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  2. Drove back to uva this morning. Really has that high end potential feel in those showers I drove through. Pouring rain. Anywho, during some time on route 29 could see the cloud deck breaking up with sky above. Now at uva and can just see the low level clouds racing by.
  3. Wanted to share from SACRUS in NY forum.
  4. It was off by a few days timing wise, but this actually kind of came to fruition.
  5. Stay safe today everyone! Thanks to everyone for the great posts with the detailed severe potential information. Please keep them coming today as it approaches.
  6. Raining now and 58.8/56.2 degrees at 7:50 am. Had 0.65" at 7 am when I dumped the CoCoRaHS gauge. Temp warmed 14 degrees overnight! Lots of 'lines' pushing thru this morning and off to my SW.
  7. A wintry look at daybreak. Township plow off the road. Second unit just arrived.
  8. Squall line moving through here now. Nothing too crazy so far.
  9. Correct, March 2012 probably becomes a once per generation event at most under 2C. Would need way more warming for that to even get a return interval of once per decade. Unfortunately for winter weenies, December 2015 style winter warm events do become far more frequent under 2C. Once per decade at least.
  10. Power outage maps are not too bad at moment in states to our west and southwest, not sure this will hold in NC and other states to our north once the system moves east and all rounds of storms move thru. Georgia at moment has the highest at about 1% total customers.
  11. If for no other reason, I hope it’s not a total bust because schools and businesses are so reactive to the last event that I don’t want them to overcorrect the wrong way after all these early dismissals and closings. Then we get a slight risk in May and nobody does anything and there’s some bad results.
  12. A- Easton CT. 52.7 inches. I grade purely on snowfall, with A+ reserved for 60+.
  13. A- Easton CT. 52.7 inches. I grade purely on snowfall, with A+ reserved for 60+.
  14. Pouring buckets..just imagine if this happened about two weeks ago
  15. Every year we have the ethics debate. I can't speak for others - but I am not "rooting for severe storms" in the damage sense. I like interesting weather - and I/we/us have no control over it. If it's going to be a substantial severe day, I am going to track it with enthusiasm. Nothing we say or do is going to change the outcome. Consider this - firefighters on a quiet shift will welcome a call coming in...
  16. I don’t get why anyone roots for severe storms. Especially in populated areas. There are real people with real homes whose lives could be upended. My hope is for a complete bust.
  17. lol that's exactly what I just told someone at work (re 9-10am we'll get a "feel" for the day so-to-speak.) Then again, there are still a LOT of ingredients at play here beyond cape. Mets seem to think there's sufficient lifting, so we may not be too dependent on daytime heating. It'll still be an interesting day regardless... and it looks like those winds will almost certainly mix down either way as well.
  18. 53 degrees and drizzle. Picked .08” of rain overnight. NWS cut down on my rain totals overnight. Went from 1,55” to 1.11” today.
  19. My benchmark for crapvection in these events if 9-10am. If things look socked in by 9 or 10 am, it's often times a bust. If there's ANY breaks in sun by that time, it ramps the threat level up substantially. Even then, still ways it can be muted.
  20. Yeah I'd much rather trade that in for two rounds lol - I think that first round might really ruin things for us, but who knows. My primary PWS in Middleburg is already 64 deg w/ DP of 62.8.
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