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Oh trust me I’m very concerned about it. I’d be less concerned if I was you just based on locations but we both could get mega screwed here. What’s funny is if things hold we’ll just be waiting for that band to form and praying for our now casting. Can’t really even watch it come in.

Lol not me. Not unless this moves 40 miles north.

Yes it is. It's a real shame this event doesn't have even another 0.1" - 0.25" liquid to work with. We're really on the cusp of a respectable event here.

Yep slowly going to the other models

Still got 36 hours...NAM went more NE as did the Icon...gonna watch to see if that trend continues at 0z

you can’t reliably book an xmas ski week in Lake Placid now. they have had a solid run of bad xmas weeks for a while now with a few exceptions. It’s only 300 miles north. It’s not like it’s in Siberia. If its 55 here, it is 45 there.

GFS looked a little better to me at 18z.

Impressive afd!

Same here. Did it for the last minor event too.

Most disruptive weather event I've experienced, and we only were dark for 4 days. 2nd place was another ice storm on the hills west/north from NYC, precisely 45 years prior to #1. Ice on Jan 8-9, 1953 wasn't quite as thick as '98 but almost every tree took damage in our NNJ area. Some trees on the taller hills became "asparagus" stems, bare poles with all branches lying at the stump. We lost power for 6 days from that one. The good effect was to trigger my lifelong interest in both weather and trees.

18z AI-GFS (I have no idea if this is worth anything) is also ticking better than 12z

Very upper ES, N DE into interior SNJ maybe. Marginal tho. Would probably just go to a warning

This one isn’t meant for us in Loudoun. Rooting for y’all in the 95 corridor.

If this happens it’s high rates and crashing temperatures in the middle of the night. It’s not my concern maybe outside of right in the middle of Downtown DC (where I’m at lol)

This is a long shot for D.C................ But I wish everyone all the best of their wishes.

Hoco already brined roads

Has not changed much still 0 to 2"

Looks like someone is getting sucked back in.

If there's any takeaway from 18z suite, it's that this is not continuing to slip away into nothing (which was a distinct possibility on yesterday's guidance). It will be meager, but there will be accumulation.

The thing with this event is it’s really quick hitting, a few hours of snow. We’re gonna need it to not be 35 degrees at the onset because by the time it cools it’ll be over.

Based off the 12z Euro and 18z GFS, it would not surprise me to see Mt. Holly hoist a watch for their zones on Maryland's eastern shore into Delaware and S. Jersey.

looks closer to euro now, maybe a hair worse. wish we could buy another tick or two with that stuff just off shore

Gfs is nice man. I think the spot to be for this one is Wilmington to south Jersey.

Gfs definitely better. Decent event s coast.

Maybe I’ll eek out that inch after all.