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  2. You think 1,000ft where his point and click is probably from sees 10 days of 75-85? I’m guessing 1,000ft is 67-79F starting Monday like that forecast. Doesn't seem unreasonable.
  3. Super Ensemble Modeling Ginxweather.com
  4. No PDO flip this year. If you call 1957/1958 spiking positive in the -PDO cycle prior as the same point as 2014/2015, we're around 1968 now. We're within a decade, as it's not exact, but I'd bet the PDO doesn't average positive for Nov-Apr. We're probably in something like 1965-66 El Nino strength at 1968 timing cyclically, which was a big El Nino about a decade from the +PDO flip. I'd expect continuing regression toward 0 and a month or two may poke above it, but Nov-Apr won't be over 0. AMO on the other hand...might be this year. Atlantic in May is night and day different to 2023. The colder water by NZ v. 2023 also bodes well for more typical El Nino conditions in the West. Cold/Colder AMO is a decent wet signal and cold signal in winter for a lot of the US.
  5. 32.2 at WXW2 this morning, but man did it turn beautiful.
  6. Moderate rain with thunder. I'd like you folks input on starting our own SE Region Tropical thread. I know how much trauma Helene brought to our Mountain neighbors. My primary weather focus has always been tropical going up along the Upper Texas Coast. The SE Region covers a tremendous amount of Coastline from Mississippi to the Outer Banks. El Ninos tend to throw a curveball or two not far offshore. If you think the SE posters would participate, let me know.
  7. So far for this event/Columbia: 1.74” 5/20 - 5/21 — 1.17” 5/22 -- 0.57” with ongoing light rain … bringing May total so far to an “almost respectable — compared to recent months” — 2.90”
  8. The last run had rain . Good luck using the op
  9. And it happened AGAIN It's actually funny at this point.
  10. Yesterday
  11. Was supposed to rain today. Sprinkles that's it. At least it's 60 degrees today.
  12. That’s a really bad forecast compared to modeling . Really bad
  13. we take and take again!! Tonight Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Light and variable wind. Saturday Cloudy, with a high near 61. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph. Saturday Night A chance of rain after 3am. Cloudy, with a low around 42. Southeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Sunday Rain. High near 48. East wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Sunday Night Rain before 9pm, then showers, mainly between 9pm and 2am. Low around 48. East wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Memorial Day A chance of showers, mainly before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Calm wind. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. West wind 3 to 5 mph. Wednesday A chance of showers after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Northwest wind 3 to 6 mph. Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. North wind 5 to 9 mph. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. North wind 3 to 8 mph.
  14. Not bad today with a little over half inch here.
  15. 75-85 for 10 days . I mean only a drunkard would say what he did looking at the next 10 if they actually looked
  16. Pic from Wednesdays BA show in naptown.
  17. I was finally able to register my non-diurnal temps for yesterday which were a 67 high at midnight and a 54 low just after 11:30 am. Picked up 0.31" of rain yesterday for a 2-day event total of 1.12". My high and low today ended up almost being the same (so far) and as the precipitation shield has drifted north (where there was no precip until later this afternoon), I have picked up 0.05" so far for a 3-day of 1.17". It's currently 53 (my low so far) and overcast/misty, with dp 50.
  18. I’m trying to figure out what he’s blehing. We get some rain and then some heat.
  19. The biggest precipitation maker according to the Euro isn't supposed to start until around Sunday anyways.
  20. Up to .65 with the latest shower. Radar looks promising
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