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Yep! I will put this on my list to get fixed. Appreciate the tip. I am having a lot of fun with it though like wishcasting a SSW

It's always possible a mistake was made, especially considering the massive amount of things I am working on to get it live. I will take a second pass on the cansips to see if I messed something up.

That is quite the model battle tomorrow

That's 12.0" for June 1 thru August 18, probably normal or slightly AN for that period in your neighborhood. August is imitating July a bit. July 1-4: +10.3; 5th on: -1.0; Month total: +0.5 Aug 1-9: +4.7; 10th-18th: -0.4; 1-18: +2.2 I'm guessing August will finish in the +1/+2 range.

Looks like this latest WWB was the strongest of the summer.

EWR: 96 (2002) NYC: 94 (2002) LGA: 94 (1966) JFK: 90 (2009) Lows: EWR: 54 (1958) NYC: 55 (1924) LGA: 59 (1979) JFK: 53 (1963) Historical: 1559: Pensacola, Florida: First recorded hurricane in US history hits Pensacola area driving five Spanish ships ashore in Pensacola Harbor. (Ref. WxDoctor) 1788 - A small but powerful hurricane inflicted great havoc upon forests along a narrow track from New Jersey to Maine. A similar storm track today would cause extreme disaster in the now populated area. (David Ludlum) 1890 - An estimated F3 tornado hit South Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania. About 400 buildings were destroyed in the industrial and more impoverished residential section of town. The death toll was 16 and damage was estimated at $400,000. 1896: The famous Cottage City (Oak Bluffs) waterspout occurred off Martha's Vineyard, Massachusetts. The vortex was 3,600 feet high, formed three times, and was well photographed. 1935: Bangor, ME soared to 104° for their all-time record high temperature. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1939: An F2 tornado associated with a hurricane moved over the 10-mi-wide estuary of the Potomac River. It sank a boat offshore Reedville, VA, drowning a man; another person was killed between Scotland and Dameron, MD. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 1939: Tuckerton registered New Jersey’s maximum 24 hour precipitation record as 14.82 inches of rain fell on the 19th and 20th. (Ref. Hurricane Map and NWS Monthly Weather Review ) 1955: Devastating floods affect much of New England on the 18th and 19th as Hurricane Diane give record breaking rains. Boston, Massachusetts had 8.40 inches in 24 hours, greatest ever on Boston's records. Rains from Tropical Storm Diane fell on already saturated ground from Tropical Storm Connie a week before. Westfield, MA recorded 18.15 inches in 24 hours, to set a state record, while the 24-hour precipitation record for CT was set at Burlington with 12.77 inches. At one point, over 40% of Worcester, MA was underwater. Woonsocket, RI was hit hard as the Blackstone River, normally only 70 feet wide, swelled to over 1.5 miles in width. 82 people died and damage topped $800 millions dollars.(Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1969 - 'Never say die' Camille let loose a cloudburst in Virginia resulting in flash floods and landslides which killed 151 persons and cause 140 million dollars damage. Massies Hill VA received 27 inches of rain. (David Ludlum) 1979: Severe weather and very heavy rains were an unwelcome visitor to parts of northeast Nebraska from this date through the 20th. Hail up to one inch in diameter damaged crops in a strip from 6 miles south of Pilger, NE through Wisner and Pender affecting Stanton, Thurston and Cuming Counties. But probably the most remarkable event occurred in Dixon County where 6 to nearly 10 inches of rain fell in just four hours. This rainfall caused the Iowa Creek to exceed its banks causing extensive flash flooding of homes and businesses in Ponca. The rushing water washed out crops, tore trees from the creek bed and washed out 15 bridges in the county. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1986 - The temperature at San Antonio, TX, soared to an all-time record high of 108 degrees. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1987 - Thunderstorms moving out of southeastern Nebraska spread severe weather into eastern Kansas and western Missouri during the day. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced hail three inches in diameter at Albion, and high winds which downed a large tent at Waterloo injuring a dozen persons. Thunderstorms in Kansas produced baseball size hail northwest of Topeka, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Fulton. Ten persons were injured in a thunderstorm at Princeton KS, and damage to crops in southern Franklin County KS was estimated at 3.5 million dollars. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Raleigh, NC, reported a record hot temperature reading of 103 degrees. Afternoon thunderstorms in Oklahoma produced wind gusts to 75 mph in southern Pittsburgh County. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced 4.50 inches of rain at Morgantown. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Early morning thunderstorms deluged southeastern Delaware with six to ten inches of rain in four to six hours, with local reports of 13 to 20 inches of rain. Twenty-six major roads were closed or damaged, and fourteen bridges were washed out. Flooding caused nearly four million dollars damage to local businesses. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1991: Hurricane Bob made landfall at Newport, RI with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph with gusts to 105 mph. Then the cyclone made a final landfall as a tropical storm at Rockland, ME. Winds reached 80 mph gusting 110 mph at the New Bedford Hurricane Barrier and gusts reached 143 mph at Westport Point, MA, 125 mph at Block Island, RI, 100 mph at Cape Cod, MA and 93 mph at Blue Hill, ME. The storm surge at Upper Buzzards Bay reached 15 feet. 7.84 inches of rain fell in 24 hours at Portland, ME, their wettest 24 hour period on record. Power was out to 2.1 million homes and businesses and damage totaled $1.5 billion dollars. 17 people died. Bob was the worst hurricane in the northeast since Hurricane Donna in 1960. Hurricane Bob did $780 million in damage and a long period of lost power in New England.Bob's Storm Track - Weather Underground (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1991: Strong thunderstorms affected portions of north central and east central South Dakota. In Dewey County, near Ridgeview, a thunderstorm produced about five inches of rain, very strong winds, and hail. The winds blew over three grain bins, one of which struck a house causing considerable damage. Skirting was blown from several mobile homes and shingles were torn from many houses. The storms also produced tremendous amounts of lightning. The Civil Defense Director for Codington County reported that the lightning was so frequent and vivid that he drove for 10 minutes without needing his headlights. At one point a lightning strike occurred within 10 feet of his car. The strike splattered mud onto his vehicle, drained his battery, and caused problems with the car's electrical system. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1992: Tropical Storm Andrew was becoming disorganized as it was being affected by upper level wind shear. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2003: Las Vegas, Nevada: A sudden deluge surprises Las Vegas, dumping 3 inches of rain in 90 minutes, severely flooding the city's northwest sector, knocking out power to thousands, and leaving motorists stranded atop their cars. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2007: Rainfall and flooding of historic proportions struck parts of the Upper Mississippi River Valley continuing into the next day. Rainfall in excess of 10 to 12 inches fell in some areas, with the main swath of heaviest rain centered along a line from Claremont and Rochester, MN to La Crosse, Viroqua and Muscoda, WI. 24 hour rainfall records were set in the following locations: Hokah, MN: 15.10 inches, Viroqua, WI: 9.23 inches, La Crescent, MN: 7.95 inches, Gays Mills, WI: 7.41 inches, The Hokah total also set the 24-hour rainfall record for the entire state of Minnesota. In addition, due to the training nature of the storms, the heavy rain persisted for hour after hour, with rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour common. Flood of records were recorded at the Middle Fork Whitewater River at Whitewater State Park, MN. Many other sites had river crest within the top 5 record crest. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

