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Toss the legacy Euro into Long Island Sound

love seeing most members west of the mean.

Just posted. That’s a cool image though.

Warning hoisted for 6-14”; would anticipate lower end of those amounts for MBY. City east looks very good at this time. I expect a 2’-30” reading somewhere between Tom’s River and Eastern LI

Also a big difference north vs. South.

EPS is like 100 miles west

So close in South NN i can see the warning snow, lol

Great post by @Jake Wx showing the Euro trend since yesterday.

The rigjt camp is more in line with the EURO the left camp the GFS.

https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/index.html?region=Northeast&year=2026&month=2&day=21&units=e

It was good seeing that Euro run. I’m thinking about a foot at least in the northern Philly suburbs - maybe higher if we get the banding.

Another tough one for wakefield. Warnings? Advisories? or the dreaded Hazardous WX outlook

??

I know it’s voodoo, but it never pans out when they go high before it starts snowing. Once we have 10 on the ground, they can go 15-20 lol

3" depth

The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 2m Been showing how I take analogs and use that as a base and only change forecast once before. So Monday went out with 6-12 locally 18 DC to Boston. That means DC, BOS,NYC and ACY had base numbers of 9 inches( analogs) State College 4.5. Here is the forecast now

So close to warning snow!

Here is your back bent WF on euro. Goes from center of H7 low and curls near ack and off Chatham. Can see that on the kinks of the height lines. on the 3k Nam check out that moisture train feeding into SNE. The real mid level dynamics verbatim on this snap shot are in NJ, but that is a pure gravy train on the 3k Nam. Eventually you do get the mid level forcing, but with such a deep cutoff…that moisture train looks impressive. it’s just something I noticed. There will still be deformation bands etc.

Actually, '78 had 79 to 83 MPH Gust in Boston recorded at the time.

Honestly if the GFS comes back west at 18z I’d chalk it up to noise. If it suddenly becomes the least snowy model though and THEN its original idea of a beltway bomb comes to fruition, that would be hysterical.

I suppose I need to try and defend my title. NYC 18.8 LGA 19.4 ISP 22.5 JFK 21.0 EWR 17.4

This is true.... suppose could look at this as a positive outcome.

2 camps there. The L is in the left camp. Wonder if the spread increased from last run.