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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
HIPPYVALLEY replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Greenfield DPW has an unwritten rule where the plows don’t come out or anything under 2 inches. -
Looks like a couple inches of snow today with another system bringing some fr drz/rn over to lgt sn overnight Mon. Keep the glacier slowly growing.
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They didn’t really flop. They’re just not showing any snow.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
WmsptWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Right but what the hell is causing this garbage consistency? I don't ever remember the models waffling this much. -
Not sure they’re all adults tbh
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Huge Dan Campbell fan, he’ll have his guys ready to play. Enjoy the week off of tracking, after Monday we get a nice warm up for a few days to defrost before heading back into the freezer the following week. I’m hoping I can squeeze a day at the golf range before the rain next weekend. -
This was a solid 4-8” event for most of the OKX forecast zones. 506 NOUS41 KOKX 271454 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-280254- Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 954 AM EST Sat Dec 27 2025 ...SNOWFALL REPORTS... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Connecticut... ...Fairfield County... 4 NNW New Fairfield 9.4 in 0901 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter 1 E Sherman 8.5 in 0800 AM 12/27 Cocorahs 1 SE Wilton 7.3 in 0807 AM 12/27 Public New Canaan 7.2 in 0800 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 3 SSE Weston 7.1 in 0715 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Bridgeport Airport 7.1 in 0700 AM 12/27 Official NWS Obs 2 ENE New Canaan 7.1 in 0528 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Brookfield 6.5 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Bethel 6.5 in 0700 AM 12/27 Emergency Mngr Norwalk 6.4 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 4 SSE Easton 6.2 in 0600 AM 12/27 Public Ridgefield 2.4 NNE 6.1 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Shelton 6.0 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Stratford 6.0 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Bethel 4.5 SSE 6.0 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 W Stamford 5.9 in 0605 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Stamford 1.0 S 5.4 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Rowayton 5.2 in 0914 AM 12/27 Public 4 NNW Ridgefield 5.2 in 0903 AM 12/27 Public ...Middlesex County... Durham 8.0 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Old Saybrook 2.9 NNE 8.0 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Clinton 8.0 in 0645 AM 12/27 Broadcast Media 1 SW Westbrook 7.7 in 0240 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Higganum 7.0 in 0800 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Middlefield 1.4 W 6.5 in 0600 AM 12/27 COCORAHS ...New Haven County... Wallingford 3.1 N 10.5 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 NNW Meriden 9.0 in 0350 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Waterbury 8.5 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 NW Cheshire 8.1 in 0830 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter 3 ENE North Branford 7.5 in 0915 AM 12/27 NWS Employee 2 NW Hamden 7.3 in 0647 AM 12/27 Public 4 SSE Durham 7.1 in 0200 AM 12/27 Public Madison Center 1.3 N 7.0 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Guilford 7.0 in 0700 AM 12/27 CO-OP Observer 3 ENE Branford 6.5 in 0647 AM 12/27 Public Wallingford Center 1.1 N 6.0 in 0828 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 NW Ansonia 6.0 in 0531 AM 12/27 Public 1 SW Branford 5.4 in 0700 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter ...New London County... New London 7.1 in 0730 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 5 SSE Salem 7.0 in 0603 AM 12/27 Public Oakdale 6.5 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS East Lyme 6.5 in 0600 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Niantic 6.5 in 0530 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Uncasville 2.4 NNW 6.3 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Mystic 6.1 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Old Lyme 6.0 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Norwich 6.0 in 0700 AM 12/27 COOP Pawcatuck 5.8 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Waterford 5.5 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Mystic 5.4 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Norwich 4.9 in 0600 AM 12/27 COCORAHS ...New Jersey... ...Bergen County... 2 NNE Franklin Lakes 4.1 in 0911 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Montvale 1.8 ESE 4.1 in 0800 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Oakland 4.0 in 0800 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 N River Vale 3.8 in 0801 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Tenafly 3.8 in 0730 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Fair Lawn 3.5 in 0830 AM 12/27 COCORAHS River Edge 0.4 NNE 3.5 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 S River Edge 3.3 in 0720 AM 12/27 Public North Arlington 3.0 in 0830 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Lyndhurst Twp 1.6 NW 3.0 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS ...Essex County... West Orange Twp 0.6 WNW 3.8 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Montclair 3.5 in 0800 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 W Essex Fells 3.3 in 0933 AM 12/27 Public 1 WSW Glen Ridge 3.2 in 0730 AM 12/27 Public Maplewood 3.1 in 0830 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 2 NE Springfield 3.0 in 0400 AM 12/27 Public ...Hudson County... Harrison 4.0 in 0442 AM 12/27 CO-OP Observer Hoboken 3.9 in 0700 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter ...Passaic County... 