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Seems like this is similar to the 2018 eruption, which had a pretty trivial impact.

Went from beautiful to shit right around 2pm. Hope we don’t have to deal with any of this tomorrow too.

Can see the cold front pushing south through the area defined by the line of showers on the radar. The SPC surface map shows the wind shift too!

My bad, you're right. It seems like it was an eruption of moderate magnitude at best, though. I wouldn't anticipate major impacts. This what I based this on, which I should have quoted rather than just that chart. How its Current Scale and Potential Rankings Compare Compared to its History: The current eruption has blasted an ash column 15 kilometers (50,000 feet) high into the atmosphere. This height mirrors the paroxysmal 2018 Anak Krakatau eruption, which ultimately released roughly 173,000 metric tons (173 kt) of \(SO_{2}\). If the 2026 eruption sustains this intensity, it could reach similar levels. [1, 2, 3]

Got .87'' here from a severe t-storm today. Probably the worst storm this summer,winds approaching 60 mph and pea to marble hail.

Modeling showed an epic blocking pattern for February until it abruptly collapsed 10 days before it was supposed to start.

It indeed has been. However for some random reason that coinflip has been remarkably consistent in that it is only every other super that snows...(65-66 yes, 72-73 no, 82-83 yes, 97-98 no, 15-16 yes). That's not meteorological but it still bothers the heck outta me for this year, lol

Unless im misreading, that row's title says "typical Anak Krakatau Output", as in likely just averaging out its emissions over time. Doesn't look like there's estimated figures on 2026's eruption just yet

Look what happens when we try doing that during winter storms

Bumper crop of them here with all the rain, bats must be having a field day at night time

Nice day out there. Thought we were going to get a storm dark clouds started to roll in but nothing fell. Cleared up an hour later.

We simply toss the Euro and run with the Cansips.

The worst E US Sept heatwave on record was during El Niño (1925).

.30" in this one. .55" for the day. 1.5" the past 3 days and 2.8" since Aug 22. Maybe the tide has finally turned.

Yep...I made the same post. It is raining now here in Fuquay-Varina but very light. Not going to amount to much. I just want a solid t storm. Not the stuff they got IN SE greensboro yesterday (it was insane) just 40 mph gusts...lightning ans serious rain. I don't ask for much

No it was for my own curiosity. Nobody on fb wound understand this lol especially without seeing the original chart At any rate…this winter could have 1/2 big storms or it could be like 97-98

Shelter in place

Definitionally anything generated by LLM is “ai slop”. AI models have no concern for the truth value of any generated output. They only care about predicting the next token/pixel/line no matter how right, wrong, pretty, or sloppy it looks. Furthermore, LLMs generally suck at broad tasks. They fake confidence and competence. Ask AI about your own special interest or hobby and you will find its output riddled with rather elementary errors in reasoning. Yes, sometimes it has the right “answer” but there is no process, the appearance of a process is just it predicting the actual process that would be there. Now, this only really applies to LLM models, as once you get into machine learning in general you can make it very good at these tasks. But, for what it’s worth, this is why LLMs should never be used in forecasting or forecasting graphic generation (ofc “AI” models are machine learning systems and have value”)

0.00”. Saw the outflow coming before the storms were even here and knew we were cooked

I swear I’m not actually judging lol. Did assume it was going out into the world since it had your FB in the bottom left. For us I guess it’s whatever. But I will say I can also look at 51 ens members and get a sense without this haha

No, the last column...2018 is a different eruption.

I just wanted a dashboard. I didn’t ask for this ai slop. I was just trying to get this something done quickly and it’s for this board only. Normal people wouldn’t have a clue to what this is

The AI graphics without fail just always look like AI graphics. Unlike some folks in this larger debate I don’t hold it against people for taking shortcuts when things aren’t their speciality - I sure as hell am not a graphic designer… but man it looks a special AI-sort of ugly lol.