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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
MGorse replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
A whopping 0.17 inches last night. -
Go BIG or go home. I want the biggest WOOF ever...... ALEET ALEET !!!!! BECSS !! I will take my chances with the Nino, because the cards will be on the table at times, but will we get a winning hand between Jan 1 st and March ! st. I hope so.
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Pic of a tornado on the James River next to Newport News, VA last night.
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August temps not looking bad, however, I doubt August delivers the rain here that July has done so far. Soon soil temps will peak and start to fall later in August.
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So what is this talk of potential significant rains beginning Sunday time frame??
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I did get an extended power outage out of it though!
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Technically it was a bust for Tuesday during the day. Everything stayed west. Not complaining.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah, it's up up up and away with the AAM it sure seems. You can see what's been driving that so far too. The SH and the tropics. The tropics for obvious reasons. NH hasn't been involved. Feels like the PDO would have some kind of hand in something like that. The south pacific jet though has been impressive. It's also been slamming into the Andes mountains creating periods of +MT. Giving boosts to the AAM. A very slight relaxation after mid July, but the far right of the chart shows it's already firing up again. There was actually a decent -MT recently during that relaxation and AAM remained quite elevated anyway. Now it's climbing again and slated to continue for the same reasons as before. Wait until the NH starts getting more involved in addition to all of that. Models suggesting that could begin to occur as soon as mid August. Will be interesting to see if that timeframe gets delayed or not. -
Today's Highs: ACY: 86 New Brnswck: 86 PHL: 86 EWR: 85 BLM: 84 JFK: 84 LGA: 83 TTN: 83 TEB: 81 NYC: 80 ISP: 79
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Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
...here I am, stuck in a dry zone in Parker..." Apologies to Stealers Wheel, if they're still alive. - Yesterday
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Are we talking about watches or warnings? Seems to me watches are often issued in our area with marginal parameters in place and don't result in an actual confirmed tornado anywhere. Warnings are issued (mostly) based on radar indicated rotation within an ongoing severe storm, for localized (county level) areas. Case in point the cells that were warned on the eastern shore last evening, apparently all produced a tornado. The results from the survey team should be available on Friday.
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