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Very marginal in Eastern areas probably a game time now cast.Maybe with a Messenger shuffle screwing the rain casts?

Please lord verify

18z HRRR

Bring on the snow!

and snowing again.. fake fat flakes

Brett ends up in a jackpot lol..watch. Guy will meh himself to a foot.

Snow stake says 5 in 24 hrs at your place?

Give me the GFS. Euro porks both Pit 1 and 2.

Currently: Snow showers. Gusty wind 35.0

12z was cold. I won’t be surprised if we get the NAO in our court here soon. There seems to be a lot of noise and the models still are processing the MJO progression. If we can score some blocking with this cold, I think we’ll pull off pre-Christmas for someone.

A coating so far, But Western Maine is off to a good start, Dec looks cold as you say and it looks active too so there will be more snow chances going forward. GFS over the cape, Euro just outside the BM, Not a tough call really once they converge.

True… Canadian may have done the job here, it was close.

If IND can pull their WSW all the way south to Indy, DTX can cover their CWA with a warning, too.

People keep telling me the AIFS ensemble is great, but those snow totals have been very suspect.

When you put it in the context of what the other models are showing, it would make sense that it would end up there.

You’ve already had a mini start up there, but this will be a great start for many of. It comes true because it looks cold for a while.

Totally wrong . 12Z was uniformly better sans GFS

Yes it's all in where you are located. I just think a true snowy winter is overdue

nice to see the AIFS ENS come west

The foothills have averaged between 8-12 (sometimes more) inches of snow per decade generally until recently. For this decade so far we are averaging 3.5.

From a snow accumulation perspective last winter left much to be desired for a lot west of US1 but we had 3 WSW and 3 events that stayed below freezing throughout the event IMBY. Growing up here that didn’t happen all the time. I’ve lived here long enough to know that doesn’t happen every year. Think we can all agree we are missing that big coastal storm, and 2018 was the last time we got one. That being said central and eastern NC would take last years winter almost any year. Foothills folks are in purgatory

A wee bit different take at the 850mb level between the GFS and European 12z....if GFS is right it rains up to MPO.

Ah, I see white stuff flying around here.