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Snow looks like it's going to end early here at least. This definitely was an underperformer for me. Was supposed to get 8-12in. Idk if I will even hit that range. Snow quality was a killer early on then all this good banding really hammered I72 south of me. Looking at radar the system seems to be moving very fast.

Very fine pixie dust coming down, just enough for black ice on many rural roads. Started around 11:30, have a compacted half inch or so. Should be picking up here soon.

For early December this is great, but I recall some epic means last season that produced nothing. Not sure if I’ll do a map today but I’m currently thinking C-2 coast including most of New London County and 2-5 elsewhere.

Say what? .

Gfs has ANOTHER storm next weekend lol

If things continue to pan out as they have thus far, ORD is on track to have a top 5 November snowstorm on record.

Ya don’t recall seeing the ensemble means this snowy on all ensembles in early to mid December. Multiple threats to track, Howell we can cash in on 1 or 2.

stacking endless Virga

endless virga?

It looks like you are going to have to be 40+ miles N and NW of NYC (Orange, Sussex, Putnam) to get into accumulating snow from this one

If surprize snow does fall,this is the week historically for it. It might even snow a little tomm am. Who really knows anymore?

Only thing that has varied, and it huge, is the intensity and mid levels.At any rate even a 2 inch cover here would be a great start. Tomorrow's system was at day 5 was a possible snowstorm but alas its dumping at Ohio State Michigan game. We cut we bleed

.4" here!

meh. we should be seeing more ensemble support but its not really panning out for the city proper.

Couple inches would be a nice holiday start.

Ensembles are starting to show snow for our area.

Agree More storms to come in December which should be favorable

I want to believe the euro is on to something. It’s been pretty steadfast. Would go a long way to improving spirits here. most other models confine the snow well NW

Write it down, case closed. Now all we need are is accurate start times.

Hey everyone, long time lurker, first time poster here. Dunno if this is the right topic for an introductory post (mods can move this elsewhere if that's the case) but I've quietly been around online WX circles for the good part of a decade now (as a member on Dr. Jeff Masters' blog and Storm2K), primarily focused on the tropics until recently. I have been slowly branching out to other avenues, in recent years once hurricane season goes dormant, particularly winter weather given my lifelong affinity for the flakes and what not. I know it hasn't been the greatest stretch over the past few years but hopefully we can finally score big this time around, it's been a while. Looking forward to endless hours of model watching with you all

Perfect jebwalk weather

One thing about the EPS mean that's a great sign going forward are the clown maps . When big numbers come up on the mean it means ENS are on to something big occurring in the next 15. Machine numbers this high uniformly in the means is a rare occurrence and I would say 90% of the time a biggie is on the horizon. Now about Tuesday. EPS look like gold here.

white rain for jersey city for an hour then rain

You'd have to believe the Euro has more data and later input time... and more reliable (at least I do). I am sort of surprised it doesn't amp. ECAI does amp and plenty of snow interior. I'll be watching AI temps at 18z and 00z//3 carefully for trends on AI. Banding of wet snow could be a problem for some tree branches just s of I84 in nw NJ sw CT.