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Ahem.

18z GFS a bit of a step back, depending on location. A little worse for me, but still close to 2 inches, but better for S DE, damn near 4". I might consider a trip to Rehoboth since I'm off for MLK day.

This BS event is your only hope now.

The Canadians and skynet versus everyone else. Maybe we can pull a Miracle on Ice 1980 out of our ass....this winter has been about on par with '79-'80.

yep well east for the 2nd batch

We're on the Harry Potter Knight Bus...ahhhhhhhh!

The recon data coming in, i still remember the bad data “claim” 48 hours out from Boxing Day, then 0z was just as west, and watches came out by 3am lol

Gfs just folded

odd but maybe it sees a heavier patch of snow-but yeah I'm skeptical given temps

The HRRR and 18z 3k NAM are all snow for NE TN, albeit very light amounts. The 18z RGEM is rain. When is onset for this?

I’ll do it for the next 20 min then I have to pass on the baton. Nothing noteworthy up to Jan 20 yet.

10 to 1 so fwiw

Welcome to all the posters that are now joining the weekend storm thread

My skies are clear for sure. It hasn't been warm today at all. When I went running this morning, it was 12 degrees I think...one of the top 5 coldest running mornings(this winter) for me. Yesterday was by far the worst. I made the mistake of running down on the river(you know where it is...NI).

Tomorrow looks like dogshit for anyone east of FIT-DXR line.

Based on precip shields, I think gfs and aigfs are converging closer to each other. Whether it’s correct or not, idk. We’ll get better clues at 00z when new upper air data is ingested.

Look at how low the dew points are too. That has to be good for at least onset sleet until the dewpoint rises above freezing. I don’t know I’m grasping at straws here but seen that happen many times.

LFG!

Tomorrow can toss

Once again = RGEM map doesn't make sense especially with the crazy spread of amounts along the coast and an inch and a half in Warren/ Sussex County NJ

Stevie Wonder.

Well, the GFS is much improved for the Upstate and Midlands. Look at S-Central GA.

High of 35 and low of 19 No sun effect and with that low temp light snow will stick almost instantly overnight

Who’s driving this damn bus?

The current 500 pattern did not get can kicked. It arrived on Jan 12th as we noted for at least a couple of weeks prior that it would. I don't think anyone is on a sugar high...The upcoming weekend event was never real as there was a blatant error on GFS modeling where it connected w/ an eastern Pac storm. However, they still had to send hurricane hunters out to make sure. But folks are allowed to get excited. We only live once. And can-kicking is just part of it in the Upper South.