All Activity

Yeah...se wake...but feel good about this one! Classic set up

And 18z gfs at some time

Almost always lurking because I do not have too much to add and no expertise in this area. This could be a storm that reminds me of a good ole New England NorEaster and I am hoping for that. We have managed to dodge most of the big ice totals since I moved here 20 years ago, and I am hoping for one more year of that.

holy shit that activated some brain cells that had been dormant for a while

Ya it’s the Nam but all we got to mention right now so. Ya it has the sw pushing east and not locking off. Good start.

I did try T-Mobile home internet too. I’m a nerd and actually have all of these connections available.

How come I got 2' in less than 24 hours in January 2022?

EPS had more interaction between the N/S wave and the STJ low, also moved the TPV farther NE. , and had better tilt to the trough. I wouldn’t rule out a PD2 type progression. Especially if we see more phasing happen between that N/S wave (which is important for us northerners). Everything is really still on the table at this range. Just small timing differences between these 3 main features changes everything. .

It’s not just your memory. Last winter ORD saw 11.9 in for the entire 2024-2025 winter season which was a record low. Last winter was brutal. I got lucky up here in SE WI but it was extremely localized, as in basically Racine and Kenosha counties were the only winners in the region. Most of NE IL saw a pitiful amount of snow it was downright depressing. I lost count of how many times the models showed something fun brewing only for it to completely collapse or massively shift 48hrs out. At least we had a fun early start to this one but my greed is hoping we can manage another banger soon in the next few weeks. But even still this has been miles better than last year already. Last winter was so painful.

Every so often I have a call with a person who happens to be a met in an NWS office in another time zone. After a couple of tries figure out a time for the call I said "wait, we both speak UTC" and now we solely communicate our times for this in z and it hasn't failed yet. I tried to do this in other domains and let's just say people get confused.

I mean we had some forgettable dusters.

I think the big events died with the 2021 winter. Always seems to be cutter, suppression; southern slider etc. no reason to think this will be any different

That the Euro hopefully won’t verify and the GFS will. Time to do my snow dance: Ooga-Chaka Ooga-Ooga Ooga-Chaka Ooga-Ooga Ooga-Chaka Ooga-Ooga Ooga-Chaka Ooga-Ooga

Watching as the piece of NC that isn't included in the "most of NC" phrase so commonly used. One of the few hoping for a little southern shift to avoid mixing/icing issues! Going to be a fun week though.

Ill wait until my heating bill starts to reflect these notions of warmth and sustained warmth above 50 is on the way.

I’m just here to see if NE SC is getting obliterated by freezing rain or not.

Just wait for this storm to miss south; the next one to miss too far to the east, and then we’re in February and typical La Niña fashion we torch. I’m joking. Kind of

Did you try sprint or Nextel or MCI OR Cingular?

Wasn’t even looking there lol. Just watching the interaction out west. Might need the PV to stay there if the Baja comes out and phases out west.

That's what the CMC and UKIE are doing. NAM has it basically where the GFS does.

I lurk from the TN forum. Too many times none, or only one, of us score so let's all cash in on this one!!

00z Icon is running right now, will go through the event period

@LongRanger moving this here but just curious what you are seeing with the NWS cert. i have looked via a FiOS connected desktop and not seeing what you’re seeing. Also checked via T-Mobile phone and iPad as well as a Verizon connected cell. Also tried with all extensions disabled, both with and without custom DNS settings. I just cannot duplicate the invalid cert you are seeing. And actually add an Xfinity connection now too showing valid.

.

The models don't bring in the bulk of the precipitation in until either early Saturday morning or late Saturday morning currently.