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getting close to a frost Sat night.. hopefully we cool a bit more Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Calm wind.

The subsurface is very impressive also.

Top down drought with all the record warmth and blocking in Canada forced this system too far to our south.

07-08 is one of those rare winters that didn't follow the November/December la nina rule. We got a cold November/December, with a snowstorm on December 5. Instead of a cold and snowy winter, January-April was warm with very little snow.

High of 72 yesterday and waking up to 59. The endless fall continues

Wow what a beautiful naked swirl

0.28" of rain fell here.

Ended up with 0.67” for total event. Overperformer. .

I thought it was a 18-wheeler hitting a pothole. Overall, a nuisance light drizzle/rain. Just enough to keep the critters happy. Still dark, 6:00 a.m.

More boomies..always when we least expect it lol

We pour!

Yeah it’s too bad that thin band down by Plymouth isn’t going due north. That would’ve given us a solid soaking for sure. We’ll take whatever we can though!

Weakening tstm but we’ll take the rain.

Thunder?!

It's a naked swirl

Was this one posted before? I get them all mixed up with their typically fictitious southern battle zones and NE blizzard watches and huge snowstorms and N Plains polar vortices and amazingly enough always warm/dry in the W where E US wx weenies conveniently don’t care: https://www.powder.com/news/east-coast-blizzard-watch-winter *Edit: I just noticed that this is the one posted yesterday that I even commented on lol. I told you guys I get these mixed up and this is proof!

Of course! Although if the background forcing is prohibitive enough it starts to become like those trick shot videos where they are shooting baskets off of buildings

Man a lot to catch up on but it surely has been fun watching the forecasts for MJO over the last week or so. Also just saw OISST just updated they have been doing upgrades so things have been delayed quite a bit, call me whatever but I have this feeling we bottomed out already for ONI numbers will have to see as we go into early October if we continue to see it flatline if not rise. I forget how to look the post up for this I made earlier in the thread but still liking the idea of this look as we go into winter.

But isn’t a KU a pretty random event that can happen in just about any winter if things happen to line up? In other words, isn’t there at least some KU potential every winter (I realize the probabilities vary each winter) because it’s random?

2.88” for the day. Tack on the .27” from last night and that was a solid rain that was needed.

I’m not sure how much sleep I’ll get tonight in anticipation of tomorrow’s NWS drought monitor maps.

Only 0.11 of lt rn, dzl, mist today

Total rain here today 0.00 inches. Now a week of dry weather coming up

Highs: ISP: 74 PHL: 73 LGA: 72 JFK: 72 TEB: 71 EWR: 70 TTN: 70 New Brnwck: 70 NYC: 70 ACY: 69 BLM: 66