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NWS on their morning X post seems to have conceded that there will be little to no rain into early next week.

i would love to get 2" of rain, but want no part of 4" (insert joke here). too much at one time

HREF mean is like 2-2.25" for parts of our area. Typically we've found that the max HREF QPF may not occur in the right area, but it occurs somewhere in the CWA. That's like 4+, so I believe it.

Mm... fwiw, my own interaction/experience and impressions therefrom with AI tools are more favorable than that. It comes down to one's own responsibility to "asking the question in the right way" One aspect I will fault AI is that it sometimes will hooks it's teeth into a adjective/verb one has chosen to use - perhaps the user had the the 2nd or 3rd preferential definition in mind when they did...- as gospel. It appears as tho the AI probabilistically leans on the first more proper usage? speculation. Either way, it doesn't offer suggestions from suspicion over what the user really meant - probably because it's not a human being in that way. AI isn't yet at the level of "what was it they were really thinking". This can tint the context when it is subtle, at other times outright diverting conversations down paths users weren't really intending. Thing is, it was always because of the user's word choice. Cobalt says "...the vibes are off," and Dan mentions nuances ... etc. You know, those strike me as really being the state of the art of the technology not really getting the "spirit" of the moment along the exchange, in lieu of its tendency to run to the most concise meaning upon turn of phrases and/or word choice. I've gone back along the exchange history and found inflection points and said, "I didn't mean to imply x, I meant more y" etc... and after the brief pause, the AI admits to a course correction so to speak. It can also help if you use the markdown option in the settings to color the type of experience you want. Mine says no flattery. Don't be obsequious. This actually helps...because if you use a word that's ...a little off, the AI will be less likely to get around it - it will ask me if it's what I really mean. I could almost see a future where a type of new job req emerges in industries that have adopted/bought into AI called "AICE" employees - pronounced acer. These are "AI Configuration Engineers" What do you do, "I'm an Acer" for x-y-z. The job entails a fuller/intimate understanding of the tech/circumstance such that the engagement with the AI teases the best solution without those distractions. Which believe it or not ... are hugely costly - even small ones and the deviation, the expenditure in the growing data center push-back concern over resource piggery, is expensive for a lot of reasons. This could all just be generational, too. It's important to bear in mind, this tech is like the Wright Brothers first 90 feet of successful flight ... well, proportionally, maybe a little farther along. But we're no where close to flying high tech major global routes in that metaphor just yet. There are advances, lots of them. That ambit research is definitely not going to stop for better or worse! Plus, imagine when Quantum Computing comes on line, a computing core that finds all possible definitions that can exist, at the same instant, and chooses the top probability - now... plug Gemini into that. Hm? So far, by keeping tabs on my own concision when dealing with AI, I've come to find that it's been the most advantageous accompaniment to both problem solving, and the creative process, since either the invention of the scientific calculator or biology's ability to dream.

The Hi-Res GRAF model actually did a pretty good job showing the bands to the west and east of NYC. Notice the local subsidence and lower snowfall totals forecast from NYC to LGA. I will also give the model points for seeing the jackpot near Providence though it was off by a little bit with the exact location. https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/IBM-Introducing-Worlds-Highest-Resolution-Global-Weather-Forecasting-Model

Latest drought monitor shows some improvement around the Charlotte area, SC and Georgia. Not much movement but probably the first time it’s trended positively in 6 months. This was expected as those are the areas that capitalized on the rainfall earlier this month.

Picked up another hundredth early so finished with .48” and .88” for May so far.

Coming down pretty good out there.

Hey @Brian Dhows greenup coming along up your way? Taking the family camping in your neck of the woods near Split Rock Lighthouse this weekend.

Low of 49 and a robust .63" of rain. The mower should get another nice workout tomorrow.

Columbia imby: 0.73” last night and this morning combined. 1.16” for May so far.

