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WeatherBell is good for models (although their CFS maps have issues).

i order why this wasnt published separately... in other 390' MSL is different than ~35' MSL (ASOS). I feel the same way about the High Point Monument NJ wind speeds... it's an idea above crown height but not very good ground truth.

Fine, I'll do it myself

I've said this a few times. The northern mid atlantic from philly to the nyc metro is the screw zone now. Too north for the suppressed tracks, too south for the swfe. We have only one way of getting snow basically (KU nor'easters), and that's the reason we've been consistently getting the lowest percent of our snow normals the last few years compared to the other I95 cities.

Powerful vortex coming maybe a chance . Models have been hinting on some runs for coastal cyclogenesis next week

First snow showers of the season have rolled through. No accumulation

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Graupel ftw.

I made this point months ago. What they do isn’t by accident. They constantly push their ideological agenda along the edges of what’s allowed. Crazy conspiracy comments about the government regarding NWS or NCEP. Climate change. In here I’ve seen “patriotic” posts masking blatant jingoism and nativist tropes. And yes we can do the same and push back in subtle ways along the edges but it’s fucking exhausting. Last year the usual suspects filled up the long range thread with climate denial crap for 2 days and when I directly attacked them within 20 mins “now it’s getting political and we need to delete all this”. But their BS nonsense was up for 2 days and only got deleted because I made it a fight. Someone said some blatantly xenophobic shit in the New England banter thread that was up for a week then within 5 mins of me attacking it “this is political”. Im not playing this “how do I be subtle around the edges BS”. I’m direct. I don’t play those games. And those games play right into what they want. Don’t allow their BS nonsense to be directly confronted. If there really was no “politics” fairly on both sides fine. But that not what happens because most don’t bitch about every little stupid on the fringe thing the MAGA crew say. But the moment someone attacks them it gets a complaint from one of them and deleted. They end up with space to subtly push their crap without pushback. As for the Islamophobia point I made that got deleted a few days ago, anyone who had a problem with what I said is a blatant bigot. Why are we protecting their feelings? Why are we worried about having a fight with those people?

agree agree

First snow through here today. No accumulation.

It’s the highest Davis weather station on Long Island at 390 feet on the roof of the health sciences center. https://you.stonybrook.edu/weather/stations/health-sciences-center/ Wind Gust: 70 mph ( 61 kts) https://www.somassbu.org/wx/DATA/HSC/#:~:text=Latitude N 40° 54,06' 58" Elevation 390 ft&text=Welcome to Located at Stony,cloudy with little temperature change. Health Sciences Center Weather Station weather Latitude N 40° 54' 35" Longitude W 73° 06' 58" Elevation 390 ft Dawn: 11:01 Sunrise: 11:29 Moonrise: 22:21 Dusk: 22:11 Sunset: 21:42 Moonset: 12:58 Daylight: 11:10 Day length: 10:13 Moon Phase: Waning Gibbous Welcome to Located at Stony Brook University. The weather station in use is the Davis Vantage Pro2, and these pages are updated every 1 minutes. The meteorological day used at this station ends at midnight.

Since AI is supposed to learn, it probably just looked at the last 10 years of every winter storm tracking south and weaker of the projected track a few days out. lol

It was the frostiest morning of the season so far. If you squinted it kind of looked like snow.

It’s very worth it. It’s written like a text book on snowstorms. Get the expanded edition that has the extra volume that goes into the dynamics behind the storms.

He's been hanging out with the pope

The Greenland block linked up with the Southeast ridge at storm time last winter when it counted. This chart below shows the 11 days last winter when the heaviest precipitation of .20 or more fell from Philly to Boston. While last winter was colder than recent winters, the cold only arrived behind the major Great Lakes cutters which produced most of the precipitation. The 11 day winter 2024-2025 composite when most of the precipitation fell

maybe some thunder for the south coast late tomorrow night?

If saying that posting an image of 9/11 next to a Muslim candidate with a keffiyeh photoshopped on his head is “lunacy” I’m proud to be insane. That’s where you want to be. It shouldn’t be unacceptable to say how wrong that is ANYWHERE. Anyone who thinks that is OK is a racist piece of shit and why are we worrying about upsetting them?

From elsewhere: The number of deaths caused by Melissa on Jamaica is now 35 and still rising with an unknown number of people missing. Unfortunately, as expected, this makes Melissa one of the deadliest hurricanes in Jamaica in the recorded database (1851 - now) and the deadliest since Gilbert (using the current death toll). Here are the other most destructive hurricanes in Jamaica since 1851.Hurricane / Year / Death tollCharlie / 1951 / 1521912 Jamaica hurricane / 1912 / 1001903 Jamaica hurricane / 1903 / 65Gilbert / 1988 / 45Tropical Depression One / 1979 / 41Melissa / 2025 / 35 That’s from Kevin, a Storm2K poster

MJO is headed towards the WP in a few days,Euro and JMA seem to be in good agreement it could possibly stay active as it gets into the NH,no clue what it does after that ATM.But this upcoming pattern as we get towards the middle of Nov looks rather bleak for several days,more than likely SER,just make matters worse all the models has a phoon headed towards East China next week

I'm hoping to see atleast flakes in the next week or so here.. if not im going for a drive

Wife is reporting graupel falling at home.

Not yet but I’m not going to stop speaking the truth so they will ban me sooner or later when they get tired of having to delete my posts constantly. I’m kinda shocked they haven’t already. I’m totally fine with getting banned from a board if said forum thinks saying “bigotry is evil” is controversial and unacceptable.

Starting at 18z Tuesday it trended weaker. Even yesterday it was meh. That can happen. Weaker jet dynamics helped cause it. Shortwave was coming from Canada which we know can cause issues until it gets closer to the denser monitoring near the US.