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  2. Looks like there’s a brief period of high CC before the mixing moves in.
  3. Shouldn't last long. It's pretty much rain now in southborough.
  4. Get well soon! I'm getting sick of having to look up model maps myself.
  5. Same here wasn't expecting it.. I thought we would sleet from the start
  6. Massive parachutes here. Surprised it started off at snow.
  7. That's my thought . We are more likely to get something by luck and chance than the perfect pattern. This maybe comes together???
  8. If those vorts played nicer together this definitely could of been a better outcome at the surface.
  9. Carver, the key imo, for winter to get rocking is the mjo progression. Very important imo.
  10. Spitting sand grains in your old hood. Thought it wasn't supposed to come in till later? Gotta throw a few more logs on the fire pit.
  11. Considering how often progged "good patterns" end up with a whole lotta suck, I'm willing to roll the dice on this boring 15-day models.
  12. A very temp positive PNA before tanking once again, it’s a blimp not a regime shift
  13. They often get upslope snow on the west side there that can be pretty decent too. That whole area is very snowy just very few people around to report it. I had a friend living at 1900ft in Stannard and he always had more snow on the ground than the Stowe base area. It’s just in the middle of nowhere where though.
  14. I am hoping for an unforeseen change in the weather just like the week before Christmas that was advertised as a warm up and then suddenly the models reversed course. I have about 6” of snow left on the ground after the last rainstorm. Going to be painful to lose my winter wonderland. .
  15. 30 years ago tonight, something really big was on our doorstep, I just can't quite remember what it was.
  16. Seems like a weenie spot, was not really aware of it until now.
  17. Today I estimated that a significant portion of the E US (at least the area from Chicago to much of the SE will end up ~5-6 warmer than normal for the first half of Jan. With that, the chance of Jan overall coming in cold is low and warmer than normal overall has a better chance. So, the cold month string will be broken most likely. Plus Dec was mainly NN from the SE to the SL area meaning Dec’s cold didn’t even come close to covering the entire E US.
  18. The 18z GEFS and AI GEFS are AIFS Euro are COLD in the window that we need them to be. Keep the STJ cranked, and let's roll.
  19. With all the cold air we've had and is progged to return, it would be the statistical anomaly of the last 100 years if the MA and ENE would continue near snowless for the rest of the winter. Otoh, it wouldn't shock me if we did, but central/southern VA and parts of NC cash in. That's textbook Niña of late and consistent with the "what happens in December the winter will remember" saying.
  20. Hopefully your neighbor’s Giants inflatable rips apart.
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