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Not sure if we're under the better returns, but <1/2mi. vis here

The good news is both AI models actually went The other way and was more amped at 18z compared to 12.

1-1.5 inches new tonight on top of .25 this morning.

Since I live at the edge of the Mt. Holly CWA, here's my final post on the storm... We got 2.4" of new snow this evening for a total of 4.1" today and 5.8" over two days, which I'm ecstatic about. Another very pretty snow as it wasn't windy and the snow was wet enough to stick to the trees. Going to finish watching the football game and then go shovel.

I weenie’d myself earlier for talking about roads icing up tonight, but side streets are a legit disaster.

Growth a little better in that band down here

Thanks Ron

Of note, the 18z EPS and EPS AIFS are super similar. The AI is a tick north, but not by much. I can't say I like the trend for E TN at 18z, but we have a ways to go before that gets nailed down. A big trend north or warm nose tomorrow, and I will politely hand this off to the middle and west guys(same for most recent Nina winters!).....again, probably need 3-4 more runs to really get a good handle on where that nose sets up shop. All great storms have the warm nose....need that high to build in. HOWEVER, I do worry a little about suppression w/ the 18z GEFS and EPS losing moisture transport northward....so let's worry about it all. Haha.

About 3 inches today

Snow has ended. 3.3" total. 24.5° 27.7" for the season. Half way there for average. Plenty of winter yet to come.

Yea this evenings batch sucked big time. Maybe we squeeze another 1/2”

Nice band going 495 ish

FWIW. From a respected met Mike Masco..about the upcoming storm ANOTHER STORM SIGNAL NEXT WEEKEND? As one storm exits, another is already on the radar. And once again, the AI European model deserves some credit — it sniffed out our most recent storm well before any of the traditional, physics-based guidance. Now the AI-EURO is back, flashing a storm signal for a southern low tracking east across the country NEXT WEEKEND. What the model is showing: Phasing of the northern & southern jet streams over the TN Valley as a northern shortwave diving in and infusing southern energy. This creates a surface low tracking along the arctic boundary in place later this week. We consider this track a classic “Southern Slider” setup with plenty of cold air in place to the north with moisture binding against the gradient. What could go wrong? 1. Too much cold air → storm suppressed south (big snow for the Deep South) 2. No phasing → weak, disorganized system 3. The model is… full of it (and we crowned it too early) Why this could be legit: 1.MJO heading into Phase 8 — historically favorable for eastern U.S. storms 2.Guidance is very bullish on cold air, usually tied to strong thermal gradients 3. Blocking signals showing up on both the West Coast and western Atlantic

Calling it over at 8:45 pm, as the snow became light around 8:20 pm and looks like it'll be just flurries from here on with precip ending shortly, unless there's a surprise. Anyway, we got 2.4" of new snow for a total of 4.1" today and 5.8" over two days, which I'm ecstatic about. Another very pretty snow as it wasn't windy and the snow was wet enough to stick to the trees. Going to finish watching the football game and then go shovel.

As snow ends now, we had around 0.7" earlier, and around 1.7" tonight. So that's a total of 2.4". With the 1.1" yesterday, that's 3.5" for the weekend. I wasn't expecting anything yesterday so I guess that makes up for today's bust. Around 13.5" for the season (1 inch shy of last winter's final total.)

1 inch this evening total for the day here 1.75. Was expecting more this evening.

Eyeballing an inch from this evenings batch so 2” on the day. 17.5” on the season. Currently light snow and 32

For sure, hopefully we will have a clearer picture by tomorrow evening. We battle the warm nose w/ nearly every big system over here. Will reset and head to 0z.

7.9" just today?

Picked up 2" from this second round to go along with 1" this am so right at my 3" prediction . 2" yesterday so 5" for the two days. Remember late last week when it was looking like less than a half inch for sat and today's storm staying mostly south? At least for my area anyway.

lol I hope you’re right but I won’t feel comfortable until about hour 72 or 48 after last years Feb debacle.

Meat and potatoes snow

Talk about a wet snow…

Looks like it’s aimed at Plymouth cape cod

We went sledding at Blackwater Falls tonight - it was in the low teens with light pixie dust snow. Fun times and highly recommend for those visiting. Currently 13.9 with pixie dust flurries, fire going in the wood stove, and enjoying a martini.