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  2. Trade Alonso...are you serious? We just signed him for 5 years, biggest FA signing in 2 decades--that is not happening, man lol I mean you know how dumb that would look? Not to mention the message it sends to future star FAs of his caliber? "Yeah we're committing to you but now half a season in...bye-bye!" Nah dude that particular take ain't it, lol Now Mayo and Cowsee maybe...although lately Cowser has looked like he has a better approach.
  3. Going to end up with convective cloud debris today too and may even see convection begin to pop early afternoon...or maybe closer to mid-afternoon. Pretty healthy looking convective complex (at least from satellite presentation) in Quebec racing southeast
  4. Good catch! That might explain the Euro's being a little blunted. DP handling and timing is going to be factor-able.
  5. Today might be an interesting test as we head into this anomaly scenario. As an entrance/threshold cross ... the most guidance stall T rises to the 87-89 range, but there are a couple ...such as the GFS, have 90-92. The test may only mean how well the guidance 2-m products ( which I hate anyway - ) are going to handle. But it "might" also be some sort of non-Markovian suggestion of how well we are environmentally materializing the virtual modeling. interesting.. It's complex though. It could also be micro-physical processes that more or less alter responsiveness ... It matters if we're at the ceiling and scratching to lift.
  6. Beaten to the punch. Anyway...big dews here tomorrow afternoon on the 3k. I think this limits the mixing potential tomorrow which may be why highs are toned down a sliver Wed compared to Thu/Fri.
  7. Yeah I followed that up ..it may have 68 to 70F in that range now that I think back a little harder.
  8. can see how the lack of rain in central DE has led to dews at least 10 degrees lower than surrounding areas
  9. 06z GFS/Euro try to keep the upper 90s to 100° through Sunday, 7/5.
  10. 84 feels like 90 at 945am on the coolest day of the heat wave.
  11. If Derechoes happen, widespread 100s, and some places will get to 105, on Thursday and Friday. Remember in 2012, when this area got widespread 100 and DC got to 105 after the Derecho.
  12. Interestingly, according to AI/the internet 72 F is the record high. I was curious what it was as we were up top one day in 2009 (maybe?) and it was stunningly beautiful, 68 F and still some snow piles in the parking lot. Got some pics of it around here somewhere.
  13. I recall back in my UML days ... 72 F(~21 C) on the rock pile was a useful metric/threshold for hundo at Logan in WNW classic transport heat scenarios. Not sure if this true over all and SW flow types, but I don't see why not ... provided any south coastal oceanic contamination doesn't take place. Preferable to keep the winds less backed that 240 deg (260 down near Scott...) etc
  14. No guarantee it gets that hot down here (Ft Worth) this summer.
  15. Welcome! Great story, I love all things Pine Creek related ha.
  16. GRR is at -1.4° below normal heading into the final day.
  17. Corona, Queens is one of the prime spots for compressional heating.
  18. What if I told you that the coldest CONUS winter in the 21st century happened during a strong el nino year? And we did it with Nino 1+2 being close to neutral? But for there to be a cold winter in the Northeast or mid-Atlantic in a strong or super el nino, one would think the record warmth would be centered on the PNW or even southwest Canada (like in 2009-10, when record warm temperatures affected the Winter Olympics in Vancouver). Yeah, the only time a robust el nino held for two years was 1986-88, and that el nino dissipated quickly in the 2nd year, setting up the stage for one of the strongest la ninas on record in 1988-89. Prior to the mid-2010s el nino, it was almost a certainty that a strong or super el nino was followed by a strong la nina starting from 1972-73: 1973 - Yes 1983 - No (but we did get a multiple-year la nina, which peaked in the high weak/low moderate) 1988 - Yes 1992 - No (but a major volcano happened, and that might have screwed things up) 1998 - Yes, multi-year strong la nina 2010 - Yes Of course, 2016 and 2024 weren't followed by a strong la nina. Do we think it will happen 3 times in a row that we don't get a strong la nina after a robust el nino?
  19. Yeah, big heat coming. We are now under an Extreme Heat Watch (formerly 'Excessive Heat Watch') for Thursday morning through at least Friday evening.
  20. No, just a couple fans to circulate the air and dry the sweat. Currently 71/71.
  21. IYKYK... Even for someone like me who loves heat and humidity, that's just not fun for anyone.
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