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  2. Mrwolf1972
    Euro looking alot like the gfs
  3. Reb
    OP looks real nice. What could go wrong?
  4. mitchnick
    Euro another small tick slower this run.
  5. *Flash*
    Gotcha. I'm just curious what the south did to hurt them, lol.
  6. davidjd1114
    Exactly what I was thinking .
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    6z Euro surface pressure trend: If we just end up with that little lp blob over the Snokies turning into a leeside low......
  8. Save the itchy algae! started following 1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
  9. Save the itchy algae!
    If it’s stopped it’s northward jog already then we’re in business. 1.5 more days until it’s largely locked in. .
  10. Fozz
    Man I’d love to be in Maryland for this as I’ve waited 10 years for this kind of storm, but it will be tough for me. No need to feel bad though, I’m way up north now and can look forward to single digit highs this weekend You all better enjoy this, especially @SnowenOutThere and other young guys who’ve never seen a double digit storm above age 10.
  11. NepaJames8602
    Zero degrees here in my part of the Poconos at 630 am. Wind died down some, and snow pack really allowed temps to plummet. This weekend is now looking more interesting. It's a good thing being on the northern edge 4 to 5 days out imo.
  12. SnoSki14
    Euro AI with a nice hit. Models a bit slower (Sun into Mon) vs Sat evening/night into Sun. Slower is better for us as it allows high to weaken and lessens suppression risk
  13. Paleocene
    I had that thought too. At that point we're calling Gov. Moore to airlift @Jebmanin to shovel us out. Godspeed Jeb Ok that's my banter for the day. Going to lurk mode... Looking forward to today's runs.
  14. RevWarReenactor
    At some point I think ratios are going to matter with this cold. You can clearly see it on the precip maps where we might get less precip but the higher ratios make up for it in snowfall. I think we are any a great spot and if we have a jump north I assume the cold is not as strong and its mostly a wash with accumulations? Euro AI shows only a 2 inch difference between Fredericksburg and Mon county NJ. A distance of 250 miles.
  15. Hvward
    6z Euro now showing a little appetizer on Friday AM. I would consider this a baroclinic leaf out of front of the main storm. Something to watch.
  16. Fozz
    If this thing becomes a HECS, then your middle schooler might get most of the week off regardless of Monday. Thats what happened in 1996, 2003, and 2010.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    6z normal Euro still dropping a 1054 hp south and it is a tick further south than 0z
  18. mitchnick
    If that northern stream trough on the Euro was to sharpen some, it could tug the coastal back, or hold it in place an additional 3-6 hours, then we're not in business but in trouble. Lol
  19. Math/Met
    After a very quick glance, looks like the AIFS took another step in the right direction.
  20. Duca892
    NWS has the NBM at 40% of 5in+ all the way up to Allentown and Philly at 55%
  21. TellicoWx
    Big test for it
  22. Paleocene
    If this thing holds, Montgomery County school children (like my middle schooler) will be annoyed. They have off Monday for an end of quarter teacher grading day. I think the teachers have to report in though, so they will be happy.
  23. kdxken
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    6z continues its tick south:
  25. UnitedWx
    Yup, let's keep that up... to a point. The PV sort of splitting is telling to my barely trained eyes. Hopefully that's legit
  26. fountainguy97
    You know I always thought the gfs was the best model. Haters gonna hate. Was that me saying the gfs is garbage yesterday? No that was fountainguy96.
  27. Holston_River_Rambler
    6z AIFS ha a pretty good look:
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