ended with above average snowfall, but the epic snow bust in early March left a very sour taste. Oh what could have been if the forecast had even come close to verifying.

Well yea. You said “many” predicted a warm start so who is “many”?

Can’t have cliff jumping until 21 December, that’s the law in here

Who is upset? People are talking about the pattern to come, not the past month.

39.8 here for a high. Currently 26.8.

30.5 after a pleasant high of 52

So odds are highest in general for January being above average given it is the coldest month of the year climo wise.

People on here never cease to amaze. Month to date I'm running about -7 on the lows and -9 on the highs. Does it need to snow every 3 days or something? It's been plenty cold and there's snow on the ground. That's what you get in the metro in December, we're not in the northern Rockies.

With the back and forth between last rites and "just wait it out" in the ENSO thread you'd expect to see some cliff jumping here.

Not a lot going on in the weather world

That's not a torch lol

Modeling off a little lol forecasted low is 29. Yet according to LWX it's down to 25 already lol

6-9” is a big snow, statistically speaking. whatever parallel universe you and beavis live in must be one hell of a place. -2 for using hoss twice.

If rain moves in sooner it’s meh

You seriously asking me that question ?

It can happen but rarely does. Also if you could read hoss, my first post said big snows and high ratio 6-9 isn't a big snow. Yea you need cold air to get big snows but not in your backyard (temps in teens). Take a break being a clown hoss.

A couple more shots from Sunday's outing that I hadn't had a chance to get in with the first batch of images:

I'm running +7 or +8 month to date here, while Boston is running -7 to -8 month to date...but we've still had more snow than Boston even with less precipitation and a warmer base climate. Really is a pretty weird pattern this month - everything is a bit off from normal flow and progression.

The MJO is what had me concerned when we were discussing modeling may be pushing back west gradually with the big warmth . If it does go six with a GOA Low it could possibly force a deep western Trough . May start seeing bowling balls down the west Coast and then move inland. If that's the case, you may be right about the NAO and it may hook with the Continent Ridge but, the good thing too is that's more rare than the NAO, SER Hookup. If the NAO is Central based, Greenland centered, it's doubtful any mid continent hookup. It may just force that Ridge west and cause it to sharpen between the far western Trough and back building Eastern one. That happened a couple of times in the late 80's and early 90's. . Rather Tricky setup to forecast coming up. Timing of these features is going to affect the Outcome considerably, imo.

the weeklies can be awful-a couple years ago they showed cold all winter and we baked

....or call BS on it beforehand via own obervations.