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  2. Eskimo Joe
    Yea were probably going to get a 2 MOD. Classic kiss of death.
  3. WinterWolf
    They’re even Worse.
  4. Baum
    If only
  5. Imneversatisfied
    Will someone please post the 18z FRAM?
  6. neatlburbwthrguy
    Any snow coming to north Georgia Monday afternoon?
  7. roardog
    Didn’t it get up to something like 90 degrees or close to it in Traverse City in March 2012? There’s not many guarantees in weather but I can guarantee Traverse City isn’t getting that warm this month.
  8. GBOVolz
    FYI… I ate lunch with Mike Witcher and Anthony Cavallucc. We had some great conversations and it was really cool. I got to learn a lot of stuff that I didn’t know about the weather and just how everything works at MRX. I’m not sure if this is common knowledge and I haven’t heard this but apparently the WPC is going to take over the forecast duties for all of the local NWS stations. I think he said they already do the 4 to 8 day forecast and MRX does the 1-3 day forecast. .
  9. jm1220
    Too high up here but it's impossible to predict in advance where the best banding sets up. The RGEM maybe showed it best with the western snow max then second one over eastern LI. You have the western band with high ratios then the second max with the highest QPF and semi-shaft zone in between in most storms like these.
  10. yoda
    You beat me to my edit lol. I only went by the main page which showed mdt https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/events/
  11. Nomz
  12. yoda
    There was a high risk that day in NC... mod risk was south of the LWX CWA looks like https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20110416
  13. Met1985
    Holy smokes this looks like one hell of a storm. Kind of reminds me of the Blizzard up in Wisconsin about 7 or 8 years ago.
  14. weatherwiz
    yup...not sure what vendors use as an algorithm for those wind gust products but there are as bad as the snow maps
  15. ILSNOW
    Image
  16. tunafish
    Definitely work and you have to be very strategic. To be clear, unless it's a wind blown storm, I only take 10 measurements at 12z daily, not every 6-hr new-snow ob. I also have one of those fancy 40" sticks with a handle, plus an 8' wingspan, so I can space far from my feet. Helps great deal.
  17. Brian5671
    almost always overdone on models as well-got to reduce by 20-25%
  18. Blizzard of 93
    18z GFS still has it.
  19. 09-10 analogy
    Yeah he cites the mid-April 2011 NC outbreak, which tends to get overlooked because of what happened later in that month, but it was substantial. I'm pretty sure we got at least TOR watches in the DC area, and of course there was a HIGH risk in NC. I think we were MOD locally.
  20. WinstonSalemArlington
    Have mercy
  21. jaxjagman
    Where are you?
  22. sbnwx85
    Picked up a surprise inch of snow. Season total at 76.5”.
  23. WinstonSalemArlington
  24. WinstonSalemArlington
  25. Baum
    Seen a lot February’s come up lame on the snow front through the years. Not new. To get back on topic have also seen a lot of these March defo bands with these deep big cyclones surprise on the back end snow front as well through the years. Really don’t want zero windchills with 40 mph winds and a coating come Monday.
  26. Today
  27. Brian D
    Lava being cooled down a bit. Steam bath of Kilauea I bet.
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