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lol allot of people can’t imagine it.. It’s why most are so wrong & the computer is right. Again, it’s what is going on aloft… (not just the temperature at the surface) Cold air damming (between the mountains & our area is what we want to rout for.. The longer that happens the less chance we have in getting the freezing rain & having the warm air rush in more and cause freezing rain… sleet is 100% certain in this area… How long we have that is the million $ question…

The media doesn't help with this, if they wouldn't be calling for a foot for days and days and days but I guess it's also our choice whether we listen or ignore it.

We did pretty well last Feb with that smaller SWFE when the snow came in heavy right away. Same with Nov 2018 which was completely unexpected. This will have a larger overrunning surface which means theoretically a longer duration of snow. But we really have to see how this evolves overnight/in the morning. We’ll do well if we have heavy snow echos coming in like a wall for hundreds of miles to the south. If we have spotty in some places heavy snow in some places light and dry holes thrown in, we won’t. And the sleet will take over sooner.

Jan 22 nailed.

Plaza midwood Charlotte. My car says 37 degrees (not sure of actual temp) Very,very light mix currently.

As always it's about expectations rather than actual accumulations, to a silly extreme. Once you get the idea in your head that someone is going to give you 12 to 18 hundred dollars, and they only give you 6 hundred, there's actually sadness, even though virtually any other week of any winter in the last three years you'd be thrilled if someone handed you 600 dollars.

The analysis is all over the place in this subform

Precipitation hits a wall coming off the plateau. .

The Euro this close in should always be factored in to me.

Agree fully. The wet content of what's on the ground followed by the deep freeze means that it will take a long time to get sidewalks and side streets back in order

Rain that will freeze

I wonder how well the snow performs as it passes through the TN area could give a feel to how it’ll do here?

Lol just save a Kooch and compare. Its a tool that can be very helpful but not used for verbatim snow maps I posted them for shits and giggles. The elites don't like it. I also post Bufkit and 10 to 1. Keep this in mind the Mets here are conservative. Always under in big ones

12z GFS looks like it starts a clipper train after this one wraps up.

That storm was a beast. I was in Nassau and I had 5” in one hour. Was insane. if we can hang out on snow for an extra 2 hours we could snag a foot, but the consensus is for a changeover around 5 pm.

Thanks, will share with my dad . Kinda wish I was hanging with him in Columbia, keeping him company (first winter without my mom). But he does have a sn...snleet removal service, and I took him a huge bucket of sand. I am also happy to see a decent winter storm here in Harford.

24/16 with light sleet in Wolf. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk

You know ... I was just thinking about this last hour - it's like the modeled storm is moving toward the impossibility of that dopa jerk product. Converging on it such that it makes it right for the wrong reason this time?

You dont need a rapidly intensifying coastal when it's already frigid, you just need a storm thats not going to warm up all the levels, unfortunately this storm will likely do that with it's combined primary/secondary tracks.

When you start pinging I know I am on borrowed time. I’ll be checking in with you.

it was more of an ice storm, with the few inches freezing solid, you could not get the ice off car windows it was too thick. with no home depots around yet, you could not get salt, table salt, kitty litter or sand. i got stuck in a parking lot on the ice spinning in circles and had to be pulled off by a passing tow truck.

Talking in terms of totals. If we get 4-6” snow/sleet, that’s a lot easier to shovel than 10-12” of snow/sleet. .

How I’m going to react to my first snowboard measurement around 6-7am tomorrow: ~1”: oh fuck oh god please no it’s all happening again ~2”: ugh. Hopefully it’s snowing like crazy at this time ~3”: ok, maybe we can make this if DC isn’t already pinging ~4”: yeah baby ~5”+: haha! Fuck you nam!

I love seeing this, but are the globals the way to go this close in?

Would you take more stock in what the euro is showing as far as the sleep line staying closer to the shoreline, are you still considering the NAMM as a heavy contender bringing the sleet up into the middle of the state?