All Activity

12z UK: 3rd run in row w/MDR TD moving WNWNEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURSFORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.8N 41.9WLEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WINDVERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------1200UTC 07.08.2025 120 14.4N 43.3W 1009 280000UTC 08.08.2025 132 16.2N 46.1W 1009 291200UTC 08.08.2025 144 17.6N 49.2W 1010 280000UTC 09.08.2025 156 19.7N 52.0W 1011 281200UTC 09.08.2025 168 21.2N 55.3W 1011 34

CTP discussed record heat in today’s discussion. For June + July 2025: Harrisburg: 76.8F average temperature ranks 7th warmest Williamsport: 74.0F average temperature ranks tied 7th warmest Altoona: 73.1F average temperature ranks tied 3rd warmest Bradford: 67.7F average temperature ranks 2nd warmest State College: 73.3F average temperature ranks tied 3rd warmest For July 2025: Harrisburg: 79.8F average temperature ranks 8th warmest Williamsport: 76.8F average temperature ranks tied 9th warmest Altoona: 74.7F average temperature ranks 8th warmest Bradford: 69.5F average temperature ranks tied 4th warmest State College: 76.0F average temperature ranks 4th warmest

We somehow only received .63 yesterday while 10 miles SW got 5 to 6 and 6 miles SE got 4-6.

Mark, is that you????

Mother nature is making up for all those years of storms messing up Musikfest. It’s very possible that the entire 10-day festival will be rain-free this year, aside from “preview night” this past Thursday.

The CANSIPS (cool) and CFSv2 (warm) are at odds regarding the fall outcome in the central U.S. It will be interesting to see what the ECMWF seasonal forecast shows when it comes out in a few days.

Overall across Chester County PA as if you had to be told it was a hot month! Our average temperature across the county was 77.4 degrees. This is the 10th warmest July on record over the 133 years of climate records beginning in 1894. The top 5 hottest July months were 1999 - 78.6 / 1901 - 78.5 / 2011 - 78.3 / 1955 - 78.2 and 2020 at 78.0. It was also a wet month with an average across the county stations of 6.83" this is the 20th greatest average rainfall in July. The greatest average was way back in 1919 with an average of 11.64" of rain.

Overall across Chester County PA as if you had to be told it was a hot month! Our average temperature across the county was 77.4 degrees. This is the 10th warmest July on record over the 133 years of climate records beginning in 1894. The top 5 hottest July months were 1999 - 78.6 / 1901 - 78.5 / 2011 - 78.3 / 1955 - 78.2 and 2020 at 78.0. It was also a wet month with an average across the county stations of 6.83" this is the 20th greatest average rainfall in July. The greatest average was way back in 1919 with an average of 11.64" of rain.

Does Accuwx app have it?

probably erroneous because of ice cover

Y’all average 6-7” of precipitation in July???!!!

August CAD

Yeah, JFK hasn’t had 100° heat in August since 1983. The warmest JFK has been in August during recent years was 95° in 2024. ISP hasn’t reached 100° in August since 2001. The last time LGA reached 100° in August was 2006. Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of Aug Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1948 101 0 2 1983 100 0 3 2006 99 0 - 2001 99 0 - 1955 99 0 - 1949 99 0 4 1988 98 0 - 1975 98 0 - 1973 98 0 - 1953 98 0 5 2010 97 0 - 1999 97 0 - 1969 97 0 6 2005 96 0 7 2024 95 0 - 2016 95 0 - 2002 95 0 - 1989 95 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Aug Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2001 100 0 - 1975 100 0 2 2006 98 0 3 2016 97 0 4 1973 96 0 5 2005 95 0 - 1999 95 0 Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Aug Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2001 104 0 2 1948 103 0 3 2006 102 0 4 2005 100 0 - 1955 100 0 - 1953 100 0

49.8 this AM...so refreshing. I know the usuals are about to bombard me with charts full of ridges...I get it. But it's simply a nice fall preview.

"Well, in this new, warmer climate, guidance has consistently underestimated the southeast ridge, time of the MJO spent in (insert undesirable phase) and (insert undesired weather)".

If we get a Niño for 26-27 and the PDO improves like it did last year could that be a legit shot for us to finally score?

I’m expecting a -AAM dominant fall

I dream about the weather. Doesn't everyone? D'OH

Thought I was just going to be "crumbed" again with 0.05" before midnight, but overnight something came out of nowhere and gave us a healthy 0.98". Much appreciated.

Drier air is moving in and dewpoints should continue to drop into the 50s this afternoon.

i don't really pay attention to the weather when i'm sleeping

Sunny here. 73/62 Low was 63.

Just starting. Basswood tree is usually the first.

Yeah great indoors-y type weather