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  2. Yep another round headed this way
  3. I'm fine with rain and thunder. Don't need to lose power again
  4. I've seen how these events play out time and time again. We almost always need surface heating for several hours to generate a severe threat. The dynamics can overcome this to some degree but it won't be enough
  5. more heavy rain /storms heading this way in central NJ south of Allentown
  6. yup...that's the stuff to watch for this evening. As that activity approaches we may see some discrete develop out ahead of it.
  7. Very humid, muggy, and eye-irritating smoky again in northern Ocean County. Worst smoke for me in a few days here
  8. * Flash Flood Warning for... Bergen County in northeastern New Jersey... Essex County in northeastern New Jersey... Hudson County in northeastern New Jersey... Eastern Passaic County in northeastern New Jersey... Union County in northeastern New Jersey... Kings (Brooklyn) County in southeastern New York... New York (Manhattan) County in southeastern New York... Queens County in southeastern New York... Richmond (Staten Island) County in southeastern New York... * Until 200 PM EDT. * At 1153 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.7 and 1.3 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to locally 2 inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
  9. The radar certainly looks more robust than what the NAM and HRRR were suggesting. What that means going forward, your guess is as good as mine. More thunder as another storm approaches from the west.
  10. Some nasty stuff up around Rochester…wonder if that is what comes through here this evening?
  11. Don’t you ever get tired of downplaying every event before it starts? All of this is following the forecast thus far.
  12. South wind starting to crank up.
  13. These storms have been nice -- not the very strong wind that would cause damage, but lots of lightning.
  14. Getting strike after strike. This storm is blowing up
  15. Yeah another downpour here now with some lightning.
  16. Downpour with thunder in progress. As always …. IMG_2384.mov
  17. Nova starting to clear out based on satellite
  18. Round two of rain moving over. Not heavy but steady. No thunder in either batch.
  19. The way this thing is setting up it's gonna drop a lot of rain on the city to kick us off. Window-rattling thunder already on the UWS.
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