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  2. We can tell. It's been an absolute brutal stretch overall since the late 2010s (17-18) and even more so the past 3 years (22-23, 23-24, 24-25). If i was in an area in an area that missed those two first snowstorms 12/14 and 12/26 or they didnt hit at all here, id feel the same. So far this winters been off to a very good start here on a B/B+ trajectory.....tbd, but snow cover, total snowfall and temps have all been good-great. Think E MA and most of the area will cash in on a sizable event for this one.
  3. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/rsi/nesis
  4. Everything was just upped here from 1" to 2-3". Phasing earlier??
  5. Someone with far more insight than me can weigh in, but conceptually, if it stays weak the cold gets pushed east, if something stronger develops, the system continues shifting farther west.
  6. No, you’re right. I was looking at wrong model (GFS) as I was toggling back and forth between pivotal and TT. .
  7. I meant to hit the emoji, but the turd fits better. How can you be getting old if I’m not getting old???
  8. I haven't been NAM'ed in about 4 years. Would love to see it. On side note, GSP AFD is not out yet. I suspect those guys are bit busy with all that's transpiring over the next several days...mountain snow the next 24 hours, bitter cold, and weekend potential. EDIT: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
  9. Are you summoning at February 11th 1983 storm that was a fun one!!
  10. 9.4” here in Media and about 2.67” liquid since November 30th 2025 I’m fine with this above normal for here despite cold dry stretches which is typical in a La Niña winter or any winter.
  11. The GEPS, GEFS and EPS have all had some interest in Sunday, going back 5 days , and it continues. Deterministic interest is only with the GFS at this time.
  12. Retired already? I’m getting old.
  13. But honestly, a nice high-end advisory, low end warning would go a long way.
  14. I don't see that at all. I thought it looked to me like even New England got absolutely nothing.
  15. Mark it down, someone is going to get NAM'ed tomorrow!
  16. Anyways, I don’t mean to get emotional. I’m just so beyond frustrated. I could use something like what the GFS had personally and it’s just like every time I get hit by a sledgehammer. It’s just at this point exhausting.
  17. I’m sure to get to -19 we had snow on the ground that would be interesting. I saw today in center city our heat island is well in effect as weeping cherry trees were flowering and blooming.
  18. Wonder if this morphs into a stronger storm Saturday night with that one being the main event while MLK just shears out.
  19. Its way west of its previous run. Still gives New England a blizzard.
  20. Same with the GEFS, with a slightly better look than EPS with the more DS S/W tilted a bit more negative, it has been trending better. Though the GFS/GEFS/GFS AI/GEFS AI have been the most on board with this system thus far. The member spread is consolidating a lot, though the mean snow hasnt really gone up, theres just a lot more near-misses or slight misses in there now.
  21. I’m surprised it’s not a site your jurisdiction automatically blocks. As a recently retired math teacher, I wouldn’t have a problem with it, but if I needed assistance helping other students, I might ask for your support.
  22. Was hoping for better but this has a ways to go. No sampling and we are mid-day Wednesday and this is a Sunday event.
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