3 NE West Milford 4.2 in 0917 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Little Falls 3.6 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS ...Union County... Newark Airport 4.2 in 0700 AM 12/27 Official NWS Obs 1 S Mountainside 3.1 in 0900 AM 12/27 Public 1 NNW Westfield 3.0 in 0911 AM 12/27 Public 1 NW Cranford 3.0 in 0717 AM 12/27 Public 1 NE Union 3.0 in 0200 AM 12/27 Public Clark 2.8 in 0846 AM 12/27 COCORAHS New Providence 2.8 in 0730 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 NW Fanwood 1.6 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS ...New York... ...Bronx County... 1 NNE Fordham 4.3 in 0400 AM 12/27 Public 1 NNE East Tremont 3.0 in 0841 AM 12/27 Public ...Kings County... 1 SSE Williamsburg 4.3 in 0715 AM 12/27 Public Sheepshead Bay 4.0 in 0805 AM 12/27 Public 1 N Bay Ridge 3.1 in 0603 AM 12/27 Public ...Nassau County... Farmingdale 5.0 in 0900 AM 12/27 Public 1 N Syosset 4.6 in 0855 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter 1 SE Malverne 4.1 in 0850 AM 12/27 Cocorahs Massapequa Park 4.1 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Massapequa 4.1 in 0700 AM 12/27 Amateur Radio Malverne 0.5 SE 4.1 in 0630 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 N Centre Island 4.0 in 0529 AM 12/27 Public 1 SW Levittown 4.0 in 0202 AM 12/27 Public 1 WSW Plainview 3.5 in 0841 AM 12/27 Public Carle Place 3.1 in 0645 AM 12/27 Amateur Radio Herricks 2.9 in 0805 AM 12/27 COCORAHS ...New York (Manhattan) County... Central Park 4.3 in 0700 AM 12/27 Official NWS Obs ...Orange County... 2 SSW Stewart Airport 5.7 in 0724 AM 12/27 Public 4 SSE Chester 5.1 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 2 NW Stewart Airport 5.0 in 0628 AM 12/27 Amateur Radio Monroe 5.0 in 0500 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter 3 WNW Warwick 4.0 in 0603 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Port Jervis 3.6 in 0630 AM 12/27 COCORAHS ...Putnam County... Cold Spring 7.8 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Nelsonville 0.3 S 7.2 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 2 W Putnam Valley 5.7 in 0605 AM 12/27 NWS Employee ...Queens County... 1 WSW Howard Beach 4.6 in 0701 AM 12/27 Broadcast Media NYC/JFK 4.2 in 0700 AM 12/27 Official NWS Obs NYC/La Guardia 4.1 in 0700 AM 12/27 Official NWS Obs 1 SW Russell Gardens 3.9 in 0801 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Little Neck 0.3 SE 3.9 in 0800 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 NNE Elmhurst 3.7 in 0815 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter 2 S Elmhurst 3.5 in 0715 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter ...Rockland County... Stony Point 5.0 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS New City 4.2 in 0815 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter ...Suffolk County... Ridge 1.5 SE 8.0 in 0500 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Babylon 7.5 in 0645 AM 12/27 Amateur Radio Orient 7.5 in 0615 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter 1 W Shirley Airport 7.1 in 0914 AM 12/27 Public Mattituck 7.0 in 0840 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter 2 SE Ridge 6.6 in 0904 AM 12/27 NWS Employee Islip Airport 6.6 in 0700 AM 12/27 Official NWS Obs Upton (NWS Office) 6.5 in 0700 AM 12/27 Official NWS Obs 1 WNW East Patchogue 6.3 in 0915 AM 12/27 Public 1 NNE Manorville 6.3 in 0730 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Baiting Hollow 6.2 in 0700 AM 12/27 COOP 1 NNE Sayville 6.2 in 0700 AM 12/27 NWS Employee 2 NNW Islip 6.1 in 0935 AM 12/27 Public 3 WNW Riverhead 6.1 in 0922 AM 12/27 NWS Employee 1 NNW Remsenburg-Speonk 6.1 in 0740 AM 12/27 Public Center Moriches 5.9 in 0600 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 WNW Sound Beach 5.8 in 0700 AM 12/27 NWS Employee Stony Brook 5.8 in 0700 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter 1 SSE Bohemia 5.6 in 0550 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Setauket-East Setauket 2.1 W 5.5 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Blue Point 5.4 in 0818 AM 12/27 Cocorahs Blue Point 0.3 ENE 5.4 in 0800 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 N Smithtown 5.3 in 0920 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Deer Park 1.0 NE 5.3 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Islip Terrace 0.5 W 5.3 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Deer Park 5.3 in 0600 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Bay Shore 5.2 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 WSW Poquott 5.2 in 0425 AM 12/27 NWS Employee Sayville 5.1 in 0700 AM 12/27 NWS Employee 1 ESE East Patchogue 5.1 in 0541 AM 12/27 NWS Employee 1 ENE Commack 4.5 in 0807 AM 12/27 Broadcast Media 1 SW Mount Sinai 4.5 in 0739 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter 