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Could use more rain, but temps not bad. Worse of the heat behind us?
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- we got burned
- rugpull central
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tbh, i believe tomorrow will pale in comparison to last thursday in illinois. that's my hunch.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
18z NAM Nest is the first really encouraging run for Thursday. It also seems to justify the outlook for tonight.- 766 replies
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The Midwest is going to have a Deep South outbreak on Wednesday, with fast storm motion and low LCLs. At least their trees aren’t as bad. Oh but we love battling trees, lol! And we don’t have Midwest chaser convergence. Enter the Southeast on Thursday! Remnant of PTC 1 (perhaps Arthur) will scoot from Mississippi through Alabama into Georgia. Despite hideous terrain, it’s close. From SPC Day 3 Southeast... The remnants of Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 will continue to move through the northern Gulf into the Southeast on Thursday. With 70+ dewpoints likely to be ahead of this feature, even muted surface heating will promote moderate instability will develop. With locally enhanced shear near the remnant low, isolated strong wind gusts and perhaps a tornado or two will be possible. Should greater destabilization occur, higher probabilities could be warranted.
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I've never been there during the warm seasons. I do my hiking during winter. Colder the better. I've done all the popular hikes, but without seeing a soul. I hiked to Annopoils Rocks and back from route 40 in 2014. It was -5 at the trailhead and probably -8 or -9 at the rocks. I didn't see one single soul. I've been to Cunningham Falls twice and never saw anyone. The Falls were frozen. It was really cool. I love extreme winter conditions for my hikes. I like to hike on top of the Catoctins during the windiest days of winter. I've got all kinds of stories lol Ridiculously beautiful day today. Unreal
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- we got burned
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Hello everyone. Half the year is over. Here's hoping we can get one decent winter storm this winter. Its always fun to track them but its always about timing
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Im cautiously optimistic that we can get one decent winter storm this upcoming winter. Should have an active southern branch and hopefully we have enough cold air. I live in west tennessee and typically we get one event and the occasional 2 events. All about timing
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51 this morning. 79 today. Absolutely beautiful
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Hit a high on 69 today!!!! Half inch of rain so far. Miserable day. More of the same until the weekend.
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No doubt. If Reed Timmer sets up shop somewhere around here, we know we’re in the bullseye. What an incredible setup tomorrow.
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This is awesome! I've had the windows open all day, now sunny and 77. Gonna be a great porch evening. Hoping for some overnight showers with the warm front
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Same my dude. Had the IKK/Aroma Park/Lake Village near miss and then this past Thursday was also a near miss for me Really dodging bullets here in east central IL
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Legit a little anxious/worried for tomorrow.
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I was just a period of short heavy rain and lightning/thunder when it came through my area.
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looks like a good hail core on that cell NE of grand rapids
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A sounding from eastern Illinois from the 18z NAM...a bit of a cap around 700mb but this is an extremely scary profile. You put a mature supercell into this environment and there is absolute concern for a long tracked tornado
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Yeah, 2 years ago when my son graduated we were baking in the low 90s. All the kids giving speeches wouldn't stop talking too, lol
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They did it at 8am in NC last week. Had to get up at like 530 but it was smart to get it done before the heat
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Hot time of day there. They do 6pm here. Tonight is literally perfect for it. might even need a sweater lol. Only 72 right now.
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Can't get anyone to cover me tomorrow, so I'll be missing chasing this one, just as I missed last Thursday's event. Time for some reverse-jinxing to pull stuff north once again, to make it interesting locally.
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Yep. The Euro AI has been on it for the past couple days with the southern cutoff as per usual
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Moving a little more exponential the last few days Subsurface looks really healthy right now Let's see if the seasonal decadal trend of a ridge in the Rockies/SW gets suppressed this July -
Of course for mine, it is Thursday at 4pm. Maybe it can work...
