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I wanted to jump off a cliff after reading his notes.

Not sure how that invalidates the analog.....potential light-moderate-major trifecta is close enough for me.

Thanks for the Cliff Notes

Those were 3 biggies though.

6z AI EPS looks good for Sunday into Monday & the 6z Regular EPS at the end of its 6 day run improved as well

Jesus, 3 systems? I'm overwhelmed with blog overload. I haven't experienced this since...oh, IDK....March 2018??

The OPs have been shifting around on the track and timing every 12 hrs. So we should just use an ensemble blend at this point and hold off on the details for a few days. It’s tough to get one really big storm when the systems are only 48hrs apart. But it’s not impossible. We will need some extra thread for this needle.

I just checked in from yesterday and had that exact reaction! Lmao

2-3 depth in shaded undisturbed places. Down to grass in others, especially where the dogs have been. Pile at the end of the driveway is down to 3 feet tall instead of 4 haha

yeah! First impressions are not always lasting impressions. It was suppressed at 114 but the cold press lagged allowing too much energy to scoot up the wov This morning at 06z that primary over at Charleston need to be down at Charlotte. The AI deterministic really slams us as well as the GEM. They must have tweaked the AI Ensemble. Finally, the poor old timey EURO really can't find the storm.

Temu Washington and Madison?

Philly got nothing on SNE

Same person with a different screen name doesn’t really help.

I was busy and still brushes.. AIGFS was wild.. had a dusting this morning

Fog and 26 this morning a little icy accumulation actually

Philly wiped off the map by AIGFS, I'm headed to their forum for the entertainment value.

The streak ends for me today. Trace depth.

Actually the model consensus is shockingly good for this storm given how far out it is

Geez, not often my area is the cool spot.

yes SSW was to be peturbed, and if so, would not show up at lower levels (lag time). MJO wasnt horribile looking but NAO was going notably + and trough west often means ridge east. Hoping things sort out a bit better moving forward. this weekend looks rather nice.

Eps snowfall responded from 0z too.

Have not been keeping up with this storm threat but might start doing so now that family is asking all about it ha. That 6z AIFS run is near mint perfection. Like Ralph said, a quick glance at the upper levels and you can tell the fail mode here is a slip east

More narrow and local but for some yes