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Yeah, this thing is more baroclinic in my opinion with maybe a hint of some tropical characteristics. Looks like 12 ZHRRR is also getting a clue and not wrapping this towards wallops Island.

I doubt it... the 0z and 6z are moving the QPF shield back east. This looks like a East of the Bay deal. IMO

Yes, with Sandy, I lived near Rutgers and got less than an inch of rain

Hopefully we time one up with enough cold air (despite the strong el nino).

might the start of a string of nor easters with the nino

Yesterday's frost toasted all of the cucurbits, only minor damage to peppers and tomatoes. They're a bit higher, especially the 'maters. Quite the run of sun here, though it ends later today. September here has had the most proportion of available sunshine of any month, slightly more than August. (November and December jockey for least, with the latter currently 'winning'.)

I still like the February blizzard.

Not too bad presently. It doesn’t feel as windy as yesterday. The last high tide got into the dunes but didn’t damage them.

This is the most exciting storm in the Atlantic this year.

Tides are flying up today! At 854 approaching action stage with highest tide all week so far! High tide isn't too 945 am... minor flooding pretty certain this morning.. Very very concerning

Greensboro got down to 49, Winston-Salem 47. I always think fall is off to a good start when we get below 50 in September.

According to Uptons point and click, it’s going to be “breezy” for the island. I’m running to Dicks to get a kite

It's almost like a TUTT on steroids in some ways.

nothing tropical on that look

No kidding

Polo might be making another run at sub 900 mb. This satellite presentation speaks for itself with intense lightning data around the eyewall.

Rehoboth Beach Cam https://www.visitdebeaches.com/webcams/live-boardwalk-cam-atlantic-sands-hotel-in-rehoboth-beach/

The 0Z Euro ens increased the chance of “tropical cyclone activity” off the Mid-Atlantic coast during the weekend to its highest yet of any run and the highest possible, >90%! Yesterday it wasn’t as high for the weekend as it was peaking at ~80%.

^^^'Cept model guidance has gotten stronger

There's no reason why Long Island shouldn't be under these.

That guy has been trolling these forums for years. I don't know why anybody engages him.

Tampa is desperate to avoid 0-3, so I wouldn’t be shocked if we tripped up this week, but hopefully Murray shows something.