1 S Nesconset 4.4 in 0933 AM 12/27 Public Mattituck 1.4 SSE 4.2 in 0700 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Amityville 4.0 in 0800 AM 12/27 COCORAHS ...Westchester County... Armonk 6.4 in 0200 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter Shrub Oak 6.0 in 0600 AM 12/27 COOP Shrub Oak 6.0 in 0600 AM 12/27 COCORAHS 1 N Port Chester 5.9 in 0857 AM 12/27 Public 2 NNE White Plains 5.8 in 0800 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter 1 SE Croton-on-Hudson 5.7 in 0800 AM 12/27 Trained Spotter White Plains 5.4 in 0800 AM 12/27 Amateur Radio South Salem 5.4 in 0715 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Armonk 5.0 in 0800 AM 12/27 COCORAHS Thornwood 5.0 in 0800 AM 12/27 Amateur Radio 1 E Scarsdale 4.5 in 0800 AM 12/27 Public 1 SSE Greenville 4.3 in 0800 AM 12/27 Public Mount Vernon 3.0 in 0800 AM 12/27 Amateur Radio 1 E Pelham Manor 2.8 in 0736 AM 12/27 Public
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0.4” this morning. Looks wintry. 15” for the year now
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BAM WX says that January -AAM/MJO 6 analogs since 1990 favor cold for most of the central and eastern US. Whether this is 100% true is questionable, but it's still interesting to note.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
anotherman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The models keep changing the long range outlook. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The better workable pattern is moving up closer in time. Here are the day 8 to 13 looks for the 5 day period on the 0z EPS, 6z AI EPS & 6z GEFS. -
So far the northern stream clippers have worked out.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah that’s virtually a lock -
I was in Putnam County NY. This was NOT a 4-8" event in and around the NYC area. It was 1-5" with 6+ far north and east. It is important that we not create a false history.
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ok now that's a nooseworthy gradient here..wow! I lived in Acushnet MA at the time so still bad but at least had 6"+ there
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Chuck likes SE ridges
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Pattern Change is a made up concept. Every day is a unique atmospheric circulation. Sure we can identify characteristics of atmospheric circulations in real time and quantify them to create numerical indexes. But these are coarse numerical "descriptions." And none of this is very meaningful when focusing on snowfall, which is a local phenomenon and highly dependent on specific regional weather features. The bigger problem is that we cannot accurately forecast these patterns beyond 10 days. So 15 day ensemble mean charts are not very useful at identifying or forecasting weather patterns. At this very moment we can have little confidence in what the "pattern" will look like beyond next week.
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I get being bummed out it’s not gonna snow. We all like snow, that’s why we’re here for the most part. But chronic bitching just gets old. I don’t mind venting, no complaints there. But ad nauseam, it just sucks the fun out of the place. It’s hard being patient, but what the fuck us can folks do?
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Your area missed out on the 4-8” that most of us got due to the H700-850 warm nose and fast flow pushing the dry slot in so quickly from the west.
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We will have to almost completely rely on the northern stream for some sort of action because there is no evidence of a coastal storm pattern showing up yet. Maybe after the trough swings back east around the 11th. Very rare to make it to our seasonal snowfall without some sort of KU storm. But yeah from 1/6-1/10 it's looking quite warm. 50s next weekend!
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As far as I can discern, your predominant absence and that of your biting wit are missed by all about as much as anyone else who comes here. Or perhaps it's just the absence of biting.
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I’ve given up. This place during winter is just no fun anymore. We have been told that people are supposed to be “allowed” to vent their feelings. That moderating it makes it worse and it’s mean to the feelings of those that want to vent. And trying to tell the whiners to stop is bad too. So now the whiners have won and fill threads like this with their constant bitching and griping every 5 hours. The ones that help with good posts now post less. The ones that make it fun now post less. 15 years of being here and it is the least enjoyable as it’s ever been. Call me when a threat gets to 3 days out. Only then is it worth the time to look
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Yeah but that's smoothed out. If we sharpen the ridges then it doesn't look so hot. I'll be happy if we get more December type northern stream snows because I don't see any coastals in our future sadly Very toasty week coming up. Mostly 50s
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’m kinda expecting one to 2 inches Monday afternoon and evening and then 2 to 4 Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. I hope those aren’t unrealistic expectations. It happens that way then the snow pack is back to being pretty nice again.