The earth's #1 motive is self-preservation, and the primary resistance to this objective is prohibitive warmth.

81 / 63 sunny. Warmest of the next 7 days with upper 80s to the warmest locations touching 90. Thursday storms could dump 1-2 inches of rain later in the pm and into the night especially in south/east sections. Clears out and dry gorgeous Friday low 80s, then need to watch either a split weekend or an unsetteled mainly cloudy pair - TBD. Near normal 8/24 - 8/27 before moderating warmer and then overall warm 8/29 - beyond and shot at some late season heat and humidity.

It certainly wouldn't surprise me if the atmosphere and planet tried to establish an equilibrium after the Super Nino. With some data showing earth briefly getting to 2C in 2027 (which is crazy) a pullback is possible, if not likely.

Isn’t that how summer precip has been for a century? It’ll usually average out to near an inch per week, but you sure as hell aren’t getting it that consistently.

I think I relate to his philosophical approach.

It's really hard to guess specifics but I look at it as an indication that the longwave pattern might not be typical. The large scale ridge/troughs may not park where they normally do on average. A key feature with ninos is a deep trough south of the Aleutians and a downstream ridge that blocks strong pac maritime flow into the conus. That's half of the split flow we look forward to with ninos. Screw that all up and things dont look as tasty. I'd sure feel better seeing a more typical +PDO ssta configuration given the strength of the nino. Not saying i expect disaster. Just not crazy bullish on the Pac as a whole.

