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AIGFS is just outside the BM. Mattepoisett rejoices.

really would like to see Euro trend west at 12Z and the ensembles. I dont expect GFS to show hit after hit at this range, waffling happens, having the European suite on board is more important.

Ya just saw that

Low popped off the coast of FL on 0z… now its back to popping out in the atlantic .

Op went east, AI went west go figure

Friday night into Saturday on wave 1 with 1-3/2-4 interior That one sped up.

6z GFS not nearly as good as 0z. Just did not have the moisture this run.

Euro FTW?

It was chasing that convection to.the east and tried developing that low.. might be wrong but who knows..

6z GFS = meh

6z NAM has a kicker diving into the Great Lakes It's close though.. might do it We need more wave spacing or 1st wave to be primary energy.

Ya 6z GFS doesnt look as good at hr72

Lol I was thinking the same thing.

Not after today..... Back to Winter from Friday on.....

Why are we awake right now? Three days before and the models are still all over the place. lol.

EPS also well offshore for Sunday.

Euro didnt budge and is a good bit offshore. ICON ticked SE just a smidge with the Sunday system. Getting deja vu here with the GFS likely pulling a Lucy.

I’m still extremely skeptical of this one. There’s still a reasonable scenario where this scrapes rather than hits most of interior NE.

The Rufus was a big hitter along the 81 corridor and decent down to Knoxville.

Fwiw the Srefs looked like it would be good at the end.

The ICON has went from barely scraping far Eastern NC at 18z yesterday, to snow almost back to Charlotte at 06z.

6z Rgem a little better compared to 0z

RRFS and Icon

The Rufus shifted probably 90ish miles w with the precip field vs 0z. It was mostly hugging the counties that border NC, now the precip shield is to the Plateau.

6z icon much improved from 0z