All Activity

With a few mins left in Sep, its certain that my lowest low for the month will be higher than my Aug low! Insane. I'm also set to have a warmer 3-day stretch this weekend than any 3 this month too, but likely just tie the highest Sep reading. No clouds to be found for the 2nd day here, impressive for this time of year and region.

Watch this be another October where we alternate between 80 degree torches and fall weather.

In the ENSO thread they're saying that the warm blobs are in the wrong places for us.

In a spiritual kinda way, I feel like hurricanes are acting proportional to how our pattern has been the last few years...downsloping, nw flow, ots...not all the time, but that seems like the base state, even more so than usual. We're due for a nor'easter pattern.

Such a great game, such great weather coming up!

Closing the book on September. I'll have an update on what to watch for in October tomorrow.

Nothing really impressive about Imelda on recon tonight. I think the already small opening for Imelda to turn major has closed. The interaction between these two will be a sight to behold though the next few days.

Man was that a good baseball game

Friday, October 31, 2025 8:31AM EDT Winter Storm Warning in effect from 3PM EDT this afternoon until midnight Saturday, November 1, 2025. Moderate to heavy rain continues to move through the region this morning with a few elevated thunderstorms towards central VA and southern MD. This activity will taper off to a few showers and drizzle by lunchtime. Temps all the while remaining unseasonably cold with upper 30s/ lower 40s commonplace. By the early afternoon our attention turns to the powerful and sharp shortwave trough approaching from the WSW providing ample lift for showers and elevated thunderstorms to move into and develop over the I-81 corridor. Mid-level temps will also cool as the shortwave moves in resulting in increased elevated instability with MUCAPE in excess of 250 J/kg possible. As we get into the mid-afternoon hours numerous bands of showers and elevated thunderstorms will overspread the region. The strongest storms could have small to medium sized hail (up to penny sized). As heights crash as the shortwave moves in strong dynamic cooling will take place resulting in rain changing over to a very heavy wet snow from west to east (most likely around 2pm along the 1-81 corridor. 3-5pm in the urban corridor and after 5pm east of I-95.) Snowfall rates will be very heavy in excess of 3-4 inches per hour (possibly 5”+/hr in the heaviest convective bands) w/ occasional lightning from convective elements continuing through the evening. Winds will gust upwards of 30 to 40 mph as the surface low rapidly deepens over the Delmarva peninsula resulting in near-zero visibility at times with the snow. Although this will be a quick hitting storm with snowfall tapering off everywhere before midnight the extreme snowfall rates will result in snowfall totals off 14 to 20 inches being commonplace throughout the majority of the forecast area with localized amounts approaching 24 inches possible. Snow drifts could exceed 4 feet. Furthermore, with the wet paste-like consistency of the snow expected, widespread tree damage and power outages are probable. Once snow tapers off skies will clear overnight with temperatures settling in the mid 20s to lower 30s. Temperatures will remain below average with 40s for highs and 20s for lows through the weekend and into next week. This is going to be a very high impact event that the area will feel the effects from for weeks to come. Please make sure you have a way to get electricity and stay up to date with the changing weather conditions.

Shorter days. Cooler nights. Increasing festiveness. Lowering humidity. Decreasing mosquitos.

Went to a soccer game down in LaFollette at CCHS and it was delayed for half an hour because of lightning. Didn't rain at the house during that time, but it's been raining a decent shower for the last 20 minutes at least.

Just like me, they long to be, close to you. It's a nightmare for European forecasters who are waiting to see what ejects from dying Humberto, model consensus is not that good but something intense could come out and head for Ireland and Scotland Friday-Saturday. Or it could all fizzle out.

Newarks temps are pristine and represent all of the tri-state. All the others look too low and suspicious to me minus isp.

Another 90 at DVN today. Will finish with 0.41" for September here, 2.45" since July 31st. DVN will finish the month with 0.34".

It's like death and taxes.....Kev is going to be upset when he wakes up at 4:00 to run Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Ho hum the Red Sox beat the Yankees. Boring game...

Wouldn't mind getting rid of these leaves so my 43 solar panels get more sun. Cutting some of these down within the next 12 months, but that's here nor there.

or camping toay

Way too early but I can’t resist. Models are showing the first snowfall for the front range mid month.

DCA _NYC _BOS _ ORD _ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA 0.1 1.7 1.6 3.8 0.6 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.9

Lots of northeast winds this month. Makes sense

Those days are gone. Used to be Donner pass meant thigh bones and skulls .Now it's hot dogs and hamburgers...

My daughter's report from around Campton New Hampshire. Foliage pretty much sucks. Lots of dried and dead leaves. Beautiful day for a hike though.

The spread between LGA and Newark is pretty significant for a monthly anomaly no?