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Glad everything has worked out for you and your back.

Holding off 12 hours til 7AFri. 18z ECAI still south but the ECAI Ensemble is not... its similar to the blend EPS-GEFS (melting LI, I95 itself eastward).

Not much to add from what has already been said since this AM. Not to much to glean out of the runs today from a sensible wintery outcome for anyone. Only trend really there is for impacts of some kind for New England. Hope everyone had a great day today. I’m sorry I’ve been absent from the forum for a while. Just a “Perfect Storm” of life transpired and has brought me to where I am now. I’ve missed this and look forward this next endeavor.

This is a weird post lol. If I get nothing, you’ll also get nothing.

Said essentially the same last night, tho not as eloquently worded as you. Another 2 weeks would be a little bit better for climo. But like you said, antecedent airmass (which ties in with climo timing) just isnt good here for the lowlands. But....this cant be a bad signal getting chances in the first week of December. Might be a season with ample tracking situations. Happy Thanksgiving !

It’s going to be a good event for ski areas. You will get nothing because you live in the ocean and it’s not winter yet.

That’s ugly for ACATT

Be careful out there. Accidents everywhere, ice everywhere. I had to ditch my car and walk a few minutes to get to my house.

I mean if there's a deep anticyclone over Quebec you definitely want as much snowpack in the source region as possible the air that funnels south is cold.

Hey thanks CheeselandSkies! I followed you back…

i’m fine with leaning a certain way based on certain reasoning. you’ll be wrong at that range sometimes, it is what it is the storm also hasn’t verified, though

As for this upcoming event, if we can redevelop the coastal low soon enough and keep winds offshore, we have a shot on LI and the city especially northern. If winds go onshore we’re done.

Very warm surface to 900

We take what we can get here whenever it happens. There could be 20 feet of snow inland, won’t make any difference if the cutter and SWFE train starts.

GSP posted on X that day is the coldest Thanksgiving Day in 10 years. Cataloochee has been making snow nonstop for over 24 hours now. Conditions should be awesome up on the Mountain when they reopen tomorrow morning!

We’ll know in about 48 hours me thinks.

Warm? Soundings look great in my hood for at least half a foot

The euro is concerning.

Maybe but we just don’t know.

Justice Hill placed on IR. Maybe, just maybe, Keaton Mitchell will get his chance to shine, outside of a disjointed handful of plays per game.

Maybe I’m wrong and maybe I’m bailing too early on 12/2 but I’m not feeling a snowy outcome for I-95. It’s too early in the season, and the antecedent cold air is really not *that* cold. Most likely outcome is mainly rain maybe brief mixing along I-95 and a couple inches far NW. I do think its great we are tracking two threats early on. That alone is a promising sign for this winter. I just don’t think it’s a hit for us this time. Maybe 12/6 hits instead. Who knows at this point. Again, like I said, I’m willing to eat my shoe if I’m wrong.

The most important 14 days of the decade coming up for this subforum?

It’s hilarious. He can’t stand if south of him gets more. But accept 10 miles NW getting 2’ more.

Mid season form lol sometimes you guys create your own trends.