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I would hope it’s still snow by 11am, if it wasn’t we’d be screwed

-10° at Detroit is the coldest since 2019. Ann Arbor, the usual cold spot with its bowl effect, hit -21°! This is not my pic but its an incredible shot of sunrise at -10° over the Detroit River in Wyandotte.

Fuk um. I will show everything. Don't care

When does the HRR get all precipitation out of DC/BWI/Baltimore area?

This makes me wonder then, why the NWS actually ticked down the ice amounts for Richmond this morning? Their local office down here reduced the forecasted freezing rain amounts to between a quarter and a half inch. That much would still be crippling, but not as deadly and destructive as nearly an inch (or more) like the Euro keeps saying. .

First anecdote evidence is it’s snowing in Dallas where sleet/zr was forecast by the nam and other short term models last night.

Even with the lower totals still think 8-12 all the way down through Ocean County where I am is excessive. Will find out soon enough.

3 inches here too. Think it may be tough to get to 10 as well.

Just post the 10:1. And do the ratio math for your own location

Highs in the mid to upper 20s on Sunday and Monday should really help road crews out. I thought we were in big trouble when the temps were supposed to be in the teens.

Anyone out on the ice today?

There seems to be a lot of dry air across the northern two thirds of Tennessee. The southern areas are getting snow or sleet. You can see this by the radar signature over Nashville and the hole that surrounds the radar site. Don't know how this is going to affect the forecast or if it will effect it at all.

Less thumpy on the HRRR

HRRR coming in hot. 9” already by midday Sunday.

I think kuchie is just a straight 22:1.

Surface temps are too cold at GSO on HRRR and some others according 12Z sounding at GSO. About 5-degree difference on HRRR and 4 versus NAM 3K.

@so_whats_happening What are your thoughts on the possible SSW/SPV split next month? Do you think we see a 2018 response or something more muted/different?

Has that weird dry spot almost all over Northern Va and MD compared to 6z. Surrounded by heavier stuff in all directions. Strange run but possible

My 21 and 23 year old know nothing different. It’s called a Jebwalk. Should be in the dictionary.

Can we have a degreed Met add a substitute? What's your map for CT. Did you drink too much last night?

DC loses the column between 14-15z, just shy of 0.5" QPF. So, the HRRR is probably a 5-7" event before the sleet.

It must be as weatherbell shows both sleet and snow accumulating for me during the mid-late morning.

UKMET and RGDPS the coldest solutions. Likely on crack. Let's get a couple messenger tics on the big boys starting at 12z

Still all snow by 11AM