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I have a sneaking suspicion looking at satellite that places in N Baltimore and higher elevations of Harford co are plummeting right now.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
You will have another foot at Mt Friday to Sunday -
That west coast trough crashing in after Christmas will lead to that massive and near record warm ridge over central US to eventually move towards east coast. Hopefully it’s transient, but Central and south US will really torch Christmas week
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Yeah once that trough knocks into west coast, that ridge will roll over into the east coast. Looks like that would be closer to new years. Christmas could be record warm over parts of the plains. Yuck. Hopefully there’s a limit to the west coast troughs because those will keep knocking the ridge over and we can’t get a coastal storm with a pattern like that.
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Its like all new technology. Easy to abuse. Not well regulated and the longterm effects of using it aren't really known. I know a lot of folks love it because it does a lot of their work for them but it also takes human skill and the human touch out of things.
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I don’t. Probably put a ruler into the ground & called it a day. I think our area got around 7” with more further E into W Suffolk.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
powderfreak replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
What a run its been. The rainless streak is about to end for the mountains, and this one could be a solid soaker. It won't be out of the ordinary, IMO, for a cutter this time of year... but its felt like a good month since we've had a healthy cutter. Two straight weeks to start December at -10.5F departure and plentiful snow, following a cool and wet November that featured plenty of higher elevation snows. Sucks, but it wasn't going to be snowless and warm out west all season... same with it wasn't going to be cold, deep powder all season here. Once it starts to snow in the Sierra and Rockies, it will signal a change. The surface conditions are going to change in New England, but the snowpack should still be solidly above normal. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It’s amazing how if a model shows a winter storm 15 days out so many will say ah that’s not happening. Yet when a model shows dry & warm they take it as 100% happening. Negativity is rampant in many forums. Yeah it sucks having no snow in December but when did December become the only month of winter? I missed the memo that says after December winter is over. I know for Middle & West TN February has most of the top 10 snows. December is running way below average & we still hear winter is over. Good gracious. -
2025-2026 ENSO
TheClimateChanger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Brutal timing for that west coast trough --> central US ridge. -
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You believe it? Seems unlikely for such a small distance, no?
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2025-2026 ENSO
TheClimateChanger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Sounds like a good way to put it to work. Like you, otherwise it's sus in my book. Already feels out of control on social media.
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December 14th - Snow showers or Plowable snow?
powderfreak replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
This is the content I sign on to see. Nice, wintry scene. Classic New England scene. That’s legit December. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Wth temps near 40 and only for a few hours followed quickly by upslope and a surprise Sunday storm its back to your regularly scheduled program -
Although I'd prefer for this pattern to stick around, I have zero complaints for the first half of this month. Running a -8 on temps, had 11.1 inches of snow and measurable snow OTG for 9 days and a T for three more.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Looks like we’re in for a good pack wiping up here
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1.5" today and the 19th straight day below freezing. That streak is scheduled to end tomorrow just as my snowpack is looking the best so far. Expecting to loose/settle a lot of it by Thursday evening when the cold shot makes it way back in here. Been a great stretch really.
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Looks like Friday's frontal passage (timed for around 0900h EST) could lead to a few hail or snow showers with rapidly falling temperatures? It would be around 45F before the front goes through and low to mid 30s by afternoon in W-NW winds gusting to 35 or 40 mph. Lots of ups and downs in temperature trends now to end of the month, it looks likely to average near normal so the current large negative anomaly would be essentially cut in half (balanced by a zero anomaly for half a month). But it looks very cold near the end of the current GFS run by NYE-NYD.
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I think what he means is a northwesterly flow turning more west-northwesterly aloft with winds turning southwesterly and overriding the cold air at the surface. Oh, and we are on the far southwestern edge of the cold air that is slowly being eroded from the west in time.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
powderfreak replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
He’s established and respected. Not some nobody looking for web clicks. He has to believe it on some level. 12/9 with Light Snow. A nice dusting over the past hour. Visibilities staying high though at 3sm. -
i saw 22-23 and that scared the shit out of me
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Definitely has slowed down the fall, currently 18.3/11.9 at 9 pm here.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I tried to play the video…it wouldn’t play for me. Guess you need the app.
