All Activity

If you had any cajones, you would go for a walk this morning. Ha, just kidding. Currently 17 degrees here. BRRRRRR.

The 6z GFS is back to normal for Dec 19-29th after a warm run at 0z. Interestingly, the 0z run developed what appeared to be feedback over the PNW. When that occurs, the rest of the run is warm. When it doesn't occur...it is back and forth. For now, it looks like cold air masses will visit(24-48 hour duration) on the 19-20th, possibly the 22nd, possibly the 24th, and then too scrambled to even guess after that. In between the cool downs, there will be chinooks likely. I am really interested to see where this pattern settles after this transition timeframe. But the back and forth pattern might the the actual pattern for a few undetermined amount of weeks.

I saw an 8.8" measurement in NWS PIS (before lake effect), seemed kind of high to me. The wind and drifting made things difficult to measure. I had about 5" at midnight on Saturday based on some manner of averaging and trying to find a decent wind-protected spot. We probably got another 1.5" afterward. There were some decent rates, at times, but nothing like that 2020 event with 4"/hr.

7 down here at my project on the Cane River. 29 now at my house at 4360'. The river partially froze! Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

The first half of the storm was on the wetter side. Ther second half was quite powdery. So it's highly unlikely that Central Park had a ratio of 5:1 or 6:1 which is basically slop. It could be that the high zookeeper or whoever it is measuring was scolded for measuring under a pine tree and was redone to be more accurate.

Hope they’re okay! 16 here this am. This December has been peak winter, which probably means we are cooked for the rest of the season lol

It looks like temps (not right by the river) are ranging rom 7-9F for my area of TRI. It is 8 at the airport. We had wind chills yesterday in the mid-single digits.

15.4. Pretty much bottomed out early and sat around there all night

Xmas Day is the ensembles one to watch

I'm waiting to hear back. The daily climate report and CF-6 showed 2.9". NOWdata, which goes into xmACIS, showed 4.4".

Walt, you always do a fantastic job. You are a living legend in this business and I hope you enjoy taking more time for home and family. Anything you can find time to post on here will be much appreciated. But I can understand you needing to focus on other things in life. I got my first internet connection and computer in January 1997. I quickly found that your AFDs were the best weather discussions going at the time. I didn’t know much about teleconnections or weather patterns in general. But I slowly learned by reading you rich and in depth discussions. When you first joined this forum, I almost couldn’t believe it. Just very grateful for you to have chosen our forum to share all your valuable knowledge. So wish you all the best of luck in your future endeavors.

16.0 F

Currently 8° here at the house. Definitely an impressive airmass for sure!

8 degrees this morning.

15 this morning. Still a lot of ice on open roadways exposed to the winds yesterday, I had to detour around a weather-related accident in Maytown on my way to work.

-SN at 1.7°

Pattern kind of sucks.

I saw the 6z Gfs operational was showing some back end snow. The cold front is nearly neutral. Get it to go a little more negative and we have a shot.

WB 6Z GEFS for Friday.....long shot but a few members have snow.

Chilly morning; sitting at 13.

World News Tonight got the year of the last December snowstorm wrong. It was in 2020, not 2018: https://x.com/ABCWorldNews/status/2000383451434774960 You would think this would be fact-checked before a major news organization like ABC airs it.

Still windy. 9 for a low so far.

Was just about to post this. Seems more likely we don't torch, but rather have only a brief relaxing of the cold.

17. Was expecting colder

1995-1996 -> That one was a wall-to-wall great winter. 2000-2001 -> Okay winter overall, but left a very sour taste with the huge snow bust in March. 2005-2006 -> Very mild January, but a return to winter in February, highlighted by the snowstorm on the 11th-12th. March is mild. 2010-2011 -> Very cold and snowy January, turns milder in February, although a moderate snowfall happens around President's Day. No more snow after that, but we do get one last hurrah of well below average temperatures in late March. 2020-2021 -> January has no snow and above average temperatures until the last day of the month. February is cold and snowy. March is mild.