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It is an absolute guess as to whether or not your region will get another very snowy period. ESPECIALLY with the feast/famine nature of your climo. You JUST had the snowiest time on record a short decade ago. You think there wasnt warming in place already when that snowy spell occurred? I remember back in the late '90s when global warming was a hot media topic and we had a string of mild winters, we heard that "by 2020 this will happen and that will happen and it wont snow" blah blah blah and we proceeded to see the 2000s and 2010s produce multiple severe winters. And whats more, these predictions for a future of radically different weather than was seen in the past are nothing new. Its been going on for centuries, and it never materializes.
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There is a farm on Rte 66 in Columbia, right near the Hebron line, which I've always thought would be a great place to storm watch from, as it has a great view to the west. But it's obviously private land and I'm not sure they'd be excited to have people pulled off the road on their property.
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Central PA Spring 2025
Itstrainingtime replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I thought the same thing this morning...maybe because there wasn't much of a breeze but regardless, it felt every bit like a July morning. -
Central PA Spring 2025
Itstrainingtime replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Have a great day! Eating local? -
April checked in at +0.61C [versus 1991-2020] on UAH V6.1.
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Your sky's gotta be glowing at least now look at high res vis loop. We may actually scour out prior to the real warm front moving through over the course of the next several hours ... but, if that happens the high intense sun will then process the shit out of the prefrontal inversion and we may see a "frontal leap" up to a bicycle ride S of Brian where it stalls until next spring
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GFS has much of it staying west of us again and most of our subforum about an inch or so over the few days. This can still evolve in a way that’s mostly just chilly east wind mist and occasional light rain.
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Muggy out. Picked the wrong time to decide on bedlining the truck bed (needs 5 days without touching water) but all the prep work needs to get done.
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No thunder here, reported 0.17" at 7 AM. Currently in a small patch of moderate RA and upper 40s. Spring signs - inch-long sugar maple and hophornbeam leaves though oak/ash still asleep. Less pleasant - fetched 2 deer ticks day before yesterday as I was measuring the trees I've tracked biweekly May-Sept since 2012.
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When the hell is it going to warm up? Just reached 60
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Last night about 5am was a nice mini event. Gave me just enough juice to keep me happy for a few days. Hopefully something transpires tomorrow even if likely to be non severe
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Wouldn’t be surprised to see tomorrow upgraded to a slight risk. Looks pretty decent for some severe wx. -
You should be getting feedback here for good elevated locations to track. I will give 3 near me although my part of SNE is where Storm come and die. RT 31 Dresser Hill in Charlton Mass, just prior to the food stand) great view looking west. RT 31 in Dudley Ma, at the water tower looking S and E RT 49 in Sterling CT near the Ekonk Hll Farm, great view N and W
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We probably have a shot at something tomorrow night. Euro and ukie still seem way overdone
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I've actually seen some damn good storms doing it.. and 6-1-11 one of the best storms I've seen in Northampton then coming home from that storm the Springfield tornado
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Going to be an interesting anniversary dinner party for us.
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It is nasty out.
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I was just gonna post the same thing. Models not showing much anymore ... most of it stays to the north and west. We probably have to wait until Monday into Tuesday for our soaking. As long as it comes eventually.
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My guess is this weekend will be predominantly dry. Especially tomorrow.
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0.29"
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Today and tomorrow will be warm and humid with highs well into the 70’s with some spots touching 80 degrees if we see enough sunshine. Rain chances to increase tomorrow and will last through Tuesday. Not a wash out but some beneficial rains look to be on the way. We should see some drying by Wednesday, but some shower chances look to continue.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Today and tomorrow will be warm and humid with highs well into the 70’s with some spots touching 80 degrees if we see enough sunshine. Rain chances to increase tomorrow and will last through Tuesday. Not a wash out but some beneficial rains look to be on the way. We should see some drying by Wednesday, but some shower chances look to continue. -
Another day and another chance for severe. Yesterday stayed west and east so hopefully the same happens. There's still lines and trees down all over the city.
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Was awakened by loud thunder. Fortunately sleep reclaimed me post bangers.
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I suspect all weather dweebs had their chosen vantage points and would return to them, like a bear remembers a meal, when ever conditions qualified as an opportunity to eat in the specter of the clouds. Mine was the Coldwell Bankers/Insurance parking lot. It wasn't terribly huge, but Acton is one of those used to be forest townships typically found E of the Worcester Hills and west of I95; scoured out over 150 years of white man cometh farming and cow paths, turned eventually into single story shopping plazas separated by two-lane roads. There's still modestly wooded neighborhoods like all townships of this ilk, but that's not too ideal for dweebing. There were fields over by Acton/Boxborough Regional High School... Baseball and football complexes. Tennis courts etc. That town gentrified straight from 1960 provincial town Americana conservatism, right to self-righteous yuppification through the 1980s and '90s... replete with ultra competitive socially abusing rich shit assholes. Imagine a "Beverly's 90210" clone, only uncensored reality. The town actually built a parking lot for the high school students ( high school students!). On any given day ...one might see a BMW SUVs parked out among the other vehicles that no mere Junior in high school has any business sniffin' the interior of... Little oligarch larvae. I dunno. But it's a helluva lot different than when I was there hiding, lest risk ridicule for standing in fields watching TCU's poke up over the tree-lines ... waiting passionately to hear distant thunder murmurs. In other words ... kind of off-limits. I used stand there, arms crossed, in the old Coldwell parking lot, sometimes for up to an hour... I came to be known by the employees, too. Like, omg? What a dork... You ever think back to a time or place or event whence you were a part, and just seethe in private embarrassment? But one time someone emerged from the front of the building and as they passed by, she said, "We see you out here; what are looking for?" I had to laugh... I explained that I was a Meteorology major, the college I was attending ... prefacing the response regarding observing the thunder clouds. That actually made me feel a lot less self-conscious about being a creepy figure just loitering around outside their office windows... haha. She actually took interest and sidled up next to me and started looking at the features I was pointing out to her. Quite validating actually. I wasn't just a chapter out of a J.D. Salinger novel. I don't do that for every day crispy TCU's anymore. You get older and the art of it is reused. But, I do upon occasion stop and gawk if there's suspicion for rotation or just exceptional circumstances in general.