All Activity

Co-sign. Would favor the higher elevations along and west of I-81 where updrafts can get a boost from the terrain, or neat the bay where a bay breeze front can boost some forcing.

It’s too bad it’s so blocky at 500 because that was a good trajectory for southern New England in general. We fucking suck.

I would permanently delete my account and rip up my degree if that storm happened in my lifetime.

Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (2011) NYC: 97 (1933) LGA: 99 (2008) JFK: 96 (1984) Lows: EWR: 47 (1957) NYC: 47 (1930) LGA: 59 (1980) JFK: 48 (1980) Historical: 1853: Worcester, Massachusetts: A tornado strikes the town of Worcester killing 94 persons. The tornado cuts a path as much as a mile wide as it spins through 46 miles of Worcester County. Along the way it destroys steel towers designed to withstand winds of 375 mph. (Ref. WxDoctor) 1874:The highest maximum temperature ever recorded in June in Washington, DC was 102 °F. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1953 - A tornado hit the town of Worcester MA killing ninety persons. The northeastern states usually remain free of destructive tornadoes, however in this case a low pressure system, responsible for producing severe thunderstorms in Michigan and Ohio the previous day, brought severe weather to New Hampshire and central Massachusetts. The tornado, up to a mile in width at times, tracked 46 miles through Worcester County. It mangled steel towers built to withstand winds of 375 mph. Debris from the tornado fell in the Boston area, and adjacent Atlantic Ocea. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1955: April-like temperatures persisted at Wichita Falls, TX. Morning low temperatures each day from the 9th through the 12th fell into the low to mid 50s, as much as 20 degrees below normal. These temperatures of 56°, 51°, 52°, and 55° respectively, remain record lows for their dates. Las Vegas, NV recorded a high temperature of 111°, setting a daily record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1966: Hurricane Alma made landfall over the eastern Florida panhandle becoming the earliest hurricane to make landfall on the United States mainland. 1971: The tornado that struck the town of Gruver in the Texas Panhandle on this date is believed to be the widest tornado in U.S. history with an average path width of 2,500 yards. At times, the monster storm was over two miles wide. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1972 - A cloudburst along the eastern slopes of the Black Hills of South Dakota produced as much as 14 inches of rain resulting in the Rapid City flash flood disaster. The rains, which fell in about four hours time, caused the Canyon Lake Dam to collapse. A wall of water swept through the city drowning 237 persons, and causing more than 100 million dollars property damage. (David Ludlum) 1974: This was the start of the shortest seasonal snow free period on record at Denver, CO. The 94 days began with the last snow of the season was on the previous day (a trace) and the first snow of the next season occurred on September 11th (a trace). (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1975: Thunderstorms that developed over the Springfield, MO. area dropped 3.62 inches of rainfall in one hour. This was the greatest hourly rainfall rate recorded for Springfield. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - Lightning struck Tire Mountain near Denver CO, destroying two million tires out of a huge pile of six million tires. Thunderstorms spawned three tornadoes around Denver, and a man was killed at Conifer CO when strong thunderstorm winds lifted up a porch and dropped it on him. A thunderstorm near Compton MD produced two inch hail, and high winds which destroyed twenty barns and ten houses injuring five persons. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from North Carolina to the Central Gulf Coast Region. Hail in North Carolina caused more than five million dollars damage to property, and more than sixty million dollars damage to crops. Hail three and a half inches in diameter was reported at New Bern NC. Thunderstorms in the Central High Plains produced eighteen inches of hail at Fountain CO. The temperature at Del Rio TX soared to an all-time record high of 112 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Severe weather abated for a date, however, showers and thunderstorms continued to drench the eastern U.S. with torrential rains. Milton, FL, was deluged with 15.47 inches in 24 hours. Record heat and prolonged drought in south central Texas left salt deposits on power lines and insulators near the coast, and when nighttime dew caused arcing, the city of Brownsville was plunged into darkness. (The National Weather Summary) 1991: A tornado struck the town of Minatare, NE, just southeast of Scottsbluff. 20 homes were destroyed with 30 others damaged along its 4 mile track. Damage estimates exceeded $2.5 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1993: Lightning struck a US Air Boeing 737 parked overnight at the Buffalo International Airport in New York. The lightning traveled through the plane to the runway and exploded the concrete runway at the three points of the landing gear. The flying concrete debris caused damage to the fuselage and winds of the plane. The 737 had to be ferried out for repairs. In addition to the damage to the plane and runway, power generators connected to the plane overnight were shorted and blown out. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2003: Q: What's the highest dew point ever recorded? In the USA, the highest dew points (above 80°F) occur near the Gulf of Mexico and in parts of the upper Mississippi Valley. Very high dew points are often found near shallow, subtropical seas. Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, on the Persian Gulf, recorded a dew point of 95°F on July 8, 2003. (Answered by meteorologist Bob Henson, a writer at the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research and the author of The Rough Guide to Weather, June 9, 2005.) 2004: A massive hailstorm with hailstones up to 2.25 inches in diameter struck the south sections of the Denver, CO metropolitan area. Combined damage to homes and automobiles, not including commercial buildings, was estimated at $146.5 million dollars, the 4th costliest insurance disaster in the state's history. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2008 June 7 - 9 , New York, New York: New York City set record high temperatures for three days running: 96 °F, 96 °F, and 99 °F. (Ref. WxDoctor)

If we end up going super so be it. More important is when does it peak and start to fall off as far as winter is concerned.

78 / 48 warmup upon us with low - mid - upper 80s today / Wed. Thu - Sun heat with storms / clouds the caveat from low / mid 90s to upper 90s or higher. Storms prevalent Thu Pm / Fri. Trough into the MW/NE by the 16th with near / below normal and some storms chances. The last 9 days 6/21 and beyond looks warm - hot with brunt of the strongest heat teetering in the area into the southeast.

1.45 at the house

PDS Blizzard and PDS Ice Storm Warnings are coming next fall/winter.

Thursday has been shot for days. Pa/NY

Nam says we enjoy anvil cirrus Thursday

multiple comma head mcs wed-thurs or bust

After the coming trof does its thing this weekend and next week over the GL/OV it will lift out and we go full bore into summer pattern once to about 6/20. Still remains to be seen how much rain we get between now and then. Pattern could potentially produce but uncertain how far east toward our area it will get. Going to get steamy though with some higher dews than we have seen so far this warm season.

Total gut feeling (no science involved) but it feels like the stretch of days where a few people get absolutely smoked by a wind damage core or two and the rest of us maybe hear distant thunder or see mostly sunny skies.

This Thurs may be the best chance for something decent (nothing like the main risk areas tho) IMBY as everything in 2026 except 2 storms in Mar has been pathetic, and all but 1 between midnight and 3am.

JB thinks this winter will be like 97-98 so that's it it's canceled this year.

Despite a good-looking setup for eastern Iowa Wednesday into Wednesday night, all of the morning CAMs show almost all the storms forming northeast, east and south of this area.

Charts

Violently agree. Perfect summer weather!

NAM looks volatile for S WI and N IL Thursday evening.

I’m officially done with rain. Sign me up for a drier period

Wonder what is going on at KRDG since 2021?? Further north higher elevation than Phoenixville but now warmer than the Chesco warm spot.

With the way you’re wording this, it seems to me like there’s double counting of sorts between the warming from GW, itself, and El Niño.

Sucks the strongest shear lags behind the front Friday. but with large CAPE/a bit of an EML we could still pull off some big storms, its just they would be more pulse type and may not be organized