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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
CoastalWx replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Ray, FFS relax and just enjoy how this unfolds. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
Ginx snewx replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Average depth in a wind sheltered area. The forest in my backyard here helps slow ne and e winds. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
The 4 Seasons replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
That's the place to be with this storm -
My P&C forecast is 12-20 lmao. LFG!
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
ScituateMA replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
New BOX maps. The 1 in 10 map is absolutely bananas for south shore MA. Especially western plymouth County. -
Don’t really have the internet bandwidth to view model runs here, but does it still look like 1:40pm landing at JFK is doable plus 4-5pm driving arrival in central NJ?
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
moneypitmike replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Haven't been there since 2019 or so. Still have the place in Maine (likely for just 1-2 more years) and have a new Pit in Mattapoisett on the south coast. -
That’s exactly what’s gonna happen unfortunately… .
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If the GFS verified verbatim there would probably be 60-70 mph wind gusts along the NJ coast, when you get pressure falls that rapidly the wind tends to overperform the usual gradient rules which might suggest 40-50. There could easily be 30 inches of snow in parts of central NJ also (if there is 100% verification). I would expect that to taper off to 15" by Allentown to n/c MD, so PHL around 24". What is the all-time record snow (storm total) for PHL or any other location in the vicinity? I would be grateful if anyone could post a top ten, partly for comparison and then I could look at analogues (I know there's an analogue list available but they tend to cut those off after a lot of historic 100-150 year storms, for which there are still maps available). I can see some similarity in the track evolution of this with the Blizzard of March 1888 but the heaviest snow with this could fall earlier in the cycle (meaning NJ instead of CT).
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
ineedsnow replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I hate to.say it but the valley might get shadowed a bit -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
moneypitmike replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
That depiction says it all: any of the variance is in E/W placement. No northern opportunity depicted. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
codfishsnowman replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Thank goodness! I never ever thought I would be rooting for that model. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
moneypitmike replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I doubt I'll muster a snow day. Even if if I somehow manage several inches here, my office in Waterville will max at 1-2. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
codfishsnowman replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Are you not way out in NW Mass anymore? -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
ineedsnow replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
ineedsnow replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
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I think mt holly is spot on, 10 to 16” in SE PA seems right. 16-24” in Jersey with largest totals towards the coast.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
ineedsnow replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
GEFS look even slightly better -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
The 4 Seasons replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Hopefully another 6-12er after this. Just looking for one big one in March to give this winter an A and at least 55 60".. assuming this one works out OK -
Nam kutchera is just stupid insane totals. But again has the edge of Ccb in a similar spot to gfs. Western Berks 9" and eastern 26". Kutchera of course.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
moneypitmike replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I'll be better off tracking that one. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
ineedsnow replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
GFS also has another big one Friday -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
The 4 Seasons replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
The GFS machine is nearly identical, mostly noise if anything. GFS is a tick west and more robust. 15-30 region wide except N/NW MA berks cuts off sharply -
Ralph, I too, woke up to go pee BUT, did more than I bargained for, IN MY BED, after reading your initial NAM “poo” post… THANKS‼️
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
moneypitmike replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Last night's 6" brings me to 65" for the season. I'll probably finish around average (80-isih) while this storm will make many in SNE score the winter as an A+.
