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  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, all of the strong El Nino events that worked out in terms of an active east coast winter had a pronounced period of NAO blocking...only real argument to be made is 2002, but that is significantly weaker than this event should be.
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Extreme drought exploded in NC this week. Exceptional drought has developed east of Charlotte: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?NC Hopefully this is the peak
  4. eyewall
    What i observed in Raleigh last night as we actually got a thunderstorm for once this spring:
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Not looking good triad/foothills/mountains
  6. PhiEaglesfan712
    It all comes down to the blocking pattern. Not all strong el ninos are duds. If we get a blocking pattern like 2009-10, then we may just get a very good winter. However, if we get a blocking pattern (or lack thereof) like 2015-16 or 2023-24, then we're more than likely going to get a torch.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't see any literature supporting a 2-3 month lag.
  8. doncat
    Sorry teacher for being late but ... A grade of A from me. Three months of well below normal temps, a 12" snow/ice storm, a 23" blizzard with 54" season total...long lasting snow cover. Not really counting March in my grade but was disappointed that the season ended that way .
  9. tamarack
    March here was +1.8. April will finish at +1.1. Since 1999, April has averaged 44% of available sunshine. April 2026 will have exactly the same. Precip will finish about 1/2" BN - we're at 0.5"-0.6" from the current event and the best is past. Yesterday's forecast of 1-2" for today was optimistic. Month is finishing close to normal.
  10. Paleocene
    Things better turn around in May-June or we are gonna be baked this summer.
  11. smokeybandit
    So all that hype about the washout type storm and it has all shifted south. Another bust of a forecast capping off a terrible winter season.
  12. GramaxRefugee
    Looked like we only got about another 0.10 overnight , so about 0.60 for the event. Not bad really.
  13. WinterWolf
    No wine. Ya might be able to understand it if it was wine. He’s just completely wrong….period. Always on the wrong side of everything, all the time.
  14. dendrite
    Had a visitor last night
  15. dendrite
    I’ve already had 5 on me and 2 latched on. All deer ticks. No rings around the bites yet.
  16. bluewave
    Yeah, late November SSW didn’t translate into weaker Northern Stream until late January and especially February. This allowed the STJ to lead more allowing the KU BM event in late February. But the effect quickly wore off in March and we reverted to the 2020s mean of warm and snowless Marches with a dominant Northern Stream. Plus the NAO has been swinging more from one extreme to the other over time. So we weren’t able to get the extended November to May -NAO of 1995-1996. Several overlapping warming influences working against a 1995-1996 repeat. Especially the overpowering ridge in the Southwest resulting in the 2nd warmest winter for the CONUS.
  17. donsutherland1
    May DCA NYC BOS ORD ATL IAH DEN PHX SEA -1.0 -0.8 -0.3 -1.0 -0.1 0.0 +0.5 +0.7 +2.5
  18. doncat
    0.58" for the event ... Drought goes on with another well below normal month here at 2.50".
  19. tamarack
    Why do I hate ticks? One mid-range (pinhead size) deer tick latched onto my right lower eyelid last evening, within 1/16" of the top edge. After numerous tries I extracted the little horror, but the eyelid is nicely puffed up. The bit of pain with each blink reminds me just how much I despise the critters.
  20. wncsnow
    We need a last minute North trend
  21. powderfreak
    I would assume warmer the further west you go over north.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Does it have the potential to be as poor as 2015? At this stage, absolutely. Are there still avenues to a better season? Sure.
  23. FPizz
    Similar here, .42" Those last 2 freezes were not good for local fruit growers. Read the same for southern NJ as well. https://www.lehighvalleylive.com/outdoors/2026/04/fruit-growers-estimate-some-90-100-losses-due-to-freeze-in-eastern-pa-northwest-nj.html
  24. Itstrainingtime
    Finished with .61" of rain in Maytown.
  25. CAPE
    Using Mesonet data via NWS, Goldsboro is 1.35" for the month and Ridgely 1.09". 1.15" here recorded on my station. Very dry in this area.
  26. dendrite
    +1.8 at CON (before today) thanks to that mid month stretch.
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