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That chart is roughly 5C higher than the one I posted, 8C vs 3C for 2026 for instance. The 5C difference makes sense given the 900m elevation difference in the elevation basis of the estimates.

Yup.

Looking at satellite loops of the tropical Atlantic it looks like June 6th convection-wise not September 6th.

WINTER WINTER WINTER WINTER WINTER WINTER WINTER

I think you mean era, but yeah. I am sure he is happy to be a part of...this. lol.

Some hurricane models now have it close enough for sustained hurricane winds.

Glorious 75 out. Had dinner on the deck.

There's no longer mention of any ring of fire pattern in the local forecast discussion, but they do mention gusty winds ramping up on wednesday and lasting into thursday afternoon along with increasing chances for thunderstorms. At this point in time, it looks that timing will keep severe limited according to the nws.

1. This very strong El Niño has a good chance to start helping out you and other SE dry areas by Nov and hopefully would then continue on/off through March as climo suggests. 2. I ended up getting very little from the late afternoon thunderstorms. It was only ~0.02”.

Might as well circle my house and add D4 on next drought monitor. We’ll have to wait 10 more months for another AN month of rain I guess

They haven't won in the Luis Roberts JR era yet

I'll be in CO this week and 18z GFS says when I get home its 75 with a dew 45

I may be referring to a different article. I was citing a ClimateBrink piece by Zeke Hausfather, which didn't mention bias correction. https://www.theclimatebrink.com/p/what-we-can-and-cannot-say-about

The graph says the temperatures were estimated with ERA re-analysis bias corrected to 5200 feet using regional high elevation weather stations.

The southern tier of NC continues to do well; a nice long-lasting MCC plowed from well west of Charlotte to Brunswick County.

Pretty big shift east today.. maybe Hawaii has some fun after all

-AO is key for cold down here(minus a -EPO), but in a Nino the Aleutian/NE Pac trough position/strength can mitigate the tendency to deliver colder air southward if the flow of Pac air into Canada is overwhelming.

Beautiful outside right now

Anyway, time to start worrying about the Raven's unsteady kicker, and who the hell is going to play the Center position.

That Cowser game saving/walk off robbing catch though!!! To get them to 500!!! The turning point!!! Haven't won since

In Boston by the seaport today and now it’s raining on me. Eff this place.