Agree! I was referring to Roundy was talking about the extreme heat release of the 97-98 El Nino was for the most part what led to a 12-16 yr hiatus in global temps. He thinks this El Nino will do the same. Talked about how the 2022-23 Nino released an enormous amount of heat & with this true Super event on its heels we might see a peak, crash, leveling off of global temps for a few years. Paul is very unorthodox by mainstream, in his views of CC. His views are certainly relevant considering he is a freaking giant in Atmospheric Science. He is not a denier of CC but a strong rejector of "Climate Alarmists" & "Political Activism" getting remotely close to any branch of science. He gets annoyed with so many of the public blabbers have not a clue about the climate mechanisms they talk about.

I think the -NAO signs are more about a beacon of hope in a sea of winter-maelstrom, rather than a "silver-bullet" for the cold season...of it should be, anyway.

Absolutely

Dews near 70° are COC?

Yes, I have noted that the signal for -NAO to develop mid-season also favors some eastern bias. No guarantees...1972 was pre CC, didn't have an extremely hostile polar domain, and was still wretched.

August 19 2007: Record 24-hour maximum rainfall of 15.10 inches set in Hokah, MN (Houston county). This 24-hour total contributed to the record monthly maximum rainfall of 23.86 inches that was set in Hokah during August of 2007. 1980: Strong winds at Belle Plaine severely damage five planes. For Wednesday, August 19, 2026 1788 - A small but powerful hurricane inflicted great havoc upon forests along a narrow track from New Jersey to Maine. A similar storm track today would cause extreme disaster in the now populated area. (David Ludlum) 1890 - An estimated F3 tornado hit South Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania. About 400 buildings were destroyed in the industrial and more impoverished residential section of town. The death toll was 16 and damage was estimated at $400,000. 1969 - 'Never say die' Camille let loose a cloudburst in Virginia resulting in flash floods and landslides which killed 151 persons and cause 140 million dollars damage. Massies Hill VA received 27 inches of rain. (David Ludlum) 1986 - The temperature at San Antonio, TX, soared to an all-time record high of 108 degrees. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1987 - Thunderstorms moving out of southeastern Nebraska spread severe weather into eastern Kansas and western Missouri during the day. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced hail three inches in diameter at Albion, and high winds which downed a large tent at Waterloo injuring a dozen persons. Thunderstorms in Kansas produced baseball size hail northwest of Topeka, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Fulton. Ten persons were injured in a thunderstorm at Princeton KS, and damage to crops in southern Franklin County KS was estimated at 3.5 million dollars. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Raleigh, NC, reported a record hot temperature reading of 103 degrees. Afternoon thunderstorms in Oklahoma produced wind gusts to 75 mph in southern Pittsburgh County. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced 4.50 inches of rain at Morgantown. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Early morning thunderstorms deluged southeastern Delaware with six to ten inches of rain in four to six hours, with local reports of 13 to 20 inches of rain. Twenty-six major roads were closed or damaged, and fourteen bridges were washed out. Flooding caused nearly four million dollars damage to local businesses. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) Observances: 19 Wed National Potato Day 19 Wed World Photography Day 19 Wed National Aviation Day 19 Wed World Humanitarian Day 19 Wed International Bow Day 19 Wed International Orangutan Day 19 Wed National Patient Advocacy Day 19 Wed National Photography Day 19 Wed National Soft Ice Cream Day 19 Wed Revolution Commemoration Day

I'm not in the camp that we are going to continue warming until infinity and beyond, so we'll see....just my hunch. I love people who claim that their "opinions" are 110% grounded in objectivity-bullshit. The evidence is, or should be, however, there is an inherent element of subjectivity to the conceptualization that we arrive at given the facts at hand. No one definitively knows what our climate will look like in 100 years, and those who claim that they do are full of shit....whether or not they have any insight into said cognitive fecal matter is another issue entirely.

Cherry picking again. I had 2.8 in June, 2.22 Aug and 6.98 Jul. it’s been two very dry months and one wet month that came mainly in two events .Your charts as usual don’t show the full story . It’s dry

Roundy has had some great discussion surrounding this over the summer.