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Worst weather today looks west and south with a weak shortwave diving in that same direction. Downslope helps us maximize conditions again in the east while mid level confluence sends that weak disturbance south of us.
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Feels downright cold out. Says it's 55 but with the breeze more like 51. This weekend blows.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 93 (1991) NYC: 95 (1880) LGA: 95 (2007) JFK: 91 (1991) Lows: EWR: 42 (1956) NYC: 41 (1925) LGA: 44 (1967) JFK: 41 (1967) Historical: 1896: An estimated F5 tornado hit Oakwood, Ortonville, and Thomas, Michigan. Forty-seven people were killed, and 100 were injured. Trees were debarked "even to the twigs, as though done by the careful hand of an experienced artisan." Parts of houses were found up to 12 miles away. 1917 - A tornado ripped through southeast Kansas, traveling 65 mph. The average speed was a record for any tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1920: Fussen, Bavaria Germany recorded 4.96 inches of rain in just 8 minutes to set the world’s rainfall record for that length of time. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1955 - Two tornadoes struck the town of Blackwell, OK, within a few minutes time during the late evening. The tornadoes killed 18 persons and injured more than 500 others. Early the next morning a tornado virtually obliterated the small community of Udall KS killing 80 persons and injuring 270 persons. More than half the persons in the community were killed or injured by the tornado. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1967: Boston, Massachusetts recorded destructive winds with a peak gust of 70 mph. 1975: On Raccoon Lake, Indiana, lightning struck the motor of a speedboat and traveled up the control wires, killing the driver. The 38-year-old man was knocked into the water by the bolt. His wife and two children, also in the boat, were not injured. 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned fifteen tornadoes in West Texas. One thunderstorm spawned a powerful tornado near Gruver, TX, along with golf ball size hail and 75 mph winds. A man on a boat on Lake Bistineau in northwest Louisiana was struck and killed by lightning, while the other three persons in the boat were unharmed. The man reportedly stood up in the boat and asked to be struck by lightning. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Unseasonably cool weather prevailed in the Upper Midwest. Marquette, MI, reported a record low of 26 degrees. Thunderstorms in the north central U.S. produced wind gusts to 62 mph at Idaho Falls, ID, and produced 4 inches of rain in less than four hours in northern Buffalo County. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a strong cold front produced severe weather from Oklahoma to Ohio through the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned nine tornadoes, and there were 155 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Hail three and a half inches in diameter was reported at Dittmer, MO, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 90 MPH caused twenty million dollars damage at Rockville IN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Evening thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes in Kansas and Missouri, and there were three dozen reports of large hail or damaging winds. Thunderstorms produced hail two inches in diameter at Cole Camp, and wind gusts to 72 mph at Rosebud. Heavy thunderstorm rains produced flash flooding in central Missouri. Flood waters swept through Washington State Park southwest of Saint Louis, and nearly one hundred persons had to be rescued from water as much as twenty feet deep. The flood waters swept away a number of vehicles, some were carried as much as four miles away. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2008: A rare, large and destructive EF5 tornado created a 43-mile long path across Butler and Black Hawk counties in Iowa. This tornado killed eight people, injured dozens and caused several millions of dollars in damage. The tornado was nearly three-quarters of a mile wide as it moved through the southern end of Parkersburg. A third of the town was affected by devastating damage with nearly 200 homes destroyed. This storm produced the first EF5 tornado in Iowa since 6/13/1976 and only the third EF5 tornado to occur in the United States in the past ten years.
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Breeze is light to moderate, Sun is strong. It's gorgeous out.
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Hit 64 yesterday; today should top that. 68ish in view. It’s been a stair step since Thurs (rock bottom). Definitely an okay weekend for hanging out at least and bbq’n
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Low of 49 here in the lowlands. It's absolutely beautiful this morning. The temp is already up to 60 in my garden as the morning sun advances across it.
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59 / 45 off a low of 48. The mainly cloudy from Tuesday PM - Sat PM has ended at around 96 hours - good riddance. "stormy, bring back that sunny day" - Sunny today near 70 / mid 70s for Mon / Memorial Day. Clouds return at some point Tuesday and pending on that could see some warmer places approaching 80. Some rain overnight Tue into Wed Night 0.20 - 0.50. Clears out later in the day Thu, could be some lingering showers in the morning. A brief warmup on Friday upper 70s / low 80s before trough comes down next weekend but it looks mainly dry. Beyond there once to the 5th much warmer (although the GFS would have round 4 or is it five of cut off) with the western heat coming north and east and height rising first chance at the 90 degree mark in the second week of next month.
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That’s been one saving grace of the rains. It has knocked down a ton of pollen. pine is looming though
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The RONI is back down to La Niña:
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Of course once the oak dongs dangle and drop, the pine pollen starts.
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That bit of sun with now wind was nice this morning. Too bad it couldn't last...
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New England has been very lucky since their last Hurricane Bob way back in 1991. This has been related to the 500 mb heights rising faster north and east of New England relative to the Gulf Coast. The last major U.S. hurricane major landfall north of Jacksonville occurred in 1996. This is a new record for the U.S. Coastline relative to the total U.S. major landfalling hurricanes over a 30 year period. It’s part of the reason that there have been so many high impact major landfalling hurricanes in and around the Gulf Coast recently. Even Sandy was driven west into SNJ near ACY and avoided a New England landfall. This is why it was so damaging around the NY Bight. https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/All_U.S._Hurricanes.html
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46 imby for the 2nd day in a row. KMWN is now at 12.2” of snow since Thursday. That’s impressive even for them given it’s late May.
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2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It was a strong el nino, so you really can't prevent the warm-ups in between. Although, we did get consistent cold and snowstorms in February. (But the winter ended abruptly, as the snow stopped in Baltimore and DC in mid-February, and north of Baltimore by the beginning of March.) However, 2009-10 is the absolute best case for a strong el nino. It's like the modern day 1957-58 (that one also had warm-ups in between storms). Everyone got a good winter, with the exception of the PNW (the Vancouver Olympics were affected by record warmth and a lack of snow) and maybe the Midwest (ask @michsnowfreak, strong el ninos are never good there). -
Canaan Valley NWR down to 25 this morning.
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It's only a matter of time before hurricanes will start forming in the subtropics and start threatening the northeast.
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Was listening to them last night. RIP Mike Peters
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Central PA Spring 2025
Mount Joy Snowman replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 47 and a trace of rain from a late afternoon spritzer. An 8 on tap for today and a 10 for tomorrow. Onward. -
A +7.2° F warming of the Gulf Stream in only 40 years is a big deal and is related to the rise in 500mb heights associated with the Southeast Ridge and Western Atlantic Ridge. But 500 mb heights are on the rise everywhere. So there could also be more remote teleconnections involved spanning all the ocean basins. We have seen the subtropical ridge expansions simultaneously across the entire planet.
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Low was 41.0 degrees, not near a record (35.0 from 2006 and 2013), but cool. MAYBE today will be the day winds finally decide not to blow into the 20's to near 30 mph from the W/NW lol.
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vortex95 started following May 2025 Obs/Discussion
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Cuz ACATT
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Not a soul alive that doesn’t enjoy high dews