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What are we tracking again ?

The met from MU was touting -20 to -25 wind chills on Saturday.

Caveat being, we didn't have the baseline MC like forcing due to the warm pool back then, so maybe it's bit harder now...but like I said, I still don't think March will suck.

Yes. Seems like we just need to avoid the MJO from getting in the way during March...don't need it. 2001 flirted with phase 8 briefly, then went COD...2018 was actually briefly in MC before going COD.

I mean we are only 3 days into this snowiest month of the winter…so hopefully we can score some during peak climo. But ya…if it plays out like those charts, could be decent as you said. Or all that could change by the time we even get into March a month from now.

CFS?

That was one damaging month. Probably as anomalous as Feb 34 15. But we learned from the past to never say never

I see that Kentucky is getting heavy snow again this evening. This has been one of the most epic winter ever 150 miles north of our area. We are better at warming up from extreme cold and raining than any spot in the nation.

I mean, I'll take the under on me getting 45.5" again, but it will probably be a decent month.

Well after temp change charts posed as a torch, you were due to be next... a torchy post

East side of town, close to Middlefield town line and powder ridge.

18z EPS was a bit better FWIW

Scooter said never happening James (again)

The latest GRAF is also super light with precip. I don't think that the triad is going to get more than a dusting, based on the trend on the short range models

And now I hear rain in my downspouts. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

Just enough to cover up the visible dog pee in the snowbanks. we take

Looks more like March 2018 to me.

Seems like we have a small thread here needle window Congrats weather will

hey guys im working on something can you tell me more exactly where you are in the town (you can base it on surrounding towns) for example Danbury in the center next to the new york boarder, NE Danbury near the brookfield/new fairfield town line, SE Danbury near Redding, etc.. thanks in advance, you can pm me if you want... and anyone else i forgot @RUNNAWAYICEBERG @WinterWolf @EastonSN+ @tavwtby @Kitz Craver @metagraphica @coriolis @WeatherX

YUP.

HRRR is a nothing burger, literally awful

Just saw March analogs for the East are pointing to another below avg month. All extended ens including the euro weeklies say hold up not so fast with the welcome spring talk. And the ens maps showing the spv completely splitting coupled with the AO diving back negative after mid Feb strongly suggests we are far from sustained spring weather. Now if I were to bet, and I think I mentioned it a couple days ago, we will end up with a few more winter weather events, maybe even an anomalous type of late season winter storm that we talk about for a while. There is a fair amt of model support, and when you start to see some conservative and very well-respected mets starting to buzz, this likely has some legs. Probably heading into a roller coaster of weather with some wild results.