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Light dusting today.

Model compromise definitely gets that 20 or 30 miles further northwest.

Final total 8.5"

Higher end probabilistic forecast bumped up a bit

15 to 1 ?

Warmest extent euro gets during storm.

Gfs didn't look great for next weekend and Euro ain't too impressed either at 12z. I think we'll be holding our breaths on that one too unless the Euro AI is more right than wrong. Edit: Euro just blossomed precip for next weekend! Wtf?

yea its a warm sloppy disaster

Absolutely horrendous!

what trifecta? We havent had anything yet

Final storm total here at home of 9.0”

Looks like for my area, 950mb level tickles 0C at its warmest

Yeah extrapolating the cutoff in Jersey map i saw looked great but now that I see the run it took that jog back over Berks about a 40 mile shift from 0z

If this holds, I get an inch or so on the grass and roof with only marginal surface temps. I got a light dusting today; maybe we all cash in next weekend. Can't remember a trifecta within a week this early ever....

Lord have mercy on us all. And I’m sure there’s other Fredrick and Carroll county crew on here that are vested.

I didn’t think the thermals were too toaster worthy for my locale on either model, warm for sure and on the edge but a chance at some pasty accumulation

There’s an accordion warming up in Rhode Island.

We will when the free shit comes out

Guys look at the thermal fields and not the 10:1 stuff.

I mean, I’d love a GFS solution, but it would be nice if everybody could get some snow.I

You gotta look past the 10 to one nonsense. Also that vendor is absolute clown shows when it comes to those maps.

As Kitz said, blend em and its a nice start.

12z EURO not all that interested. Real sloppy looking storm verbatim

He’s gonna be pretty bad this season. Anyway, you, mappy, Will and mitchnick really are one of the few here who should be vested in this. I lost complete interest after one day last week.