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From what I've gleaned from here, ENSO since 1950 had 3 very strong Ninos - 82-83, 97-98 and 15-16. That last was the least snowy of 28 winters here. One of the oddest phenomenon in the 1998 storm occurred in the MWN area. The mountain observations included their highest January temp during the storm (since beaten IIRC), and Gorham had mainly cold rain. In between at 1500-2500 ft asl, trees were destroyed by ice. Another weirdness was observed in West Gardner, where the telephone cable had a line of discrete icicles. Falling trees and breaking poles caused the cable to twist, first pointing the vertical-formed 4-5" icicles toward about 8 o'clock, then after another inch formed, twisting it to about 10:30, producing a long parade of hockey-stick icicles pointing at the sky.

Lol….when I read that a couple days ago, I thought the same. Which was that’s pretty close to normal. Of course he was implying that his temps he mentioned were way above average, which they were not.

another week of dry weather looks likely-very un Nino like

Those are like June lows up there in Tolland.

So many camp fires in the Catoctins it is hard to see with the smoke. But most of the next 5-7 days in the 70's? Time for some chilly weather and a front to clear out the smog.

Unless there’s another can kick I’m expecting a wet season. But I’m skeptical of a big snow.

Hour 696... now we're starting to get there!!

This weeks drought monitor showed significant worsening of the drought in central and eastern NC. I can say looking at lake and pond levels it is as dry as it got during the summer, though with the time of year impacts are less. The creek through my farm has been reduced to a trickle and several ponds are almost dry. We need rain badly and big rain

He is a snake oil salesman, so many times has it not even worked out at all.

WB extended GEFS, dreaming of a white Thanksgiving.

Getting pretty close to peak in central MD I think. Probably next week for MBY?

Fog as thick as pea soup this morning.

Some frost on the roofs…but that was it..38 driving into work.

Well no one can complain about not having a fall this year.

Things to get used to this winter :

Beautiful morning today. Woke up early at 7am to study for my test at 9:30 and I'm glad I was able to catch the sunrise over Charlottesville. Had enough low level moisture to get some pretty scattering of the light and the fall colors are probably near their peak. Turned in my climatology literature review of Mid-Atlantic snowstorms relation to the PNA and NAO (which I'll post eventually in here) last night and can't wait to get this test done. I think I'll wake up and try to get some pictures of sunrise tomorrow. I won't miss the 7am darkness once daylight saving time starts in a couple days but I will miss seeing the sun rise.

Same. I think there's potential for some really exciting weather. Not just possibly big snow events. Big wind events, big rain events, crazy temperature swings. All fun stuff.

I feel better about getting snow if the models are showing rain 5 days out.

47 when i.walked out this morning.. felt warm compared to what its been

Looks like the San Diego weather continues well into next week.

CWG’s forecast is what you get if you assume a 2/3rds chance of a near shutout and 1/3 rd chance of a HECS. But that’s not possible in the real world so they end up with a number that I don’t think is particularly likely on its own.

I feel optimistic about this winter.

Hey the last time the Brewers went to the World Series, what happened the season after? A man can hope can't he?