All Activity

Looking at mid May relative 1+2, 1997 was +2.2 and rising (it hit +3.0 in early June and +4.0 in early Aug) vs 2026 being +1.3 and rising. Otherwise, 1997 and 2026 are very close in 3, 3.4, and 4. So, that’s why I have 1997 more E based than 2026 as of the mid May snapshot. It’s all because of 1+2, which has a 0.9C diff although it’s a more volatile area since smaller. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/rel_wksst9120.txt

I went for a quick dip no wetsuit after going for a run on the beach Sunday. With the light onshore flow and full sun nearshore water temp was def mid to upper 50s. Water was carribean turquoise at west end 2. Buoy 44065 currently 56.7 2026-05-19 03:50 pm S 19.4 23.3 3.6 5 4.1 S 30.01 - 60.6 56.7 58.5 - - -

https://x.com/ericfisher/status/2056830381765128381?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

i almost had the same prob, but decided not to take the bike to work this AM. currently pouring at MHT

Today's Euro and EPS are steadfast. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

The microclimate over there needs to be studied.

Eps

A little rain here.

WB 12 EURO thru Th.

WB 12Z ensembles through Day 7. Hope they verify!

Really good gust with this storm coming through

Pope doing wet wheelies on the way home?

Water is 48 in Seaside Park based on my Garmin watch and a little aquarium thermometer I stuck to my surfboard. Still in a 4mm wetsuit plus boots and gloves.

Looks like PHL is going to tie the all time May high temp at 97F but not break it. Back down to 96F at 4pm. topped out at 96F imby down to 94F now. doesnt look like anyone hit triple digits.

There it is.

I love living in Arizona.

Point and click caved to the Euro for Saturday. High of 58.

For all I know this could be the rate the water flushes out of my toilet. I don’t even know what I’m looking at.

Too much dry air for now, convection looks flaccid.

I never said that. If you think all that warm water around Nino 4 compared to 1997 doesn’t make a big difference with forcing then I guess we’ll just disagree.

As long as I've got a water source and good AC then I like really hot days like this. Unless I have to be stuck outside in it all day with no way to cool off then it's too much. Probably nostalgia growing up as a kid for me in the 90s and 2000's since my parents had a pool and AC always going in the summer which was really relaxing once you got inside after baking in the heat

High temp peaked at 97 at 2:45pm - down to a comfy 95 currently.

This has actually been adjusted significantly higher with QPF over the past 24 hours...let's see if it holds:

97F at RDU for the 4pm ob. I am already over this shit. That also sets the new record for all time earliest heat to this magnitude.

Storms starting to popalop. I'm in Tip's town RN and it's starting to look ominous.