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You can see another area of vorticity just barely escape out ahead of our wave. I mean this is the GFS at hour 147 and just look at how close our waves are to creating something truly special Instead it escapes and its all the NS doing work Ngl for whatever reason I'm feeling this one. We got all the stuff setup at the H5 level and just need something to combine together.

A week later, from the same run. 40 to 50° below normal across the upper Midwest.

what are you going to do with the snowmans weenies ?

Reminds me of a messier Feb 11, 2010 storm. We're so close to magic here.

18z GEFS for Mondays Potential

18Z GFS: 2m anomalies for 0Z on 12/14:

HP over Chicago 12z Monday will allow northward transition of southern moisture more efficiently than southern suppression from Scranton/NYC HP Thursday night. It could make a difference.

Mostly clear. 27°

Those are some serious returns around Ames

Lol…who cares..we concentrate on this for now.

We’ll have a week of pack and then a screamer akin to one in 95-96 that will rip everything down that Wolfie will say that the winds won’t happen and wipe out the pack and the grid

We proceed with extreme caution

That run would have James making 15 posts in a row.

Can lock in the cutter of yore on or before the 20th.

It then brings more snow that misses us with the arctic front wave lol

I never really thought December would be a huge snow month for the I-95 corridor, I thought it would be a good month though. I still think that’s the right idea. However I disagree that there is nothing at all to support I-95 snowstorms in the next 14+ days. There is a window next weekend. Depends on how much that northern energy digs. I do however think we are seeing early signs that some of the early assumptions that you made about this upcoming winter could end up being wrong. Just curious what your thoughts are on that? Are you adjusting your Jan-Mar thoughts based on some of the things we have seen recently with the PDO, MJO, SOI and polar vortex? Or are you sticking to your guns?

That’d be the most excitement we’ve had in 3 years

Actually seems like a pretty reasonable output. The footprint makes sense to me.

Might be freezing fog tonight

Just one Arctic air mass after another.

Agree. People can weenie me as much as they want but what I posted is true. We are going to enter an amplified pattern. I am going to bump the troll posts

Clearing skies and wet grass, that frost is going to be serious. I’ll be close to passing my seasonal totals of late with just a few more chilly mornings.

Bonified anafront (second of the run) w/ the second cold front. The Southern Apps will have a foot and a half of snow by the end of this run.