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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
PNA was only positive in January, as expected. -
Undershot guidance across central NC this morning with some impressive lows in the 20s! 26.4 at my farm for the low, Henderson showing 27, Louisburg 28. 30 in Roxboro and Roanoke Rapids and 32-33 across the triangle. 32.6 at my house with frost
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I remember after the blizzard of 93 there was still a snow pile only about 4 inches deep above Millersburg on Memorial Day. That was from the snow that slid off the Mahantango Mountain along rt. 147 north of Millersburg. That pile was created by Penndot when they removed the snow on 147 that was around 10 feet deep in places on the roadway. -
So was 23-24 generally other than the one Feb storm. But it was really a Nina with an active Nino subtropical jet.
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I wish these temps continue
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25 for the low.
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25°. Coldest until next fall?
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27 here. One last night in the 20s.
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Low of 27. Currently 28.
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30 with a lot of frost.
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The PNA and NAO also cooperated this winter.
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The models did a really great job at long lead times predicting the major TC’s…… -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Temperatures are all over the place this morning. I’m 34 degrees, Montourville is 39 degrees, 7 miles away. Buffalo NY 47 degrees. First grass mow of the season in yesterday. Toro push mower had a hard time starting, that was brand new last year. No fuel shutoff on them. Just run it out of gas last year. -
2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, just saw the 30 day -SOI update. You were right about the subsurface warmth last week. The only year anywhere close to this one is 1997 and we have that beat -
Looks like we’re going to get slammed with coastal rain and Sierra snow here over the next five days. Good news for fire season and keeping the hillsides green for a bit longer here in Santa Barbara county.
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How best to embed pictures?
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to VBweather's topic in Forum Information & Help
You have to pay to basically be able to upload files through the board -
2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Early indication is a +NAO April, which is a bearish Atlantic season probability, with half of the analysis period still to go (Apr-May total is base period) -
Gotta love KFOK, 24 tonight so far and 30 last night. Gotta be the best radiational spot on the north east coast. .
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
-17 SOI today, finally pushing the 30-day negative -
Yesterday’s system was our biggest snowmaker of the month thus far, so I decided to head up to Bolton this morning to get in some turns in the fresh snow. I wasn’t exactly sure what I was going to find up at the hill, just a couple of new inches atop a hard base, or something more, but when I stepped out of my car at ~2,000’ into 4-6” of dry powder, the prospects were looking good. I toured in the 2,000’ – 2,700’ range and didn’t really find any increases in snow depths with respect to elevation aside from the occasional 7” measurement in sheltered hollows. The powder was staying light and dry even as of late morning, and I’d say it held about a third of an inch of liquid equivalent. That was enough for bottomless turns on low angle terrain, but anything steeper and I was quickly contacting the subsurface. The powder was dry enough to support really nice turns and speed even on lower angle pitches though, so that made for a fantastic descent. An added plus was that there was bright April sunshine out there, and it warmed you up quickly. Thankfully the air was dry enough to keep the powder in good shape despite the strong sun, at least through the morning hours. In terms of seasonal snowfall, this storm pushed all the resorts along the spine of the Northern Greens past the 300” mark, and Jay Peak past 400”, so some good seasonal benchmarks were reached with this one.
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with DCA staying above freezing last night (and likely tonight), it looks like DC's last freeze was March 18th at 27F. First freeze was Nov 11 (31F).
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Wildfire season will be in full swing sooner than later!
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Hi/Lo 59.0/37.2 Current 39.7/32.7/calm/76% . 3" rain on the 5th
