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Temp down to 53 baby!
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There was just some very light rain today (a T). It was windy from the E as cooler, drier air was coming in. With temps down to the mid 70s, the steady breeze, and dewpoints in the mid 50s, it easily felt good enough to walk at the park for the first time in nearly 2 weeks despite a few rain drops.
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Persistent NW flow with breaks of southeast ridging are not a good recipe for rain in these parts. The NW flow is the biggest culprit. It's why we've had these incredible spells of nice weather this time of year, but it's a detriment to rain chances due to increased dry air aloft and relevant down sloping potential when winds shift westerly. Need more persistent southwest flow with moisture advection. Haven't gotten into that yet.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
A true east based Nino should have near zero or negative anomalies in Nino 4 correct? I’ll believe that when I see it. I believe Nino 4 had a big drop off in June 1997. Let’s see if that happens this year. -
- 109 replies
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- we got burned
- rugpull central
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Looking more likely we get the first heat wave of the year Thursday Friday Saturday.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Where's El Nino in the N Pacific? -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
so_whats_happening replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Just a cesspool like twitter in here, bunch of noise with very little thought. I'll remove April in future updates. -
Today was colder than Christmas 2015.
- Yesterday
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More rain this evening with a current temp of 56 degrees already.
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This morning was unseasonably cool. It may well go on to be the coolest morning of the summer. Lows included: Atlantic City: 45° Bridgeport: 48° Islip: 46° New York City-Central Park: 52° New York City-JFK Airport: 50° (old record: 51°, 1997, 2003, 2015) New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 55° Newark: 51° Philadelphia: 53° Poughkeepsie: 41° Westhampton: 35° (old record: 39°, 2020) White Plains: 46° (old record: 47°, 1971, 1984, 1988, 1993) A warming trend will commence tomorrow with highs in the upper 70s to perhaps lower 80s. Thursday should see temperatures top out in lower 80s. Friday and Saturday will be very warm days with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Saturday will remain warm before somewhat cooler air arrives to conclude the weekend. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.90°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -16.87 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.714 today.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What was the total precip that winter in central park? I remember the crappy winter snow wise (5.5" total here) but cant remember if it was wet too. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm really curious to see how the North Pacific High responds. Should be very telling about larger scale things. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
As a weather enthusiast, I’m actually looking forward to seeing a true east-based super El Niño in action this winter. I was too young to remember 1997-98. Should be fun to watch -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
He’s down by IJD in SE CT. This is coming from ORH -
Do you have any east wind? How far are you from moosup?
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Ignorance really is bliss with the trolls. -
Yeah nothing remotely close to haze up here. Crystal clear low dew blue.
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This Spring is nuts. Looking at the GOES NE satellite it seems the Jetstream is going backwards for days on end. Stupid clouds *shakes fist at sky*.
