All Activity

From 1997 through 2002 central park had 2 winters of 5.5 and 3.5 along with 10, 12.7, 16.3 Also, 1989 was 8.1.

Lol..it was 2:15 when DST was in play, and it was 1:15 while we were in EST. So I guess it’s 12:15 now as Seymour said…so they brought it out earlier now.

Yeah, It's a paste bomb to start.

I think you should too.

What a joke …

I'm here for some clippers, get them to dive underneath us then reinforce NW flow behind them over the warm lakes and you are looking at almost daily shots of snow.

Judah Cohen

It looks like you were right, im gonna be taking the L on this one. Oh well, I thought I was going to get a few inches but that is looking unlikely now.

Nothing has changed in days. This was always an Orange-Sussex-Putnam snow event. As per usual, the only place that thought this was going to somehow be an I-95 corridor snowstorm were the usual suspects on twitter. If you listened to them, the I-95 corridor would have 300 inches of snow every winter

Bottom line from the 12z long range is that we aren't losing this pattern for at least the next 7 to 10 days. We shouldn't see huge storms, but we can definitely score some snow before Christmas.

Timing is always the most incorrect part of guidance.

.

HRRR still giving us hope

That said:

Hot off of BTV's presses

I turn 28 in January and I do remember how horrid 2011-12 was after the big one in October. 2015 with the 70s Christmas week was shocking, and I missed on bigger snows for January 2016 blizzard by barely 40 miles. To some degree I do know.

.

BTV

That sounds like i might get something decent.

I know what you mean ... I don't mean to sound condescending/boomer-ish but, I think that relative to your age they've been less occurring. I remember several in the 1980s and 1990s. They're just not as common anymore - gee wonder why ... They're also no a big deal. If treatment is applied to the walkways and roads they're reduced to a non-story. Problems is, the latter seldom was in time.

EPS mean for Friday-Saturday is a paltry 0.5" or so across the region but that's better then the 0" it had at 06z. Gotta bring her back slowly AIFS mean is 1-1.5" but it clearly does a terrible job of factoring out ice/mix, which does still seem to be in the cards for that time period, unfortunately.

Retreating here for a while; the main thread is a disaster. All rather interesting as the city was never supposed to see any accumulation. I always wonder about the age of our posters as the younger generation has no idea as to how lean winters around here can be.

Who likes alcohol with shoes anyway. Not very tasty.

Yep, some really good ones out there! I don’t like to drink alcohol during week nights because I get up early for work (like 4:30 am), so I love NA brews because I can get my fix anytime not just on weekends. 44 and blazing sun. Can’t be good for temps in a marginal situation.