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Low was 35.4 degrees, chilly but not a record (30 from 1996). No frost here, but lower elevation and down next to the river it is heavy!
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
1982-1983 is the only super El Nino that had kind of a favorable WPO, which is likely why the NE managed near normal snowfall.- 1,174 replies
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Snowman must have missed that part of the seasonal forecast in his tweet regurgitation.- 1,174 replies
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Last call for any final season snowfall reports for Tri-State Area (if you didn't already msg me). I'll have all the final season snowfall maps out this week. If i don't hear from you ill do my best to add the 3 minor events from Mar 3-4, Mar 5-6 and Apr 7 to this map. The numbers on this map were ending on March 2nd (except the climate sites which i already changed).
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Last call for any final season snowfall reports for SNE (if you didn't already msg me). I'll have all the final season snowfall maps out this week. If i don't hear from you ill do my best to add the 3 minor events from Mar 3-4, Mar 5-6 and Apr 7 to this map. The numbers on this map were ending on March 2nd (except the climate sites which i already changed).
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
East Nantmeal finished with an April temperatures of 54.6 (+2.0 degrees above the 2003-2025 average) this is good for the 5th warmest April across 23 years of records. I am working up the overall Chester County climate records today and will share later. Overall with records back to 1893 we should come in close to a top 15 warmest April. -
the same nothing that happens every year on May 1
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
OK fair enough. I see there are factors that result in differences between the hemispheres, though 3 degrees C (about what's shown on that chart) just seems like a bigger range than one would expect as variation. It doesn't seem like the physics would be such that land-vs-water heating rates would be a factor - it should even out should it not? Yes the land heats faster than water, but it also cools faster at night. I could be wrong but I wouldn't think that the cause of heating faster during the day is due to higher level of actual heat absorption, but rather due to the higher level of thermal conductivity of the oceans (they absorb just as much heat - it just spreads out mostly across the depth vs remaining on the surface) Biggest factor though would probably be Antarctica reflecting the energy from the sun back to space. I see another factor is currents; one would think that factor would be minimal, as most currents don't cross the equator; though I know it's complex and there is some crossing. -
A nice cold morning out with a low of 40 degrees.
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AI usually has animals portrayed with some ridiculous human theme.
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You have a nice setting! We've just moved to a new construction home and there's no topsoil at all - just hard, gravelly sand. Gardening is gonna be tough! Having an April with almost a shutout of rainfall didn't help
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Even though the Cansips now gets to +2.0 on the ONI, the RONI looks weaker. So the big warm pool east of Japan seems to be resulting in a record -WPO for such a strong El Nino. Notice how the Aleutian low is substantially weakened and is further south just off of California. I agree with you that we typically haven’t seen cool anomalies near the Great Lakes with such strong events in the past. Perhaps the warm pool east of Japan could lead to a weaker Aleutian low and a more neutral WPO that we typically see with such strong El Niños. We know these long range model forecasts are often full of errors. If they can just get one thing right like the WPO, then I would consider it a valuable contribution. But it’s still to early to know for sure about details like the WPO this far out in time. I guess the one takeaway is that most of the models are now at or above +2.0 for at least ONI.- 1,174 replies
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hal 32 degrees this morning. frost also The bedroom is warmer than the house ,house 64 degrees. -
so what happens now
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
31 was the low this morning with frost. - Today
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
anotherman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Celtics pulled all starters with 8 minutes left. I’m a Sixers fan but that is bizarre. Never seen it in an elimination game. Forget that, I’ve never seen it in a playoff game. They have quit in the 4th quarter in the last two games. -
PHL finishes April with average temperature 58.7 (4.2 degrees above 1991-2020 average and 4.7 degrees above the 1981-2010 average). This is the 4th warmest April on record.
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
PHL finishes April with average temperature 58.7 (4.2 degrees above 1991-2020 average and 4.7 degrees above the 1981-2010 average). This is the 4th warmest April on record. -
2026-2027 Strong El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We had a great blocking pattern for about a few weeks in January, right around the time of the snowstorm.- 1,174 replies
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
so_whats_happening replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Meh weekend but M-W (Wed more east) looks good.
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Completely agree with you. That model is playing catch up big time. It just made a huge jump in one run to a super El Niño, starting to match all the other guidance. That map makes zero sense. You are going to have a raging STJ on roids screaming across the south….solar irradiance, the south isn’t going to be warm in that setup. I expect it to make massive changes in the next few months- 1,174 replies
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Starting May in the 30s!
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ended up with another .11" from last nights little rain event. Sitting at 36 this morning, so perhaps a light frost in colder areas closer to sunrise.
