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  2. My gut says we get in on a fair amt of Southern overrunning events this season with AN precip. Majority of these end as rain but the few we end up on the cold side of the gradient will yield chances for classic overrunning thumps (6-10" types). In addition, I expect at least 2 classic Noreasters this winter, at the very least, with 1 potentially being a 'big dog'. Overall, expecting AN temps to go with those AN precip anomalies but we should have some chances to cash-in. Slightly below to near normal snowfall. Going to require quite a bit of.....patience
  3. @kdxken My best Farmall H. Creeper 1st gear, high 4th, and wound out the governor. Use it mostly for over the road work, why it lacks rear wheel weights. Rear hubs aren’t painted because I first had steel wheels on it. Need to find a pic of that setup.
  4. one of several possible scenarios
  5. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  6. Garbage piled on the sides of every street now smells like pumpkin spice?
  7. Today
  8. 2124 “guests” right now. With a whole hell of a lot of nothing going on here. Even radar is as boring as you can get in the continental US.
  9. True. He is pretty solid, but coming off a serious injury. Who knows what the timetable is, thus why the guy with no NFL experience is starting.
  10. Have a 6 hour layover at O’Hare before my flight to Erie so I decided to bounce and enjoy the nice day. 76/63
  11. Kauai, probably not. Ni'ihau may catch the eyewall though
  12. Dewy Wed and Thursday. Should be 1-2 humid days per week ahead of each week cold fropa. Looks very Steiny thru months end . Euro data sniffed that out
  13. Tomorrow will be a bit warmer with the high reaching the lower 80s. Temperatures will likely peak int he lower and middle 80s on Wednesday and Thursday. Another push of cooler air could arrive by Friday or Saturday. Overall, the week looks to be dry with little or no rainfall likely through at least Friday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around September 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.12°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.57°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -24.84 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.209 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 54% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 69.7° (0.5° above normal). The Region 1+2 anomaly surpasses the all-time record of +4.5° that was set during the week centered around June 29, 1983. Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  14. Hopefully we can get some excitement to come up the coast in a couple weeks
  15. Of course it did there was never any debate by anyone not either deluded or immoral - pick
  16. Nice to see there's still a little heartbeat on the muggy meter into September...
  17. High 81f. Awesome boat slip day. Too windy to go out Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
  18. I’m impressed. He missed the “much above average” to where the most subscribers live.
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