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First rain in over a week. It’s been raining since 1:00 at my house, adding up to 0.95”. Thank you God.

Yea, it means no arctic source, but the airmass can work in January-Feb.

I still think S coast to SW CT is were the heavy stuff is . Someone gonna get the the Roman Stein relatively speaking

NWS UPTON, 5 to 7 inch possibility IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers with heavy downpours and a few thunderstorms early Sunday morning into midday Sunday may lead to flooding. Average rainfall amounts are forecast to range from 1.5 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts of 5 to 7 inches possible. Peak hourly rates could reach 2 to 2.5 inches. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

However, you can see stein hiding behind the trees on some of the 18z runs. Just hiding and then when nobody is looking, going from one tree to the next.

I’m not sure why anybody engages with the same poster who has posted “warm and rainy” a dozen times in this thread.

I'll take it and am also drooling over the map @40/70 Benchmark published a few days ago. Both of my guest rooms are put together so plan on coming out for the paste bomb

I like that south to north trajectory that has set up this afternoon in advance of the trough. For my Valley area, this is more conducive to significant rain.

And it just keeps getting muggier and muggier. IAD's dewpoint, 66 for most of the morning, is now a disgusting 72, with only occasional furtive glimpses of sunshine.

Overcast never came. Yet. Still nice and sunny.

Down to 48 this morning. Looks like a few more chances for 40s this coming week.

Formatting got hosed, good catch. Here is the rightly aligned list EWR 1980 - presnet Rank Year Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Total 1 2010 1 2 13 21 11 6 0 54 2T 1993 0 3 9 22 11 4 0 49 2T 2022 0 4 6 20 18 1 0 49 4 1988 0 1 10 15 17 0 0 43 5T 1991 0 8 10 9 12 2 0 41 5T 2002 4 1 5 16 14 1 0 41 5T 2021 0 4 12 11 13 1 0 41 8T 1983 0 0 7 15 11 7 0 40 8T 2016 0 3 3 16 13 5 0 40 10T 1994 1 1 10 16 9 2 0 39 10T 2025 0 0 10 20 8 1 0 39 EWR full record most 90 days in September: Rank Year September 90°+ days 1 1961 9 2 1983 7 3T 1959 6 3T 2010 6 5T 1970 5 5T 1973 5 5T 2015 5 5T 2016 5 9T 1952 4 9T 1993 4 9T 2005 4 9T 2018 4 9T 2023 4

Hrrr weakens the line in PA but then re-intensifies and slams LI/CT

Congrats there

Anyone else drive by Cambridge Reservoir in Waltham lately. It’s empty.

Are you sure we had 11 90-degree days in August last year? I remember the summer suddenly ending after 7/31. I think that should be a one, not 11.

12z RRFS 2.0 and 18z hrrr pillaging. Hope it is right.

Somehow managed normal snows that winter. April snow events helped. Feb storm was fun too.

@Itstrainingtime @Voyager I miss you two handsome whipper snappers .

US National Weather Service State College PA Tornado #49 for PA in 2026: 972 NOUS41 KCTP 120053 PNSCTP PAZ005-120500- Public Information Statement National Weather Service State College PA 853 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2026 ...NWS Damage Survey for 09/09/2026 Tornado Event... .Lafayette Township Tornado... Rating: EF1 Estimated Peak Wind: 105 mph Path Length /statute/: 1.23 miles Path Width /maximum/: 200 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start Date: 09/09/2026 Start Time: 07:19 PM EDT Start Location: 2 WSW Cyclone / McKean County / PA Start Lat/Lon: 41.8097 / -78.6272 End Date: 09/09/2026 End Time: 07:22 PM EDT End Location: 1 WSW Cyclone / McKean County / PA End Lat/Lon: 41.8144 / -78.6054 Survey Summary: At 7:19 p.m. local time September 9, 2026 an EF-1 tornado with maximum wind speeds of 105mph touched down between Bradford Airport and Bingham Road with a maximum width of about 200 yards. It traveled east/northeast and damaged some trees around and west of Bingham Road. The tornado continued through the area of woods east of Bingham Road before doing its most intense damage along and north of Sprester Road. It uprooted and snapped many trees before flipping a trailer on its side. The tornado turned northeast and continued damaging trees into the woods before dissipating as it approached the Buffalo & Pittsburgh Railroad line around 7:22 p.m. local time. We would like to thank McKean County Emergency Management and members of the community who provided firsthand accounts, footage, and pictures of damage. && I apologize that this has already been covered, but If the limited research I did is correct there's only been one minor injury in Pa. That injury was sustained in York county from a blown out window. So at least that's good news.

Look forward to seeing your project when it’s done! if you’re willing to share.

I feel like a DJF mean is going to be deceiving this Winter. There’s going to be a lot of fluctuation from November straight through to March even though the overall trend is warm and wet. My expectations are low enough where anything will be a pleasant surprise. Regardless of temps and snowfall there’s a high probability of it being an interesting winter season for weather to follow. I don’t see a repeat 2015-2016 happening which was just total boring shit weather almost bell to bell.

Made it to 82 ahead of the clouds, now mostly cloudy and down to 79