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  2. 46 in upper NW, DCA with a low of 50, coldest since May.
  3. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  4. Looks like a wall of shear before anything hits the Gulf coast. The SE is pretty dry so a good rainer would help. If we’re really dealing with 40kt shear on the Gulf coast, hard for me to see how anything beyond a moderate/strong TS can make it.
  5. Even with these CFS WWB forecasts being too weak leading to an unrealistically low Nino 1+2 values, it increases the WWBs again over the winter and continues into next summer.
  6. NAM a bit more aggressive with the potential for showers tomorrow night, particularly along and north of the Pike
  7. It’s boring as shit, but pretty stoked with the windows open weather.
  8. Same reason you talk about climate change in an El Nino thread.
  9. why are you talking about this in an el nino thread
  10. Right...I get it. Less snow....not 1.5-3' over interior SNE, but plowable nonetheless. Same page.
  11. frost advisory one mile to my north-probably see rooftop/car top frost here.
  12. MC convection is mostly shut down barring the typical passing ER or MJO pulse. Can also see the seasonal collapse southward of Eastern Pacific convection towards the equator as we get closer to November.
  13. CFS has another strong WWB teed up for early november, although not as strong as this one.
  14. I win! 28 degrees down in Cannan valley this morning. House we rented was on a hill and stayed above freezing, while the valley had pockets of freezing fog and frost. Will find some more pictures from my trip to share later.
  15. It as cold and windy as advertised.
  16. Oh, I don't really think that will occur but was just saying its a possibility. I lean toward a better than average winter compared to some of the other Super El Nino's.
  17. CON’s 2nd coldest temp on record was in Jan 1878. 50” of snow on the season which is BN but not a ratter in the period of record. But that was in the middle of a stretch of very snowy winters.
  18. I've mentioned it before. The Cfs2 has literally had it for almost 2 months as the strongest WWB. Beyond it, the WWB are weaker thru the end of December.
  19. Not surprising at this range, but the ensembles are much less enthusiastic with the depth of that trough.
  20. Not sure they can win without him given how the defense looks so far.
  21. Euroai is not alone the GEM has been onboard for a while now.
  22. The comparison was to a low tracking in directly from the east over NYC like last week which would be further north than December 1992 that came into the Delmarva.
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