All Activity

Horrible. Not even sure we’ve had a 6” event since then. Nearly 4 years

Yeah, just saw a great Xmas play put together by the Weathervane Theater. Roads are nasty though. Snowing quite heavily at home

In a way I am over sports gambling. I just absolutely despise all talking heads and opinion people on everything so polymarket at least gives me some semblance of information and helps me avoid the people I abhor. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Mountainview nice place Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Still peeling paint. Make it stop.

Backside snow. Ultimate kick in the balls after a 38F rainy day

Looking at the snowfall reports from last night. Nearly everyone that missed out over the weekend got some good coverage. Just about the entire sub, literally, has a halfway decent snowpack. When was the last time that happened? Its been a long time I bet when we can go across the lakes and the OH river and all points in between covered in snow, and not just dusted. And to kick off Dec. no less. Good stuff!

5.8” on the ground, pretty dense stuff.

Ohh. It looked like sarcasm to me. Oops lol

Definitely surprised how far north this made it. Had to go to Lancaster and even up there they had at least 5-6” of fresh snow. Still snowing at a good clip in Whitefield and at home

12z gfs showed warmth and now the 18z gefs flipped it .

I didn’t think he was being sarcastic. Snowenouthere has been dropping dimes lately, hopefully he keeps it up.

I'm definitely picking up ur sarcasm lol

I'm in that ballpark, I'll be going back out in a bit.

Added a couple more inches, somewhere between 5 and 6, Ill measure later.

I would like for the CEO of Kalshi to be Mangioned. I am so over betting and the markets.

Not really….it’s always track dependent. A good track, and the cold should be there/nearby.

St Johnsbury is somehow the current accumulation leader in New England with 8.6". I don't think a single model had anything close to that outcome

The streak continues…

Models can't initialize this storm to save their life. The hrrr is completely missing the big band over Northern Vermont. Pretty garbage model performance all around, from the medium to short terms

About 4.5”. I don’t do the ratio stuff but it is pretty fluffy. 22°

Temps look to be an issue

I was a little confused by your question, so I had to reread a few times. Correct me if I’m wrong, but I think what you are asking is why the low doesn’t develop right under the strongest winds of a jet stream. You’d be correct in your observation that it usually develops downstream of a trough where upper level winds diverge, air lifts, and surface pressure decreases. When the vorticity “stretches”, we get an elongated region of positive vorticity advection as opposed to concentrated into a tight vort max over one area. That spreads upper level forcing for lifting over a large area, thereby “diluting” the tendency for a surface low to form. So it’s not so much the sfc low doesn’t “prefer” to be away from the strongest winds, but more like it tends to deepen where that elongated band of vorticity overlaps the divergence (left exit/right entrance regions) and the baroclinic gradient. While vorticity alone isn’t enough to develop a storm, that combined with upper level support will do it - there needs to be both. The displacement you’re noticing is really a reflection of where the total forcing (vorticity and upper level divergence) both line up, which often ends up a bit downstream and to the left of the jet streak, not directly under the strongest winds. Now when the jet core “rounds the base” of the trough, you’re right that we’re often getting into the mature phase of the storm. By that point, the upper level trough and the surface low have gotten more vertically stacked, and the low begins to occlude and weaken. Sorry if this got too technical, but your question covers several different meteorological concepts, and the evolution of a cyclone where conditions differ between the early stages of development and when it matures.

A back edge additional dusting of snow. 31/29

The markets have it a neck and neck race between Jeff Brohm and Terry Smith Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk