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?? Only the AI is out and it’s the Best Run in 3 Days.

We’re not at Mid range. Storm basically starts day after tomorrow

So Ukmet, Icon and Euro dont have much of anything. Gfs, Cmc and the AI models at least give us a moderate event.

…AI euro MUCH improved‼️‼️

Forgive me, but...why do you always sound surprised everytine there's model discrepancy in the mid-range? The models are not so good that chaos at this range is some kind of unthinkable thing, lol

Yep, on its own for now

Euro is bleh. Better than 12z but significantly worse than 18z.

Euro still gives us a few inches even with the low way overshore.

Snowing for 18hrs at 32 or below into the night. Think it would do just fine. But also so I believe any these models are right? No

Because it’s so weak. Snow tv

And for you. Good luck getting 5 inches with no rates

Its even worse than 18z after some positives earlier in the run. It might be struggling.

At 84 it throws a mixed bag into region

The GFS shows 2 feet in Sailsbury, what could go wrong?

NE MD likes this run. But everyone else doesn’t. Wild how different the solutions are on every model now even inside 96hrs.

Overall the EC is worse than 18Z but better than 12Z The CMC para is a tick SE of the OP, but improved a lot from its 12Z run.

Maybe for you.

Euro is absolutely horrific. Non event

Icon is by far the worst global and the NAM at 84 or extrapolating past 84 should be weighted 0%. I'd say that regardless it's a terrible model in the short term let alone 60 or 84hrs out. The Euro/UK being OTS is the real concern, not the NAM/Icon powerhouse.

Add the Euro to the “nuisance event” category. It just doesn’t want to budge.

Gefs was with the euro but it shifted way further west.

This run

The Gfs stalls the 500mb low over Ohio and then tracks it down over Virginia Beach. Not gonna help if its over Central PA.

Nice trend. I'll pencil us in for a good 4-8" tomorrow night after further bumps southeast tomorrow.

Not really. We have the ICON showing a nuisance event at best, the UKMET gives nobody anything more than flurries, and the NAM was going to end up pretty weak too. The models are split close to 50/50 right now on the outcome.