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It is entirely possible that the Sunday system is just getting sampled better. But...I bet the Euro is the likely solution. The GFS has been on steroids this winter for some reason at times. Let's see where this Euro run goes...I am gonna bet it is west of its 6z run but not by a lot. If that storm actually cranks, it is gonna be frigid here.

Let’s keep the Mojo here for now

They had the nicknames Crazy Uncle and Dr No for a reason.

Seemed to work til 2014-2015. Since then much less so. I think after the Euro upgrade in that period the rule kind of went out the window.

wonder if we get some light snow Saturday that never really stops, light flurries and snizzle until what ever shows up on Sunday...days and days of yore.....

They almost always follow each other over the years. Typically whatever Ukie does , Euro follows in various degrees

I know people hate threads for whatever reason but wonder if we need to split off the Saturday stuff. Getting confusing

My expectation for the Euro is that it gets better but not enough to give meaningful snow to anyone….but enough to keep us interested.

UK is just wacky at times. I would not be concerned at this range. I have as matter of fact said the past decade whatever the UK does the Euro does the opposite. I have not kept tabs closely but feels since about 2015 when one makes a notable move at 12 or 00Z the other seems to do the reverse. UK has given many of us along the EC hope only for the Euro to say no. The old rule of them moving in tandem holds less frequently these days

Ya but not for the coastal. Gets snow from some junk wave

The 12z GFS is a wild run...completely different than 6z. Flips the 500 pattern over Alaska after d7. The GEM is steadier. This may have to get settled by the ensembles. @Holston_River_RamblerI was surprised to see some solutions over E TN on the GEFS.

There's a south based +NAO when this system happens (taken out of Chuck's playbook). Usually the trend is -NAO = SE trend, +NAO = NW trend.

yes

Don’t sleep on Saturday either. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a stripe of 1-3” somewhere in the region.

Probably out for the Euro, got a meeting. This mfers want me to do work at work. But i know yall go it. Might peek into the board to see whats doing.

Was gonna joke the UKIE would get cold feet and move the other way. Seems to always begin waffling once inside like 108. I have also said before the last 10 years whatever the UKIE does the Euro does the reverse so watch the Euro have it raining on the Cape now.

Looks like the 12z UKMET was better for northern areas?

Wonder if we're in the waffling back and forth phase with the models now.

I told everybody to fill their meds

I'd be super hyped along the coast in this progressive flow. Could be a chaseable event for the western crew.

Never thought I'd have to move east to see more snow, lol. But these last few years...

You all failed to notice that the Ukie has 1-4” on Saturday for metro corridor and N/W

Kinda weird on the ukmet. Trof is just slower, but looks good but that L is well east. @CAPE is that front running thing stronger messing up the works?

0z vs 12 z

More support and it's Friday.