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Feel like that one gives off 0 or 6" of heavy wet snow vibes.

My call is 2-4 for Gainesville Bristow with rapid melting.

+5" (2/20) 52.6 ots Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Still snowing lightly here. Meaty snow storm, unpleasant shoveling.

WTF is this?

I think Tip hit on this earlier today or last night.

Ah I missed the end date on that. Probably still ridiculous though

LOL those tools are useless. Anyway the 12z CMC took a nice step in the right direction.

I just don't see heavy accumulations in Harrisburg. Too warm prior to the storm, too warm during Sunday, late February sun angle. Going to need heavy snow during the night and I don't think we see much of that. My high so far for the day is 48.

Another thing to consider.. mesos will probably start doing better with the dynamics. I think this tucks a bit more than globals show

@GrandmasterB are we doing a MDT contest this time ?

The globals are under modeling the snow totals. It’s time to focus on the short term high res models to see where the best banding will be. The track and intensity at this point should be locked in.

I ended up with 5 Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Yeah he mentioned shut down through Friday with the additional snows.

They northeast can have things we can’t have given their coastal location. I was in DC and NYC for two +20 inch monsters during med school and residency in the first decade of 2000. Also saw some epic fails and nearly snowless winters there. .

You’ll get more than 3”. Some of us probably won’t

This is the more conservative one?

I’m gonna NEED someone to promise me this isnt going to be another case where we spent a week tracking, got excited, convinced ourselves this might be different, then watch Philly get 20” while we get 3” of slop. I need that right now.

Hurricane Schwartz was live on Nick's feed. They are off now (I may have accidentally linked to the page instead of the video).

That includes snow later in the week though

That could be the most ridiculous Kuchera map yet

Anyone have the clown map for GFS?

CMC still kind of meh compared to.others.. state shut down for weeks by Friday is the GFS is right though?

Gfs got us here, but time to lean into the nam, rap, hrrr etc for details. For 48 hours, model after model to some degree is zoning in on Monmouth, ocean county, middlesex nj. Thats the jackpot. The rest of us can suffer with our 12-18. What a ride this winter. Glad it’s back. .

Mike Wankum eased their fears