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Time to break out the ice fishing gear!

Something to watch, on the HRRR, it seems to be focusing on two bands with a dead zone in the middle. One up near or south of dc and the other through Richmond.

The RGEM snow accumulation map I showed in now through Saturday. I should have showed the time stamp and duration. There's a weak mid-level shortwave interacting with the offshore SLP. It could generate snow showers on Saturday. I agree that the Friday and Sunday events are frustration.

Temp holding at 37 currently.

FWIW pretty visible Met Mike Masco posted this.... FWIW!..

https://twitter.com/CapeAnnWeather/status/1996710869364101141?t=xw0bh92Nz0-y6ZfsWPKO_A&s=19

33 with light to moderate snow here. About to head off the mountain for a while. Looks like no precip down that way currently.

1989 I think

How much precipitation will fall in the RDU area? Quarter inch?

42 here … dewpoint at 36 .

your not kidding. 10 degree temp drop in less than 30 mins here. and that squall meant business as well. Traffic around MHT was dumb.

34 here NW of Crossville. I *think* it's just raining here though, lightly.

Looks like two chances of that here this weekend

3.4 with a breeze still. Good chance of a midnight jebwalk tonight.

Gonna have to dig into the archives to find the last time we had lows in the single digits the first week of December.

The 10th/11th doesn't have sturdy legs under it from the indices, but the 8th does. its interesting.. as obviously the intriguing curvatures are hourglassing the flow more so for that latter of the two. It appears the hemisphere is attempting to slip back into an N. Pac favorable pattern after having relaxed for the last 5 days. I'm seeing the WPO is in -delta. The progs from all major ens systems are almost as low as it was 2 to 3 weeks ago. The EPO appears to be completely restructured into a hefty NVA up there and this seen in the spatial layout of the EPS and all of them really, with high coherence. I showed that chart around mid month above... These don't really correlate well with a +PNA at first, and that does nicely ( statistically) explain why the PNA does goes below neutral later next week after Monday's minoring spike. I think this sets the stage for a very cold 10th to Solstice... When the WPO has a modest negative correlation with the PNA, which connotes -WPO eventually subtends to +PNA given time; to some varying degrees of either. -WPO with a alternating EPO and balancing +PNA intervals is fuck it ...no one's following this. look it's going to be a lot colder between the 10th and the 20something than we were led to think this time last week. snowier too follows

2F for the forecast low here tonight. Howling winds. Fresh snow winter says howdy

The rain has arrived here in southern Morgan county. If i use my imagination there might be a very, very melted snowflake mixed in.

I'll take "Words never uttered before by Will" for $1000, Alex.

Nope, there is no advantage in any enso other than dumb luck. Small storms have small stripes and I'm getting lucky. No other factors to consider.

One thing is for sure, it's going to snow...not rain or sleet...but snow. Because it's legitimately cold out. Mazel tov to those further south. I will enjoy my veiled sunshine here in Frederick while I count the crystals sporadically scattered across the hoods of cars. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G19&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

I'm quaking in my boots.

i would post both, but unfortunately I don't have infinite attachment space.

Loudoun County schools 2 hour delay.

This month looks cold. Now we need the stj to wake up.