Dry ends / wet mid section

Records: Highs: -- Coolest record highs of the month EWR: 86 (1991) NYC: 88 (1900) LGA: 84 (1991) JFK: 87 (1991) Lows: EWR: 36 (1939) NYC: 40 (1878) LGA: 44 (2019) JFK: 39 (1987) Historical: 1686: The inventor of the thermometer Gabriel Fahrenheit was born. 1834: The greatest May snowstorm on record for New England occurred. The hills around Newbury, VT were covered with up to 24 inches of snow and the higher elevations around Haverhill, NH received up to three feet of snow. 1886: 43 people were killed as a tornado ripped through Anderson, IN. An F4 twister touched down two miles north of Redkey, IN and lifted five miles north of Celina, OH. Six people were killed, five of them in leveled homes northwest of Celina. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1896 - The mercury plunged to 10 degrees below zero at Climax, CO. It was the lowest reading of record for the U.S. during the month of May. (David Ludlum) 1898 - A severe thunderstorm, with some hailstones up to 9.5 inches in circumference, pounded a four mile wide path across Kansas City MO. South-facing windows were broken in nearly every house in central and eastern parts of the city, and several persons were injured. An even larger hailstone was thought to have been found, but it turned out to be a chunk of ice tossed out the window of a building by a prankster. (The Kansas City Weather Almanac) (The Weather Channel) 1923: An early morning violent F5 tornado cut a 45 mile path of destruction through Howard and Mitchell counties in Texas. 23 people lost their lives and 250 sustained injuries. The path width of the tornado reached 1.5 miles at one point and entire farms were "wiped off the face of the earth". (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1928: Record minimum temperature for Washington, DC for the date is 41 °F. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1956: Record maximum temperature for Washington, DC for the date is 93 °F. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1985: Severe thunderstorms developed in DeWitt County, located between Bloomington and Decatur, and moved northward. The storms produced a wind gust of 73 mph at the Bloomington airport. In the Marshall County town of Wenona, winds up to 100 mph destroyed several barns and farm buildings. LaSalle County had 2 inch diameter hail and 60 mph winds; in Mendota, nearly every building in town sustained some damage. 1987 - Seven cities across the western U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date as unseasonably hot weather made a comeback. The record high of 103 degrees at Sacramento CA was their ninth in eleven days, and also marked a record seven days of 100 degree heat for the month. Their previous record was two days of 100 degree heat in May. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Sunny and dry weather prevailed across the nation. Temperatures warmed into the 80s and lower 90s in the Great Plains Region and the Mississippi Valley. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing along a stationary front produced severe weather in south central Texas and the Southern High Plains Region during the afternoon and evening hours. Thunderstorms produced softball size hail at Spearman and Hitchcock, TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather from northwest Texas to western Missouri. Severe thunderstorms spawned seventeen tornadoes, including nine in Texas. Four tornadoes in Texas injured a total of nine persons. Thunderstorms in Texas also produced hail four inches in diameter at Shamrock, and hail four and a half inches in diameter near Guthrie. Thunderstorms over northeastern Kansas produced more than seven inches of rain in Chautauqua County between 9 PM and midnight. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1991: Baseball size hail damaged cars, broke windows and skylights, and did extensive roof damage at Knox City, TX. A tornado was sighted eight miles west of Knox City. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1998: A severe thunderstorm, with some hailstones up to 9.5 inches in circumference, pounded a four mile wide path across Kansas City, MO. South-facing windows were broken in nearly every house in central and eastern parts of the city, and several persons were injured. An even larger hailstone was thought to have been found, but it turned out to be a chunk of ice tossed out the window of a building by a prankster. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2018: A strong thunderstorm yesterday rated 4-5-2 with winds to 47 mph and a long period of lightning but only 0.44 inches of rain. Yesterday was also the second hottest day of 2018 so far. This is the highest wind ever recorded at the Glen Allen in the month of May. The radar showed a bow echo as the storm approach the Glen Allen Station and the wind and rain preceded the lightning by around 10 to 15 minutes.

Weather World enospodStr300m6i6uu4a319mutflth76mh0u0il69gii1lgi15i0t7ct119 · We see more temperature ups and downs on the way for Pennsylvania over the next 5 weeks with frequent frontal passages. Despite the fronts, the pattern may not be excessively wet, meaning that drought conditions are likely to persist for SEPA

upton's forecast is basically an all day rainout-yet most places won't see all that much of anything

0.55-0.6” based on nearby reports

56 / 54 showers moving through. Upper low , closed off trough moving though the next 36 hours - unsettled and cooler. Some breaks of sun here and there scattered rain / light rain and showers. Clearing late Fri as trough moves through and out and a quick moderation to warm - hot 5/16 - 5/20 >80 and some 90s possible Sun - Tue. Next front come through Wed night with a brief cooldown. Memorial day week may be split with front moving though and warm/dry 2 of 4 days Fri -Sat / Sun / mon - we'll need to see otherwise ridge into the east and overall warmer than normal beyond there.

Beautiful benign weather in the Twin Cities but it’s dust bowl dry here. 0.02” of precipitation so far in May and only 6.71” since January 1.

0.60" yesterday + overnight.

a couple of small puddles here probably less than a tenth here,.Precip on radar mainly from extreme eastern NJ and points east. patches of blue sky approaching from the west on the Satellite images and observed here in north central NJ

@CAPE I dont get it either Chargers RB Keaton Mitchell calls out Ravens for spurning him in free agency They aren't able to extend Lamar either. He knows that he's worth more than Jordan Love, Tua, Dak Prescott, etc.

Ineedsnow approved.

85-90 Tuesday and Wednesday.

Looks like a gravy train for several hours near Kev and then another one near lunch time through even over far ern areas into SNH. Someone is getting 3-4” in the ern one…probably SNH.