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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
Ginx snewx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Very marginal in Eastern areas probably a game time now cast.Maybe with a Messenger shuffle screwing the rain casts? -
Please lord verify
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
migratingwx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
housemtnTN replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Bring on the snow! -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
ineedsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
and snowing again.. fake fat flakes -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Brett ends up in a jackpot lol..watch. Guy will meh himself to a foot. -
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Give me the GFS. Euro porks both Pit 1 and 2. -
Currently: Snow showers. Gusty wind 35.0
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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12z was cold. I won’t be surprised if we get the NAO in our court here soon. There seems to be a lot of noise and the models still are processing the MJO progression. If we can score some blocking with this cold, I think we’ll pull off pre-Christmas for someone.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
A coating so far, But Western Maine is off to a good start, Dec looks cold as you say and it looks active too so there will be more snow chances going forward. GFS over the cape, Euro just outside the BM, Not a tough call really once they converge. -
MANDA changed their profile photo
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
True… Canadian may have done the job here, it was close. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
If IND can pull their WSW all the way south to Indy, DTX can cover their CWA with a warning, too. -
People keep telling me the AIFS ensemble is great, but those snow totals have been very suspect.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
When you put it in the context of what the other models are showing, it would make sense that it would end up there. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
You’ve already had a mini start up there, but this will be a great start for many of. It comes true because it looks cold for a while. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
Ginx snewx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Totally wrong . 12Z was uniformly better sans GFS -
Yes it's all in where you are located. I just think a true snowy winter is overdue
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
ineedsnow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
nice to see the AIFS ENS come west -
The foothills have averaged between 8-12 (sometimes more) inches of snow per decade generally until recently. For this decade so far we are averaging 3.5.
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From a snow accumulation perspective last winter left much to be desired for a lot west of US1 but we had 3 WSW and 3 events that stayed below freezing throughout the event IMBY. Growing up here that didn’t happen all the time. I’ve lived here long enough to know that doesn’t happen every year. Think we can all agree we are missing that big coastal storm, and 2018 was the last time we got one. That being said central and eastern NC would take last years winter almost any year. Foothills folks are in purgatory
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
A wee bit different take at the 850mb level between the GFS and European 12z....if GFS is right it rains up to MPO. -
Ah, I see white stuff flying around here.
