Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. John1122
    A true frog strangler is growing over me currently. No real movement. Just expanding in size.
  3. A-L-E-K
    Gfs with a death mcs Monday Riding it
  4. snowman19
    Absolutely classic, strong El Niño VP and OLR standing wave convection in place in the PAC now. Fully coupled and Bjerknes feedback has become well established, making it a self-sustaining system. The MJO waves are constructively interfering as well. In your maps, you can see the subsidence around the MC and Indonesia, which is only going to increase when the +IOD gets established over the next month. It’s off to the races now with another massive WWB coming up and another DWKW barreling itself east to warm the subsurface and surface even more, I think we see anomalies reach +10C to +12C in the subsurface in the coming weeks This is a textbook east-based event:
  5. A-L-E-K
    Pulled a hog from the smoke this am
  6. WestBabylonWeather
    Yup
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Plot Twist: the edges of the smoke plumes can act as differential heating boundaries for storms, and the increased particular can act as nucleation for lightning. We saw that in PA/WI/NJ the past few days.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Not the worst look on visible, but for TC genesis it's going to need to be able to fire more persistent convection.
  9. guinness77
    I’m in Babylon right now but the skies seem much bluer today than yesterday and the sun is actually present and normal. I’m heading to Queens now but the smell and feel in my chest is completely gone (for now). Don’t know if it’ll be worse in Jamaica.
  10. weatherwiz
    Should be. Overall best severe threat will be off to the west but should still see some localized wind threat across the region during the evening.
  11. jewell2188
    Wouldn’t it be fitting for smoke to put a damper on our severe potential!? We can find every way to fail here whether it’s snow or thunderstorms
  12. weather0908 started following Mid Atlantic
  13. The Iceman
    5% tor probs tomorrow.... actually a pretty interesting severe set up if we can avoid crapvection.
  14. WxWatcher007
    Just have to stay offshore. Needs to get suppressed in the Gulf rather than dragged back into FL like some models try. Also--just looked at the 12z NAM for tomorrow. Active day ahead?
  15. Spartman
    AQI at 371 and visibility at 1 1/4SM as of Noon. May very well be dealing with smoke and low visibilities the entire day today, especially with storms coming later that day. Certainly some June 2023 vibes going on.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Code Purple Rain to wash the smoke away.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Cool site to track metar visibility. https://cyclonicwx.com/models/metar/neus/vis/
  18. LordBaltimore
    Heavily depends on the fit. If you have any kind of beard or even stubble the efficiency goes way, way down for pm 2.5. Unfortunately learned that half way through a diy brick repointing project
  19. Today
  20. wxmeddler
    Spreading the word from our friends over at MDE.
  21. Carvers Gap
    The "worst" of summer was partially in April! We had all of those highs in the mid and upper 80s. Since then, we have returned to VERY HIGH humidities to accompany relatively normal summer temps. When I go running in the mornings, it is like someone dumped a bucket of water over me by the time I am done. Still working on my winter ideas. This winter is a lean warm, but truly a crap shoot. I tend to think we start slow w/ kind of a meh December with gradually increasing chances. Late Jan to mid Feb seems like the sweet spot regardless of ENSO. I see no real change to that this winter. Somebody from the Plateau eastward could get hammered by an Apps runner or coastal this winter. As for fall, that season just seems hot lately. I do think Nino should temper the excessive heat and maybe bring normal fall temps by late September. Sometimes Nino winters kind of have a false start during October. The heat out West seems to suggest the Nino pattern has begun. Might be a good year for NE ski resorts?
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Smoke definitely waning a bit. I can see two blocks over now!
  23. pazzo83
    yeah DC is back in the Red
  24. Brian D
    Good report on the wildfires. https://youtu.be/E7ncJlSaVCU?si=JLeSRwCxC1fk1lIe
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Zero metering PM 2.5.
  26. Snowacane
    Not even noon yet, and it's already 97. Today gonna be bad
  27. MN Transplant
    Yeah, it is bad, but it is not as awful as 7-8am. I'm down to 191. Hopefully any additional pulses won't equal this morning's mess.
  28. SnowGoose69
    Those mini rounds 14-16z on the HRRR/RRFS could be disruptive to the 18z one if they happen. Ideally you'd want that one to not happen so you don't have clouds in place or too much stability
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...