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Actually pretty darn close lol

Does it look at HR36 of the 00Z Nam that the cold press seem a tad more stout with would help flatten the heights and bring in more of stronger cad. I'm learning more now that i have the time but if I'm off please forgive me

Welcome to the board! GFS usually starts around 10:30

I’m ingesting a barrel aged stout

Time to brew some coffee and smoke a joint before the 00z suite rolls in, I suggest others do the same

I don't think we got a firm clarification, but I believe the NAM doesn't have the recon data in it, just FYI

OMG Frankie! I haven't heard from him in years, glad he's still at it! To hear him do Tennessee... nearly brings a tear to my eye.

I’d take 1/4 of that and be happy. .

Blacksburg posted in their discussion at 1:30 this afternoon that there was 30-40% chance of 10"+ snow for their NC counties.

Yea that’s quite an improvement from the NAM

So the heres a run of the euro from way back when it had the snow max in southern virginia... Here is the 0z NAM Clearly they are not the same setup. Need to see how that NS entering the Pac NW interacts with it. Additionally, the huge jumps north are from a different NS lobe that only enters our viewing angle at hour 60.

Both were clippers, if I recall correctly.

Can't help but think back to Jan 25, 2000 and the papers that were written after that surprise. Models and mets together were focusing on the wrong sw feature all the way up til 36 hrs prior. Maybe we are victims of something similar here. Not sure what surprise would be in store. Just thought it was funny we sitting here not sure what we are hoping for, same date 26 years later, same dilemma.

Saw this on Twitter. Interested to see if it changes anything.

Nam has features closer to 18z gfs up to this point

Man I be holding my breath during 0z GFS. Telling you nothing will shock me when the new data is taken in

I guess Cheeznado doesn't visit this board anymore? He was usually a good source to follow in lead ups to a storm

From your keyboard to God's ears.

Just saying the huge jump by the Euro from yesterday morning to this morning is pretty ridiculous.

The CON one makes me feel sick as to what the PWM or IWI ones look like. I only want good news.

Look at what you see now. Then wait to see if the end result is better than before. If it is, then what you saw is what you were looking for.

I doubt it...it's going to come out..but there are some differences. Like I said, I don't know if it means much tho

Baja low at 30 looks like it wants to get comfy and bury itself out there. 50/50 maybe slightly better?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=seus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2026012118&fh=120

That Baja low is not budging...