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Everybody saddle up. Set your alarms. Make sure your outdoor temp sensors are in working order and properly sited. We're going sub-zero

I'd be more willing to toss the Euro OP if the EPS didn't jump make a big shift. Could still be zonked a bit too much, and wouldn't be shocked to see 0z take a small step back.

Isn't it sad we can't trust models That HH data ingest stabilized every model.

I think there was one in January 1948 with 4 or 5 inches during a great stretch of winter.

Man that's a mauling for eastern areas.

There will be an 1888 in one of the NAM runs. Plus a whiff.

If the models bring this back for us, even a 2-4 inch deal…would be awesome. It’s downright arctic out here we have bodies of water freezing, massive piles of snow and sleet everywhere. You have an absolute bullet proof glacier of snowpack. Adding even a touch of powder on that would be fantastic.

I think the ultimate healthiest way would be to completely avoid models/forecasts all together and just be pleasantly surprised when it happens. That and trips to WV. Though I agree its too late for us but we can still make it better by limiting exposure.

23 / 9 split with the coldest of the season coming Thu - Sat. Overall cold and we'll see if we crack the freezing mark Tue-Wed-Thu next week before next dose of arctic air.

Man, IDK. The more I look things over, the more I get the feeling winter is far from done with us and could be very far. Guidance is indicating a big time -AO developing at 500mb moving forward. My guess is some MJO influence in doing that. Meanwhile, here comes some real potential of a major strat PV disruption with the AO already negative. We're accustomed to a lag time of several weeks for the strat to affect the AO if at all. However, under these particular circumstances there is a possibility of basically zero lag time to see effects. If you split the vortex with an already -AO you could instead see it quickly coupling all the way through the column. Effectively prolonging and amplifying the already -AO in place, starting almost immediately. Its a possibility to do something like that this year...

If Tampa gets snow and I don’t…

Yeah, I would really enjoy seeing more members on that side.

I read that and thought - wtf is a kilometer

I bet a Nam run one ups that at some point.........lol

We get that western edge to verify and it's a blizzard for many.

It feels great that the aifis trended better as well as the ukie. Gives me more hope that this 18z euro hopefully isn’t a mirage. .

Ant is it within its range ?

954 just inside of the BM

Don’t worry I got something for later. He the man though!

Speak English.

That would probably require blizzard warnings from Cape May to Sandy Hook (if that scenario played out verbatim)

500 is a smidge better (NW) on the EPS

When one snowmobile has way too much to drink and…

Decent trends. It’s breathing heavy again.