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SPC - Somethin’s Prolly Comin’

If you look at March 2026, it was very +NAO, very -WPO, transitioning La Nina-->El Nino. The blend is closest in magnitude to 1986, 2014, and directly opposite March 1980, 2010 for all three factors. Been decent for March & April so far for a very simple conceptual match, although 2026 has been more extreme. March: 1986, 2014, -1980, -2010 April: 1986, 2014, -1980, -2010 - might be decent by month end. Both the super -WPO and super +NAO in March support a pretty cold West in December. The maps are correlation based so +NAO green = warm, blue cold, -WPO green = cold, blue = warm. The 1986, 2014, -1980, -2010 blend is almost identical to the -WPO blend.

My dad had one hit his neighborhood. He has no power or Internet and he hears the chainsaw going. Right up means about 1,200 ft there and that looks like about 100 knots g2g at peak Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Ahhhhh... the rain is nice up here in 21057... .2 so far and more to come.

oh now there’s a bunch of storms

lol at SPC maintaining 10% tor probs in this area with the 8pm update while simultaneously the nader watch got dropped.

McHenry missed that storm.....but I didn't. We were driving back home from Kentucky (funeral) and experienced it parked on 31 after a powerline was snapped ahead of us. I was legit scared.

After last August don't want anymore of these moments

Columbia: 89 imby today. Nice line of rain/storms moving thru at 10pm.

Passed me on rain with more to go…congrats.

Watch extended into DuPage and Cook counties

So over it and it’s a beautiful thing. .

rockford more like rockedford

Line is starting move ESE it looks like on radar so you might just get the tail end

I guess this is a confirmed QLCS tornado near Milwaukee

Wow Dale City hit 88 degrees today? Your normal high temperature is 66 degrees!

Ripping in Turf Valley .

Nailed me. Still raining. Has to be closed to an inch or more with lots of T&L.

Every "summer outlook" I have seen has the northeast in the cool sector of the country for the summer with equal chances of above or below normal temps. Last summer started hot and died early. I don't remember such a cold August. I'd like to not do that

He’s a mess. A dendrite skip job here but some rain. We get more tomorrow evening.

AC for what? seems like a waste to me

first cap bust of the season around here. hate to see it.

I believe this was the rope tornado in Iowa

I'm mostly focused on the rain aspect. We're at 5.82" for the month and it looks like we'll get some really good training. If winds end up strong, I could see some trees coming down based off of how wet the ground is.

tornado debris signatures tonight